Saturday 07/11/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

By Sports Gambling Hotline, Featured Handicapper
Have to expect Johnny Cueto to buckle down in this start, as the Reds righty was humiliated in his last start at Philadelphia, getting shelled for 9 runs in less than an inning of work.

That start was the exception rather than the norm for Cueto whose ERA is a respectable 3.45 for the year.

Cueto will match pitches with Johan Santana who sports a home ERA just over 2 for the first half of the year, and Santana did work 6 innings of 1 run ball in an April win at Cincy.

The Reds and the Mets opened the weekend with an UNDER last night, and the way the Mets have struggled at the plate of late - 5 of their last 7 UNDER - we don't see the OVER being an option this Saturday night.

Cincinnati has played UNDER the total in 3 of their last 4, and 6 of Cueto's 10 road starts this season have held LOW as well.

Take the UNDER at Citi Field tonight.
4♦ UNDER

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB LONG SHEET


Saturday, July 11

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ST LOUIS (48 - 40) at CHICAGO CUBS (41 - 42) - 4:10 PM
BRAD THOMPSON (R) vs. TED LILLY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LILLY is 37-15 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
LILLY is 16-5 (+11.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 134-116 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 134-116 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 15-23 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 41-42 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 538-487 (-109.3 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 41-42 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 738-775 (-132.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 7-3 (+4.1 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.7 Units)

BRAD THOMPSON vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.

TED LILLY vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
LILLY is 6-3 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.06 and a WHIP of 1.057.
His team's record is 8-4 (+3.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-4. (+3.1 units)

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WASHINGTON (25 - 60) at HOUSTON (43 - 43) - 7:05 PM
CRAIG STAMMEN (R) vs. MIKE HAMPTON (L)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 25-57 (-27.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
WASHINGTON is 15-44 (-27.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
WASHINGTON is 17-42 (-22.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
WASHINGTON is 25-60 (-30.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 1-13 (-11.7 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 this season.
WASHINGTON is 9-34 (-20.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
WASHINGTON is 8-26 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 125-116 (+18.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 94-88 (+13.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 69-59 (+14.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 24-14 (+8.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
HOUSTON is 129-118 (+22.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 64-53 (+18.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
HAMPTON is 32-5 (+23.8 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997. (Team's Record)
HAMPTON is 32-13 (+21.3 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997. (Team's Record)
WASHINGTON is 103-105 (+28.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-2 (+0.1 Units) against HOUSTON this season
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.1 Units)

CRAIG STAMMEN vs. HOUSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

MIKE HAMPTON vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
HAMPTON is 9-2 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 2.95 and a WHIP of 1.325.
His team's record is 10-4 (+4.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-3. (+7.6 units)

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LA DODGERS (55 - 31) at MILWAUKEE (44 - 42) - 7:05 PM
JEFF WEAVER (R) vs. MIKE BURNS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 10-20 (-12.4 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 55-31 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA DODGERS are 41-21 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA DODGERS are 38-21 (+14.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
LA DODGERS are 55-31 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 22-6 (+16.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
LA DODGERS are 27-18 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
LA DODGERS are 11-4 (+8.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
MILWAUKEE is 6-13 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 8-14 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in home games in July games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

JEFF WEAVER vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
WEAVER is 3-3 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.52 and a WHIP of 1.174.
His team's record is 3-3 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+2.0 units)

MIKE BURNS vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
No recent starts.

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PITTSBURGH (38 - 48) at PHILADELPHIA (46 - 38) - 7:05 PM
ROSS OHLENDORF (R) vs. COLE HAMELS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 31-76 (-29.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 12-41 (-21.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 87-60 (+16.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 149-111 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-23 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-17 (-10.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 10-17 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-23 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

ROSS OHLENDORF vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
No recent starts.

COLE HAMELS vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
HAMELS is 1-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.600.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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CINCINNATI (42 - 43) at NY METS (40 - 45) - 7:10 PM
JOHNNY CUETO (R) vs. JOHAN SANTANA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 82-103 (-29.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
SANTANA is 100-43 (+34.1 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
SANTANA is 77-24 (+34.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
CINCINNATI is 409-491 (+30.1 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 313-357 (+32.0 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 229-246 (+40.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 471-546 (+45.4 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
NY METS are 129-118 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 85-87 (-17.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 129-118 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 2-2 (+0.0 Units) against NY METS this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

JOHNNY CUETO vs. NY METS since 1997
CUETO is 0-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 10.80 and a WHIP of 2.000.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

JOHAN SANTANA vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
SANTANA is 2-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 5.57 and a WHIP of 1.714.
His team's record is 4-0 (+4.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.2 units)

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FLORIDA (45 - 43) at ARIZONA (37 - 50) - 8:10 PM
SEAN WEST (L) vs. JON GARLAND (R)
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 66-54 (+19.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 129-120 (+22.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 59-63 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 125-115 (+21.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 90-88 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 8-16 (-10.6 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
ARIZONA is 12-24 (-13.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
ARIZONA is 36-56 (-24.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 37-50 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 19-29 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ARIZONA is 37-50 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 26-36 (-10.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
GARLAND is 37-45 (-22.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
GARLAND is 8-19 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 4-2 (+2.6 Units) against FLORIDA this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.1 Units)

SEAN WEST vs. ARIZONA since 1997
No recent starts.

JON GARLAND vs. FLORIDA since 1997
GARLAND is 1-1 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 2.75 and a WHIP of 1.017.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

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ATLANTA (42 - 44) at COLORADO (46 - 40) - 8:10 PM
JAIR JURRJENS (R) vs. JASON MARQUIS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 78-91 (-23.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 25-31 (-11.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ATLANTA is 36-61 (-22.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 42-44 (-9.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 50-75 (-21.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 42-44 (-9.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 25-8 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in home games in July games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 155-140 (+19.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 33-26 (+8.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MARQUIS is 12-5 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
MARQUIS is 11-2 (+9.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
MARQUIS is 12-5 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
MARQUIS is 16-6 (+13.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 41-55 (-22.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUIS is 55-71 (-36.3 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
MARQUIS is 57-63 (-31.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
MARQUIS is 25-38 (-29.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 3-3 (+0.7 Units) against ATLANTA this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

JAIR JURRJENS vs. COLORADO since 1997
JURRJENS is 3-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 2.93 and a WHIP of 1.337.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.1 units)

JASON MARQUIS vs. ATLANTA since 1997
MARQUIS is 2-3 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 8.70 and a WHIP of 1.867.
His team's record is 2-4 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-4. (-3.2 units)

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SAN DIEGO (35 - 51) at SAN FRANCISCO (48 - 38) - 9:05 PM
TIM STAUFFER (R) vs. MATT CAIN (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 6-4 (+1.9 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.5 Units, Under=-0.8 Units)

TIM STAUFFER vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
STAUFFER is 1-0 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.457.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

MATT CAIN vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
CAIN is 4-5 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.92 and a WHIP of 1.141.
His team's record is 5-11 (-6.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-9. (-4.6 units)

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NY YANKEES (51 - 35) at LA ANGELS (47 - 37) - 4:10 PM
ANDY PETTITTE (L) vs. JERED WEAVER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 70-52 (+15.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 47-37 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 67-36 (+25.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 42-18 (+17.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 24-10 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 45-18 (+29.3 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 44-31 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA ANGELS are 47-28 (+13.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
WEAVER is 28-10 (+15.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 80-46 (+19.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 2-2 (+1.5 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.1 Units)

ANDY PETTITTE vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
PETTITTE is 8-7 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 5.07 and a WHIP of 1.563.
His team's record is 12-10 (-4.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-13. (-5.9 units)

JERED WEAVER vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
WEAVER is 3-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 6.11 and a WHIP of 1.464.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-1. (+3.1 units)

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OAKLAND (35 - 49) at TAMPA BAY (48 - 39) - 6:08 PM
DALLAS BRADEN (L) vs. MATT GARZA (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 4-4 (+1.5 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

DALLAS BRADEN vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
BRADEN is 2-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 4.09 and a WHIP of 1.455.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

MATT GARZA vs. OAKLAND since 1997
GARZA is 0-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 4.38 and a WHIP of 1.540.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

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CLEVELAND (34 - 53) at DETROIT (47 - 38) - 7:05 PM
CARL PAVANO (R) vs. ARMANDO GALARRAGA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 17-28 (-11.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CLEVELAND is 34-53 (-23.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 37-57 (-27.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 14-26 (-16.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 15-22 (-9.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
CLEVELAND is 31-47 (-21.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 22-32 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CLEVELAND is 26-42 (-19.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
DETROIT is 45-30 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
DETROIT is 19-5 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.
DETROIT is 13-3 (+9.5 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 this season.
DETROIT is 26-12 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
PAVANO is 51-34 (+18.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
PAVANO is 53-38 (+24.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 76-83 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 77-94 (-31.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 121-126 (-24.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 45-59 (-24.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
GALARRAGA is 2-9 (-8.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 6-1 (+5.0 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.6 Units)

CARL PAVANO vs. DETROIT since 1997
PAVANO is 1-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 2.46 and a WHIP of 0.682.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.1 units)

ARMANDO GALARRAGA vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
GALARRAGA is 3-1 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 4.34 and a WHIP of 1.071.
His team's record is 3-3 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+2.0 units)

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TORONTO (44 - 44) at BALTIMORE (38 - 48) - 7:05 PM
RICKY ROMERO (L) vs. BRADLEY BERGESEN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 11-22 (-13.6 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 2-12 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents this season.
BALTIMORE is 7-0 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in home games after getting shut out over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 86-91 (+6.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 232-289 (-86.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 490-531 (-108.2 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 33-69 (-26.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 490-531 (-108.2 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-3 (+0.4 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.5 Units)

RICKY ROMERO vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
ROMERO is 0-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 8.44 and a WHIP of 2.251.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

BRADLEY BERGESEN vs. TORONTO since 1997
BERGESEN is 0-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

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CHI WHITE SOX (44 - 42) at MINNESOTA (44 - 43) - 7:10 PM
GAVIN FLOYD (R) vs. GLEN PERKINS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 7-24 (-15.9 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 91-73 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 83-54 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 39-19 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 24-11 (+11.5 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 80-47 (+21.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 59-41 (+13.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 83-51 (+21.0 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 47-31 (+13.3 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 65-47 (+16.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
FLOYD is 31-20 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FLOYD is 16-6 (+10.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 4-3 (+0.6 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)

GAVIN FLOYD vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
FLOYD is 3-3 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.91 and a WHIP of 1.282.
His team's record is 3-4 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-3. (+0.6 units)

GLEN PERKINS vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
PERKINS is 1-0 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 5.56 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-2. (-2.3 units)

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KANSAS CITY (37 - 49) at BOSTON (52 - 34) - 7:10 PM
GIL MECHE (R) vs. JOHN SMOLTZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 53-82 (-21.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 64-111 (-33.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 141-81 (+32.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 68-36 (+21.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 87-42 (+21.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MECHE is 13-7 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
MECHE is 9-1 (+10.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 1-1 (+0.9 Units) against BOSTON this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

GIL MECHE vs. BOSTON since 1997
MECHE is 5-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.62 and a WHIP of 1.207.
His team's record is 6-3 (+4.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-7. (-5.6 units)

JOHN SMOLTZ vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS (48 - 37) at SEATTLE (44 - 42) - 10:10 PM
KEVIN MILLWOOD (R) vs. JARROD WASHBURN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 16-5 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season.
TEXAS is 47-35 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 36-25 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 27-19 (+8.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
TEXAS is 48-37 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 16-8 (+14.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 59-62 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 15-8 (+13.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 34-26 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 18-6 (+13.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
SEATTLE is 105-143 (-32.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 97-132 (-31.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 68-99 (-29.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 70-101 (-29.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
WASHBURN is 28-36 (-22.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
WASHBURN is 10-28 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WASHBURN is 9-23 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 6-1 (+5.9 Units) against SEATTLE this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

KEVIN MILLWOOD vs. SEATTLE since 1997
MILLWOOD is 8-9 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 4.81 and a WHIP of 1.526.
His team's record is 9-10 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-8. (-1.4 units)

JARROD WASHBURN vs. TEXAS since 1997
WASHBURN is 8-8 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 4.28 and a WHIP of 1.363.
His team's record is 15-12 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 14-13. (-1.0 units)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WNBA LONG SHEET


Saturday July 11

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LOS ANGELES (4 - 6) at WASHINGTON (5 - 5) - 7/11/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 165-212 ATS (-68.2 Units) in all games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-2 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 2-2 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (2 - 7) at CONNECTICUT (5 - 5) - 7/11/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
CONNECTICUT is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 4-4 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 6-2 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (6 - 7) at NEW YORK (3 - 7) - 7/11/2009, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 44-25 ATS (+16.5 Units) on Saturday games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 2-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 4-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (9 - 4) at SACRAMENTO (3 - 9) - 7/11/2009, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 62-41 ATS (+16.9 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1997.
SACRAMENTO is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 5-4 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 6-3 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

#1 Sports
Saturday's free selection:
Minnesota Twins - 115

Mike Wynn
Bonus Play: MLB
Arizona w/Garland -120 Over Florida

Platinum Plays
Free Selection MLB:
NEW YORK METS - 135 OVER the Cincinnati Reds

Razor Sharp
FREE PICK FOR SATURDAY:
ST LOUIS (Thompson) +135 over Chicago Cubs

Totals4U
Saturday's free selection:
Cincinnati/NY Mets under 7 1/2

Big Time
Free Selection
KC / BOSTON OVER 9.5

Computer Sports
SATURDAY FREE WINNER!!
MINNESOTA-115

Nevada Sharpshooter
Free Selection
Reds +130 over Mets MLB

Dr. Vegas
FREE Saturday Selection
Baltimore -110 over Toronto

TV Hotline
Free Saturday MLB Pick
Detroit -150 over Cleveland

Harry Doyle Sports
Free Selection MLB:
Redbirds + 165

The Vegas Steam Line
Free Winner for Saturday:
NY METS (Santana) -145 over Cincinnati

High Stakes Syndicate
Free Selection for Saturday:
Texas Rangers pick 'em

Pure Lock
Free MLB Play
Washington Nationals vs. Houston Astros
Houston Astros -153

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pitbull's power could shock St-Pierre at UFC 100
By JASON LOGAN

Something was triggered in Georges St-Pierre when he was shocked by Matt Serra at UFC 69 over two years ago.

Since that loss, the Canadian karate specialist has been on a focused rampage, ripping through a who's who of the welterweight division. He has now regained his title and has become one of the most reconizable icons in mixed martial arts.

While St-Pierre's current stretch in the UFC is impressive, his recent opponents all have one thing in common - they're safe.

Unlike his opponent for this Saturday's welterweight title fight at UFC 100, St-Pierre (-300) has defeated five fighters who are very talented but don't possess the same power and knockout ability as Thiago Alves (+220).

“Thiago Alves is a big fighter,” says renowned boxing and MMA linesmaker Joey Oddessa. “He walks around in excess of 220 pounds when not training... I would not feel comfortable laying -300 odds on anyone against Thiago Alves.”

Alves is riding his own impressive streak into UFC 100. The Brazilian Muay Thai and Jiu-Jitsu specialist has an 18-2 career mark and hasn't lost in over three years, winning seven straight bouts – five by way of knockout.

At 5-foot-9, Alves packs a ton of power into his stocky frame, earning him the fitting nickname “The Pitbull”. Of his 18 career fights, 10 have ended with Alves' opponent staring up at the lights in a daze. Four of St-Pierre's past five opponents combine for just 13 career knockouts and the one guy with more KO victories than Alves (Matt Hughes with 13) has fought in 43 professional MMA bouts.

The biggest concern for MMA bettors eyeing the upset was Alves' weight issues. He's struggled to cut weight in the past, but reports out of his camp have him ahead of schedule to reach the set 170-pound limit by Friday's weigh-in.

Alves' standup power presents a true threat to St-Pierre's title reign. The champ was knocked out by Serra at UFC 69 (Serra's lone KO victory) and had a tough time against B.J. Penn's striking when those two met at UFC 94 last January.

“You never know what to expect until he gets hit,” says Oddessa. “St-Pierre has steadily improved and avenged his only two career losses. But Alves might be the biggest and most powerful guy he has ever stepped into the Octagon with.”

UFC 100 is scheduled for Saturday night at the Mandalay Bay Events Center in Las Vegas.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Scott Delaney

Today's Complimentary Selection

I am on a 30-18-1 run with complimentary releases after scoring with the Dodgers on the road in Milwaukee, and tonight we're playing the Rays over Oakland.


Hmmm, let’s see, we’re either siding with Dallas Braden, the 26-year-old who is 12-19 lifetime and 1-2 over his last five starts, or Rays hurler Matt Garza, who is 11-5 with a 3.02 ERA in 24 career starts at Tropicana Field?


It really is an easy choice, as Garza will be pissed off after taking a loss on Sunday night against the Rangers, who tagged him for five runs in five innings in Arlington. That makes me like this one even more, as there’s no doubt in my mind the crafty right-hander has the best stuff on the Rays' staff. Despite a 6-6 mark this season, his ERA is a respectable 3.70, and he’s shown me consistent aggressiveness while maturing on the mound each start.


Garza’s in double revenge against Oakland too, as he’s 0-2 with a 3.50 ERA in three career appearances against the A's. And prior to the setback in Arlington, he produced impressive wins against Philadelphia and at Toronto, allowing two earned runs over 15 innings of work while striking out 10. He’s fanned a minimum of five batters his last five times on the hill and in eight of his last nine starts.


On the flip side, we’re going against a hurler who has certainly shown promise by allowing no more than three earned runs in nine straight starts, but is no match for the surging Rays at Tropicana Field, where they’ve won nine straight now. Tampa Bay has won 24 of 29 at Tropicana Field and is an American League-best 30-13 at home.


All Rays tonight with Garza an easy choice over Braden.


1♦ TAMPA BAY RAYS (WITH Garza over Braden)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Robbie Gainous

Bonus Play

Blue Jays (Toronto) vs. Orioles (Baltimore)

Orioles (Baltimore)-105

The second game of this three-game weekend set at Camden Yards between the host Baltimore Orioles and the visiting Toronto Blue Jays has a first pitch scheduled for 7:05PM Eastern Time on Saturday evening. The Jays took the opener by a final score of 2 to 0 on Friday. We expect the host to bounce back on Saturday night they had previously won three straight at home versus Toronto until the loss yesterday. Toronto is 18-26 W/L (-6.4) on the highway this season and only 8-17 W/L (-10.0) when facing division opponents. The Blue Jays will send left-hander Ricky Romero to the bump with his record of 2-2 W/L and ERA of 3.60 when he starts away from home. He was involved in the Jays 0-3 W/L performance their last trip here the end of May. Romero started on May 26th pitched for 5.3 innings allowing five earned runs on eleven hits including three homeruns in a 7 to 2 loss. He faces an Orioles team that has averaged 5.3 runs per game at home this season with a batting average of .299 and an OBP of .361. The Orioles have held opponents to 4.7 runs per game with a .277 batting average and an OBP of .331 at Camden Yards in 2009. The Orioles will send Bradley Bergesen to the hill with his 5-1 W/L home record and ERA of 2.83 in nine starts this season Baltimore has won seven of those nine games. Bergesen took the mound in Toronto back on May 2 pitching for 6 innings giving up 3 earned runs in a 5 to 4 loss but was not involved in the decision. The Orioles are 4-1 W/L the last 5 Bergesen starts at home. The Jays are 5-16 W/L on the road versus teams that have a winning home record, 4-17 W/L versus the AL East and 1-7 W/L when installed as a road favorite. Our TPR (Team Performance Ratings) Index projects an Orioles win by 0.88 runs in tonight’s contest. Our Math Model and Pitcher Efficiency Index have the Orioles winning by a larger margin with the Math Model projecting a win by 1.4 runs and our PEI has them winning by 1.79 runs. We will back the host as they bounce back from Friday’s loss and get the Game Two victory.

Graded Selection: 2* Baltimore Orioles 6 Toronto Blue Jays 4

 

[str8flush95]

Is someone going to post Doc's GOTY? If not, I will make the purchage.

Thanks.

 

[Uman]

Vegas runner has a goy in MLB 1st 5...

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Sports Investing Professional

Saturday

Friday Recap - Sometimes if it were not for bad luck
we'd have no luck at all. Yesterday we got a push. It
didn't cost us anything but with Oswalt on cruise
control he hurt his hand at the end of the 6th and then
went out to start the 7th where he had to come out and
the pen allowed the Nats to put up a 4 spot which
cost us our jackpot. No harm though...just a day
off the calender.


Today's Play(s) - Today I'm flying blind. I really
like the matchup of Garza vs Anderson in the favor
of Tampa Bay. Problem is that I have NO IDEA what
the line is. I can't find another game that I like and
I'm constrained by time as I have to get this entry
in on time or the email won't get sent. So I'm going
to guess that Tampa is -200 and go from there.

MLB - Tampa Rays -200[LISTED] Anderson / Garza - 1000.00 / 500.00


Record (12-5) + $2,650

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Vegas Experts

Bonus Play

St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs

The Cubs will be more than happy not to be underdogs today as Friday's loss dropped them to a miserable 2-14 in that role this season. Now, the "cards" are in their favor as St. Louis averages a scant 3.8 runs per game vs. lefties and must solve Ted Lilly, who boasts a fantastic 1.96 ERA in eight home starts this season. St. Louis starter Brad Thompson has been a disaster of late with three straight losses, including two by a combined 21-0 margin!

Play on: Chicago Cubs

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tom Freese

Philadelphia is 11-3-1 UNDER when favored by over -200 and they are 7-2 UNDER their last 9 home games. The Phillies are 18-6-2 UNDER off a win and they are 10-4 UNDER with Cole Hamels pitches vs. a losing team. Pittsburgh is 35-16-2 UNDER vs. lefty starters and they are 5-0-1 UNDER their 6 road games. The Pirates are 20-7-2 UNDER their last 29 games and they are 5-0-1 UNDER in the last 6 starts made by Ross Ohlendorf. PLAY ON 'UNDER' (Hamels vs. Ohlendorf)

 

[LocksRus]

Larry Ness has a 20* today.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jimmy The Moose
Bonus Play

The Braves won last night but over their last 10 vs. a NL West team they are 3-7 over their last 10. Atlanta has lost 6 of Jurrjens last 7 starts overall. In his last 5 road starts they are 1-4. The Rockies are 26-8 in their last 34 overall. Colorado has won 4 of their last 5 at home. In their last 17 vs. a team with a losing record they are 14-3. Colorado has won 5 of Marquis' last 6 starts. In his last 5 as a favorite they are 4-1. The Braves have lost 5 of their last 7 trips to Colorado. Play on the Colorado Rockies -.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

3G-Sports

Bonus Play

St Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs

Play: Chicago Cubs

The Cubs will be more than happy not to be underdogs today as Friday's loss dropped them to a miserable 2-14 in that role this season. Now, the "cards" are in their favor as St. Louis averages a scant 3.8 runs per game vs. lefties and must solve Ted Lilly, who boasts a fantastic 1.96 ERA in eight home starts this season. St. Louis starter Brad Thompson has been a disaster of late with three straight losses, including two by a combined 21-0 margin! CUbs love the day action and so does Ted Lilly when favored.

CUBBIES ROLL HERE TODAY!!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Karl Garrett

Bonus Play

NY Yankees at LA ANGELS

Friday night comp play winner on the Braves, now 8-4 the last 12 days for free!

G-Man is all about a HIGH-SCORING game between the Yankees and the Angels this Saturday afternoon.

Sure Andy Pettitte, and Jered Weaver have had their moments this season, but neither has fooled the others team much in the recent past, as Pettite's last 23 innings against the Halos have seen 20 runs score. As for Weaver, he has allowed 18 runs against the Yankees over his last 22 innings of work against them.

Last night's game was able to clear the impost, making it 4 games played between the teams this season, 4 OVERS played between the teams this season!

Hard to argue those numbers, G-Man going with the OVER in Saturday's matinee between the Yankees and Angels.

3? OVER

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Nelly

Bonus Play

Atlanta + over Colorado

Atlanta is batting .297 in the last ten games and this is a game where the starting pitchers have very deceiving records. Jason Marquis has had a fine season but his season ERA is considerably higher than his counterpart on the mound tonight Jair Jurrjens. Marquis is 11-5 while Jurrjens is 6-7. Marquis has been less effective at home while Jurrjens has been a superior road pitcher and he pitched well against the Rockies in a May start. The Rockies are 26-8 in the last 34 games but just 6-5 in the last eleven and the offense has cooled off considerably, batting just .228 in that span. The recent stretch of winning has created inflated lines for the Rockies and Atlanta will be a dangerous underdog Saturday night, playing with their top pitcher on the mound. The Braves should also have a significant edge once this game gets into the bullpens.

 

[LocksRus]

Big Al Mcmordie


At 4:10pm our member selection is on the St. Louis Cardinals over the Chicago Cubs. There are plenty of All-Star snubs to point out this year (Russell Branyan and Nick Markakis in the American League; Adam Dunn and Jason Werth in the National League) but when it comes to pitchers (who are chosen by the coaches and not the fans) perhaps the one name that stands out the most is the Cardinals' Chris Carpenter, who pitched yesterday vs. the Cubs' Rich Harden. After all, we're talking about a former Cy Young award winner who came back this season from major surgery to put up phenomenal numbers so far, despite a short stint on the shelf with an injury. And we're also talking about a guy who has pitched the last seven seasons of his Major League career in St. Louis, the host city of this season's mid-summer Classic. In contrast, today's starter for the Cubbies, veteran Ted Lilly will not only be at the All-Star Game in St. Louis next Tuesday, but he will be the Cubs' lone representative to the game. Pretty surprising when you consider that many people picked Chicago to win its division and perhaps go much further this season. But the offense really hasn't clicked so far for Lou Piniella and company, and Lilly and his teammates will certainly have their hands full this afternoon against one of the most potent offenses in the league. The Cardinal bats are really heating up lately, and it's more than just Albert Pujols doing the damage. Rookie outfielder Colby Rasmus has been punishing the ball. Of course it doesn't hurt that LaRussa has been batting Rasmus directly in front of Pujols so he's getting some pretty good pitches thrown his way.

Take the Cards. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

 

[LocksRus]

Jumper Jack - real consistent capper.

3-2 yesterday(+550) and now 210-173 for the season in MLB (+$8,692) and back to positive for the week (+340)

LA Angels -105 $400 The Angels are an incredible 25-5 at home in day games the last 2 years combined(7-1 this year), and they are also a perfect 9-0 the last 2 years in home day games against lefthanded starters averaging an astounding 7.56 runs/game! Jered Weaver has a 1.91 ERA at home this year, and the Angels are 7-2 in his home starts. Weaver also has a 1.12 ERA in day games, and in his only 2 daytime starts at home this year he did not allow even 1 ER in either. The Angels are 17-6 the last 23 at home against the Yankees and 11-4 against them last 15 overall. The Angels are 13-4 their last 17 games following a win, looks like the Angels go up 2-0 in the series.

 

[whitelightning]

Big Al Mcmordie

At 4:10pm our member selection is on the St. Louis Cardinals over the Chicago Cubs. Take the Cards. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

is this a Bonus Play?