Saturday 10/4/14 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Marc Lawrence

Michigan vs. Rutgers

Bonus Play Michigan

Edges - Wolverines: 8-2 ATS as a single-digit dog with a losing record since 1985, including 4-0 ATS when facing a foe off a SU win. Knights: 2-14 ATS home off a previous SU home win versus an opponent off a SU double-digit loss. With Michigan owning both the better offense and the better defense in this contest in games versus FBS opponents this season, look for the Wolves to get their act back together away from the uncomfortable confines of home here today. We recommend a 1-unit play on Michigan. Thank you and good luck as always.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bill Biles

Oklahoma vs. TCU

Bonus Play Oklahoma -5

Oklahoma is proving so far that is it ready to make that step into being a legit Championship team. They are very balanced as they are in the top 10 in points for and top 20 in points against. If they want to make the playoffs they have to win this game. This will be a test for them, but they will prevail to go to 5-0.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Stephen Nover

Wake Forest vs. Florida State

Bonus Play Florida State

Florida State got a scare last week nearly blowing its season before getting past North Carolina State, 56-41, on the road. Two weeks ago, the Seminoles had to beat Clemson in overtime at home to remain unbeaten. They achieved that victory without suspended Jameis Winston.

Winston won't have any distractions this week and the Seminoles need a kill spot to start restoring some luster again with the pollsters. That should come here against a horrible Wake Forest squad that has dropped seven consecutive road contests. The Demon Deacons have the worst rushing attack in the country and a turnover-prone freshman quarterback, John Wolford. They're facing an angry Seminoles defense on the road.

Wolford has been picked off 10 times already and been sacked 24 times. He won't have injured Matt James, the team's third-leading receiver.

Florida State buried Wake Forest, 59-3, last year on the road. This year should be even worse.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Alex Smart

Stanford vs. Notre Dame

Both these teams fortes are their defenses. Stanford allows just 6.5 ppg and 195 ypg. Meanwhile Notre Dame, has not allowed any of their three opponents to breach the 17 point plateau on offense. All three of those Irish tilts failed to eclipse the number. Considering this is an annual rivalry game, and there is potential play off births on the line, I am betting it will be a hard nosed affair, with points being hard to come by. It must be noted Stanford has seen 10 of their L/12 go under the total.

Play UNDER the set total 1/2 unit comp selection

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Doug Upstone

Georgia Southern vs. New Mexico State

Bonus Play Georgia Southern

Play On teams like Georgia Southern after gaining 6.25 or more yards a play in three consecutive games, returning 8 or offensive starters and the quarterback, against opponent returning five or less defensive starters. What this system understands is not only are their many offensive players back, but they really move the pigskin. New Mexico State is is a bad team to start with and toss in them having to face the Georgia Southern ground attack, good night nurse. In the past five years this CFB system is a sweet 27-5, 84.4%!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ross Benjamin

Kansas vs. West Virginia

Bonus Play On: West Virginia -26.0

The Kansas football program is currently in dire straits. They've gone 11-47 in their last 58-games overall, and 0-26 in their last 26 road games. The Jayhawks have also gone a pathetic 2-40 in their last 42 conference games, and have lost 23 in a row on the road versus conference opponents. As a matter of fact, their last conference road win came at Iowa St. on 10/4/2008. The head coach for the Jayhawks at that time was Mark Mangino. Ironically, Mangino is the current offensive coordinator at Iowa St. Following their loss to Texas last Saturday, head coach Charlie Weiss was fired. Weiss went a miserable 6-22 as the head coach at Kansas.

Although West Virginia has gone just 2-2 to start the season, they're performance level has been encouraging, and bordering on impressive. Their two losses came at the hands of a pair of opponents that could possibly be playing in the season ending 4-team playoff that will determine the national champion of college football. The Mountaineers accounted themselves quite well in both a 33-23 loss to Alabama, and 45-33 defeat at the hands of Oklahoma. They will also be out to avenge a humiliating 31-19 loss at Kansas last season, which was just 1 of the 2 conference wins by the Jayhawks since October of 2009. The Mountaineers come into this game following a bye week.

Any home favorite of 21.5 to 30.0 playing with rest, coming off a game versus a conference opponent, and they've won 18 or less of their last 22-games, has gone 33-4 ATS (89.2%) since 2005. Play on the West Virginia Mountaineers minus the big number.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Steve Williams

Wake Forest vs. Florida State

Bonus Play Florida State

A Winner is a Winner. That's why we have no problem laying the points in this matchup. To begin, Florida State dropped to # 2 in some of the polls despite winning last week. That won't make the defending champs happy. Last 2 games in this series Seminoles have won by a total score of 111-3. FSU 4-1 ATS last 5 in this series.

Demon Deacons talking about how tough they have it playing on road against FSU in local media reports. True Freshman QB John Wolford will have his hands full leading the Wake offense against a Seminole defense that gave up 41 last week. Seminole defense looking to show that was a fluke. They are better than that. Add a young offensive line for Wake and we're looking at a shutout by the Seminole defense.

This one will get ugly early and if it doesn't it will be ugly by the final horn. Florida State ends up with the blowout and near shutout. Florida State 66-10. Lay the points with the home standing Seminoles.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Kyle Hunter

Boise State vs. Nevada

*3 Star Free Pick* Under

The Nevada Wolfpack offense isn't working nearly as well as expected. Coach Brian Polian is a big downgrade from the previous Nevada offensive mastermind Chris Ault. Cody Fajardo isn't able to get anything going in the passing game. Boise State's defense is excellent against the run, so I expect Nevada to find moving the football to be difficult in this one. Nevada's defense has been much better than expected so far this year. They did a great job against Washington State's high powered attack earlier this year. Boise State's offense has fallen off in a big way as well as Grant Hedrick has been very mistake prone. The under is 5-0 in Nevada's last 5 home games. The under is 6-0 in Nevada's last 6 conference games. The under is also 4-0 in the last 4 games between these two teams. Take the under.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ray Monohan

Memphis vs. Cincinnati

5* Bonus Play on Cincinnati Bearcats -4

All that last weekend proved was that the Bearcats are not as good as the Buckeyes...but we already knew that. Back home I expect them to play very well against an emerging Memphis team.

The Tigers have played pretty well for chunks of this season but they are still just 2-2 and more potential than not. I will take Gunner Kiel over Paxton Lynch any day of the week. Look for the Bearcats to win by a TD or more.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Andre Ramirez

Texas A&M vs. Mississippi State

5 KARAT Bonus Play MISSISSIPPI ST ML

Today we are laying the money on Mississippi Moneyline for today’s winner. The Mississippi Bulldogs are 8-1 ATS, and have been Red Hot. After the team ended a 14-game series losing streak against LSU with a 34-29 road victory two weeks ago. The Bulldogs beat the Tigers in that game as seven-point road underdogs to improve to 8-1 against the spread in their last nine overall.
This game will come down to quarterback play, and the Bulldogs have the more experienced signal caller in junior Dak Prescott, who played in last year’s game. Prescott has been the key to Mississippi State’s season so far, especially at LSU, where he threw for 268 yards and two touchdowns and ran for 105 yards and another score.
According to my algorithms I have Mississippi St. winning 27-14, 28-16, and 24-21. The numbers are good for your free winner. Lay the money on Mississippi St ML, and get paid. Thank You

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

'Ranked SEC foes collide'

LSU will try to snap Auburn's 12-game (9-3 ATS) home winning streak when the two SEC West rivals collide at Jordan-Hare Stadium Saturday. LSU had its best offensive performance of the year in a 63-point showing versus NMSU last week with QB Brandon Harris tossing three TD's and running for two majors. However, here LSU faces a much improved Auburn defense allowing a mere 16.2 PPG on 313.2 YPG. Although LSU has won three straight in the series (1-2 ATS) and six of seven encounters (3-4 ATS) the lean is Auburn. The defending SEC champions looking to avenge the only regular season loss last season will be focused and find a way to pull this one out in its home stadium. Auburn is on a 9-0 ATS streak vs the conference, 10-4 ATS stretch as a favorite while LSU enters 1-3-1 ATS as an underdog, 1-4 ATS vs an SEC foe, 4-10-1 ATS following a SU win.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Larry Ness

Michigan at Rutgers 7:00PM

Bonus Play Michigan at 7:00 ET.

It?s been a L-O-N-G week for Michigan?s football team, its athletic department and the school as a whole. The entire institution has been mired in a mix of inconsistency, injuries and controversy. The Wolverines travel to New Jersey for the first time in more than EIGHT decades on Saturday night (Michigan has only played in New Jersey twice - in 1931 with a 21-0 win at Princeton and in 1881, a 13-4 loss at Princeton), when they take on Rutgers. Michigan is desperate for a bounce-back performance, coming off back-to-back home losses, first to Utah in a rain-soaked 26-10 defeat and then to Minnesota, 30-14. It was in the Minnesota game in which head coach Brady Hoke (and others in the program and school) have come under fire this week for the handling of QB Shane Morris, who suffered a concussion against the Gophers but later returned to the game.

Michigan ended last season on a 2-6 run and has now lost three games before October for the FIRST time in school history (Wolverines are 2-3, with the wins coming over Appalachian State and Miami-Ohio). Michigan managed just 88 passing yards against Minnesota and weren't any better on the ground, rushing for 83 yards on 3.0 YPC. The embattled Devin Gardner will return at QB against the Scarlet Knights and Hoke would rather focus on the future than dwell on the past. "I'm getting ready to play Rutgers, that's what I've been doing. Getting ready to play Rutgers. Getting the staff and the team ready to go play Rutgers -- that's what I've been doing," he said.

Rutgers is quietly off to a nice start this season with only a three-point loss to Penn State separating the Scarlet Knights from a perfect record. However, therein lies the rub. Rutgers has run the football well despite the season-ending injury to James, entering with a 176.2 per game average (4.2 YPC / 9 TDs) but senior QB Gary Nova has yet to prove he?s ?ready for primetime!? Sure, he?s completed 69.1% for 251.3 YPG through the air with 10 TDs and two INTS vs the likes of Washington St, Howard, Navy and Tulane but in Rutgers? marquee showdown at home vs Penn St, he ?laid an egg!? Rutgers took a 10-0 halftime lead over the Nittany Lions (Nova scored the lone TD on a run) but NEVER scored in the second half of that 13-10 loss (Nova had FIVE interceptions!).

The Scarlet Knights have been outgained in THREE of five games this season (including one against Howard from the FCS), while Michigan (with ALL its problems) had outgained its first FOUR opponents before the Minnesota game last Saturday. You trust Rutgers LAYING points to Michigan? Not I!

Good luck...Larry

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hollywood Sports

Boise St. at Nevada 10:30PM

Bonus Play Boise St.

Reason: Take Boise State minus the points versus Nevada. Boise State (3-2) looks to rebound from their 28-14 loss at Air Force last Saturday in a game where their quarterbacks threw five interceptions. Look for a better effort here as they Broncos are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games after a straight-up loss. Additionally, Boise State has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after scoring 20 or fewer points in their last game. Despite their 3-2 record, the Broncos are outgaining their opponents by +89.4 YPG. Nevada (3-1) comes off a 21-10 win at San Jose State last week -- but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games after a straight-up win. The Wolf pack may be 3-1 -- but they are being outgained by -51.0 YPG due to a porous defense that ranks 92nd in the nation by allowing 440.0 total YPG.

Additionally, Nevada has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games in the month of October. Take Boise State minus the points in this one. Best of luck -- Frank.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sam Martin

Pittsburgh Panthers at Virginia 7:30PM

5* Virginia

Reason: 5* Play on Virginia. While Pitt and Virginia enter this week with identical 3-2 records, that's about the only thing these two programs have in common. Much more impressed with the Cavaliers entire body of work, which not only includes a far tougher schedule to this point, but also a perfect 5-0 ATS mark on the season. We'll back Virginia to stay perfect at the betting window and beat the Panthers by double-digits on Saturday.

Pittsburgh's 3-2 record might not look awful, but they were listed as the favorite in all five of those games (so, two outright losses) and come into this game after back-to-back upset home losses against Iowa (as a 6.5-point favorite) and Akron. That last loss was flat out embarrassing - losing 21-10 as a huge 20.5-point home favorite. Virginia is very good against the rush, which seems to be the way to beat the Panthers as they have rushed for 300+ yards in their three wins and under 200 yards in both losses. After already playing UCLA, Louisville, and BYU this Panthers team is a step down in class and the Cavaliers win this one with ease! 5* Play on Virginia.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tony Stoffo

South Carolina vs. Kentucky

3 Units Kentucky +5

Bonus Play - South Carolina at Kentucky After a big emotional late second home loss against Missouri - I can see the Gamecocks coming with less then an inspired effort here, and the early sharp money sure agrees as they hit the opening number taking the points with the Wildcats forcing an immediate adjustment downward. Gamecocks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games. Gamecocks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Kentucky the play here.

 

[nightlifevet]

Root???

 

[raider5150]

any rocketman sports ?

 

[tcalabria]

Does anyone have a subscription to Psychic? If not I will pick it up

 

[lolameraz]

HI the 2000 is LEINER ???

 

[tcalabria]

Yes

2000* Leiner