found this elsewhere
Al DeMarco Saturday's Play15 Dime - Dallas Cowboys
Two things you've heard all week leading into this game, both myths that I want to debunk right now. First, it's not that hard for a team to beat another three times in one season. The possibility has arisen 19 times since 1970, and there have been 12 sweeps, including the Steelers of the Ravens last year.
The other myth-buster: Don't buy into the fact that the Eagles didn't give their all last week at Dallas with one of the reasons being they didn't want to "tip their hand" because of an eventual rematch with the Cowboys in the postseason. Are you kidding me? I'm based out of Philly and trust me, this wasn't like Cincinnati rolling over and playing dead at New York, or Indianapolis throwing in the towel in its final two games. The Birds had plenty to play for last week, mainly the No. 2 seed in the NFC and a first-round bye. Instead, by losing 24-0 in a game in which they were outplayed from start to finish, they got the absolute toughest road to reach the Super Bowl as it down will potentially take them through not only Dallas but Minnesota, too.
As for the games on the field, the Cowboys defense dominated in a 20-16 upset at Philadelphia and last Sunday's 24-0 shutout at home, sacking Donovan McNabb eight times and completely shutting down the Eagles' ground game. Do you know Philly had 21 offensive series in those two games but McNabb's attack managed just one touchdown? Not surprising when you consider receivers DeSean Jackson and Jeremy Macklin were held to a combined 11 catches in those contests.
On offense, Dallas had its way against Philadelphia's defense. Tony Romo passed for over 300 yards in both contests and the Eagles' pass rush rarely put significant pressure on him. Philly's secondary has had problems covering tight ends the past three years; nothing changed this season against Jay Witten. And they had no answer for Miles Austin, either. On the ground, the 1-2 punch of Miles Barber and Felix Jones, alternating liberally, churned out 179 of the Pokes' 474 total yards last week.
Will this be a closer game than last week's shutout? Absolutely. The Eagles will give their all, but it won't be enough as Dallas rolls 31-24.
Strategy Note:
You've heard me discuss this many times on TV and radio; I only believe in buying half points when the number is around 3, 4 or 7. This price is floating between 3 1/2 and 4, so go ahead and buy down the half-point in either case on Dallas.
Jeff Benton Saturday's Winners ... 25 Dime: COWBOYS (minus the points vs. Eagles) ...
NOTE: If this number is at 3 1/2, buy the half-point and grab Dallas at -3. Do NOT get beat by the hook in this contest!
Scott Delaney Saturday ... 40-Dime DALLAS COWBOYS ... I look at this game and realize that Dallas has two significant advantages, and that doesn't include the 100,000 maniacs who will be cheering for them, while frustrating and drowning out quarterback Donovan McNabb’s signals for Philadelphia.
Stephen Nover Saturday's Picks25 Dime - Cincinnati Bengals
Steve Duemig Saturday 25 Dime - Bengals