Reasonable Sports Picks (NFL)

[Friend_of_the_People]

I've switched over to a units system but here are my previous records, using the 1-5 star system, to date...

1 star selections 17-10

2 star selections 11-3

3 star selections 5-1

4 star selctions 0-2

Starting this weekend I will using the unit system based on how many units I myself risk.

This weekend(so far)

3u Broncos -7 to win 3u

.54u Cowboys +6.5 to win .5u

The parlays that have any NBA games included are tracked here:
http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1004128&page=15&p=10931264#post10931264

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

Previous Parlay wagers:

Miss: .6u Suns/Seahawks Panthers u 40.5

Still in play :

.57u parlay Pistons +9.5, Seahawks/Panthers u 40.5, Cowboys o 23.5, to win 3.02u

.55u parlay Kings +7.5, Seahawks/Panthers u 40.5, Cowboys o 23.5, to win 3.02u

 

[SuperSport]

Thank you for the parlay! hopefully we can hit it with the Seahawks under

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

1.1u Ravens +7 2nd half to win 1u

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

Don't thank me yet!

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

Don't than me yet!

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

If the under hits tonight definitely going to hedge the Cowboys o 23.5, just not sure how much yet...

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

1.25u Cowboys o 23.5 and Sun +5.5 to wiN 3.07u

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

Tough call...the interpretation of what a catch is needs to change, Bryant has complete control-has the ball securely tucked away when his right forearm hits the ground he extends to reach for the goal line left arm hits the ground ball comes out...tough calls happen every game though last week Dallas benefited.

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

3.15u Seahawks -7 to win 3u

I think Rodgers might be the best qb in the league but only 6 days rest going to Seattle.Hes as tough as any qb but his deep ball was way off and he wasn't able to be nearly as mobile outside the pockets as he is normally. I think this will be a popular pick but that doesn't scare me off i would get on soon if you like Seattle...

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

Not a good week.

I was wrong about the Broncos defense bringing heavy pressure Luck's way. The Colt's offensive line was dominant and Luck significantly outplayed Manning. The Colts defense was great. The Colts had control the entire game.

Taking the Seahawks Panthers under is something I would do a again many more big plays than I expected but both defenses played well save for a couple huge plays the Panthers D gave up to Wilson.

Cowboys o 23.5...this was just as I expected...Murray's numbers don't look amazing but he and that o-line converted 3rd and short on a consistent basis...so many times the Packers knew the run was coming but the Cowboys seemed to always get at least 3 yards even when the Packers sold out to stop the run....it makes the Cowboys decisions in the 1st half to pass on 3rd and 1 and go deep on 4th and 2 towards the end of the game look suspect but its water under the bridge now. I'm happy with my decision to take the Over 23.5, Cowboys had no problem moving the ball. And Dallas went scoreless in the 4th.

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

Watching Ducks-Bucks I don't normally have the oppurtunity to watch college football. I don't understand not going for two when a TD puts you up 7...unless the other teams goes for 2 regularly. Worst case scenario is the opponent can tie the game without needing to get a 2 point conversion best case you make it a 2 possession game. I've always wondered why pro football teams don't do it in late game situations.

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

If you had told me before the game Rodgers medium-deep ball was way off and the Seahawks D opens thee game with a pick on the first possession of the game no way would I guess GB would be winning let alone up by 16. Lacy has looked more like Marshawn Lynch than Marshawn Lynch. Wilson has played horribly. The GB defense special teams has DOMINATED this game. No pressure on Rodgers whatsoever, Hawks are fortunate he cant throw medium-deep...Rodgers can still throw short-medium very well.

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

All year you heard how the Seahawks led the league in penalties but they were good enough to not to suffer much from it...this is the game they suffer for their penalties. 5 turn overs, Seahawks nearly fumble on a simple handoff, and Packers muff a punt but recover it...one of the strangest games I've seen. And still 5 min left in the 1st half.

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

5.2u Obama picks Seahawks to win...to win 4u


Yes, I'm actually betting on this. The way I see it NE is favored. There is controversy all surrounding NE. The Seahawks met the president last year and he is friendly with quite a few Seahawks players, I think he backs the team he has a relationship(however small) with. I like this one. Plus Russell Wilson is legendary (at this point in his career) against the top QBs...Obama definitely knows this...just one more reason for Obama to justify backing the Seahawks.

1.45u 1st turnover an interception to win 1u

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

The Obama bet was a push because he elected not to make a pick but the 1st turnover of the game was an interception 3 interceptions and 0 fumbles...