Drew Gordon
Now on a 48-36 roll with the plays I'm giving away! For today's complimentary play, we're looking at the San Francisco/Dallas match up...
One game removed from crushing the Titans 30-10, I know plenty of bettors are lining up to ride the Cowboys, as they host the 49ers Saturday night. Sorry to rain on your parade boys, but sharp bettors know laying a touchdown in an exhibition game is usually a mistake, even in Week 3's dress rehearsal. Point is, you simply cannot trust the 2nd and 3rd stringers to protect the lead (much like the Pats last night), even if they're only playing 1 1/2 quarters. More of the same tonight, as I expect the 'Boys to take the early lead but end up getting backdoored late.
While there's no question the Cowboys offense is superior, I like what I've seen from the 49ers thus far, playing hard-nosed D, coupled with a run-first offense. They rushed the ball 47 times against the Raiders last week, and with the Titans rolling up 191 rushing yards on the Cowboys last week, I expect the 49ers to be effective toting the rock. The easiest way to slow Romo and this Dallas offense is to keep them off the field, and the 49ers' Glen Coffee and Michael Robinson look great backing up the incumbent Gore.
Defensively, coach Singletary is instilling many of the same values he played with in his team, as San Fran is actually allowing 100 fewer total yards/game during the preseason than is Dallas (393 vs 293). Cowboys first team defense has playmakers, but overall these two units are not as far apart as you'd think.
Finally, there's public perception, as bettors will back the Cowboys no matter what the number, which is of course, ridiculous. True, they looked good vs the Titans last week, but 16 of those 30 points came in garbage time, while the Titans sorry-ass 3rd stringers floundered in the 4th quarter. You can follow the herd if you want to, but this handicapper knows better... Look for the underdog to deliver the cash in this match up.
Take San Francisco plus the points over Dallas in this NFL Preseason match up.
2♦ SAN FRANCISCO 49ers