Saturday 12/20/14 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

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NFL

San Diego @ San Francisco
The Chargers are 8-13 ATS when the line is 3 points or less, 3-8 ATS playing on Saturday, 4-11 ATS after a divisional game including 0-4 this season, 1-5 ATS after a divisional loss and 3-6 ATS after 2 or more losses, but they’re also 24-16 ATS as road underdogs of 3 points or less and 31-18 ATS on the road with a total of 38½ to 42 points. San Diego is 14-8 Under when the line is 3 points or less and 5-1 Under after a divisional loss, but 17-11 Over versus NFC West opponents and 56-34 Over versus NFC opponents. The 49ers are 8-4 ATS when the line is 3 points or less, 24-17 ATS playing as a favorite, 8-4 ATS versus AFC opponents and 4-1 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses, but they’re also just 2-6 ATS playing on grass this season. San Francisco is 10-4 Under in all games this season, 5-1 Under playing at home, 6-2 Under playing on grass and 9-2 Under playing as a favorite, but thye’re 7-3 Over in the last 4 weeks of the season. In this series San Diego is 2-0 ATS the last 2 trips to San Francisco.

Philadelphia @ Washington
The Eagles are 19-27 ATS overall, 4-7 ATS as road favorites of 7½ to 10 points, 4-8 ATS as favorites overall of 3½ to 9½ points, 4-10 ATS after a divisional game and 3-7 ATS playing in the last 4 weeks of the season. Philadelphia is 9-5 Under after a divisional game including 3-0 Under this season, but they’re 8-3 Over playing on grass, 11-6 Over versus losing teams and 7-3 Over in the last 4 weeks. The Redskins are 4-10 ATS this year, 13-20 ATS playing as underdogs including 3-7 this season, 1-5 ATS at home this year, 1-7 ATS after a divisional loss and 6-12 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses including 1-6 this season. Washington is 72-44 Under playing as dogs of 3½ to 9½ points, 14-9 Under at home, 11-5 Under against divisional opponents, 13-5 Under after 2 or more consecutive losses and 55-32 Under versus winning teams in the second half of

 

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NFL Football Trends

NFL Football Betting Trends for Saturday, Dec. 20

Philadelphia at Washington, 4:30 ET
Philadelphia: 15-5 UNDER in road games off a home loss by 10 or more points
Washington: 13-4 UNDER in home games against conference opponents

San Diego at San Francisco, 8:25 ET
San Diego: 58-37 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less
San Francisco: 6-1 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread


NFL Football Betting Trends for Sunday, Dec. 21

Minnesota at Miami, 1:00 ET
Minnesota: 8-2 UNDER as an underdog
Miami: 67-40 UNDER as a home favorite of 7 points or less

Green Bay at Tampa Bay, 1:00 ET
Green Bay: 106-69 ATS after playing their last game on the road
Tampa Bay: 3-12 ATS in home games against conference opponents

Detroit at Chicago, 1:00 ET
Detroit: 1-5 ATS after a 2 game home stand
Chicago: 15-4 ATS after 3 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse

Atlanta at New Orleans, 1:00 ET
Atlanta: 6-1 OVER off a home loss
New Orleans: 5-1 OVER after gaining 300 or more passing yards in last game

New England at NY Jets, 1:00 ET
New England: 12-2 ATS off a division game
NY Jets: 6-11 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread

Kansas City at Pittsburgh, 1:00 ET
Kansas City: 5-1 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5
Pittsburgh: 10-2 UNDER after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games

Cleveland at Carolina, 1:00 ET
Cleveland: 4-12 ATS off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite
Carolina: 17-7 ATS after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +2 or better

Baltimore at Houston, 1:00 ET
Baltimore: 40-23 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread
Houston: 2-11 ATS after playing their last game on the road

NY Giants at St Louis, 4:05 ET
NY Giants: 59-38 ATS off a home win
St Louis: 1-9 ATS after scoring and allowing 14 pts or less points

Buffalo at Oakland, 4:25 ET
Buffalo: 8-2 UNDER against conference opponents
Oakland: 7-0 UNDER off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival

Indianapolis at Dallas, 4:25 ET
Indianapolis: 11-3 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game
Dallas: 4-13 ATS as a home favorite

Seattle at Arizona, 8:30 ET
Seattle: 14-28 ATS off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival
Arizona: 13-5 ATS as an underdog


NFL Football Betting Trends for Monday, Dec. 22

Denver at Cincinnati, 8:30 ET
Denver: 6-0 OVER against AFC North division opponents
Cincinnati: 22-10 OVER off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog

 

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NFL Tech Trends - Week 16
By Bruce Marshall

Saturday, Dec. 20

Matchup Skinny Tech Trend

PHILADELPHIA at WASHINGTON...Skins no covers last 2 or 9 of last 11 this season. Eagles 4-1 SU and vs. line last 5 at FedEx Field. Eagles, based on team trends.

SAN DIEGO at SAN FRANCISCO...Chargers 1-8 vs. spread last nine this season. 49ers only 1-5 vs. line at new Levi’s Stadium in 2014. SF now “under” 13-4 since late in 2013 season. “Under” and slight to 49ers, based on “totals” and team trends.


Sunday, Dec. 21

Matchup Skinny Tech Trend

MINNESOTA at MIAMI...Vikings 7-1 vs. line last eight this season. Dolphins no covers last three in 2014. Vikings, based on recent trends.

GREEN BAY at TAMPA BAY...Bucs only 1-5 vs. spread as host this season, 1-6 last seven at home since late 2013. TB also “under” 5-1 as host this term. But Pack only 1-5-1 vs. line away this term. Pack also “over” 10-4 in 2014. Slight to Packers, based on team trends.

DETROIT at CHICAGO...Lions have now covered five straight in series. Bears 3-8 vs. line last 11 this season. Detroit “under” 13-3-1 since late 2013, though these teams went “over” on Thanksgiving. Lions and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

ATLANTA at NEW ORLEANS...After winning 20 in a row SU at home with Sean Payton on sidelines (18-1-1 vs. line those games), Saints have lost and failed to cover last four at home. Falcs have now covered last four away from Georgia Dome this season. Atlanta has failed to cover last three at Superdome, however. Falcons, based on recent trends.

NEW ENGLAND at NY JETS...Jets have now covered last three in series. But Patriots have covered 8 of last 10 this season. “Overs” 9-1 last 10 in series. “Over,” based on series “totals” trends.

CLEVELAND at CAROLINA...Browns 4-2 vs. line away this season and “under” 9-1 last ten. Panthers 1-5 vs. spread last six TY and no covers last three at home. Browns, based on team trends.

BALTIMORE at HOUSTON...Ravens 4-1 vs. line last five away this season. Ravens, based on team trends.

NY GIANTS at ST. LOUIS...Giants have covered last two and three of last four this season, though Rams 4-1 vs. line last five in 2014. Giants 5-2 over on road this season. Slight to “over,” based on “totals” trends.

BUFFALO at OAKLAND...Raiders “over” 6-2-1 last nine at home. Bills “under” 12-2 and have covered their last four this season. Slight to “under” and Bills, based on “totals” and team trends.

INDIANAPOLIS at DALLAS...Colts 9-3 vs. spread last 12 in 2014, and are 10-5 last 15 as dog. Dallas 0-3 last three, 1-4 SU last four at home. Colts and “over,” based on team and totals” trends.

SEATTLE at ARIZONA...Cards 7-0 SU as host this season and “under” 9-4-1 in 2014. Seahawks have covered last four this season and “under” last four as well. “Under,” based on :”totals” trends.


Monday, Dec. 22

Matchup Skinny Tech Trend

DENVER at CINCINNATI...Denver “totals” turnaround, now “under” 4-1 last five after “over” previous six. Cincy no covers last three as host. Broncos and slight to “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

 

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#1 Sports

Early Saturay's free selection: Rhode Island Rams - 9 1/2

 

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Mike Wynn

Bonus Play: Notre Dame -3 Over Purdue

 

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Razor Sharp

FREE PICK FOR EARLY SATURDAY: Take NEVADA/UL-LAFAYETTE UNDER the total of 63

 

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Totals4U

Early Saturday's Free Selection: Pittsburgh Panthers - 15

 

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Atlantic Sports

Saturday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Wake Forest + 12 1/2

 

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Platinum Plays

Free Pick: Utah Utes -6 Over UNLV

 

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Easy Money Sports

Lee's Free Early Saturday Selection Utah/Colorado State OVER 57½

 

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Golden Dragon Sports

Bonus Play: Providence -5

 

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Huddle Up Sports

Free Winner: Denver -4' NBA

 

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Teyas Sports

FREE PICK NCAA UL-LAFAYETTE +1 1/2

 

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The Vegas Steam Line

Your free winner for Saturday: Take NEVADA -1½ over UL-Lafayette

 

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High Stakes Syndicate

Free Selection for Early Saturday: Illinois Fighting Illini - 11

 

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John Anthony Sports

Early Saturday's Free Selection: Villanova Wildcats - 11 1/2

 

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Jeff Saad of Las Vegas Sports Services

12/20: Saturday NBA Free Pick:

Atlanta at Houston: Atlanta is great at dishing the basketball, an unselfish team that is really clicking on offense. The team is 6-1 over the total their last 7 road games. Houston has plenty of offense, too, and the over is 21-8 in the Rockets last 29 games following a loss.

Play Atlanta/Houston over the total.

 

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Mr. Vegas

SATURDAY Free NBA pick 12/20:

Bucks at LA Clippers. Can't see much defense in this one. The over is 6-2 when the Bucks lface the Western Conference. Run and gun LA is in the second of a back to back spot but the over is 16-5 in Clippers last 21 games playing on no days rest.

Play the Bucks/LA Clippers over the total.

 

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Dave Cokin

Bonus Play Saturday 4:00 PM NCAAB

(551) DAVIDSON at (552) COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON

Take: (551) DAVIDSON -4

I’m a note taker. I maintain a ledger each season that contains what I consider to be unusual results. The rationale here is simple enough. It’s very easy to forget what took place in any single game. Keeping this information handy can pay off down the road, and a good example of this approach takes place today.

Let’s turn the clock back to January 1st of this year, and look at what took place as College of Charleston celebrated the holiday with a crazy upset at Davidson.

Davidson was a potent offensive team last season, but they’d been struggling heading into the game with the Cougars. This ended up becoming the bottoming out game for the Wildcats. They bricked just about everything in a disastrous second half. For the game, Davidson shot way under their season average, and they even failed miserably at the foul line, knocking down only 9/20.

C of C, meanwhile, went off. The Cougars shot an insane 73% for the game on their twos, and when the dust settled, they had themselves a 76-64 upset win.

Davidson apparently got the wake up call in that loss. They went from a dismal 4-10 start to 20-11 before getting upset in overtime in the SoCon tournament.

It’s a different story this time around. The Wildcats are a hot team right now, standing 8-1 with only a loss vs. North Carolina marring their otherwise perfect slate. Davidson has been spectacular offensively, knocking down whatever they shoot with regularity and also displaying outstanding ball security.

College of Charleston comes in with a mundane 5-5 ledger, and the Cougars are off a very tough loss, as they blew a big second half lead and lost in OT to Charlotte. First-year head coach Earl Grant could have a tough time getting his guys back on track mentally following that defeat.

I like this spot for Davidson from a scheduling standpoint. They’ve had a full week of rest and prep after dismantling Niagara, and the Wildcats are off for ten days following this game. Thus, there is no potential distraction I can see. Davidson is what ought to be a focused favorite with meaningful revenge.

My assumption is that Davidson will be a fairly popular betting option today. But even if the Wildcats are a bit on the square side here, I also think they should be the right side. I’ll be on Davidson minus the points today.

 

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Jim Feist

Comp Pick for Saturday, December 20, 2014: 9:05 PM ET

NBA (511) INDIANA PACERS VS (512) DENVER NUGGETS

Take: (512) DENVER NUGGETS

Reason: Your Bonus Play for Saturday, December 20, 2014 is in the NBA scheduled contest between the Indiana Pacers and Denver Nuggets. I always like to take a good look at a west team when they face the weaker east. Just what we have here as Indiana plays in the high altitude of Denver on Saturday. The Nuggets have done well against the East too, going 11-4 ATS in their last 15 matchups. Denver has also done well of late against the Pacers in particular, going 5-2 ATS the last seven meetings. Denver has been much more efficient at home on offense, posting a 111.3 rating compared to their 106.7 overall mark (league average is 107). Denver also a faster paced team at 95.3 (league avg is 92.6) and that isn't good for visitors playing in the altitude. Pacers aren't winning much, going 1-9 S/U their last 10 and 2-4 ATS their last six. Denver had a good run a few weeks ago, winning seven of eight games. But since they are just 1-7 S/U. Neither team comes into today's contest with any momentum. The one previous meeting this year in Indiana was dominated by the Nuggets, 108-87. With Nuggets laying just 4 1/2 here and Indiana not winning at all, I'll lay the points with the home team and look for another Denver mismatch. Go with the stronger west team here on Saturday.