Saturday 08/29/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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Jimmy Moore

Sport: NFL
Game: New Orleans @ Oakland
Date/Time: 8/29/2009 4:00PM EST
Pick: New Orleans -2.5
Reason: The Saints high octane offense will be lighting up the scoreboard in the 1st half behind the starters in this game. Oakland will not be able to recover by the time the backups take the field in the 2nd half. Take the Saints to get the win and cover.
 
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Triple Threat Sports

Sport: NFL
Game: Steelers vs Bills
Date/Time: 8/29/2009 7:30PM EST
Pick: Play the UNDER
Reason: Today's Bonus Play is a Direct Service Play to our clients, a 2* on the Under in the Buffalo/Pittsburgh game in the NFL.

The Bills have gone Over the total in three preseason games so far, and that has inflated this line. However, most of the damage the Bills have done on offense has come with reserves, as the first team offense has managed just one FG on nine drives! Here the Bills' starters are playing into the 3Q and facing an excellent Steeler defnese that is also playing into the 3Q, so we are not looking for any Buffalo fireworks here. The Steelers are very likely giving all kicking duties to a rookie tonite in an effort to keep Jeff Reed healthy, and finally note that the Steelers are 2-11 to the Under in the preseason for Mike Tomlin.
 
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Drew Gordon


Now on a 48-36 roll with the plays I'm giving away! For today's complimentary play, we're looking at the San Francisco/Dallas match up...

One game removed from crushing the Titans 30-10, I know plenty of bettors are lining up to ride the Cowboys, as they host the 49ers Saturday night. Sorry to rain on your parade boys, but sharp bettors know laying a touchdown in an exhibition game is usually a mistake, even in Week 3's dress rehearsal. Point is, you simply cannot trust the 2nd and 3rd stringers to protect the lead (much like the Pats last night), even if they're only playing 1 1/2 quarters. More of the same tonight, as I expect the 'Boys to take the early lead but end up getting backdoored late.

While there's no question the Cowboys offense is superior, I like what I've seen from the 49ers thus far, playing hard-nosed D, coupled with a run-first offense. They rushed the ball 47 times against the Raiders last week, and with the Titans rolling up 191 rushing yards on the Cowboys last week, I expect the 49ers to be effective toting the rock. The easiest way to slow Romo and this Dallas offense is to keep them off the field, and the 49ers' Glen Coffee and Michael Robinson look great backing up the incumbent Gore.

Defensively, coach Singletary is instilling many of the same values he played with in his team, as San Fran is actually allowing 100 fewer total yards/game during the preseason than is Dallas (393 vs 293). Cowboys first team defense has playmakers, but overall these two units are not as far apart as you'd think.

Finally, there's public perception, as bettors will back the Cowboys no matter what the number, which is of course, ridiculous. True, they looked good vs the Titans last week, but 16 of those 30 points came in garbage time, while the Titans sorry-ass 3rd stringers floundered in the 4th quarter. You can follow the herd if you want to, but this handicapper knows better... Look for the underdog to deliver the cash in this match up.

Take San Francisco plus the points over Dallas in this NFL Preseason match up.

2♦ SAN FRANCISCO 49ers
 
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Bobby Maxwell

Handed you a FREE winner on Friday night with the Phillies over the Braves, but I turn my attention to the gridiron today where I've got another comp winner for you as I play the Titans in Cleveland against the Browns.

Titans' QB Kerry Collins has been disappointed with how the offense has played so far in the preseason. He wants to rectify that starting tonight and I think the Cleveland defense is just what the doctor ordered for him. I love Tennessee in this one to put up some big points in the first half and cruise in for the easy win and cover.

We know this team can run the ball with LenDale White and Chris Johnson, but rookie Javon Ringer has been turning heads in camp and so far is averaging 6.1 yards per carry in three preseason games. He also had a 51-yard kickoff return against the Cowboys last week.

At QB, Collins is going to play at least the first half and we'll likely see him play the first series of the third quarter. Then it's Vince Young for the rest of the third quarter and into the fourth before possibly seeing third-stringer Patrick Ramsey. All three have starter's experience and I feel good about that rotation against a suspect Cleveland defense.

The Browns are still not settled on a starting QB - Brady Quinn and Derek Anderson are battling for the nod, but neither has done anything this preseason. Cleveland is just 1-5 SU and ATS in its last six preseason games, including 1-3 SU and ATS at home.

Tennessee is 8-3 SU in their last 11 exhibition games and with an offense looking to make a statement tonight, look for this one to be a rout early. Play the Titans.

3♦ TENNESSEE TITANS
 

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ATS Lock Club 7-5-2........+7.2 Units

Preseason Lock of the Year
Atlanta -2.........12 Units

Pitt -5 1/2............5 Units
Colts -2 1/2..........4 Units
i love the way ats does that make someone pay for a 20 then they tone it down to a 12............:ohno:




LARRY NESS comp

San Francisco 49ers @ Dallas Cowboys
PICK: San Francisco 49ers +7.5
 
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MATT FARGO

Seattle Seahawks @ Kansas City Chiefs
PICK: Seattle Seahawks +2.5

Seattle has pulled out two wins to open the preseason under new head coach Jim Mora despite getting outgained in both of those victories. Basic logic might tell us that teams that have won their first two games are a play against in their next game but it is exactly the opposite as explained later. The Seahawks are taking this pretty big as last year was a major disappointment as injuries and overall poor play resulted in a 4-12 season. With this being Game Three, it means the starters are going to be seeing more playing time and this is the final big dress rehearsal before the regular season begins and winning this game is of ultimate importance. Kansas City is 0-2 and it no doubt wants to get a win as well but last week showed that it is going to be a long season for the Chiefs. They had first and goal from the one-yard line with a minute remaining last week against the Vikings. Four chances to punch it in resulted in four no gains and a loss. I was on the Chiefs in that game and that was evidence enough, no matter if it was the starters or the fourth string that this is a team we want to avoid until it can prove that it can handle those situations. It is becoming more evident that the Chiefs are having some serious offensive line problems and we will see this against the Seahawks. Against the Vikings, quarterback Matt Cassell dropped back to throw 19 times and was sacked the three times while also running the ball twice because of pressure. His longest completion went for only 20 yards, and he played only the first half when the Vikings didn’t use two of their better defensive linemen, Pat Williams and Jared Allen. The running game has been affected as well. Larry Johnson had an 18-yard run against Minnesota but otherwise carried seven times for 3 yards. Despite that big run, he is averaging only 2.8 yards per carry in the two preseason games. The situation that Seattle falls into is solid. Play on road underdogs or pickem teams after two or more consecutive straight up wins, in the last two weeks of the preseason. This situation is 58-28 ATS (67.4 percent) since 1993. 3* Seattle Seahawks
 
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LARRY NESS

San Francisco 49ers @ Dallas Cowboys
PICK: San Francisco 49ers +7.5

Dallas is 0-5 SU and ATS on the road under Wade Phillips in preseason games with the defense allowing 27.2 PPG (allowed 456 yards at the Raiders in Week 1!). However, after last week's 30-10 rout of the Titans as the Cowboys christened their new stadium, Wade is 5-0 SU (4-1 ATS) in home preseason games. That continues a recent run for the Cowboys, which has seen them go 10-0-1 ATS (8-3 ATS) the last five-plus preseasons here in Dallas. That being said, don't look for the Cowboys to play with the same intensity this week. Romo started things off by completing 18-of-24 passes for 192 yards, then backups Kitna and McGee kept up the aerial assault, as Dallas QBs finished 32-of-42 for 355 passing yards (two TDs and zero INTs). The 49ers are 2-0 SU to open the 2009 preseason but both wins have come by one point and both were ATS losses. However, the 49ers getting a TD in this game and one has to take note of the team's rushing stats last week which were awfully impressive, even if they came against the Raiders. San Francisco ran 59 times for 257 yards (5.9 YPG) last Saturday night and I'm taking the points this Saturday with the 49ers vs the Cowboys.
 
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Dominic Fazzini

Oakland at L.A. ANGELS

I picked a real stinker Friday night with the Indians, but I'm primed for a big rebound today!

The Angels' starting pitching has been the team's weak point in an otherwise strong season, but Jered Weaver (13-5, 4.03 ERA) has been the one constant in the rotation.

The right-hander followed his seven-hit shutout of the Indians on Aug. 19 with a weak effort Monday vs. the Tigers, giving up five runs and eight hits in 5 1/3 innings. He has lost two of his last three starts after losing just once in his previous 15 outings.

I fully expect Weaver to bounce back tonight against the A's, however. He is 2-2 with a 3.28 ERA in eight career starts against the AL West rivals.

Oakland starter Vin Mazzaro (4-9, 5.32) has had a rocky rookie season. The right-hander allowed three runs on five hits and four walks in five innings Monday in a 3-1 loss to Seattle.

Mazzaro had his worst outing of the season against Los Angeles on July 18, giving up eight runs (four earned) and 10 hits in three innings.

With the Angels coming off a come-from-behind 11-7 victory over the A's on Friday night, and the team energized by the acquistion of left-hander Scott Kazmir from Tampa Bay, I expect Los Angeles to have a big night behind Weaver. Take the Angels on the run line in this one.

4♦ L.A. ANGELS -1.5
 
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Hentai Sports

Houston Astros at Arizona Diamondbacks
Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks

The D-backs will be very confident against Norris, who gave up 6 earned in 1 inning against them just 6 days ago. In fact, the Diamondbacks are 10-1 in their last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Garland has been up and down this season but he’s capable of pitching very well. He actually opposed Norris in a Houston last week. The Astros are 0-6 in their last 6 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150 and 1-7 in their last 8 Saturday games.
 

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I just paid for it and it says...........

PRESEASON LOCK OF THE YEAR - SAT., AUG. 29TH Subscription Expires
<table width="100%" bgcolor="white" border="0" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td width="100%">
</td></tr><tr><td width="100%"><table style="width: 100%; border-collapse: collapse;" id="ctl00_ContentPlaceHolder1_dgSpecials" border="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td><table style="vertical-align: top;" width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td width="100%" bgcolor="white">PRESEASON LOCK OF THE YEAR - SAT., AUG. 29TH Subscription Expires: 8/29/2009</td></tr></tbody></table></td></tr></tbody></table></td></tr></tbody></table>
8/29/2009

20 Units on Atlanta (-2) over San Diego, 8:00pmET


What is the best is the line Atlanta -2 !!!!!!!!! Line has never been at 2 it opened at 3 and since now is 2.5
 

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I am fixing to purchase Benton, Delaney, Weston, and Adams from Budin's site. If anyone is interested in contributing PM me in the next 10-15 mins. Thanks!! :103631605
 

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Ats?

i love the way ats does that make someone pay for a 20 then they tone it down to a 12............:ohno:



LARRY NESS comp

San Francisco 49ers @ Dallas Cowboys
PICK: San Francisco 49ers +7.5

You gotta be kidding me! Ridicolous!
After ALL of this advertising they have done for this:PRE-SEASON FOOTBALL LOCK OF THE YEAR, "IT'S A 20 UNIT PLAY!

Well thats why Im not giving them my money this year. Almost all of their promotion is bragging their 27-2-1 record for their "LOCK OF THE YEAR'S" games.

Now they are just doing a 12 UNIT????

Can someone confirm this please, or is this confirmed?
They were supposed to have the "20 Unit" and also 2 BIG "LOCK GAMES":6-7 Units each.

But they only have a 12 Unit, and then a 5 Unit and 4 Unit? Something doesn't seem right about that?
I appreciate anyone's help to figure out whats going on with this situation. I might pick up the phone ande call Jordan and ask him what the hells going on, b ut I don't really feel like talking to such a dirtbag this early in the morn
Hope to hear back from someone, sorry 4 clutter. BOL
 

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Heard Seabass lost his radio show on Friday...let's hope he focuses more on his picks!
 
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You gotta be kidding me! Ridicolous!
After ALL of this advertising they have done for this:PRE-SEASON FOOTBALL LOCK OF THE YEAR, "IT'S A 20 UNIT PLAY!

Well thats why Im not giving them my money this year. Almost all of their promotion is bragging their 27-2-1 record for their "LOCK OF THE YEAR'S" games.

Now they are just doing a 12 UNIT????

Can someone confirm this please, or is this confirmed?
They were supposed to have the "20 Unit" and also 2 BIG "LOCK GAMES":6-7 Units each.

But they only have a 12 Unit, and then a 5 Unit and 4 Unit? Something doesn't seem right about that?
I appreciate anyone's help to figure out whats going on with this situation. I might pick up the phone ande call Jordan and ask him what the hells going on, b ut I don't really feel like talking to such a dirtbag this early in the morn
Hope to hear back from someone, sorry 4 clutter. BOL


post 43 in the service thread explains the ratings and it has been confirmed by 3 members.
 

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