Saturday 10/18/14 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Michael Alexander

Miami (OH) vs. Northern Illinois

Rating: 1 Unit NCAAF Free Pick Miami (OH)

Northern Illinois is nowhere near the team they used to be as they have had only 14, 17, 17 point efforts lately and have gone from 275 rushing yards, to 181, to 110, and are -72½ points ATS in their last 3 games. Miami (OH) on the other hand is +40½ points this year while QB Hendrix has 789 passing yards in their last 2 contests.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Marc Lawrence

Clemson at Boston College Oct 18 2014 3:30PM

Prediction: Boston College

Edges - Eagles: 7-0 ATS after facing NC State; and 6-0 ATS with conference revenge; and head coach Addazio 7-1 ATS home with revenge. Tigers: First road game in a month and 0-3 SU last three away games. With BC owning the better offense and the better defense in games versus FBS opposition this season, the points became the play here today. We recommend a 1-unit play on Boston College. Thank you and good luck as always.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Freddy Wills

Kansas State vs. Oklahoma

2* Bonus Play Kansas State +7

Kansas State is very much flying under the radar here and could easily be 5-0 except for their heartbreaking loss at home to Auburn. Kansas State is off a bye here 5-1 ATS the last two years off byes as Bill Snyder is one of the best head coaches in the country. Oklahoma has had struggles vs. teams that can stop the run. Both TCU and Texas cans top the run and force an offense into a third and long and QB Trevor Knight has been unable to convert in those situations as Oklahoma has only converted 36% of their third downs this year and were 8-29 against top 50 run defenses of which they have only faced 2. Kansas State is ranked 5th allowing 2.7 ypc and that ranking is legit holding Auburn under 3 yards per carry and just about everyone else. They held UTEP who is averaging over 300 yards per carry to 59 yards rushing.

What's flying under the radar here is the play of Kansas State's QB Jake Waters who has better numbers than Trevor Knight, but doesn't get the hype that Knight gets. He's got a 147 QB rating completing 65% of his throws and 8.4 yds /attempt. He's also got Tyler Lockett to throw to and even better running numbers than Knight too so what do you have to say about that Katy Perry? Oklahoma's pass defense has allowed 300+ yards in three straight games now and Tyler Lockett had 12 receptions for 278 yards a year ago. This Kansas State team is much better than last year and is fully capable of pulling off the upset!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Kyle Hunter

Kentucky vs. LSU

*3 Star Free Pick* Kentucky

These aren't the same LSU Tigers you have been seeing the past few years. They also aren't the same Kentucky Wildcats you have been accustomed to seeing. LSU is way down this year, and Kentucky is much better than they have been. LSU has a major hole at the quarterback spot right now, and the LSU defense isn't good enough to shut out teams as they have in the past. Kentucky's defense is far better this season. The Wildcats should have beaten Florida at the Swamp, and LSU needed a last second field goal to beat Florida in Gainesville last week. This line implies that LSU would be favored by almost a touchdown on a neutral field, and I don't think that's correct. Kentucky should stay in this game. Grab the 10.5 points here. Take Kentucky.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Joe Gavazzi

UCLA vs. California

4* UCLA

Are the Bruins the most underachieving team in the country? Expected to contend for the National Title, UCLA has dropped their last 2 decisions to Utah (30-28) and last week to Oregon (42-30). Before we castigate the Bear, know that in that contest, they both outrushed and out-passed Oregon for a yardage edge of 563-468. Yet, this team has not tossed the towel. Expect a huge bounce back against a Cal team who comes off an embarrassing loss of their own. That was by the count of 31-7, in which their high-powered attack was held to 375 yards by the Huskies. But, it is that Cal defense that is consistently their undoing. For the season, they allowed 39 PPG, over 400 PYPG and 518 total YPG. Well aware that at this site series history has favored Cal. UCLA is 0-7 SU, 1-6 ATS here. UCLA qualifies under the same value laden situation as Washington last week. That is a winning team, who is 3 games or more under .500 ATS and is coming off a loss. Play UCLA to bounce back against the defenseless Bears.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ray Monohan

Western Michigan vs. Bowling Green

Saturday 5* NCAAF Week 8 Bonus Play Bowling Green Falcons -2

The Falcons have traded defense for offense this season. They are the top scoring team in the MAC but at the same time nobody has given up more points. They are also one of 3 undefeated teams in MAC play and this one is big given the strength Akron so far.

Western Michigan is MAC average and the Falcons will take care of business at home. It might be wacky but they will get it done. They only have to win by a FG.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sam Martin

Iowa at Maryland Oct 18 2014 12:00PM

5* Iowa

Reason: 5* Play on Iowa. We'll start off our CFB Saturday by taking the points with visiting Iowa, fully expecting the Hawkeyes to win this game outright. Maryland was exposed two weeks ago in their blowout home loss against Ohio State, and after a number of games that Maryland was able to win despite losing the statistical battle, their luck finally ran out against the Buckeyes.

Terps now have to adjust to life in the Big Ten, which is a very physical schedule week in and week out. Iowa comes in underrated here despite their 5-1 record and good showings against Pittsburgh (won outright as a 6.5-point road underdog) as well as 16-point home win and ATS cover last week vs. Indiana. Maryland has given up a ton of yardage defensively - especially on the ground and that is where the Hawkeyes can exploit this Maryland team. Don't like the matchup on the other side of the ball for the home side and we look for Iowa to lead this game by 3-10 points almost the entire way! 5* Play on Iowa.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tony Stoffo

Syracuse vs. Wake Forest

3 Unit Bonus Play Under 42.5

Wake Forest at Syracuse Even though the odds makers have posted an extremely low total here - I have to make a release on the under as Syracuse is now down to their third string quarterback which is a true freshmen - while the Demon Deacons offense has in their last 2 games a total of only 225 offensive yards. Under is 17-4 in Orange last 21 games following a bye week. Under is 7-0 in Demon Deacons last 7 games in October. Under is 7-1 in Demon Deacons last 8 home games. Under is 8-2 in Demon Deacons last 10 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. So let's not be scared away from this total and send it in on the under in this spot.

 

[Ketch]

Lawrence underdog GOM? TIA!

 

[nightlifevet]

Rest of Root's card?

 

[indysports]

Anybody have Fezzik's total of the month?

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Psychic

5* wiseguy Iowa St
4* major UAB


Wizard
(1-10)

10* GOY Boston Coll
8* Mich St
8* Kentucky

JT

Georgia
Nashville Under 5.5

 

[Hon12gui1]

Anyone have Sean Michaels 100 dime?

 

[jonste]

any executive, when they come out, thanks

 

[Gotigers]

Does anyone have the Rainman?

Thanks in advance

 

[tcalabria]

Kelso ?

 

[jmack1214]

Anybody have Peter Benjamin's parlay from vegas killers.com.... if so I have William hill's and the sharks weekend picks to share. Inbox me or I'll post them on here.

 

[TruffleShuffle]

Anyone have SHEEP open order?

 

[wolf0fvegas]

Looking for the Animal$ Sheep, Tiger, Philly Godfather,

Thanks

 

[arenafootball]

Any ATS LOCK CLUB? Thanks