Poly Forum Picks and Game Discussion Thread (ongoing....)

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Winner Thursday with Jax -3 +111
YTD 50-37-1 +1195

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Week 11 numbers since 2001:

HF 72
HD 29
RF 40
RD 65

Div HF 22
Div RD 23
Div HD 10
Div RF 18

HF spotlight 13
RD spotlight 12
HD spotlight 4
RF spotlight 6

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Adding some bye week info I collaborated with my friend Thomas on:

Through Week 10 bye results.

18-6 ATS // All teams off the bye
11-3 ATS // Dogs off the bye
6-3 ATS // Favs off the bye
1-0 ATS // Picks off the bye
3-0 ATS // Dogs off the bye who covered as dogs in their game before the bye
3-1 ATS // Dogs off the bye who lost ATS as dogs before the bye
2-0 ATS // Favs off the bye who covered as favs before the bye
5-0 ATS // Dogs off the bye who covered as favs before the bye
1-3 ATS // Favs off thge bye who lost as favs before the bye
1-1 ATS // Dogs off the bye who lost as favs before the bye
2-1 ATS // Div Dogs off the bye
8-2 ATS // Rd Dogs off the bye
2-1 ATS // Hm Dogs off the bye
0-1 ATS // Hm Div Dogs off the bye

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This week's candidates with pre-bye ATS result and current opponent with approximate line in parenthesis:

Atl -7' @ SFo // L // (Atl -5 vs Ind)
Ind +4' vs Denv // W // (Ind +5 @ Atl)
SDo -4 (vs Chi) // L // (SDo +3 vs KCy)
SFo +7' vs Atl // W // (SFo +13 @ Sea)

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Be back with my picks.
 
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Sunday:

Miami +2' -105 (vs Dull ass)
Romo is back. Dallas finally wins. Not so damned quick. Dan Campbell is the new guy across the field. His Dolphins are 3-2 SU; 3-2 ATS and this will be only their second home game under his tutelage. In the first one they ripped the other Texas team, 44-26. Romo schlomo. Fins wins.
 
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Chicago +2' -110 (vs Done ver)
Does anyone know that the Bears are 6 lousy points from winning their last 6 games outright in a Division where Green Bay is crumbling and knone trusts the Viking ships to get to shore. After 7 consecutive wins, the Sick Broncs have lost their last 2. Let's make it 3 in the Windy City.
 
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Indy +3' -109 (@ Fat lanta)
Boy I blew this line by waiting. This year all dogs off their bye are 11-3 ATS. They are 3-0 ATS if they covered their game before the bye.
 
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St Louis +3 -106 (@ Baltimore dead birds)
How does Balty get favored over anyone? Reputation? They have won a 2 friggin games by a total of 6 friggin points. Now they are favored over a team who still has a shot at their Division? I'll take my shot with the ScRams.
 

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Sunday 11-22-15 NFL

Washington +7
Rams +3
Miami + 2 1/2
Jets -4


YTD NCAAF 31-28-2 +855 (3-1 + 190 Saturday)
YTD NFL 30-26-2 +260
 
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Houston +4 -108 (vs Jets)
So the Jets are 1-3 over their last 4. Houston is 3-1 over their last 4. Houston is on home turf. Jets played Div rival Buff last and has Div rival Miami on deck. Sure. Brian Hoyer or TJ Yates? Two bench bums. Gimme the Texans.
 

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451 WASH +7 ..... 455 DAL -2 ..... 462 HOU +4 ..... 463 GBAY Pick ..... 467 DEN -2 ..... 521 Fresno -5.5
 
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Add:

Arizona -4 -108 (vs Cincy)
There's an old Taxi system (hope you're OK Dave wherever you are) which says to play against any team off a long winning streak if they lose outright (Cincy), then their next game is on the road.
 

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My football still way underwater this year at 69-89. But at least I'm not getting murdered anymore. Shame that one horrible call turned the WASH Play around. They did not score after that 14 point swing. But when you have morons like Jerome Booger and Jeff Tripsalot 'officiating' your games expect problems.

Hoops I'm hot lately, 10-2-1 last 13 with NCAAB 5-0-1 last 6. Overall just 35-32 though.... Back later.

Headline Today: "Catch or no catch? Goodell admits rule needs closer look." .... No Shit!

NCAAB LATE AFTERNOON PLAYS = 731 Drake +5.5 and 746 Indiana -12.5
 

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Yes......I believe now there is some questionable shit at the end of NBA games. Maybe I'm just paranoid though.

You're omitting the questionable shit that occurs throughout the game. BTW one of the writers at the Sports Exchange might be a fellow bettor. In today's Spurs-Suns preview he described SAN's performance in New Orleans as follows -- "San Antonio clamped down on the defensive end in Saturday's 92-82 victory over the Grizzlies, one night after a suspect effort in a 104-90 loss to New Orleans"
 

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PATS -7 ..... 701 ORL +8 ..... 707-708 OVER 200.5 phi-min ..... 713 OKC +3.5 ..... 756 Missouri +5.5
 

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