Saturday 5/16/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Balmoral: Saturday 5/16 Analysis
By Jeremey Day

DRF HARNESS

Race 9 - $15,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (20 - 28 / $74.80): PREEMPTIVE BID (11th)

Spot Play: MISS PAT WEISAR (12th)


Race 1

(7) OFFICIALLY YOURS beat a better field last start showing a big late kick. (2) DUPAGE'S Z TAM sophomore pacer has a nice pedigree and makes his second start back off a layoff. (9) FOX VALLEY ELIJAH looks to have a big brush and will offer a big price.

Race 2

(1) QUAZE four-year-old has tons of upside coming off an impressive victory. (3) DIVENLY FLOOZY filly faces older but has been improving with every start. (6) MYSTICAL BRAT gets sent out for proven connections off a winning qualifier.

Race 3

(7) JACKSON'S IMAGE couldn't get into the mile last out off a slow first half. The pacer has shown versatility and picks back up his regular pilot. (4) WHY ASK WHY five-year-old just missed last out and gets a nice starting post for his racing style. (1) KELLY D gelding flashed big ability at age two but has not yet come back to his freshman form.

Race 4

(5) KIMBERLEY R has beaten better on the year and might have needed the start coming off a scratch. (3) YES WE DID mare had a very tough trip last week but raced gamely not missing by much. (8) PARK LANE CRYSTAL was sitting third over before gapping and tucking to the rail last out. The mare did show a late burst but has two wins in her last forty plus starts; use underneath.

Race 5

(9) ROCK N KILO four-year-old set a lifetime mark last race against the same bunch showing two moves. (7) ONE JAZZY LADY mare set a sizzling pace last start holding on for second. The 4-year-old always has trouble finishing her miles. (1) JOVANNA gets big-time post relief and was sharp a few efforts ago.

Race 6

(4) SUNSET DREAMER well bred pacer faces a much weaker bunch and has room to improve second start back. (2) EVERGREENSDUNESIDE also faced tougher last start and paced a decent mile. (7) BELL VALLEY TIGER gets sent out for a hot barn and has a chance at a price if he races similar to his last two starts.

Race 7

(5) FORT SILKY veteran pacer has burned cash in five straight but still owns a wicked burst of speed. (1) TIME TO ROLL impeccably bred stallion was given a terrible drive parked the first three-eighths of the mile in his first start of the year, however the pacer could be ready for an improved effort with a better trip. (6) BEST MAN HANOVER races inconsistently from week to week. The pacer circled the field last out but has not finished ahead of the top choice in most of his efforts on the year.

Race 8

In a good betting race (9) HUDSON JESSE looks ready to pop in her third start back off a long layoff. (5) SHEER ACTION nice-looking trotter gets sent out for capable connections in a fairly wide open race. (7) MASTER OF EXCUSES has been racing better than his lines indicate but is best used underneath.

Race 9

(1) SAGE RUCK should be much closer turning for home at a fair price; drivers choice. (8) SIR MAMMO faces older but owns a big burst of speed. (5) JERRICO just missed at this level last out and will offer a better price.

Race 10

(4) CAMWISER was not given a chance to hit the top spot last out after electing to sit in behind two long shots. The driver opted elsewhere but the pacer has beat this field multiple times on the year when driven aggressively. (5) AJ GET'S THE MONEY is having an excellent year and can hit the ticket with a good effort. (3) LOVEDANCINWITHYOU was the driver's choice and gets sent out for a hot barn looking for five straight wins.

Race 11

(1) PREEMPTIVE BID takes a huge drop in class and will be tough to keep off the top spot with a smooth trip. (2) EXTRAVAGANT ART set a lifetime mark last out at this level; threat. (9) PRAIRIE THUNDER has been racing gamely but is best used underneath.

Race 12

(10) MISS PAT WEISAR mare makes her second start back off a long layoff and has room to improve at a price against a weak bunch. (6) ARTS-ROCKSTAR pacing mare has a history of being competitive at this level and also needed her last effort coming off a layoff. (5) LIZZABELLE has been knocking on the door and will offer a big price.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mohawk: Saturday 5/16 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale

DRF HARNESS

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY $1 PICK 4:

7,10/1,2,4,6,8/2,5/2,6 = $40


LATE $1 PICK 4: 2,6/4,8/3,6,9/1 = $12

MEET STATS: 65 - 213 / $370.70 BEST BETS: 10 - 19 / $32.60

SPOT PLAYS: 3 - 17 / $36.00

Best Bet: ASLAN (10th)

Spot Play: JUSTASMALLTOWNGIRL (5th)


Race 1

(4) WHISKEY TAX makes his 2015 debut off a good qualifier in vs. a field he can beat. Having the owner/trainer in the bike should boost the price, too; top call in the opener of a good betting card. (1) ADVERSITY parlayed a nice trip into a lifetime best win now steps up one level. He should get a decent trip here, too. (2) EXTRACURRICULAR gets an inside post to work with and is another that is capable in an evenly-matched field.

Race 2

(3) MAGiC MADNESS was all business from an outer post last out while taking a new life's mark. These are tougher but she projects to get a good stalking trip here behind lots of early speed. (2) I AM SPECIAL has been on a tear for Moreau and Filion but is sure to get tested here and possibly softened up. (7) YOURE MAJESTIC was one of the better 2YO locally last year and is capable of big early speed. Her conditioner sends 'em out ready off layoffs; beware.

Race 3

(3) CAPTIVE AUDIENCE was way too far back early to make an impact last week but had plenty of pace at the end of the mile. He should get a better spot early and have lots of speed to stalk; top call. (2) THREE OF CLUBS tried the Confederation Cup elims with no luck. These are easier. (4) CAMAES FELLOW was given an easy trip from an outer post last week but likely blasts with the intent to last here.

Race 4

(7) NAT A VIRGIN was engaged in a cut-throat duel in the third 1/4 last week and left wanting late. It's unlikely any of these throws down a 26 3/5 split like the winner of that dash did after the 1/2. She should make amends here. (10) D GS PESQUERO has faced much better than most of these all year and is a true contender here, even from post 10. (5) WILDCAT BEAUTY almost pulled off a huge upset after tracking a big speed duel and closing latest; a minor share is more likely here.

Race 5

(4) JUSTASMALLTOWNGIRL went a big first-up trip last out and was unlucky to get nailed by a pylon-skimmer. She may be a good price again as she rarely gets bet. (6) POWER MOVE takes a class plunge and likely gets sent early by Drury here; the one to catch. (8) RECKON IM READY put up some quick splits then tired first time out for trainer Adams. He can go better here.

Race 6

(5) PIERCE HANOVER when last seen wasn't far behind Artspeak in a $565K stake. He looks ready to embark on an ambitious sophomore campaign here; top call. (2) BOB BEN AND JOHN was excellent early in his 2YO campaign and looks sufficiently-prepped to be a big factor here off the shelf. (1) CLOSING CREDITS moved to the front mid-race and put up some sharp splits in the rain but couldn't close the deal. The top two here are very tough.

Race 7

(2) STATE TREASURER was much better last week and almost lasted on the lead. Third off the layoff should be the charm here for the classy veteran. (6) EVENIN OF PLEASURE almost pulled off a pylon-skimming upset that he is famous for. He's in great form now and is dangerous. (4) NICKLE BAG was stymied by poor cover and could rebound with a better result here.

Race 8

(8) Undefeated REVEREND HANOVER starts his quest for the North America Cup right here and should be able to handle this group but will offer no value at the windows. (4) MELMERBY BEACH broke stride in his Confederation Cup elimination but is capable of high speed if he minds his manners. (3) MR DENNIS has been lights out on Lasix but now steps into the deep end of the pool here.

Race 9

(6) CALGARY SEELSTER is pacing huge last quarters and need only be close enough turning home to vault past these. (9) ROCK ME AMASTREOS moved into Auciello's barn, added Lasix and steamrolled to a huge win. He steps up looking to throw down the same kind of mile; using. (3) BURNING SHORE went a big mile first-up in the driving rain and only tired late; he is racing well and is a factor here.

Race 10

(1) ASLAN takes a big class drop to face a group he should be able to beat in his sleep. (4) HAIL THE TAXI was a good second to a powerful winner last week and continues to improve; the main threat. (8) MIRAMONTMAN is capable of lighting up the tote board; don't underestimate him. (9) CRUIZIN KC dips in class and could share here at a price. (6) FRIDAYNIGHTFLIGHT is a handy sort that should stick around for a share of the high-5 ticket.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Meadowlands: Saturday 5/16 Analysis
By Derick Giwner

DRF HARNESS

Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

CHAMPIONSHIP MEET STATS: 15 - 52 / $64.90 BEST BETS: 3 - 4 / $8.70

Best Bet: HAPPINESS (2nd)

Spot Play: MARTINI HANOVER (10th)


Race 1

(4) LINDYS OLD LADY rallied impressively in her debut and could have some ability. (3) WICKED LITTLE MINX raced okay after the early break; second chance. (1) SMART ZONE had no shot last time from post eight at Pocono.

Race 2

(4) HAPPINESS looked good scooting up the cones for an easy win last time and jumps off the page in this spot. (5) LISSAN figures to flash speed and sit first or second; cold exacta. (7) STACIA HANOVER will have to find some early speed or get lucky to get up in time.

Race 3

(5) DAPPER DUDE has really come to form since shipping to the Meadowlands. This is no easy spot, but the addition of Gingras is a nice plus. (1) ART HISTORY has won three straight and now steps up to face more accomplished foes. If he wins again, he’ll have to earn it. (4) SWEET ROCK is getting some serious class relief; using. (3) ONTARIO SUCCESS moves inside this week and could improve.

Race 4

(1) DEALT A WINNER had a strong freshman campaign and was much better than his nose win in that most recent qualifier would have you believe. (4) ARTSPEAK has a world of talent but also a bit of a breaking issue. He was babied along for much of his last qualifier and absolutely flew home. I have mixed feelings and just can’t back him as the chalk. (5) GOKUDO HANOVER could blast out and get a sweet trip.

Race 5

(3) BREAKIN THE LAW hasn’t been very reliable with just 2 wins in his last 31 starts, but all his recent races have been against better company. Tonight’s drop in class presents a big opportunity. (5) RELENTLESS DREAMER does his best work when in cheap and this field qualifies. (7) PRINCE SHARKA didn’t fire his best from an outside post after a three month break; can improve.

Race 6

(6) ELLIS PARK hasn’t really been let loose with an aggressive effort. I think he can take advantage of this field if he fires off the wings of the gate. (5) BLATANTLY BEST only needs a cover trip to be a major player. (4) ODDS ON EQUULEUS certainly has a big shot of winning, but I think he may need to show early speed to win.

Race 7

Sometimes you have to go by feel and (3) MARKET SHARE falls into that category for me. His qualifiers were both solid and if you believe in patterns, he has dropped almost two seconds in each start. The connections said from the get-go that he would be brought along slowly and I believe we will see close to a peak effort this week. (8) BEE A MAGICIAN has been super in both 2015 starts and it would be foolish to toss her out. (6) WIND OF THE NORTH has early speed, staying power and rarely throws in a dull effort.

Race 8

(9) GOOD SIDE posted a spectacular mile on the engine last time off the barn change and the addition of Lasix. This field came up tough and that should keep his price reasonable. (8) MAMBO ITALIANO moves back into a barn that had him rolling a few weeks back; driver switch to Yannick Gingras. (4) ROCK STAR drops down and adds Brian Sears; may be overbet. (2) BULLET BOB is another getting class relief. He projects as a player with the right trip. (5) ROCKAHOLIC has been very sharp for some time now.

Race 9

(4) REVENGE SHARK has been bringing a top effort to the track every week. If he is in striking position, he’ll mow them down at the wire. (7) HURRIKANE ALI once again lured Yannick Gingras off a pair of Ron Burke-trained horses. The talent is there with this guy. (1) ROCK OF THE AGES has been racing very well and now gets tested. Maybe he is this good?

Race 10

(9) MARTINI HANOVER had some stretch traffic last time. Five-year-old has good early speed, drops to the basement condition and should be tighter in his second start since September. (1) SMART ROKKER takes a bigger class drop than the top one and also draws the inside post; very dangerous. (2) YOU BET YOUR GLASS has high speed and returns to the barn where he won his last race.

Race 11

(1) MODERN LEGEND finds a really nice spot from the rail in a short field. He should fire out and set himself up for a sweet trip. (6) JK ENDOFANERA has looked pretty good in his qualifiers and figures to be tough if he leaves fast. (5) DOVUTO HANOVER only needs live cover to get the job done.

Race 12

(4) ALLSTAR LEGEND gets some class relief in his second start off the bench and should take care of business. (6) ROCK OUT doesn’t win nearly enough for me, but should be cutting the pace here. (3) JENERAL PATTON adds Lasix but needs to pick up a couple of seconds in time.

Race 13

(1) CAJON HOT SHOT faces an awful field and should take charge. (7) IN KENNY’S HONOR was burnt to a crisp while uncovered last time. This spot is much, much easier. (9) HEDGES LANE could be a factor if the pace is fast. (10) JIN DANDY knows how to get up for the bottom of your trifecta and superfecta tickets.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Yonkers: Saturday 5/16 Analysis
By Matt Rose

DRF HARNESS

MEET STATS: 147 - 453 / $776.50 BEST BETS: 19 - 36 / $71.20

Best Bet: MCERLEAN (1st)

Spot Play: RONNY BUGATTI (7th)


Race 1

(1) MCERLEAN recovered from a strange miscue and jogged last out; he's got the class to repeat despite facing better. (2) ROCK ON MOE finally put it all together last week and he's another with plenty of class. (5) INTHEPERFECTSTORM was put in position to win last out and did so easily; it will be tougher tonight.

Race 2

(4) BET THE MOON was third best last week in a fast mile but it certainly was a decent effort; sharp Burke trainee seems capable here. (1) FLIPPER J was dead game beating lesser last out and he lands the rail again; on his best day he can take this. (3) TEXICAN N doesn't win often but he's a solid exotics candidate.

Race 3

(3) MACHS BEACH BOY raced well in the Levy, picking up checks in every leg; Lachance trainee looks best but he's missed some time, which could be a concern. (7) DREAM OUT LOUD N looks to be rounding into form and he should provide value with the outside post. (4) BJ'S GUY wired up a softer group last week and he's proven at this level.

Race 4

(4) STERLING COOPER is a Fraser Downs shipper for Sabot who was dominating the top class there; we've seen other Vancouver shippers have success here and clearly the connections think he's worth the long trip to Yonkers. (2) DONAU was second best to Mcerlean last week, could be second best again. (1) LAWGIVER HANOVER draws best, has been sharp but he loses Sears.

Race 5

(8) THERAPUTIC suffered broken equipment last week ending his night early; prior to that he had risen the class ladder taking three straight; chance to rebound here despite the tough post assignment. (1) E R ELLIE has raced very well in all three starts since shipping from The Meadows. (7) FORT VALLEY AS has the early speed to overcome the post.

Race 6

(5) OBRIGADO exploded home in his first seasonal start when most were expecting him to take it easy; obvious selection here and the bettors will be on board. (7) LUMINOSITY has been razor-sharp in all recent efforts. (2) DEWYCOLORINTHELINE has also been racing well and he gets a cozy inside post.

Race 7

(4) RONNY BUGATTI has been razor-sharp recently after a disappointing start to his seasonal campaign and he's capable of charging home from this spot. (3) AMERICAN RAGE is up in class off a loss, but it was a wicked speed try; MacDonald drives tonight. (1) LETTUCEROCKU A probably won't win versus these but from the inside draw he should land a share.

Race 8

(6) SAPPHIRE CITY has really found his stride in his last two with MacDonald driving and he has the early speed to fire out from any post; take a long look here in this competitive event. (4) THE REAL ONE charged home last week from too far back and he's a good fit here. (5) BEACH MEMORIES returns locally after being outfinished in the Levy final and Dube is back driving.

Race 9

(4) MOONLITEONTHEBEACH took advantage of a better draw last week and was a pocket-rocket winner; aggressive handling can get it done again. (1) SMOOTH CRIMINAL gets needed post relief and will be more involved. (3) STATESMAN N showed some of his class with last week's victory and he can clearly build off that effort.

Race 10

(6) FORT KNOX has been brilliant all season and the well bred Sabot trainee should be aggressively handled from the gate. (4) STAY UP LATE was a game second after an uncovered effort last week where he tripped-out the winner; four-year-old is capable of taking the next logical step tonight. (5) STEVENSVILLE has taken two straight versus lesser easly.

Race 11

(5) BACKSTREET HANOVER qualified well after a brief vacation and she's been competitive with better than these. (7) CRAZY ABOUT PAT raced very well in his seasonal debut, much like stablemate Obrigado. (3) SOMEBODY AS is likely best here but he may need a start or two to hit top gear.

Race 12

(2) MCRUSTY moves in a couple of spots and was a game second at this level two back. (1) LITTLE MICHAEL B is the speed here and will likely be trying to take these the distance. (8) FLEM N EM N is stuck in another poor post which will make things very tough; can Bartlett fire out with him?

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPOT PLAYS

For Saturday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE

Arlington Park (4th) That's a Kitten, 4-1
(8th) Belomor, 7-2

Belmont Park (1st) My Adonis, 3-1
(3rd) Arana, 6-1


Belterra Park (5th) Won Great Damsel, 3-1
(8th) Olympio's Gal, 3-1


Canterbury Park (6th) Benny's Glory, 8-1
(7th) Somerset Swinger, 9-2


Charles Town (3rd) Sea of Roses, 6-1
(4th) Star Leen, 9-2


Churchill Downs (1st) Royal Witch, 3-1
(6th) Star of Sky, 3-1


Delaware Park (1st) Extreme Alex, 9-2
(2nd) Noble Abode, 8-1

Emerald Downs (2nd) Misty Warrior, 7-2
(9th) Tactical Strike, 9-2


Evangeline Downs (3rd) Rikleiner, 3-1
(6th) Ole Black Magic, 4-1


Finger Lakes (4th) Prime Time City, 3-1
(8th) Sir Dream a Lot, 3-1


Golden Gate Fields (6th) Swing for Defence, 9-2
(10th) Sunday Pulpit, 3-1


Gulfstream Park (7th) Racetrack Romance, 10-1
(9th) Joann's Wildcat, 7-2


Hastings Park (4th) Fort Vancouver, 3-1
(7th) Princess Zaida, 9-2


Indiana Grand (4th) Runaway Raj, 3-1
(7th) Fran's Flatter, 4-1


Lone Star Park (3rd) Gold Chrome, 3-1
(5th) Hyperion West, 7-2


Louisiana Downs (1st) Broadway Heat, 5-1
(7th) Streakin' Dator, 9-2


Monmouth Park (2nd) Easy Landing, 9-2
(9th) Rolling Wind, 3-1


Mountaineer (5th) Celestial Moon, 6-1
(7th) Charlie's Quest, 5-1


Parx Racing (3rd) Bay State Justice, 4-1
(7th) Fantastic Voyage, 7-2


Penn National (2nd) Handsome Harbor, 7-2
(4th) Wild for Love, 5-1

Pimlico (6th) Pret Say Eye, 5-1
(8th) Causeworthy, 10-1

Prairie Meadows (1st) Emerald Point, 3-1
(6th) Patti's Edge, 9-2


Santa Anita (3rd) Brave Act, 6-1
(8th) Cuddle Alert, 4-1


Thistledown (4th) Forester's Diva, 3-1
(9th) Fast Fantasy, 9-2


Woodbine (5th) March to Glory, 8-1
(6th) Citational, 7-2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Weather could play a role in Preakness
Stephen Campbell

There's a chance Mother Nature could play a part in the Preakness Stakes on Saturday.

At race time (6:18 p.m. ET) the forecast is currently calling for scattered thunderstorms in the Baltimore area with a 40 percent chance of precipitation. The temperature could reach as high as 83 degrees Fahrenheit for the day but is expected to cool down a bit to 79 at the start time.

Kentucky Derby winner American Pharoah is a -171 favorite to emerge triumphant once again at Sports Interaction.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB Preview: Rockies (12-20) at Dodgers (23-12)

Game: 3
Venue: Dodger Stadium
Date: May 16, 2015 9:10 PM EDT

Zack Greinke's only loss to an NL West opponent since joining the Los Angeles Dodgers came against the Colorado Rockies, but he's had little trouble with them since.

Greinke looks to win his fifth consecutive start against the Rockies on Saturday night.

Greinke (5-0, 1.52 ERA) is 22-1 with a 1.95 ERA in 32 starts against division foes since 2013, and he's won all 16 decisions with a 1.79 ERA over 20 such starts since a home loss to Colorado (12-20) on Sept. 28, 2013.

The right-hander has won his last four starts against the Rockies with a 2.10 ERA. He allowed three runs in 6 2-3 innings of a 6-3 home win April 18.

Greinke pitched well enough to earn his sixth win Monday against Miami, yielding one run over seven innings before Yimi Garcia blew the save in an eventual 5-3 victory.

Los Angeles (23-12) beat the Rockies 6-4 on Friday after Garcia gave up three runs in the ninth of 5-4 loss a day earlier, snapping the Dodgers' nine-game home winning streak in the series.

Jimmy Rollins had a homer, a double, two singles and two RBIs Friday, raising his season average to .198. He's 9 for 22 with six walks in the past six games against Colorado.

Howie Kendrick is also feasting on Rockies pitching this year, going 12 for 26 (.462) with two homers, six RBIs and seven runs. He went 3 for 5 on Friday to extend his hitting streak to seven games, during which he's 14 for 32 (.438).

It's unclear if Colorado will have manager Walt Weiss back after he missed a third straight game following an appendectomy. He's been released from the hospital, and is resting at the team hotel while bench coach Tom Runnells fills in.

The Rockies, losers in 12 of 13, suffered another blow after Troy Tulowitzki exited Friday with tightness in his left quadriceps following a groundout in the third. He's considered day-to-day.

'It just got tight when I was running down the line, so we felt it was better to play it safe and not turn this into a bigger problem,' said Tulowitzki, who is 5 for 11 against Greinke. 'I threw some ice on it, and we'll see how I feel tomorrow.'

Colorado gives the ball to Jorge De La Rosa (0-2, 9.56), who hasn't gone beyond the fifth inning in any of his four starts this year.

The right-hander ran into trouble in the fifth in Sunday's 9-5 home defeat to the Dodgers, walking the bases loaded and giving up a three-run double to Adrian Gonzalez before he was pulled with no outs. He allowed five runs with a season-high six walks.

A change of venue may not help since De La Rosa is 1-5 with a 4.84 ERA in 11 games - eight starts - at Dodger Stadium. He surrendered eight runs with five walks in 3 1-3 innings of an 8-0 loss there June 18.

De La Rosa has had a tough time with Gonzalez, who is hitting .370 with six doubles - two Sunday - and three homers among his 17 hits off him. He went 0 for 4 Friday after going 10 for 23 with seven doubles and 12 RBIs in the previous six meetings with Colorado.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Giants' Pence to return Saturday
By THE SPORTS XCHANGE

CINCINNATI -- Hunter Pence is expected to rejoin the San Francisco Giants on Saturday.

Manager Bruce Bochy said Pence will be evaluated by the team's training staff when he arrives, but all signs point toward the right fielder being activated.

"He's one of our guys, and we missed him," said Bochy.

Pence hit .444 with a homer and five RBIs while playing in all seven games of last year's World Series. In the regular season, he batted .277 with 20 homers and 74 RBIs.

It was a devastating blow for the Giants when Pence was struck by a pitch from Cubs' right-hander Corey Black and suffered a fractured right forearm in the third spring training game.

Pence made five rehab appearances at Triple-A Sacramento, including Thursday night when he went 3-for-5 with a homer and two RBIs.

"He's back probably sooner than we thought," Bochy said. "The way he feels and the way he's been swinging, he's ready. He says he's never felt better. So, he's on his way."

Pence will rejoin the Giants in Cincinnati where he helped spark them to three straight wins in the 2012 National League Division Series en route to a World Series title.

His daily dugout pep talks during that NLDS became the stuff of San Francisco lore. The Giants hope Pence can provide an equally important spark this year.

"Anybody's offense could use a Hunter Pence," Bochy said. "He has power, speed. He's a big threat in the lineup. It'll be good to have him back ... and his energy, enthusiasm, talent, all those things."

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

'On the Diamond'

San Diego and Washington meet in the third of a four-game set tonight at Petco Park with the clubs having split the first two in the series. Andrew Cashner toes the rubber for Padres, entering the game with a 1-6 record, 3.07 ERA. The righty has lost four straight and has yet to record a victory on home field this year. Cashner matches pitches with Max Scherzer carrying a 3-3 record, 1.99 ERA. The Nats right-hander is off a a sharp 7 innings of one run ball in a win over D'Backs. Oddsmakers have Washington -$1.30 to -$1.48 favorite depending on local. Taking a road favorite can be a perilous road in baseball betting, but today’s pick appears to have enough in its favor to counteract such concerns, as the Washington Nationals have been solid bets this month platting 5.5 run/game going 10-4 stuffing +$492 into betting accounts. Additionally, the Nats have won 5-of-6 on the road following a shutout victory and have cashed 6-of-7 as faves in the -$1.10 to -$1.50 range. Stick with Washington.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Baseball Betting: Streaks, Tips, Notes

Game-three Scott Feldman (2-4, 5.23 ERA) goes up against Marco Estrada (1-2, 3.34 ERA). Feldman has allowed three runs or fewer in five of his seven outings and is off a strong seven innings in Anaheim where he gave up three runs and six hits in a loss to the Angels. Estrada yet to get past the fifth in two starts got his only 'W' in a relief roll. The long-ball has plague the righty as he's allowing 30 HR in 20 starts with Jays/Brewers. Another opening for Stros top sluggers.

The finale has pitchers duel written all over it as Collin McHugh (4-1, 3.5 ERA) and Mark Buehrle (5-2, 5.54 ERA) match pitches. McHugh's string of consecutive wins came to an end last outing in allowing seven runs but still remains a strong 11-1 in his last 17 trips to the mound (14-3 TSR). Veteran left-hander Mark Buehrle is coming off back-2-back strong showings allowing just 3 runs over 11.0 innings of work. If Jays have a shot it's here as crafty Buehrle has a perfect 5-0 TSR vs Houston with Toronto (3-0) and Pale Hose (2-0)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Five To Follow MLB Betting: Saturday, May 16, 2015 Opening Line Report
by Alan Matthews

It's about time that the Tampa Bay Rays got some good pitching news. The team has lost excellent young starters Alex Cobb and Drew Smyly to season-ending arm injuries, with Cobb undergoing Tommy John surgery and Smyly almost certain to join him. That's a shame. But the Rays have their closer for the first time this season as the club has activated Jake McGee off the DL. The lefty was excellent last season -- the Rays always unearth these kinds of guys -- with a 5-2 record, 19 saves and 1.89 ERA. Only one lefty reliever had more strikeouts than McGee (90).

Rays at Twins (-112, 8.5)

That's not to say it will be McGee out there in the bottom of the ninth inning on Saturday if the Rays have the lead. He may have been Wally Pipped. Manger Kevin Cash, who has done a great job, said that McGee automatically won't get his job back. Entering Friday, Brad Boxberger had 10 saves and a 1.29 ERA. Boxberger is one of only five pitchers in the AL who has saved at least 10 games without blowing one. No reason to pull him from that. Alex Colome (2-1, 5.63) gets the start for Tampa in this matinee. He was destroyed in his last outing, allowing eight runs and 11 hits (four homers) against the Yankees in his first road start. He has never faced the Twins. Minnesota's Trevor May (2-3, 5.40) also comes off a terrible outing, allowing six runs and nine hits over four innings in Cleveland. He has never faced the Rays.

Key trends: The Rays are 4-0 in Colome's past four on the road. The Twins are 1-7 in Mays' past eight vs. teams with a winning record. The "over/under" has gone over in seven of Mays' past eight at home.

Early lean: Rays and over.


Braves at Marlins (-146, 7.5)

This is your first betting action of the day with a 1 p.m. start. Atlanta has lost outfielder Kelly Johnson, the team's cleanup hitter, to the 15-day DL with strained right oblique that usually means more than 15 days. He's hitting .259 with six homers and 18 RBIs for a very offensively-challenged team. Lefty Alex Wood (1-2, 4.28) has been a disappointment for Atlanta. The Braves have lost his past six starts overall. He opened the season in Miami and allowed two runs and four hits over five innings. Christian Yelich is a .409 hitter off him in 22 at-bats. Giancarlo Stanton is only 2-for-16 with four strikeouts. Mat Latos (1-3, 4.72) is starting to look like himself. He has allowed just two runs over 13.1 innings his past two starts. Latos has a 17.36 ERA in two starts (just 4.2 innings) vs. Atlanta this season. Freddie Freeman really kills him, going 10-for-18 with four doubles and seven RBIs.

Key trends: The Braves are 0-5 in Wood's past five vs. teams with a losing record. Miami is 5-0 in its past five vs. a lefty. The over has hit in five of Wood's past seven overall.

Early lean: Marlins and under but a Freeman hitting prop.


Diamondbacks at Phillies (-105, 8)

Two pretty bad teams here, but at least Arizona has a foundation piece in young pitcher Archie Bradley (2-0, 1,80). He makes his first start since taking a 115-mph line drive off his face on April 28 against Colorado. Bradley was pretty darn lucky he only suffered a small sinus fracture and not a major eye or head injury. Will he be a bit gun shy returning to the mound? Will he wear that crazy helmet/hat that's available to pitchers now? I sure would. Bradley has never faced the Phillies. Jerome Williams (2-3, 5.21) gets the call for Philly. He was pretty good in April with a 3.80 ERA in four starts but it's 7.53 in three May starts. Williams somehow hasn't faced Arizona in his nine-year career.

Key trends: The Phillies are 4-1 in Williams' past five at home. The under is 5-2 in Arizona's past seven on Saturday.

Early lean: Snakes and over.


Brewers at Mets (-144, 7)

More bad news for the terrible Brewers as they have lost shortstop Jean Segura to the 15-day disabled list with a fractured right pinky finger. Segura, 25, was hitting .262 with 14 runs scored, 12 RBIs and six steals in 33 games. Milwaukee hasn't had All-Star catcher Jonathan Lucroy for nearly a month as he's on the DL. Keep betting against this team. Matt Garza (2-4, 4.04) goes for the Brewers. He had his best outing last time out, allowing the Cubs a run and three hits over seven innings, striking out nine. Curtis Granderson is 7-for-27 with four doubles and a homer. New York's Jacob deGrom (3-4, 3.46) allowed four runs and five hits over five innings, tying his season low of innings, last time out against the Cubs. Carlos Gomez is 2-for-6 with an RBI off him.

Key trends: The Brewers are 1-5 in Garza's past six vs. the NL East. The Mets are 1-6 in deGrom's past seven vs. the NL Central. The over is 4-1 in deGrom's past five against teams with a losing record.

Early lean: Mets at +160 on the runline and over.


White Sox at A's (-137, 7.5)

I thought the White Sox would contend for the AL Central title, and they still might. One position that concerned me (along with third) was second base. The team already has made a move there, demoting opening-day starter Micah Johnson and calling up Carlos Sanchez from Triple-A, and the job is his for now. Johnson was decent at the plate but not in the field. Sanchez is a good fielder and was hitting well in the minors; he barely lost out to Johnson this spring. The weak link of the Chicago rotation, lefty John Danks (1-2, 5.12), is on the mound here. He does come off a strong outing, allowing a run over seven innings against the Reds. Billy Butler has faced him more than any Oakland player, going 8-for-38 with two doubles, three RBIs and nine strikeouts. The A's go with Jesse Chavez, who is 1-3 with a 3.24 ERA as a starter (he had a couple of early relief appearances). Alexei Ramirez is 3-for-8 with a triple and two RBIs off him.

Key trends: The Sox are 1-7 in Danks' past eight on the road. The A's are 0-4 in Chavez's past four against teams with a losing record. The over is 7-2 in Danks' past nine against teams with a losing record.

Early lean: A's and over.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Saturday's six-pack

-- Hawks 94, Wizards 91-- Pierce's fantastic game-tying 3-pointer was nullified by instant replay (after buzzer) and Atlanta advances to Eastern finals.

-- Warriors 108, Grizzlies 95-- Last time Golden State was in Western finals, I was a junior in high school; lets just say it was a long time ago.

-- RIP Garo Yepremian, kicker on Dolphins' 17-0 team who also once kicked six FGs in a game for the Lions.

-- Chris Young the outfielder is 0-16 in his career against Chris Young the pitcher.

-- Mets lost their last five games; they've been scoreless in 1st inning last 12 games.

-- Home teams are 95-24 SU in NBA Game 7's.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports

Bonus Play Saturday Pirates w/ Cole +110

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CAPPERS ACCESS
(MLB)
Braves+115
A's(RL)-1.5(+138)
Dodgers(RL)-1.5+(104)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Cokin

Bonus Play

(751) CLIPPERS @ (752) ROCKETS

Take: (751) CLIPPERS -1.5 or -2

I usually will try and include some facts and figures to back an opinion, but this one is strictly on what I’ve seen in the first six games of the NBA Western Conference semifinal series between the Clippers and the Rockets.

I did not think there was much chance of there being a Game Seven here. I was on the Clippers in Game Six, and while the cover wasn’t locked up in spite of LA being up 89-70, I sure though the outcome from an outright standpoint was settled at that point. Obviously, I could not have been more wrong.

Full credit to the Rockets for what was a truly amazing rally. Full blame on the Clippers for seeming to have started celebrating before the fourth quarter even got underway. Yes, Houston got very hot. But they were aided immeasurably by the home team deciding they’d put in enough work already. If you watched the crazy final quarter, you know exactly what I mean. The Rockets beat the Clippers up and down the court on virtually every possession. That’s effort, and lack of same by the Clippers is the single biggest reason this seventh game is even getting played.

I’m going to assume that the Clippers know what they did on Thursday night and won’t let it happen again. After watching the first six rounds of this duel, I’m convinced the Clippers are the better team. The oddsmakers agree, as i n spite of Houston having positive momentum with two straight wins and the game being on the Rockets home court, Los Angeles is still the favorite.

The tough part of this deal is that all the pressure is now on the Clippers and the Rockets are now playing with the house’s money. It’s certainly not that difficult to fathom the Clippers choking this series away at this point.

But I’m going to avoid trying to guess at the mindsets of the respective teams and will instead simply line up with what I feel is the better team, and one now hopefully armed with the knowledge the game last for 48 minutes rather than 36. I’ll back the Clippers to get the win and cover on Sunday.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mike Lundin

San Francisco Giants vs Cincinnati Reds

Bonus Play Cincinnati Reds

The Cincinnati Reds and the San Francisco Giants have split the first two of a four-game set at Great American Ball Park. The Giants won last night's meeting 10-2, but I like the hosts to bounce back with a win tonight as they send Mike Leake (2-1, 2.36 ERA) to the mound. He surrendered just one run on eight hits over six innings against the Braves his last start and has WHIP of 0.97 on the year. Coming up against the Giants has not been much of an issue for the right-hander who is 5-1 with a 3.83 ERA against tonight's opponent and we can note that the Giants are 2-6 in their last eight road games versus a right-handed starter and 1-4 in their last five games when facing a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

San Francisco will turn to Ryan Vogelsong (1-2, 5.67 ERA) who's coming off back-to-back solid outings home at AT&T Park surrendering just one run on seven hits over 14 innings combined. He's been nowhere near as good on the road though, giving up 18 runs, 17 earned, with six walks over just 11 1/3 innings of work. He is unbeaten in seven appearances at Cincinnati, but note that it's behind a 4.18 ERA. The Giants have lost each of Vogelsong's last seven road starts and they're 1-5 in the last 6 meetings with the Reds. I think we're getting a fair price on the home-team in this contest.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BRAD WILTON

It wound up as a PUSH, as the Brewers and Mets pushed the closing number on the total of last night at Citi Field.

That makes it 3-0-1, and 12-2-1 the past 15 meetings overall between the teams having held Under the total.

A strong case can be made for that Under trend continuing with Matt Garza and Jacob deGrom toeing the slab. Garza is looking to build off a 7 inning, 1 run stint against the Cubs his last time out, as his ERA is 2.75 for his last 3 starts. His counterpart deGrom is a stingy 3-1 with an ERA of 1.45 in his home starts this season.

The Under is 5-2-1 the last 8 times deGrom has made the start on the year.

With last night's push, the Brewers are now 3-1-1 Under in their last 5, while the Mets are now 9-2-2 Under the posted price in their last 13 games played.

Brewers-Mets Under on Saturday night.

3* MILWAUKEE-N.Y. METS UNDER

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CRAIG DAVIS

Your Bonus Play of the day is the LA DODGERS on the run line over the Colorado Rockies in tonight's NL West matchup.

This has got to be a nightmare for the Rockies and their fans, knowing full well they have little chance to win this game. Granted, I realize this is the big leagues and anything is possible, but purely from a pitching standpoint this game doesn't bode well from a pitching standpoint for Colorado.

What baffles me more than anything is the fact that Colorado still employs Jorge De La Rosa. He has been so bad for so long and his start to this season is absolutely atrocious. So far he's 0-2 with a 9.56 ERA and hasn't pitched more than five innings in any of his four starts this year... walking 12 batters in 16 innings so far.

How De La Rosa has made it this far in MLB is beyond me... but if he's going to continue to take the mound for the Rockies, I'm going to continue to make money going against him.

Zack Greinke takes the hill for the Dodgers, hoping to remain unbeaten on the season and I don't think the Rockies pose much of a threat. Greinke has only allowed one run or fewer in five of his seven starts while holding hitters to a collective .185 batting average. He's also 22-1 against teams from the NL West since joining the Dodgers.

Take the Dodgers on the run line as your Bonus Play of the day.

3* L.A. DODGERS -1 1/2 RUNS

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BRUCE MARSHALL

Houston Astros

Houston has not had trouble scoring runs in this series and expect that to continue tonight vs. Blue Jays starter Marco Estrada. the ex-Brewer has posted a 6.52 ERA to lose his first two starts for Toronto after six straight appearances out of the bullpen. Houston's 52 homers are the second-best in the bigs, and starter Scott Feldman is off of an encouraging effort in his last outing vs. the Angels.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB
Dunkel

Saturday, May 16


LA Angels @ Baltimore

Game 917-918
May 16, 2015 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Angels
(Shoemaker) 13.813
Baltimore
(Jimenez) 16.413
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 2 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
-110
9
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(-110); Under

Toronto @ Houston

Game 919-920
May 16, 2015 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
(Estrada) 16.846
Houston
(Feldman) 15.402
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-115
9
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-115); Under

NY Yankees @ Kansas City

Game 921-922
May 16, 2015 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Sabathia) 16.895
Kansas City
(Duffy) 14.452
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 2 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
-125
8
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(+105); Over

Atlanta @ Miami

Game 901-902
May 16, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Wood) 15.566
Miami
(Latos) 14.611
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
-130
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+110); Under

Cleveland @ Texas

Game 923-924
May 16, 2015 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Salazar) 14.085
Texas
(Lewis) 16.946
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 3
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-135
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(+115); Over

Pittsburgh @ Chicago Cubs

Game 903-904
May 16, 2015 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
(Cole) 16.704
Chicago Cubs
(Lester) 15.669
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1
5 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-120
No Run Total
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+100); N/A

Chicago White Sox @ Oakland

Game 925-926
May 16, 2015 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Danks) 13.014
Oakland
(Chavez) 16.883
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 4
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
-165
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(-165); Over

Arizona @ Philadelphia

Game 905-906
May 16, 2015 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
(Bradley) 15.607
Philadelphia
(Williams) 14.086
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
-120
8
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(-120); Over

Boston @ Seattle

Game 927-928
May 16, 2015 @ 9:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Porcello) 14.074
Seattle
(Hernandez) 15.652
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
-175
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-175); Over

Milwaukee @ NY Mets

Game 907-908
May 16, 2015 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
(Garza) 13.195
NY Mets
(deGrom) 17.045
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Mets
by 4
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Mets
-145
7
Dunkel Pick:
NY Mets
(-145); Over

Detroit @ St. Louis

Game 929-930
May 16, 2015 @ 2:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
(Price) 14.366
St. Louis
(Lyons) 16.816
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 2 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
-130
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(+110); Under

San Francisco @ Cincinnati

Game 909-910
May 16, 2015 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
(Vogelsong) 12.652
Cincinnati
(Leake) 16.925
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 4 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
-145
8
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(-145); Over

Washington @ San Diego

Game 911-912
May 16, 2015 @ 8:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Scherzer) 18.262
San Diego
(Cashner) 16.744
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-135
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-135); Over

Colorado @ LA Dodgers

Game 913-914
May 16, 2015 @ 9:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
(DeLaRosa) 15.278
LA Dodgers
(Greinke) 14.280
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 1
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-250
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(+210); Under

Tampa Bay @ Minnesota

Game 915-916
May 16, 2015 @ 2:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
(Colome) 14.452
Minnesota
(May) 15.367
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-115
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-105); Under