You lose by 31 or more on the Road in the NFL. Your next game is on the Road = 35-12 ATS since 1990 = NOR
MIN last 4 spread results = WWWL. MIN is 5-20 ATS next game in that pattern since 1978
SD is 28-12 ATS on the Road +3 to +10 when off a Home Loss. JAX combined score of last 15 Non-Div Home games = 198-359
PIT is 2-10 OV-UN as a Road Dog off 2+ SU Wins
MIN last 4 spread results = WWWL. MIN is 5-20 ATS next game in that pattern since 1978
SD is 28-12 ATS on the Road +3 to +10 when off a Home Loss. JAX combined score of last 15 Non-Div Home games = 198-359
PIT is 2-10 OV-UN as a Road Dog off 2+ SU Wins
Add:
Denver +2' +106 (vs New England)
I locked in the line yesterday (see above) when I heard that WR Danny Amendola would not be making the trip to Denver. Edelman went down three weeks ago. Now Amendola. They are Brady's very capable slot receivers. He is used to having them for this offense to click on all cylinders. Add in the loss of scatback Dion Lewis also went down a few weeks ago. He was a Sproles / Woodhead type darter adept at catching the ball out of the backfield and making people miss in space. Those are three of Brady's key weapons. All gone. So that leaves Gronk (Talib says they'll triple team him. Not sure they will but you get the point. There won't be much room to get Gronk the ball. The other tight end, Chandler, has been tending towards stone hands. Then there's WR Brandon La Fell. He's an average wideout with average hands and speed. Any other receivers who miraculously show up on the field for the Pats are No Names and won't have the sync with Brady to beat this tough defense with any frequency. Heck, I wouldn't be surprised to see Brady do what is uncharacteristic for him tonight - throw a pick or two.
Can the Pats go to the running game? Not likely with any dominance.
So the Pats should have trouble putting up points tonight.
As for Denver, their O line has been gelling some over the past few weeks. They should be able to run a little vs the Pats. And Osweiler? Downgrade from Peyton, right? Hell no. He is a big upgrade. Just forget the name Peyton Manning and understand that Denver's QB had 9 TDs and 17 picks, before Osweiler. How could Osweiler (2 TDs and 0 picks last week in his only start) not be an upgrade over THAT?
Add the bigger picture. Brady only has a losing record vs one NFL team. Yep. Denver. And in Denver he is only 2-5.
Lastly, 12-5 Denver came into Foxboro last year and got shellacked 43-21. Revenge. Denver will be ready. The Pats will be too. But do they have the bullets?
Denver +2' +106 (vs New England)
I locked in the line yesterday (see above) when I heard that WR Danny Amendola would not be making the trip to Denver. Edelman went down three weeks ago. Now Amendola. They are Brady's very capable slot receivers. He is used to having them for this offense to click on all cylinders. Add in the loss of scatback Dion Lewis also went down a few weeks ago. He was a Sproles / Woodhead type darter adept at catching the ball out of the backfield and making people miss in space. Those are three of Brady's key weapons. All gone. So that leaves Gronk (Talib says they'll triple team him. Not sure they will but you get the point. There won't be much room to get Gronk the ball. The other tight end, Chandler, has been tending towards stone hands. Then there's WR Brandon La Fell. He's an average wideout with average hands and speed. Any other receivers who miraculously show up on the field for the Pats are No Names and won't have the sync with Brady to beat this tough defense with any frequency. Heck, I wouldn't be surprised to see Brady do what is uncharacteristic for him tonight - throw a pick or two.
Can the Pats go to the running game? Not likely with any dominance.
So the Pats should have trouble putting up points tonight.
As for Denver, their O line has been gelling some over the past few weeks. They should be able to run a little vs the Pats. And Osweiler? Downgrade from Peyton, right? Hell no. He is a big upgrade. Just forget the name Peyton Manning and understand that Denver's QB had 9 TDs and 17 picks, before Osweiler. How could Osweiler (2 TDs and 0 picks last week in his only start) not be an upgrade over THAT?
Add the bigger picture. Brady only has a losing record vs one NFL team. Yep. Denver. And in Denver he is only 2-5.
Lastly, 12-5 Denver came into Foxboro last year and got shellacked 43-21. Revenge. Denver will be ready. The Pats will be too. But do they have the bullets?
DENVER +4 only Play tonight. Hoops followed a 7-2 spurt with a 1-5 fall, now 46-46 overall. FB has won 9 of 13 but still poor overall at 78-94. I might have given 3 with the Browns tonight but that is no longer available. CLE would really like to get a sweep vs BAL for the first time in forever. But you saw what happened laying an inflated # vs BAL on with ZONA on MNF just a few weeks ago. The other motivator for CLE is how they absolutely blew the win at Home vs BAL last year. They had the game won and gave it away. This team has a propensity to respond to the 2 minute warning by shooting itself in the foot.
A lot of people talking about the awful officiating again yesterday, especially in the NE and SF games. But how about the UNDER Rigjob in Cincy yesterday. 22 minutes to get 1 score to put it OVER, and both teams decide to just "keep it between the 20s" and run the clock out. While that was going on the Jets and Dolphins were in a 14-0 game which also had 22 minutes left and managed to tack on 44 more points. Sure.
A lot of people talking about the awful officiating again yesterday, especially in the NE and SF games. But how about the UNDER Rigjob in Cincy yesterday. 22 minutes to get 1 score to put it OVER, and both teams decide to just "keep it between the 20s" and run the clock out. While that was going on the Jets and Dolphins were in a 14-0 game which also had 22 minutes left and managed to tack on 44 more points. Sure.
