Saturday 11/14/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ASA

Arkansas vs LSU Saturday at 7:00 PM ET

ASA Bonus Play ON Arkansas +7.5 over LSU

The Razors are playing very well right now and they are catching LSU is a prime spot for an upset. Arkansas was picked by many to be a factor in the SEC this year and after a very slow start to the season, they’ve won 4 of their last 5 games with their only loss being a competitive one @ Alabama 27-14. Arky has beaten some solid opponents during this stretch including Auburn, Tennessee, and Ole Miss. They catch LSU off their first loss of the season and in a prime letdown situation. The Tigers were pointing to their game vs Alabama for quite some time and after getting whipped on the field 30-16 (outgained by 250 yards) it will be tough for them to bounce back just a week later. This LSU team may have been a bit over valued leading into the Alabama game as they had a very easy slate leading into last Saturday. The Tigers had wins over Syracuse, Eastern Michigan, South Carolina, Florida, and Western Kentucky the 5 weeks leading up to the Bama game. Florida is the only legit opponent in that group and that game went to the wire @ LSU. This has been a tight series with the winning margin being 8 points or fewer in 8 of the last 10 meetings. Too many points here with a surging Arkansas team vs an LSU team in a terrible spot.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jimmy Boyd

Oregon vs Stanford

Free Pick on Stanford -

The Cardinal will be out for some serious revenge from last year’s embarrassing 29-point loss at Oregon and I believe they return the favor with a blowout win of their own. The Ducks have played better of late, but I’m not buying this team being able to keep it close against Stanford.

Last week’s win against Cal looks impressive on paper, as the Ducks held Goff to just 18 completions on 42 attempts, but that was more a result of the Golden Bears not being able to give him time to throw or pose any threat of a run. Oregon still ended up allowing 329 passing yards. I’m not convinced this secondary has magically figured it out. I look for Kevin Hogan to pick them apart, as Stanford has a dominant offensive line that will keep the Ducks front 7 in check.

Stanford also doesn’t need a big game out of Hogan to win here. Cardinal running back Christian McCaffrey figures to have a field day on the ground against a Duck’s defense that is allowing 199 yards/game and 5.1 yards/carry against the run on the road this season.

While Stanford should have no problem moving the ball and finishing off drives with touchdowns, Oregon could have some problems here against a highly motivated Stanford defense playing at home. The Cardinal come in allowing just 3.8 yards/carry against teams that average 4.4 and are only allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 53.7% of their attempts.

I know it’s a big rivalry game, but Stanford is the only team here with something to play for. Even with a win, Oregon would need the Cardinal to lose at home to Cal next week to have any hope of winning the Pac-12 North, which is highly unlikely.

The Cardinal are not only playing for a conference title, but a spot in the college football playoffs. It’s very similar to last year when these two teams met. Oregon was highly rated and fighting for a playoff spot, while Stanford was off to a disappointing 5-3 start. The Cardinal just couldn’t match the intensity of the Ducks and it got ugly in a hurry.

Stanford is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 against a team with a winning record and 4-0 ATS in their 4 home games this season, winning by an average of 43.2 to 18.2. We also see that road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points in a conference game where both teams are scoring 34 or more points/game are just 18-45 ATS since 1992. That's a 71% system in favor of the Cardinal. Take Stanford!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jack Jones

Alabama vs Mississippi State

Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Mississippi State +8

The LSU game is always one of the most anticipated of the year for Alabama. That was the case again this season as they came in as the No. 2 and No. 4 teams in the country. Now, off such an emotional, physical win over the Tigers, the Crimson Tide are going to struggle to come back this week. This is certainly a bit of a letdown spot for them just because of the magnitude of that game last week.

Alabama is 0-4 ATS over the last four years following the LSU game. In three of those instances, they happened to be playing Mississippi State afterward. Not only is this a letdown spot for the Tide, it's also a great spot for the Bulldogs as this is their biggest game of the year and they'd love to play the role of spoiler.

While Alabama is off a taxing, physical came against LSU, Mississippi State comes in rested and ready to go. It will have had two extra days to prepare for this game after dismantling Missouri 31-13 on the road last Thursday. The Bulldogs will be the fresher, more prepared, and more motivated team in this one. They want revenge from their tough 20-25 loss in Tuscaloosa last year that cost them a shot to win the national title.

In that 20-25 loss to Alabama, Mississippi State was a 10-point underdog and actually outplayed the Crimson Tide. The Bulldogs outgained them 428-335 for the game, but three costly interceptions did them in. Mississippi State has a knack for playing Alabama tough, as evidenced by the fact that it is 3-1 against the spread in the last four meetings. After throwing those three interceptions last year, senior Dak Prescott will be looking to make amends at home this time around.

Prescott is having a monster season for the Bulldogs once again. He threw for 303 yards and four touchdowns against a very good Missouri defense last week. He is now completing 66.7 percent of his passes for 2,351 yards with a sensational 18-to-1 TD/INT ratio. Prescott also leads the team in rushing with 418 yards and seven scores. He’s the type of quarterback that Alabama struggles against because he is a dual-threat guy who is making all the right decisions.

Prescott leads a Mississippi State offense that is putting up 34.7 points, 443.4 yards per game and 6.6 per play against opposing defenses that allow 27.4 points, 398 yards per game and 5.7 per play. Mississippi State has also been very good defensively, giving up 17.2 points, 369.3 yards per game and 4.9 per play against opposing offenses that average 27.7 points, 394 yards per game and 5.7 per play. The Bulldogs own a top 20 defense in terms of efficiency, and their offense actually ranks 14 spots higher than Alabama in efficiency.

Mississippi State is 6-0 ATS versus good rush defenses that allow 120 or fewer rushing yards per game. It is beating these teams by an average of 13.6 points per game. The Crimson Tide’s great rush defense is negated here because the Bulldogs are a pass-first team that averages 296 passing yards per game and 8.3 per attempt. While Alabama matched up great with LSU, it doesn’t match up nearly as well with Mississippi State.

The Bulldogs are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Since 2013, Mississippi State is 6-1 ATS as an underdog with four outright upsets in those seven games. I won't call for the upset here, but I do believe we are getting the Bulldogs at a great value catching more than a touchdown at home. Bet Mississippi State Saturday.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Brandon Lee

Arkansas vs LSU

10* FREE NCAAF PICK (LSU -7.5)

The common perception here is that LSU will be in line for a major letdown after last week's loss to Alabama. I don't believe that will be the case at all, especially with the Tigers playing at home in a nationally televised night game against a team they are out for revenge against. LSU lost to Alabama each of the previous 3 years before last week's loss and have gone 6-1 after their loss to the Crimson Tide during the stretch. The only exception being last year's 0-17 loss at Arkansas. LSU has to hold on hope that Alabama may lose on the road to either Mississippi St or Auburn. If they do, the Tigers can still win the SEC West if they win out. One player that I can guarantee won't be suffering a letdown is star running back Leonard Fournette. He's going to come out with a huge chip on his shoulder after getting shutdown by Alabama's defense last week. Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points in conference games with 2 teams scoring 34.0 or more points/game are 18-45 (29%) ATS since 1992. Give me the Tigers -7.5 in a big bounce back performance at home!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Scott Spreitzer

Nebraska vs Rutgers

Bonus Play Rutgers

I'm recommending a play on Rutgers plus the points on Saturday afternoon. Nebraska is coming off a fortunate win last week. Despite hosting a Michigan State team in a very tough spot, the Huskers looked on their way to yet another loss, trailing 38-26 with a couple minutes to go in the game. Give the players credit for not throwing in the towel after all they have gone through this season, but the bottom line is that they were fortunate to have won. The pass defense is still one of the worst in college football and now have to face Rutgers' star WR Leonte Carroo, who seems to finally be healthy. Nebraska won last year's meeting in Lincoln, 42-24. Ameer Abdullah had TD runs of 53, 48, and 23 yards, finishing with 225 yards rushing, overall. Ameer is now in the NFL. And while this year's Nebraska offense is better with Imani Cross getting more carries (as he did last week) than they were earlier in the season, he's no Abdullah. Like most of Nebraska's games this season, I believe we're in for a back and forth affair with the winner being decided by close margin. Rutgers enters on an 8-1 ATS run as a dog of more than three points and less than 10 1/2 points. More of the same. I'm recommending a play on Rutgers plus the points. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mike Lundin

Pistons vs Clippers

8* NBA Free Pick Los Angeles Clippers

The Los Angeles Clippers have won eight straight meetings with the Detroit Pistons, including a 22-point victory home at Staples Center last season. They've struggled of late, coming off a pair of losses at Dallas and Phoenix and with just one win over their last five games, but they should be highly motivated to get back to their winning ways in front of the home-town crowd today. The Pistons are off a pair of defeats as well as they lost 109-95 at Golden State Monday and 101-92 at Sacramento two days later. They've been on the road since Nov.6 and will face the Lakers tomorrow, so this is far from an ideal spot for Detroit. Both Chris Paul and J.J Redick is questionable for the Clippers, but it's not for nothing their bench is widely recognized as one of the best in the NBA. I think their squad depth will come into play here, and I'm happy to back the Clippers as a relatively small home-favorite.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Chip Chirimbes

Nebraska at Rutgers 3:30 ET

Chip's FREE NCAA Winner Rutgers Scarlet Knights (+) over Cornhuskers

Last week we had the Cornhuskers and despite Mike Riley they managed to win one in the final moments as they scored twice in the last two minutes against undefeated Michigan State. Rutgers has had as many problems off the field as on as they have been blown out in their last three Big Ten contests getting out-scored 146-33. The Scarlet Knights haven't had much to cheer about but should be able to exploit the Cornhuskers secondary which allows 319 passing per game. Take RUTGERS!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Marc Lawrence

Ohio State vs Illinois

Play - Illinois

Edges - Fighting Illini: 4-0 ATS as home dogs of 15 or more points; and host team in this series 5-1 ATS; and 7-3 ATS home off back-to-back away games. Buckeyes: 1-4 ATS conference road favorites; and 1-4 ATS away versus conference revenge. With the noose getting tighter and tighter on undefeated Ohio State, and the Illini fighting furiously for a bowl bid, we recommend a 1* play on Illinois. Thank you and good luck as always.

 

[Haystacks]

smart betting systems GOY (swami ) Carolina Sports GOY ??? thanks guys

 

[Krueg]

Dr. Bob NCAAF?? Thanks!

 

[sdf]

Looking for Bondi 10* Lock of the Year!!!! If you would like to go half I/M me. 5-1 83% last 6yrs according to site.

i think i usually get Bondi....i'll check back in a bit if i see anything

 

[CaPPiNgTiGeRz]

Cappers Access:

Duke -3
Michigan -11
Notre Dame -27
Stanford -8

Thanks (

 

[Jas7]

i think i usually get Bondi....i'll check back in a bit if i see anything

Thanks, hopefully someone gets it!

 

[bmd1803]

Rainman????
Tia

 

[mattk23]

Anyone have Vegas Winning Crew?

 

[JohnnyDago]

Guys-

This is the picks forum!! Stop asking for services!
There is a request forum for that!
You guys can't be this dumb week after week.

 

[indians74]

Does anyone have Paul Leiner or Leiner 200o?????

 

[sportslover1]

Bondi's college seven star? TIA

 

[wolf0fvegas]

Any Football Jesus or Marco D'Angelo plays?

 

[mvp24]

north coast?