Poly Forum Picks and Game Discussion Thread (ongoing....)

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Winner Monday with Chicago +4 -102
YTD 42-34-1 +700

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Week 10 since 2001

HF 58
HD 30
RF 32
RD 78

Div HF 24
Div HD 10
Div RF 17
Div RD 36

Spotlight Div HF 7
Spotlight Div RD 7

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Thursday

NY Jets -2 -110 (vs Beefalos)

So by my measurements I think that Buffalo with Tyrod Taylor behind center is the best team here.

But we just saw this NFL betting lesson on Sunday afternoon when Peyton went back to his old stomping grounds in Indy. Indy circled that game as soon as the schedule came out and said no f'n way is Peyton coming back into this Dome to beat us. He didn't.

Using the same lesson here as the Jetskis likely circled this game as soon as the schedule came out, saying no way is Not really sexy Rexy coming back here to beat us.
 

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Foots 1-1, 54-76 / Hoop 2-0, 15-20

So last year we had this major blizzard in Buffalo and those poor Bills were stuck in their mansions all week and could not practice. The game was moved to MNF, the $ poured in on the Jets...... and naturally the money went to #FeedTheBookies when Buffalo curbstomped the Jets. In tonight's matchup the Jets just had a 'struggle' vs JAX, and they're 14-3 ATS at Home off a Home game. BUF destroyed MIA, and they are 3-27 ATS after defeating MIA in their previous game. So NYJ -2 for this guy.

LAC is going to go to -3 at some point. Probably 5 minutes after I hit the 'Submit' button. PHX +2.5 ......
 
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NBA
yest 5-1 +397
YTD 16-14 +132

Thursday:

Mammy -4 -103 (vs Youts)
Skinny Minny +9 +105 (vs GS)
Fee nix +2 +102 (vs Clip)
 

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Friday

Colorado+18


Saturday

Charlotte+4
Indiana +12.5
Illinois +16
Texas +9
Unlv/col st over 59.5
Ariz St-2.5
minn/Iowa under 45.5
South Carolina+7.5
oklahoma +2.5


Sunday

dallas+1.5
eagles-6
tenn +5.5
denver-5.5
seattle-3
 
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NBA
yest 1-2 -101
YTD 17-16 +31

Friday:

Okey Dokey -13 -107 (vs Philly Dilly)
Mump piss -6' -110 (vs Portly)
Harlot +6' -102 (@ Bullies)
Done ver +6' -107 (vs You stoned)
 

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Saturday 11-14-15

Tulane +3
K State +5 1/2
Miami Fl +13
Washington +2 1/2
Utah State - 2 1/2

NCAAF YTD: 25-23-2 +805
NFL YTD: 26-25-2 (30)
 

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+50, Net -806, 2U Open 6.5 Teaser Betpop.
Finally like a side enough to bet without teasers. 1U Bills +3(-115) Carib. Wanted to lock in the 3, it seems to be disappearing or getting heavily juiced.


Filled 2U 6.5 Open Teaser with Rams (-.5)
+100, Net -706
1/2 U Ariz +3
1/2 U Cleve +6(Sportsbook.ag)
Pissed that I missed Tenn +6.
 

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NCAAF record is 20-14-2 (+$477)
MLB record is 0-3 (-$303)
NBA record is 0-1 (-$100)
NFL record is 0-1 (-$100)

TULANE at ARMY
Army 0-2 as chalk this year and 6-16 ATS last 22 in role. Wave has covered 3 in a row and 4 of last 6. Tulane held Navy to season lows in rush (133) and total yards (291) the last time they saw the triple option.

Play: TULANE +2½ (-103)

TEMPLE at SOUTH FLORIDA
Bulls 7-2 ATS this year and Taggart 4-0 ATS at home in 2015. The third road game in four weeks for Temple and so I’m taking the home dog.

Play: SOUTH FLORIDA +3 (-115)

KANSAS STATE at TEXAS TECH
In the series, K-State has won 4 straight SU/ATS and two of those have been blowout wins (TT yielding 48 ppg to K-State during that run). Snyder is 3-2 ATS as dog this year (1 score games with heavies TCU, Baylor, and OK St) are 19-9 ATS as dog since 2011 and Wildcats 13-4 ATS as visiting dog since 2010. Tech has lost 3 in a row and are 6-10 ATS as a home favorite. TT Defense has now been on the field for 822 snaps the most of any FBS team and is yielding the 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] most yards after catch in FBS.

Play: Kansas State +5½ (-108)

OKLAHOMA at BAYLOR
Briles is 3-1 SU and ATS last four in series. Bears scored 89 points last 2 matchups against OU. Baylor +328 ypg at home averaging 59 ppg in their last 9 home games and are 27-10 ATS as a home favorite. Have to go with the home team.

Play: Baylor -2½ (-108)


GL and enjoy your Saturday.
 

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I'm really, really perplexed by this Texas/WVU line. Texas has won and covered last two meetings and WVU are on 0-5 ATS run. Mounties 3-13 ATS last 16 as Morgantown chalk.
How in the hell are the Mounties laying 8½?

I tend to stay away from games where the line makes no sense, so I will here but this stands out like a sore thumb.
 

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Ace the line also considers Texas' Road futility, 0-3 and outscored by a combined 10-110 in those games.
 

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True Scott. With this year's TX team you don't know who will show up. That game at TCU was a disgraceful performance.

I guess my anti-WVU bias is shading my view on the game too. I'm staying away from it.
 

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Notable ATS Stats today:

PIT 12-1 ATS off 2SUL since 2007

USF 16 of 17 UNDER after a Win by 1-6 points

Northwestern 3-14 ATS as Fav if facing team off Loss by 10+

Texas 26-4 SU vs non Top 25 teams

Navy 0-14 ATS at Home off SU Win as Dog since 1995

Dog in Arizona games is 27-4 in 10th game or later of Season
 

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158 FSU -7

168 WVU -8.5 (Marco 5%)

182 LSU -6.5

185 WASH +3

204 ZONA +6.5

207 FLORIDA -7
 
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NCAAF - 12-13 (-2.3)
NFL - 16-22 (-6.9)
NBA - 20-16 (+3.15)

Baylor -2.5
Kansas State +5
South Carolina +7.5
Ohio St -16.5
 

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