Nuggets on today's games:
DETROIT at GREEN BAY
Lions have not won SU at Lambeau Field since 1991 making GB 24-0 SU and 17-5-2 ATS as a host in this series. Lions 1-6-1 ATS this season and on 1-10 ATS run. However, DET is 7-3 ATS following a bye but 0-9 ATS the past nine times when playing on grass.
Pack 9-2-1 vs. spread last 12 at Lambeau but GB is 1-10 ATS as a DD division chalk vs an opponent off SU/ATS loss. GB 37-18 ATS in NFC North action and 17-2 ATS after back-to-back road games. Career: Aaron Rodgers is 13-2 SU & ATS off a loss when facing a division opponent.
DALLAS at TAMPA BAY - The underdog in Dallas games has covered 68% of the time (60-29 ATS) since 2010
Dallas no wins SU last 6 and 1-5 ATS in games since Romo injury. Dallas 1-5 SU/ATS in its last six games vs the NFC South. Matt Cassel: 1-6 SU in his last seven road games
Lovie Smith just 1-10 SU at Raymond James since last year. Tampa 5-14-1 ATS as a Non-DIV home favorite and have 3-10 ATS run at home. Tampa is averaging 27.3 ppg in its last 4 games and held the Saints and Panthers to season lows in total yards. Bucs 12-3 ATS last 15 November games
CAROLINA at TENNESSEE League wide trend (Panthers): Road favorite playing non-division opponent after 3 straight home games: 16-33 ATS
Panthers have won 12 regular season games in a row. Panthers 3-0 SU and ATS away this season and have won and covered five straight on reg.-season road games. Carolina is 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS all-time as a visitor off three straight home games
After last week’s win, TEN is now 7-15-2 ATS as a dog and 7-22-1 ATS in their last 30 games. But, Tennessee is 3-1 vs. line at Nissan Stadium this season. Also, the dog to 6-1-1 ATS in Tennessee games this season (+ 83½ pts). Note that the Titans have not won a home game SU since October 2014.
CHICAGO at ST. LOUIS
Bears are traveling on a short week having just played at San Diego this past Monday. Chicago 2-14 ATS off a game with AFC opponent and on a 10-18 ATS run as a dog.
Only 4th time Rams favored by a touchdown or more last 10 seasons (3-0 ATS) Rams run 6-16 ATS as a favorite of 7+ points and 1-5 ATS as a home favorite
off a non-division game before back-to-back away games
NEW ORLEANS at WASHINGTON
Saints have covered 4 of last 6 and are on a 6-3-1 ATS run before the bye. Sean Payton off a loss: 24-11 ATS
Jay Gruden just 8-16 ATS since last season and Skins are 9-20ATS as a dog. Redskins have the 20[SUP]th[/SUP] ranked offense and have a 748-172 rushing yard deficit over their last 4 games! Also, Skins have lost 10 games by 17 or more points during the last two and one-half seasons and they have lost 20 of their last 27 games during November (0-4 SU last year). However, Wash is 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS in this series.
MIAMI at PHILADELPHIA
Miami 3-7 ATS last 10 away from Sun Life. But, the fish have won five of the past seven times when playing against non-division opponents (3-1 this season) and are a 31-18-1 ATS away dog. Miami is 8-1 ATS as a visitor in games off double-digit and back-to-back defeats when facing a non- division opponent. Road team in Miami games 66-49 ATS
Eagles have covered 9 of their last 13 at the Linc. Philly also 7-1 ATS as a Non-DIV home favorite. However, Eagles all time 5-20 ATS when favored in games after defeating the Cowboys and Eagles favored for second week in a row are 8-22 ATS.
CLEVELAND at PITTSBURGH
Browns lost last 11 SU at Heinz Field (4-7 ATS) but have covered 4 of last 8 as series visitor here. Browns underdogs under Mike Pettine: 11-6-1 ATS. Browns are 11-2 ATS away after facing the Bengals
The Steelers have won 25 of their 29 matchups against the Browns. Steelers -16 ½ pts ATS in the last 3 games and play down to their competition: 1-11-1 ATS vs sub .250 opponents
JACKSONVILLE at BALTIMORE
Jags 4-7-1 ATS last 11 as visitor but have covered last 2 on the road. Jags 8-0 ATS in away games before facing Tennessee
Ravens only 2-9 last 11 ATS in the regular season and have dropped last 6 ATS at home. However, Balt is 11-5 ATS under John Harbaugh after the bye, 26-14-1 ATS as a Non-DIV home favorite and 10-0 SU/ATS off the bye vs. non-div teams. Both Ravens wins this year by 3 pts (on last play; in OT). The dog is on a 13-2-1 ATS run when the Ravens take the field
MINNESOTA at OAKLAND
Viking QB Teddy Bridgewater left last week’s game with a concussion. Minny now 7 straight covers this year and have now covered 15 of their last 18 ATS. Also have won last 2 SU on road. MIN 14-3 ATS vs Non-DIV teams.
Since the 2002 SB appearance, Oakland has faced opponents with a .750 or better winning % 38 times and they are 14-24 ATS. Raiders 2-2 ATS at home this year but 5-2 vs. spread last 7 at Coliseum. Oakland is +44½ pts ATS in its last 7 games. Oakland has given up at least 250 passing yards in each of its last 10 games. Oakland is 4-14 ATS as a home favorite in games off 3 consecutive ATS wins in a row.
KANSAS CITY at DENVER
KC 0-7 ATS as a road team (not counting London). However, Reid is 16-3 ATS as a dog off a pair of SU/ATS wins and Chiefs are 20-11-1 ATS as division dogs versus teams off a SU favorite loss. Reid an NFL best 18-3 SU (15-6 ATS) off a bye (regular season and playoff) and 5-0 SU/ATS off bye vs opponents off a loss
Manning 7-0 SU, 5-2 ATS vs. KC since arriving at Denver in 2012. Broncos 18-8 ATS as reg.-season home chalk since 2012. Denver 8-2 ATS run after a loss and have a 16-4 ATS streak against the division. Peyton Manning after losing a game as a favorite (career): 18-22 ATS the next game
NEW ENGLAND at NY GIANTS – League wide trend (Pats): Road favorite playing non-division opponent after 3 straight home games: 16-33 ATS
Belicheat has lost three straight SU to the Giants. Pats 4-8 ATS last 12 as visiting chalk. NE 15-4-1 ATS streak against non-division opponents. New England’s average margin of victory this season is 16.6 points per game. Brady career 0-4 ATS in this series when the Giants are playing off a win. Patriots as a road favorite by 5+ are
20-11-2 ATS
Giants 9-4 ATS last 13 on board. NY is 14-0 ATS as a dog of 5+ pts off a SU win. Eli Manning: 10-1 SU and 8-2 ATS career against the AFC East and 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS against the Pats. Giants are an NFL best +11 turnovers
ARIZONA at SEATTLE
Arians 14-6 ATS on regular season road since 2013 and 12-6 ATS as dog past two seasons. Also, Cardinals under Arians are 15-1 ATS as a TD dog or less. Arizona 7-1 has ATS record with rest vs division opponents
Carroll 4-1 SU/ATS last five in this series, but just 2-5-1 ATS in 2015. Wilson is just 9/6 TD/INT with 31 sacks on the year. Seahawks run: 9-4-1 ATS vs the NFC West (4-1 ATS run vs ARZ). Seahawks 11-1 ATS prior to playing San Francisco
DETROIT at GREEN BAY
Lions have not won SU at Lambeau Field since 1991 making GB 24-0 SU and 17-5-2 ATS as a host in this series. Lions 1-6-1 ATS this season and on 1-10 ATS run. However, DET is 7-3 ATS following a bye but 0-9 ATS the past nine times when playing on grass.
Pack 9-2-1 vs. spread last 12 at Lambeau but GB is 1-10 ATS as a DD division chalk vs an opponent off SU/ATS loss. GB 37-18 ATS in NFC North action and 17-2 ATS after back-to-back road games. Career: Aaron Rodgers is 13-2 SU & ATS off a loss when facing a division opponent.
DALLAS at TAMPA BAY - The underdog in Dallas games has covered 68% of the time (60-29 ATS) since 2010
Dallas no wins SU last 6 and 1-5 ATS in games since Romo injury. Dallas 1-5 SU/ATS in its last six games vs the NFC South. Matt Cassel: 1-6 SU in his last seven road games
Lovie Smith just 1-10 SU at Raymond James since last year. Tampa 5-14-1 ATS as a Non-DIV home favorite and have 3-10 ATS run at home. Tampa is averaging 27.3 ppg in its last 4 games and held the Saints and Panthers to season lows in total yards. Bucs 12-3 ATS last 15 November games
CAROLINA at TENNESSEE League wide trend (Panthers): Road favorite playing non-division opponent after 3 straight home games: 16-33 ATS
Panthers have won 12 regular season games in a row. Panthers 3-0 SU and ATS away this season and have won and covered five straight on reg.-season road games. Carolina is 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS all-time as a visitor off three straight home games
After last week’s win, TEN is now 7-15-2 ATS as a dog and 7-22-1 ATS in their last 30 games. But, Tennessee is 3-1 vs. line at Nissan Stadium this season. Also, the dog to 6-1-1 ATS in Tennessee games this season (+ 83½ pts). Note that the Titans have not won a home game SU since October 2014.
CHICAGO at ST. LOUIS
Bears are traveling on a short week having just played at San Diego this past Monday. Chicago 2-14 ATS off a game with AFC opponent and on a 10-18 ATS run as a dog.
Only 4th time Rams favored by a touchdown or more last 10 seasons (3-0 ATS) Rams run 6-16 ATS as a favorite of 7+ points and 1-5 ATS as a home favorite
off a non-division game before back-to-back away games
NEW ORLEANS at WASHINGTON
Saints have covered 4 of last 6 and are on a 6-3-1 ATS run before the bye. Sean Payton off a loss: 24-11 ATS
Jay Gruden just 8-16 ATS since last season and Skins are 9-20ATS as a dog. Redskins have the 20[SUP]th[/SUP] ranked offense and have a 748-172 rushing yard deficit over their last 4 games! Also, Skins have lost 10 games by 17 or more points during the last two and one-half seasons and they have lost 20 of their last 27 games during November (0-4 SU last year). However, Wash is 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS in this series.
MIAMI at PHILADELPHIA
Miami 3-7 ATS last 10 away from Sun Life. But, the fish have won five of the past seven times when playing against non-division opponents (3-1 this season) and are a 31-18-1 ATS away dog. Miami is 8-1 ATS as a visitor in games off double-digit and back-to-back defeats when facing a non- division opponent. Road team in Miami games 66-49 ATS
Eagles have covered 9 of their last 13 at the Linc. Philly also 7-1 ATS as a Non-DIV home favorite. However, Eagles all time 5-20 ATS when favored in games after defeating the Cowboys and Eagles favored for second week in a row are 8-22 ATS.
CLEVELAND at PITTSBURGH
Browns lost last 11 SU at Heinz Field (4-7 ATS) but have covered 4 of last 8 as series visitor here. Browns underdogs under Mike Pettine: 11-6-1 ATS. Browns are 11-2 ATS away after facing the Bengals
The Steelers have won 25 of their 29 matchups against the Browns. Steelers -16 ½ pts ATS in the last 3 games and play down to their competition: 1-11-1 ATS vs sub .250 opponents
JACKSONVILLE at BALTIMORE
Jags 4-7-1 ATS last 11 as visitor but have covered last 2 on the road. Jags 8-0 ATS in away games before facing Tennessee
Ravens only 2-9 last 11 ATS in the regular season and have dropped last 6 ATS at home. However, Balt is 11-5 ATS under John Harbaugh after the bye, 26-14-1 ATS as a Non-DIV home favorite and 10-0 SU/ATS off the bye vs. non-div teams. Both Ravens wins this year by 3 pts (on last play; in OT). The dog is on a 13-2-1 ATS run when the Ravens take the field
MINNESOTA at OAKLAND
Viking QB Teddy Bridgewater left last week’s game with a concussion. Minny now 7 straight covers this year and have now covered 15 of their last 18 ATS. Also have won last 2 SU on road. MIN 14-3 ATS vs Non-DIV teams.
Since the 2002 SB appearance, Oakland has faced opponents with a .750 or better winning % 38 times and they are 14-24 ATS. Raiders 2-2 ATS at home this year but 5-2 vs. spread last 7 at Coliseum. Oakland is +44½ pts ATS in its last 7 games. Oakland has given up at least 250 passing yards in each of its last 10 games. Oakland is 4-14 ATS as a home favorite in games off 3 consecutive ATS wins in a row.
KANSAS CITY at DENVER
KC 0-7 ATS as a road team (not counting London). However, Reid is 16-3 ATS as a dog off a pair of SU/ATS wins and Chiefs are 20-11-1 ATS as division dogs versus teams off a SU favorite loss. Reid an NFL best 18-3 SU (15-6 ATS) off a bye (regular season and playoff) and 5-0 SU/ATS off bye vs opponents off a loss
Manning 7-0 SU, 5-2 ATS vs. KC since arriving at Denver in 2012. Broncos 18-8 ATS as reg.-season home chalk since 2012. Denver 8-2 ATS run after a loss and have a 16-4 ATS streak against the division. Peyton Manning after losing a game as a favorite (career): 18-22 ATS the next game
NEW ENGLAND at NY GIANTS – League wide trend (Pats): Road favorite playing non-division opponent after 3 straight home games: 16-33 ATS
Belicheat has lost three straight SU to the Giants. Pats 4-8 ATS last 12 as visiting chalk. NE 15-4-1 ATS streak against non-division opponents. New England’s average margin of victory this season is 16.6 points per game. Brady career 0-4 ATS in this series when the Giants are playing off a win. Patriots as a road favorite by 5+ are
20-11-2 ATS
Giants 9-4 ATS last 13 on board. NY is 14-0 ATS as a dog of 5+ pts off a SU win. Eli Manning: 10-1 SU and 8-2 ATS career against the AFC East and 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS against the Pats. Giants are an NFL best +11 turnovers
ARIZONA at SEATTLE
Arians 14-6 ATS on regular season road since 2013 and 12-6 ATS as dog past two seasons. Also, Cardinals under Arians are 15-1 ATS as a TD dog or less. Arizona 7-1 has ATS record with rest vs division opponents
Carroll 4-1 SU/ATS last five in this series, but just 2-5-1 ATS in 2015. Wilson is just 9/6 TD/INT with 31 sacks on the year. Seahawks run: 9-4-1 ATS vs the NFC West (4-1 ATS run vs ARZ). Seahawks 11-1 ATS prior to playing San Francisco
NFL
Loser Thursday with the Jets.
It was really pathetic to watch those two teams as that game wound down, still anybody's game. The Jets with their poor play calling and worse execution. Under 3 minutes. 2nd and goal from the 2. Two lost yardage runs into the line, then a fade thrown too much on the line for a player who cluelessly didn't even get his hands up as the ball sailed right over his head. And Buff calling time outs and running out of bounds as they tried to kill the clock. It's no wonder that these two teams are a combined 9-45 vs the Tom Brady Pats. And Miami isn't much better at 8-19. Thank God I'm from New England.
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YTD 42-35-1 +590
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Sunday:
The REAL Stinkers are back
Detroit +10' -113 (@ GBy)
Since 2001, Week 10 Double Digit Dividional Road Dogs are 9-2 ATS.
Washington -1 +102 (vs NOr)
Which NFL team has allowed the most passing TDs over the past three weeks? Yep. The Aints. You're about to see why RG III was benched for Kirk Cousins.
Cleveland +5' -110 (@ Pit)
Since 2001, Week 10 Division Road Dogs are 36-24. 11-6 if between +3' and +6' points.
Kansas City +4 -101 (@ Denver)
Ditto for Cleveland's explantaion.
Loser Thursday with the Jets.
It was really pathetic to watch those two teams as that game wound down, still anybody's game. The Jets with their poor play calling and worse execution. Under 3 minutes. 2nd and goal from the 2. Two lost yardage runs into the line, then a fade thrown too much on the line for a player who cluelessly didn't even get his hands up as the ball sailed right over his head. And Buff calling time outs and running out of bounds as they tried to kill the clock. It's no wonder that these two teams are a combined 9-45 vs the Tom Brady Pats. And Miami isn't much better at 8-19. Thank God I'm from New England.
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YTD 42-35-1 +590
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Sunday:
The REAL Stinkers are back
Detroit +10' -113 (@ GBy)
Since 2001, Week 10 Double Digit Dividional Road Dogs are 9-2 ATS.
Washington -1 +102 (vs NOr)
Which NFL team has allowed the most passing TDs over the past three weeks? Yep. The Aints. You're about to see why RG III was benched for Kirk Cousins.
Cleveland +5' -110 (@ Pit)
Since 2001, Week 10 Division Road Dogs are 36-24. 11-6 if between +3' and +6' points.
Kansas City +4 -101 (@ Denver)
Ditto for Cleveland's explantaion.
Hard to say with Jones at QB. In the last 10 times they have played the Steelers have beaten them by DD six times. Cleveland can't stop the run and I'm sure Williams will have 120 yards - Williams is averaging 125 yards rushing per game and 5.5 yards per carry in the three games he has started for Le'Veon Bell.
Steelers D nothing to write home about but Johnny will have 2 turnovers. I can see it 24-10 but that is if Jones doesn't throw 2 picks.
Still pissed about LAST WEEK'S Steeler's Bullshit!
4-2 yesterday now 58-79 Foots / Hoops hit 5 of last 6 but still squished by the sneaker at 18-21.
Some of you may ak yourselves, "he does this for a living." Ah, but he is a much sharper bettor than he is a picker."
Last week I played backnforth with 44 and 47.5 in the LSU-Bama game. Yesterday I drilled a ni$e hole in the Mavs-Rockets Total. Don't worry about me boys. Except for my blood pressure that is.....
4-2 yesterday now 58-79 Foots / Hoops hit 5 of last 6 but still squished by the sneaker at 18-21.
Some of you may ak yourselves, "he does this for a living." Ah, but he is a much sharper bettor than he is a picker."
Last week I played backnforth with 44 and 47.5 in the LSU-Bama game. Yesterday I drilled a ni$e hole in the Mavs-Rockets Total. Don't worry about me boys. Except for my blood pressure that is.....
Few Tidbits:
DET lost ATS at GB last year when a made 2 point conversion was reversed by replay.
DAL is 9-2 ATS on the Road if 0-2 SU in previous 2 Road.
TEN is 2-16 ATS off a Win by 4 or more
MIA is 8-0 game 9 or after as a Road Dog off a Road game.
Favs after DAL are 3-18 ATS (against PHI and SEA)
CLE 2-19 SU Road vs Division, 16 of the Losses by 6 or more.
Reid 14-2 SU after Bye.
DEN 45-15 OVER as Favs.
NYG last 2 games SUL the Win by 10 or more (dumb lateral plays included) next game = 23-4 ATS.
SEA last 9 Division Home Games combined score = SEA 231, Opponent 71
SEA 14-2 SU+ATS Home vs Div.
DET lost ATS at GB last year when a made 2 point conversion was reversed by replay.
DAL is 9-2 ATS on the Road if 0-2 SU in previous 2 Road.
TEN is 2-16 ATS off a Win by 4 or more
MIA is 8-0 game 9 or after as a Road Dog off a Road game.
Favs after DAL are 3-18 ATS (against PHI and SEA)
CLE 2-19 SU Road vs Division, 16 of the Losses by 6 or more.
Reid 14-2 SU after Bye.
DEN 45-15 OVER as Favs.
NYG last 2 games SUL the Win by 10 or more (dumb lateral plays included) next game = 23-4 ATS.
SEA last 9 Division Home Games combined score = SEA 231, Opponent 71
SEA 14-2 SU+ATS Home vs Div.
