Saturday 11/26/16 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

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Jim Feist

Your free pick for Saturday, November 26, 2016 comes in college football as Utah State and BYU battle in Utah. It's going to be cold and windy for this one in Provo, not ideal conditions for offense. Utah State heads out on the road with an offense ranked #80 in the nation in yards and a weak passing attack. On the road, the Aggies are averaging 21.2 points and the team is 18-8 under the total on natural grass. Brigham Young is home with a strong defense, plus-12 in turnover margin, including 18 interceptions by the defense. BYU has allowed 3, 7 and 9 points the last three games. BYU is 20-8 under the total after getting 200+ yards rushing in their previous game and the under is 7-2 when these rivals clash.

Play Utah State/BYU UNDER the total.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports

Bonus Play: Sat Alabama -17 CFB

 

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Red Dog Sports

Mordovya Saransk vs FK Khimki

Bonus Play Draw in the match taking place in Russia between Khimki and Mordovya on Saturday morning.

Khimki 1

Mordovya 1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Matt Josephs

Kansas vs Kansas State

Bonus Play Kansas State

The Jayhawks are coming off their first Big 12 win of the season and should get demolished in this one. They lost by 27 at West Virginia, 53 at Oklahoma and 42 at Baylor. The Wildcats are shutting teams down defensively especially at home. They are also finding their groove offensively scoring 110 points in their last three games. The Jayhawks defense has been gashed away from home as well allowing 153 points in those games. KSU has covered in nine of their last 11 home games in this series winning the last two games 45-14 and 51-13 overall. I think this one's ugly and a loss for KU.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jack Jones

Michigan vs Ohio State

Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Ohio State -6.5

Ohio State has owned Michigan in recent years and I feel that will be the case again Saturday. The Buckeyes have gone 11-1 in their last 12 meetings with Michigan straight up. I realize that the Wolverines have kept games close, going 12-6 ATS in the last 18 meetings, but there actually hasn’t been an upset in the series in the past 11 years.

One of my favorite trends in this game is that Urban Meyer is 8-0 ATS in his last eight when either a single-digit favorite or an underdog. You just rarely find the Buckeyes in this price range, and I think there’s clearly some value here getting them as less than a TD favorite in a game they likely win by double-digits.

Having home-field advantage is absolutely enormous. The Buckeyes are are 6-0 at home this season and outscoring opponents by an average of 42 points per game. They are also outgaining foes by an average of 305 yards per game at home.

I think Michigan is a fraudulent team and isn’t as good as the No. 3 ranking. The Wolverines haven’t fared well in their last two road games. They only won 32-23 at Michigan State as 24.5-point favorites while losing 13-14 at Iowa as 24-point favorites. They only outgained those two teams by six total yards combined.

The second huge advantage for the Buckeyes is at the quarterback position. Backup John O’Korn did not play well in his first start against Indiana last week, going just 7-of-16 for 59 yards in the 20-10 win. It’s clear that Jim Harbaugh does not trust him too much, and O'Korn is going to have to make some plays through the air to have any chance of hanging with Ohio State.

Conversely, the Buckeyes have one of the best quarterbacks in the country. J.T. Barrett is completing 63.4 percent of his passes with a 24-to-4 TD/INT ratio. He has also rushed for 722 yards and eight scores. His dual-threat ability and experience in big games like this is the reason Ohio State has a huge advantage.

Michigan is 1-8 ATS off a win by 10 points or more against a conference opponent over the last three seasons. The Buckeyes are 6-0 ATS vs. teams who outscore opponents by 17 or more points per game on the season over the last three seasons. Urban Meyer is 17-4 ATS vs. teams who outscore opponents by 17 or more points per game on the season in all games he has coached. The Buckeyes are 22-5 ATS in their last 27 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. Bet Ohio State Saturday.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jimmy Boyd

Tennessee vs Vanderbilt

Free Pick on Vanderbilt +

Love the value here with the Commodores catching over a touchdown at home against the Volunteers. Tennessee comes into this game off a 63-37 win and cover over Missouri as a 17-point favorite. They had thought that performance would have them tied back on top the SEC East with Florida, as they were expected to lose at LSU. That didn't happen, as the Gators upset the Tigers and now the Volunteers are forced to face the reality of failing to win the division.

Going from thinking this game would be for a spot to play in the SEC Championship Game, to a contest that means absolutely nothing to the Volunteers is a tough hand to be dealt and I don't think Tennessee is going to show up for this game. On the flip side of things, this game means everything to the Commodores, as they sit at 5-6 and need a win to become bowl eligible for the first time under head coach Derek Mason.

What a lot of people don't realize with Vanderbilt, is just how well they have been playing. Out of their 6 losses, 5 have come by single-digits. They also have impressive wins over the likes of Western Kentucky, Georgia, and most recently Ole Miss. Add in this being a night game (same spot as last week against the Rebels) and I think there's a great chance the Commodores win here outright. Take Vanderbilt!

 

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Scott Spreitzer

Georgia Tech vs Georgia

Bonus Play Georgia Tech

I'm grabbing the points with Ga Tech on Saturday. Georgia heads into their in-state rivalry game riding a 3-game winning streak to stretch their record to 7-4. But the offense leaves a lot to be desired, ranked 95th through the air and 94th in total yards per game. They're one of the lower scoring teams in the nation, averaging less than 24 ppg. We know what Ga Tech will attempt to do, run the football as much as possible and we don't believe UGA will offer the kind of resistance it would take to win by margin. In fact, we like the fact we're getting more than a FG with the side we have as the higher rated team. Two of the last three meetings have gone to OT and the biggest margin of victory in those three games was seven points. Ga Tech won by six two years ago and UGA won by six in 2015. We believe it's the Jackets turn in 2016 and I'm recommending a play on Ga Tech plus the points. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Marc Lawrence

Minnesota vs Wisconsin

Play - Minnesota Golden Gophers

Edges - Golden Gophers: 5-0-1 ATS away with conference revenge

Badgers: 2-5 ATS as double-digit conference home favorites. With Minny playing with 10-point loss revenge from last season, look for them to improve on their jaw dropping 13-0-1 ATS mark as conference dogs of 4 or more points here today. We recommend a 1* play on Minnesota. Thank you and good luck as always.