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Reasonable Sports Picks (NFL)
- Thread starter Friend_of_the_People
- Start date
3 KC pk(-125)
We keep waiting for the old Seattle to return but they haven't yet...its no secret Seattle is worse on the road than at home...the Chiefs are playing the champs and its a home game for them this wont be a game where they are flat. This bet is based on the 2014 Seahawks' performances not what they did last year. I don't like guessing if this is the week they put together a complete game, this might be the week...but until they prove they are a complete team I'm not taking them on the road against good opponents. This is by no means a lock, Seattle has shown flashes of greatness but until they prove it I'm not buying in. I'm by no means a blindly go against the public bettor BUT it is nice to see the public is on Seattle for this game.
We keep waiting for the old Seattle to return but they haven't yet...its no secret Seattle is worse on the road than at home...the Chiefs are playing the champs and its a home game for them this wont be a game where they are flat. This bet is based on the 2014 Seahawks' performances not what they did last year. I don't like guessing if this is the week they put together a complete game, this might be the week...but until they prove they are a complete team I'm not taking them on the road against good opponents. This is by no means a lock, Seattle has shown flashes of greatness but until they prove it I'm not buying in. I'm by no means a blindly go against the public bettor BUT it is nice to see the public is on Seattle for this game.
2 Colts -13(-120)
3 Bucs +6
Two things. 1) I don't know if Chicago's home field is worth 3 points and 2) Are the Bears even better than the Bucs?...And then there is a chance Cutler disappoints early and the crowd turns on him....The Bucs were embarrassed (maybe an understatement) in weeks 3 and 6 but after their week 7 bye they've lost by 6, 5, 10, and last week they beat Washington. Their sack total during that time span doesn't reflect it but they have been good at racking up tackles for loss and hits on the QB. Bad news for Jay Cutler, he's been in a funk as it is. Rich Gannon commented that his foot work is "atrocious" and he has a point. Cutler has a canon for an arm so, unfortunately, because of how strong his arm is he will make throws falling backwards or off balance. The Buc's offense isn't very good but I think their defense can make a huge difference in the outcome of this game.
1 Cardinals +7(-130) (down from a two star selection)
2 Cards/Hawks under 42 points
This is a divisional match up that might mean just as much to Arizona as it does to Seattle. Arizona has a lot of doubters out there and, surprisingly, Seattle has a lot of believers thinking its only a matter of time until they are a great team. I like this as a defensive struggle, Arizona's defense has been superb and because of Seattle's secondary I can't imagine there will be a lot of pass attempts by Arizona. Because I think it will be close I will take the points....and the under
3 Bucs +6
Two things. 1) I don't know if Chicago's home field is worth 3 points and 2) Are the Bears even better than the Bucs?...And then there is a chance Cutler disappoints early and the crowd turns on him....The Bucs were embarrassed (maybe an understatement) in weeks 3 and 6 but after their week 7 bye they've lost by 6, 5, 10, and last week they beat Washington. Their sack total during that time span doesn't reflect it but they have been good at racking up tackles for loss and hits on the QB. Bad news for Jay Cutler, he's been in a funk as it is. Rich Gannon commented that his foot work is "atrocious" and he has a point. Cutler has a canon for an arm so, unfortunately, because of how strong his arm is he will make throws falling backwards or off balance. The Buc's offense isn't very good but I think their defense can make a huge difference in the outcome of this game.
1 Cardinals +7(-130) (down from a two star selection)
2 Cards/Hawks under 42 points
This is a divisional match up that might mean just as much to Arizona as it does to Seattle. Arizona has a lot of doubters out there and, surprisingly, Seattle has a lot of believers thinking its only a matter of time until they are a great team. I like this as a defensive struggle, Arizona's defense has been superb and because of Seattle's secondary I can't imagine there will be a lot of pass attempts by Arizona. Because I think it will be close I will take the points....and the under
Missing on the Bucs +6 was tough. Tampa was great in the first half 10-0....then 3 turnovers...in the 3rd quarter!21 points in the 3rd was all the scoring Chicago would do but all they would need. Tampa in the 4th was as sloppy as it gets Lovie Smith made numerous errors some related to clock management some were the decisions he was making for the team's personnel.
Other than the 4 star loss it was a good week.
Wins: 2 Colts, 2 Cards/Hawks under, 2 Dolphins +7.5, 1 Bengals +2.5, 1 Raiders +7.5
Losses: 4 Bucks +6 1 Chargers -5.5, 1 Falcons -3, 1 Cardinals +7
4 star selections 0-1
3 star selections 3-1
2 stars selections 7-2
1 star selections 8-5
Still in play: 1 Ravens +4
Next Week:
3 Detroit -6.5(-115)
1 Titans +6.5
2 Pats +3.5(-120)
2 Colts -9.5
1 Seattle +1.5
Getting on these fast before the lines changes...more picks to come....write-up to come
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Other than the 4 star loss it was a good week.
Wins: 2 Colts, 2 Cards/Hawks under, 2 Dolphins +7.5, 1 Bengals +2.5, 1 Raiders +7.5
Losses: 4 Bucks +6 1 Chargers -5.5, 1 Falcons -3, 1 Cardinals +7
4 star selections 0-1
3 star selections 3-1
2 stars selections 7-2
1 star selections 8-5
Still in play: 1 Ravens +4
Next Week:
3 Detroit -6.5(-115)
1 Titans +6.5
2 Pats +3.5(-120)
2 Colts -9.5
1 Seattle +1.5
Getting on these fast before the lines changes...more picks to come....write-up to come
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