Jeff Saad of Las Vegas Sports Services
Saturday Free Pick:
10/18 7:00 PM CF (391) MISSOURI VS (392) FLORIDA
Take (391) MISSOURI
Missouri is a good team off a bad game, getting shut out by Georgia, so they are undervalued here. The Tigers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games, 13-3 ATS after a spread loss. Just two games ago they beat the No. 13 ranked team in the country: a 21-20 win over South Carolina. Quarterback Maty Mauk got things flowing Missouri’s way with a pair of big throws — 41 yards to Bud Sasser and 26 yards to Wesley Leftwich — to South Carolina’s 1. Hansbrough followed with a score just 36 seconds after South Carolina’s TD. The Tigers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. loss. Erratic Florida (3-2) is also off a loss, a bad offensive team and the Gators are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games following a S.U. loss, plus just 1-5 ATS in the Swamp. Play (391) MISSOURI
Saturday Free Pick:
10/18 7:00 PM CF (391) MISSOURI VS (392) FLORIDA
Take (391) MISSOURI
Missouri is a good team off a bad game, getting shut out by Georgia, so they are undervalued here. The Tigers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games, 13-3 ATS after a spread loss. Just two games ago they beat the No. 13 ranked team in the country: a 21-20 win over South Carolina. Quarterback Maty Mauk got things flowing Missouri’s way with a pair of big throws — 41 yards to Bud Sasser and 26 yards to Wesley Leftwich — to South Carolina’s 1. Hansbrough followed with a score just 36 seconds after South Carolina’s TD. The Tigers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. loss. Erratic Florida (3-2) is also off a loss, a bad offensive team and the Gators are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games following a S.U. loss, plus just 1-5 ATS in the Swamp. Play (391) MISSOURI
Mr. Vegas
Free Saturday Play from Mr. Vegas: 12:30 PM
(369) TEXAS A&M VS. (370) ALABAMA
Take: (369) TEXAS A&M
Reason: This is a talented Texas A%&M team that is a big dog in a rivalry game. The Aggies offense is third in the nation in passing while averaging 43.9 ppg, 6th in the country. The Aggies rank fourth in the nation in total offense (564.9 yards), with quarterback Kenny Hill (358.7 passing yards per game, 23 TDs, 7 interceptions) leading the way, and the defense (22 ppg) is much better than a year ago. The Aggies are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home. Alabam is dealing with injuries and a new QB, who is up and down.
The Crimson Tide narrowly avoided a second straight loss as they held on for a 14-13 win at Arkansas on Saturday, a week after losing 23-17 at Ole Miss. The overvalued Crimson Tide is 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Play (369) TEXAS A&M!
Free Saturday Play from Mr. Vegas: 12:30 PM
(369) TEXAS A&M VS. (370) ALABAMA
Take: (369) TEXAS A&M
Reason: This is a talented Texas A%&M team that is a big dog in a rivalry game. The Aggies offense is third in the nation in passing while averaging 43.9 ppg, 6th in the country. The Aggies rank fourth in the nation in total offense (564.9 yards), with quarterback Kenny Hill (358.7 passing yards per game, 23 TDs, 7 interceptions) leading the way, and the defense (22 ppg) is much better than a year ago. The Aggies are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home. Alabam is dealing with injuries and a new QB, who is up and down.
The Crimson Tide narrowly avoided a second straight loss as they held on for a 14-13 win at Arkansas on Saturday, a week after losing 23-17 at Ole Miss. The overvalued Crimson Tide is 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Play (369) TEXAS A&M!
Jim Feist
Comp NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 18, 2014: 3:30 PM ET
(369) TEXAS A&M VS (370) ALABAMA
Take: (370) ALABAMA
Reason: Your Bonus Play for Saturday, October 18, 2014 is in the College football contest between Texas A&M and Alabama. A&M started the season with a perfect 5-0 S/U record and a big win against then No 9 South Carolina, 52-28. However, they haven't done well against the Mississippi schools the last two weeks. They lost at #12 Mississippi State, 48-31 and then lost at home to #3 Ole Miss, j35-20. It doesn't get any easier this week against their third straight ranked opponent in #7 Alabama. The Aggies have the 8th best scoring offense in college football. However, take that with a grain of salt as they scored 52 in their opening game at South Carolina and 73 the next week against Lamar and 58 against a bad SMU team. Now they face the 9th best scoring defense in the country in Alabama. The Tide are 5-1 S/U this year with their lone loss coming at Ole Miss, 23-17. The Aggies haven't fared well on the road of late, posting a 2-5 ATS mark in their last seven away contests. They are also 1-6 ATS in their last seven conference games. Should be an excellent contest here with two ranked clubs. The Tide's defense though will be the difference. They haven't allowed over 23 points yet this season and over 20 points just twice in six games. Your Bonus Play is on Alabama.
Comp NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 18, 2014: 3:30 PM ET
(369) TEXAS A&M VS (370) ALABAMA
Take: (370) ALABAMA
Reason: Your Bonus Play for Saturday, October 18, 2014 is in the College football contest between Texas A&M and Alabama. A&M started the season with a perfect 5-0 S/U record and a big win against then No 9 South Carolina, 52-28. However, they haven't done well against the Mississippi schools the last two weeks. They lost at #12 Mississippi State, 48-31 and then lost at home to #3 Ole Miss, j35-20. It doesn't get any easier this week against their third straight ranked opponent in #7 Alabama. The Aggies have the 8th best scoring offense in college football. However, take that with a grain of salt as they scored 52 in their opening game at South Carolina and 73 the next week against Lamar and 58 against a bad SMU team. Now they face the 9th best scoring defense in the country in Alabama. The Tide are 5-1 S/U this year with their lone loss coming at Ole Miss, 23-17. The Aggies haven't fared well on the road of late, posting a 2-5 ATS mark in their last seven away contests. They are also 1-6 ATS in their last seven conference games. Should be an excellent contest here with two ranked clubs. The Tide's defense though will be the difference. They haven't allowed over 23 points yet this season and over 20 points just twice in six games. Your Bonus Play is on Alabama.
Matt Fargo
Kansas State vs. Oklahoma
Bonus Play Kansas State
We will take a shot on Kansas St. which has a good shot at pulling off the outright upset. The Wildcats have bounced back from their loss against Auburn with two straight blowout victories. While they were outgained by Auburn by just 74 total yards, in their four victories, the Wildcats have outgained their opponents by at least 152 yards each time out. Obviously, this presents a very tough test but this is one team that will not be intimidated on the road. Oklahoma is one of many teams that were expected to make a run at the playoff but have suffered a damaging loss. It will be hard for the Sooners to get back into the mix and even harder knowing they are not playing well. They have been outgained in three straight games including last week against Texas as their five-point win over the Longhorns was good but they fact they were outgained by 250 yards in the process is not. Kansas St. has covered 11 of its last 14 games against teams averaging 31 or more ppg while going 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games against teams with a winning record. Additionally, the Wildcats are 12-3 ATS under head coach Bill Snyder as a road underdog exemplifying the non-intimidation on the road. The road team has covered five straight meetings in this series and I expect that to continue here. Play (377) Kansas St. Wildcats
Kansas State vs. Oklahoma
Bonus Play Kansas State
We will take a shot on Kansas St. which has a good shot at pulling off the outright upset. The Wildcats have bounced back from their loss against Auburn with two straight blowout victories. While they were outgained by Auburn by just 74 total yards, in their four victories, the Wildcats have outgained their opponents by at least 152 yards each time out. Obviously, this presents a very tough test but this is one team that will not be intimidated on the road. Oklahoma is one of many teams that were expected to make a run at the playoff but have suffered a damaging loss. It will be hard for the Sooners to get back into the mix and even harder knowing they are not playing well. They have been outgained in three straight games including last week against Texas as their five-point win over the Longhorns was good but they fact they were outgained by 250 yards in the process is not. Kansas St. has covered 11 of its last 14 games against teams averaging 31 or more ppg while going 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games against teams with a winning record. Additionally, the Wildcats are 12-3 ATS under head coach Bill Snyder as a road underdog exemplifying the non-intimidation on the road. The road team has covered five straight meetings in this series and I expect that to continue here. Play (377) Kansas St. Wildcats
Jimmy Boyd
Kentucky vs. LSU
Free Pick on Kentucky Wildcats +
It shouldn’t take a whole lot of convincing that this is the best team Kentucky has fielded in recent years. Kentucky had won a combined 4 games the last two years and hadn’t won a conference game since 2011 before knocking off South Carolina 45-38 at home. The only loss on the season for the Wildcats is a 30-36 overtime defeat at Florida. It just so happens that LSU just got done playing on the road against the Gators and they barely scraped by with a 30-27 win.
The simple fact that LSU has been one of the dominant SEC teams over the last decade and Kentucky has been a bottom feeder has the Tigers overvalued in what I think are two evenly matched teams. There is some concern with this game being a home game at night for LSU, but we have already seen the Tigers get embarrassed on their home turf by Mississippi State.
One of the big reasons why I like Kentucky to keep this game close, is the Wildcats have the talent offensively to take advantage of arguably the worst defense LSU has fielded in the Les Miles era. Kentucky comes in ranked 38th in the country in total offense (448.5 ypg) behind a well balanced attack. The Wildcats are averaging 184.2 ypg on the ground and 264.3 ypg through the air.
What stands out to me is just how much more success Kentucky had moving the ball against a strong Florida defense, compared to what LSU did against the Gators. The Wildcats put up 532 yards of total offense at the swamp, while the Tigers managed just 306 yards. Not only is Kentucky capable of keeping this game within single digits, I think they have an outside shot at winning outright.
The fact that LSU comes in having played their last two games on the road, puts us in a great spot to fade the Tigers. LSU is just 4-13 ATS since 1992 after playing two straight on the road. The Tigers are also just 9-18 ATS in their last 27 home games against a team with a winning record and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 after covering the number last time out. Take Kentucky!
Kentucky vs. LSU
Free Pick on Kentucky Wildcats +
It shouldn’t take a whole lot of convincing that this is the best team Kentucky has fielded in recent years. Kentucky had won a combined 4 games the last two years and hadn’t won a conference game since 2011 before knocking off South Carolina 45-38 at home. The only loss on the season for the Wildcats is a 30-36 overtime defeat at Florida. It just so happens that LSU just got done playing on the road against the Gators and they barely scraped by with a 30-27 win.
The simple fact that LSU has been one of the dominant SEC teams over the last decade and Kentucky has been a bottom feeder has the Tigers overvalued in what I think are two evenly matched teams. There is some concern with this game being a home game at night for LSU, but we have already seen the Tigers get embarrassed on their home turf by Mississippi State.
One of the big reasons why I like Kentucky to keep this game close, is the Wildcats have the talent offensively to take advantage of arguably the worst defense LSU has fielded in the Les Miles era. Kentucky comes in ranked 38th in the country in total offense (448.5 ypg) behind a well balanced attack. The Wildcats are averaging 184.2 ypg on the ground and 264.3 ypg through the air.
What stands out to me is just how much more success Kentucky had moving the ball against a strong Florida defense, compared to what LSU did against the Gators. The Wildcats put up 532 yards of total offense at the swamp, while the Tigers managed just 306 yards. Not only is Kentucky capable of keeping this game within single digits, I think they have an outside shot at winning outright.
The fact that LSU comes in having played their last two games on the road, puts us in a great spot to fade the Tigers. LSU is just 4-13 ATS since 1992 after playing two straight on the road. The Tigers are also just 9-18 ATS in their last 27 home games against a team with a winning record and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 after covering the number last time out. Take Kentucky!
Doc's Sports
UCLA vs. California
Bonus Play from Doc’s Sports. #364 Take California Golden Bears over UCLA Bruins (Saturday 3:30 pm ABC)
The Bruins are in a major freefall at the moment and we will continue to fade them with this inflated spreads. Cal is coming off a disappointing performance last week against Washington when nothing went right and they lost 31-7. Despite that this team is still on pace to make a bowl game which would be a major accomplishment considering how bad they have been the past couple of years. This match-up has been dominated by the home team as they have won 13 of the past 14 match-ups and covered the spread in 11 of this games (1 push). Cal has a better offense than does UCLA and they will be able to score points in this game. Getting points is just icing on the cake, as the Golden Bears will win this game straight-up.
UCLA vs. California
Bonus Play from Doc’s Sports. #364 Take California Golden Bears over UCLA Bruins (Saturday 3:30 pm ABC)
The Bruins are in a major freefall at the moment and we will continue to fade them with this inflated spreads. Cal is coming off a disappointing performance last week against Washington when nothing went right and they lost 31-7. Despite that this team is still on pace to make a bowl game which would be a major accomplishment considering how bad they have been the past couple of years. This match-up has been dominated by the home team as they have won 13 of the past 14 match-ups and covered the spread in 11 of this games (1 push). Cal has a better offense than does UCLA and they will be able to score points in this game. Getting points is just icing on the cake, as the Golden Bears will win this game straight-up.
Art Aronson
San Francisco 49ers vs. Denver Broncos
1* Bonus Play Denver Broncos
I have gone 14-8 (64%) w/ ALL of my NFL selections over the last four combined Sunday’s of action and I’ll be looking to add to that mark in Week 7 with five more big plays ready to go. One of the biggest games this weekend will see the 4-2 San Francisco 49ers travel to Denver to take on the 4-1 Broncos at Mile High on Sunday night; when the smoke clears at the end of this one, I believe the home side will have pulled away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. These teams of course “get the job done” with different styles, the Broncos continue to be one of the league’s best offensive units, while the 49ers dominate clubs with their smothering defensive play. Right now Denver ranks third in the league in scoring with 29.4 PPG, Peyton Manning has been leading the charge with 15 TD passes thus far, only once posting a passer rating of less than 110.2. San Francisco ranks second in the NFL in giving up just 207.3 passing yards per contest, during its three-game win skein it’s held opposing QB’s to just a 50.8 completion percentage. But this is a tough spot for San Francisco, it would come from behind to knock off the Rams on Monday Night Football last week, but the victory came at a cost as the team lost the services of LB Patrick Willis and most likely WR Stevie Johnson to injury. This is the first time that the 49ers have been an underdog this year and I think for good reason; note that San Francisco is just 2-3 ATS in its last five as a road dog in the 3.5 to 7 points range, while Denver is a perfect 4-0 ATS in its last four as a home fav in the same points range. In my opinion, the sharp wager in this contest is on DENVER; how about you? Do you think the Broncos will roll this weekend, or is there an upset a brewin’?!
AAA Sports
San Francisco 49ers vs. Denver Broncos
1* Bonus Play Denver Broncos
I have gone 14-8 (64%) w/ ALL of my NFL selections over the last four combined Sunday’s of action and I’ll be looking to add to that mark in Week 7 with five more big plays ready to go. One of the biggest games this weekend will see the 4-2 San Francisco 49ers travel to Denver to take on the 4-1 Broncos at Mile High on Sunday night; when the smoke clears at the end of this one, I believe the home side will have pulled away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. These teams of course “get the job done” with different styles, the Broncos continue to be one of the league’s best offensive units, while the 49ers dominate clubs with their smothering defensive play. Right now Denver ranks third in the league in scoring with 29.4 PPG, Peyton Manning has been leading the charge with 15 TD passes thus far, only once posting a passer rating of less than 110.2. San Francisco ranks second in the NFL in giving up just 207.3 passing yards per contest, during its three-game win skein it’s held opposing QB’s to just a 50.8 completion percentage. But this is a tough spot for San Francisco, it would come from behind to knock off the Rams on Monday Night Football last week, but the victory came at a cost as the team lost the services of LB Patrick Willis and most likely WR Stevie Johnson to injury. This is the first time that the 49ers have been an underdog this year and I think for good reason; note that San Francisco is just 2-3 ATS in its last five as a road dog in the 3.5 to 7 points range, while Denver is a perfect 4-0 ATS in its last four as a home fav in the same points range. In my opinion, the sharp wager in this contest is on DENVER; how about you? Do you think the Broncos will roll this weekend, or is there an upset a brewin’?!
AAA Sports
Tom Stryker
Kansas vs. Texas Tech
Bonus Play Texas Tech
Currently on an ugly 0-8 SU and 2-6 ATS Big 12 run, Texas Tech will be elated to see Kansas come to town. The Red Raiders have dominated the Jayhawks to the tune of 14-1 SU and have quietly won seven straight in this series by an average of 19.0 points per game.
Kansas put forth an inspired effort at home against Oklahoma State last Saturday. The Jayhawks (+19) nearly pulled off the upset over the Cowboys but fell short 27-20. This will be a tough emotional encore for KU. Rock-Chalk is on a woeful 13-50 SU and 23-35 ATS run including a shocking 4-29 SU and 9-24 ATS if they played at home last. With those two parameters live and Kansas off an ATS win, this team trend crashes to an ugly 0-12 SU and 2-10 ATS. Please note: Those 12 losses came by an average of 32.9 points per game.
Even with their 2-4 SU record, this is a sound technical spot for Texas Tech. At home going into revenge, the Red Raiders own a money-making 34-7 SU and 28-13 ATS record including a strong 26-4 SU and 23-7 ATS mark in this set tackling an opponent that played in the comforts of home last. With those two parameters working and TTRR not off a blowout win of 10 points or more, this team trend explodes to a jaw-dropping 18-2 SU and ATS.
The Red Raiders haven't started 0-4 in the conference since they joined the Big 12 back in 1996. With TCU, Texas and Oklahoma on deck, head coach Kliff Kingsbury knows his troops must get the "W" here or they'll be in danger of starting the season 0-7 SU in the conference. Take Texas Tech. Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.
Kansas vs. Texas Tech
Bonus Play Texas Tech
Currently on an ugly 0-8 SU and 2-6 ATS Big 12 run, Texas Tech will be elated to see Kansas come to town. The Red Raiders have dominated the Jayhawks to the tune of 14-1 SU and have quietly won seven straight in this series by an average of 19.0 points per game.
Kansas put forth an inspired effort at home against Oklahoma State last Saturday. The Jayhawks (+19) nearly pulled off the upset over the Cowboys but fell short 27-20. This will be a tough emotional encore for KU. Rock-Chalk is on a woeful 13-50 SU and 23-35 ATS run including a shocking 4-29 SU and 9-24 ATS if they played at home last. With those two parameters live and Kansas off an ATS win, this team trend crashes to an ugly 0-12 SU and 2-10 ATS. Please note: Those 12 losses came by an average of 32.9 points per game.
Even with their 2-4 SU record, this is a sound technical spot for Texas Tech. At home going into revenge, the Red Raiders own a money-making 34-7 SU and 28-13 ATS record including a strong 26-4 SU and 23-7 ATS mark in this set tackling an opponent that played in the comforts of home last. With those two parameters working and TTRR not off a blowout win of 10 points or more, this team trend explodes to a jaw-dropping 18-2 SU and ATS.
The Red Raiders haven't started 0-4 in the conference since they joined the Big 12 back in 1996. With TCU, Texas and Oklahoma on deck, head coach Kliff Kingsbury knows his troops must get the "W" here or they'll be in danger of starting the season 0-7 SU in the conference. Take Texas Tech. Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.
Chip Chirimbes
Georgia vs. Arkansas
Chip's FREE SEC Winner Arkansas
Razorbacks (+) over Bulldogs- The Arkansas Razorbacks have lost 15 consecutive SEC games and have yet to win a conference game under coach Bret Bielema who says his team is ready for a win after nearly upsetting Alabama last week losing 14-13. The Bulldogs of course will be without Todd Gurley and are off a 30-0 routing of Missouri recording their second shutout of the season (Troy 66-0). The Razorbacks will continue their huge efforts (5-1 ATS) and get the cash here. Take ARKANSAS!
Georgia vs. Arkansas
Chip's FREE SEC Winner Arkansas
Razorbacks (+) over Bulldogs- The Arkansas Razorbacks have lost 15 consecutive SEC games and have yet to win a conference game under coach Bret Bielema who says his team is ready for a win after nearly upsetting Alabama last week losing 14-13. The Bulldogs of course will be without Todd Gurley and are off a 30-0 routing of Missouri recording their second shutout of the season (Troy 66-0). The Razorbacks will continue their huge efforts (5-1 ATS) and get the cash here. Take ARKANSAS!
Brad Diamond
Rutgers vs. Ohio State
Bonus Play on: Ohio State over Rutgers @ 3:30 Eastern
The recharged Buckeyes are coming off a week of rest and now have Rutgers in Columbus. Ohio State is 4-1 SU & ATS after crushing Maryland 52-24 (College Park) on October 4th. In that game OSU posted a 233 yard advantage on offense a 6.9 yard per play edge. Helping the Bucks were 4 interceptions which often afforded solid field position. Last weekend was the second recorded off date this season (9/20) for Ohio St.. The following week the Buckeyes coasted 50-28 over Cincinnati. Ohio State is now 7-0 SU off a bye winning by 20 points per game dating back to the 2008 season. When we talk about defensive stalwarts, Stanford comes to mind ranked #1 allowing only 238 yards per game to opposing offenses. Ohio State too, is special ranked #2 holding the opposition to 314 yards per meeting. On offense the Bucks show #57 scoring 44.6 points per game, averaging 527 yards per game. OSU is 5-2 ATS off a bye week, while going 4-1 ATS in October.
Rutgers is 5-1 SU & 4-2 ATS after defeating Michigan 26-24 on October 4th, showing here after a bye week. The five wins for the upstart Scarlet Knights were against Washington State, Howard (FCS), Navy, Tulane and Michigan. In the last outing QB Nova (23-40,402) had a huge day vs. the porous Big Blue secondary (Nova: 78.2 QBR ranked #14 in the country). Overall Rutgers had a 140 yard advantage on offense, but just 74 yards on the ground. On offense (#64) the Scarlet Knights are averaging 29.5 points per and 427 yards per game. Defensively, the Knights are #64 limiting the opponents to 21.7 per game (397 yards). Rutgers is 1-6 SU against teams in the AP top twenty-five and 1-4 ATS in the month of October. There is no tenuous look angle here, so expect the TALENT ADVANTAGE for OSU to take over in the second-half in a 48-24 win (FIRST MEETING).
Rutgers vs. Ohio State
Bonus Play on: Ohio State over Rutgers @ 3:30 Eastern
The recharged Buckeyes are coming off a week of rest and now have Rutgers in Columbus. Ohio State is 4-1 SU & ATS after crushing Maryland 52-24 (College Park) on October 4th. In that game OSU posted a 233 yard advantage on offense a 6.9 yard per play edge. Helping the Bucks were 4 interceptions which often afforded solid field position. Last weekend was the second recorded off date this season (9/20) for Ohio St.. The following week the Buckeyes coasted 50-28 over Cincinnati. Ohio State is now 7-0 SU off a bye winning by 20 points per game dating back to the 2008 season. When we talk about defensive stalwarts, Stanford comes to mind ranked #1 allowing only 238 yards per game to opposing offenses. Ohio State too, is special ranked #2 holding the opposition to 314 yards per meeting. On offense the Bucks show #57 scoring 44.6 points per game, averaging 527 yards per game. OSU is 5-2 ATS off a bye week, while going 4-1 ATS in October.
Rutgers is 5-1 SU & 4-2 ATS after defeating Michigan 26-24 on October 4th, showing here after a bye week. The five wins for the upstart Scarlet Knights were against Washington State, Howard (FCS), Navy, Tulane and Michigan. In the last outing QB Nova (23-40,402) had a huge day vs. the porous Big Blue secondary (Nova: 78.2 QBR ranked #14 in the country). Overall Rutgers had a 140 yard advantage on offense, but just 74 yards on the ground. On offense (#64) the Scarlet Knights are averaging 29.5 points per and 427 yards per game. Defensively, the Knights are #64 limiting the opponents to 21.7 per game (397 yards). Rutgers is 1-6 SU against teams in the AP top twenty-five and 1-4 ATS in the month of October. There is no tenuous look angle here, so expect the TALENT ADVANTAGE for OSU to take over in the second-half in a 48-24 win (FIRST MEETING).
Steve Janus
Michigan State vs. Indiana
Saturday's Free NCAAF Pick ----Michigan State Spartains -16---
Indiana lost starting quarterback Nate Sudfield for the season in last week's loss to Iowa and the offense was a complete mess without him. The Hoosiers have a big time talent in running back Tevin Coleman, but without the threat of a passing game, he's not going to continue to put up the kind of numbers we have seen so far, especially against a talented defensive team like Michigan State. What I like here is that all the Spartans have been hearing over the past couple of weeks is how they can't finish games. Michigan State is going to be out to make a statement and should have no problem building up a big cushion against a awful Indiana defense. Indiana will be starting a true freshman at quarterback and that's almost certainly going to lead to some turnovers. I wouldn't be surprised if the Spartans' defense didn't score a touchdown or even two. This game has blowout written all over it. It would take a truly bad performance from Michigan State to not win by at least 3 scores. BET THE SPARTANS -16!
Michigan State vs. Indiana
Saturday's Free NCAAF Pick ----Michigan State Spartains -16---
Indiana lost starting quarterback Nate Sudfield for the season in last week's loss to Iowa and the offense was a complete mess without him. The Hoosiers have a big time talent in running back Tevin Coleman, but without the threat of a passing game, he's not going to continue to put up the kind of numbers we have seen so far, especially against a talented defensive team like Michigan State. What I like here is that all the Spartans have been hearing over the past couple of weeks is how they can't finish games. Michigan State is going to be out to make a statement and should have no problem building up a big cushion against a awful Indiana defense. Indiana will be starting a true freshman at quarterback and that's almost certainly going to lead to some turnovers. I wouldn't be surprised if the Spartans' defense didn't score a touchdown or even two. This game has blowout written all over it. It would take a truly bad performance from Michigan State to not win by at least 3 scores. BET THE SPARTANS -16!
Scott Spreitzer
Miami (OH) vs. Northern Illinois
Bonus Play Northern Illinois
I'm laying the points with Northern Illinois on Saturday evening. We went against the Huskies last weekend and cashed when underdog Central Michigan won outright. But I expect much better results for the Huskies when they host Miami. Despite the loss last week, NIU still owns a powerful ground game, averaging 231.7 yards rushing per game. They're also in a good spot, going against a Miami squad that's playing their fifth road game in six weeks. The Redhawks allow over 425 total yards per game and over 32 ppg, but can't produce on the offensive side of the line of scrimmage where they rank 123rd in the nation on the ground and average under 23 ppg. Poor numbers and a team that could be a bit drained by the scheduling dynamics and I suspect they'll get pushed around by a quality running team. I'm recommending a play on Northern Illinois minus the points on Saturday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
Miami (OH) vs. Northern Illinois
Bonus Play Northern Illinois
I'm laying the points with Northern Illinois on Saturday evening. We went against the Huskies last weekend and cashed when underdog Central Michigan won outright. But I expect much better results for the Huskies when they host Miami. Despite the loss last week, NIU still owns a powerful ground game, averaging 231.7 yards rushing per game. They're also in a good spot, going against a Miami squad that's playing their fifth road game in six weeks. The Redhawks allow over 425 total yards per game and over 32 ppg, but can't produce on the offensive side of the line of scrimmage where they rank 123rd in the nation on the ground and average under 23 ppg. Poor numbers and a team that could be a bit drained by the scheduling dynamics and I suspect they'll get pushed around by a quality running team. I'm recommending a play on Northern Illinois minus the points on Saturday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
Joseph D'Amico
Missouri vs. Florida
NCAAF FREE WINNER Play Missouri (Game 391)
Missouri comes back strong this week after the Tigers gained just 147 yards their last outing, a 34-0 defeat to the Bulldogs. QB, Mauk played the poorest game of his career accounting for 5 TO's in the loss. The standout will make a statement here with his stellar receiving corps and solid ground game. Florida HC, Will Muschamp announced that both Driskell and Harris will see action here. The offense continues to struggle as the "D" has had big problems when facing offensive squads that consist of well-balanced attacks. I see Mizzou's DE, Ray wreaking havoc and causing TO's here. The Gators are 1-5 ATS their L6 games played at home, 1-5 ATS their L6 games played vs. teams with a winning record, and 2-5 ATS their L7 games played overall. The Tigers are 7-1 ATS their L8 games played on the road, 10-2 ATS their L12 following a SU loss, and 14-5-1 ATS their L20 games played overall. Take Missouri. Thank you.
Missouri vs. Florida
NCAAF FREE WINNER Play Missouri (Game 391)
Missouri comes back strong this week after the Tigers gained just 147 yards their last outing, a 34-0 defeat to the Bulldogs. QB, Mauk played the poorest game of his career accounting for 5 TO's in the loss. The standout will make a statement here with his stellar receiving corps and solid ground game. Florida HC, Will Muschamp announced that both Driskell and Harris will see action here. The offense continues to struggle as the "D" has had big problems when facing offensive squads that consist of well-balanced attacks. I see Mizzou's DE, Ray wreaking havoc and causing TO's here. The Gators are 1-5 ATS their L6 games played at home, 1-5 ATS their L6 games played vs. teams with a winning record, and 2-5 ATS their L7 games played overall. The Tigers are 7-1 ATS their L8 games played on the road, 10-2 ATS their L12 following a SU loss, and 14-5-1 ATS their L20 games played overall. Take Missouri. Thank you.
Alex Smart
Hawaii vs. San Diego State
Comp Selection Play on the Hawaii Warriors 1/2 unit
Hawaii football took a nose dive last season, as is evident by a 1-11 campaign and 0-8 record in the MWC. Coach Norm Chow has suffered numerous family instabilities and losses this season, and injuries have taken their toll on the team. But perseverance seems to be the key word and thought process with this coach and team, as they finally notched a 38-28 come from behind victory vs Wyoming last week snapping their conference losing streak. Can they continue to move forward? Im betting yes, despite of injuries. I like the Warriors offensive power formations, and with back Joseph Iosefa expected to play this week and formerly benched QB Ikaika Woolsey coming off the bench to lead his team to victory last time out , a new optimism surrounds this team which gives hope to the future and more importantly their chances to cover for us this week vs a inconsistent SDSU. I know Defense has been nightmarish in the past , but now the Warriors have shown they have a bend and dont break group on board now , as is evident by having stopped 28 percent of third-down conversion attempts, ranking them 10th in the country. Good energy surrounds this team, and with that said, getting points, seems like a prudent investment, via a minimal outlay.
Hawaii vs. San Diego State
Comp Selection Play on the Hawaii Warriors 1/2 unit
Hawaii football took a nose dive last season, as is evident by a 1-11 campaign and 0-8 record in the MWC. Coach Norm Chow has suffered numerous family instabilities and losses this season, and injuries have taken their toll on the team. But perseverance seems to be the key word and thought process with this coach and team, as they finally notched a 38-28 come from behind victory vs Wyoming last week snapping their conference losing streak. Can they continue to move forward? Im betting yes, despite of injuries. I like the Warriors offensive power formations, and with back Joseph Iosefa expected to play this week and formerly benched QB Ikaika Woolsey coming off the bench to lead his team to victory last time out , a new optimism surrounds this team which gives hope to the future and more importantly their chances to cover for us this week vs a inconsistent SDSU. I know Defense has been nightmarish in the past , but now the Warriors have shown they have a bend and dont break group on board now , as is evident by having stopped 28 percent of third-down conversion attempts, ranking them 10th in the country. Good energy surrounds this team, and with that said, getting points, seems like a prudent investment, via a minimal outlay.
Doug Upstone
Rutgers vs. Ohio State
Bonus Play Ohio State
On Saturday, Play On home favorites of 21.5 to 31 points like Ohio State, with an incredible offense averaging 6.4 or more yards per play, after gaining 6.75 or more yards a play in two consecutive games. When favorites in this price range get the offense cranked up, they are nearly impossible to contain. How much so, what about 31-5 ATS since 2005, good for a 86.1 percent win percentage. Book it!
Rutgers vs. Ohio State
Bonus Play Ohio State
On Saturday, Play On home favorites of 21.5 to 31 points like Ohio State, with an incredible offense averaging 6.4 or more yards per play, after gaining 6.75 or more yards a play in two consecutive games. When favorites in this price range get the offense cranked up, they are nearly impossible to contain. How much so, what about 31-5 ATS since 2005, good for a 86.1 percent win percentage. Book it!
