Poly Forum Picks and Game Discussion Thread (ongoing....)

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Buy on bad news, sell on good news - I agree with this for the most part. I just wish the oddsmaker had bought into public perception a little more and opened up Indy as a dog.

For THAT you would have needed 'Titans 42, Browns 6' :)
 

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KC Royals present a good argument that the MLB Season(s) are too long. They were ready to start 2015 a couple of days after elimination last year. They obviously are having trouble maintaining focus right now.
 

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Dodgers killing another good Angle tonight - Since 5-11-15 they are 9-0 at Home after a Home Loss if also on a 3 game losing streak. On the ropes....
 

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Dodgers killing another good Angle tonight - Since 5-11-15 they are 9-0 at Home after a Home Loss if also on a 3 game losing streak. On the ropes....

Good spot for a live bet hoping they don't extend the lead to 4.

Pending Bets
TicketAcceptedEvent DateTypeDescriptionRiskingto WinWager Status
502101277-1

1
9:11pm 22-Sep-157:10pm 22-Sep-15Baseball
Handicap
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers (+3) for Game.-1361,360.001,000.00Pending
1,360.00
 

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If Vit's back, I'm back. -$90 after the Tyrod Taylor Fiasco.

Week 1 was a Great week for 7 Point teasers. Hopefully this week is equally as good for 6 Pointers: All U based on $100.
1/2 U Hous (-.5) and Ariz (-.5) (+100 at Betmania)
1 U Hous (-.5) and Dallas (+7.5) (+100 at Betmania)
3/4 U on those 3 (+180 at Betmania)
1 U Hous (-.5) and OPEN SPOT(-105 at Betpop)- Betmania/Skybook doesn't allow open teasers. Hous is my best 6 point teaser for the week. May close it this week, may not, depending on other lines.
3/4 U Dolphins (-2.5) over Bills at Sportsbook.ag made yesterday. Think Buff is due for a very flat spot after the emotions of Patriots at Home week.
1/2 U Lions (+3) at Betonline when they had it up. I'm expecting Stafford to play and Detroit to give a great effort, and don't think Denver's much. If Stafford isn't playing, I'm screwed with the line, but will probably bet more on Det at the higher line, even with Orlovsky.
 

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If Vit's back, I'm back. -$90 after the Tyrod Taylor Fiasco.

Week 1 was a Great week for 7 Point teasers. Hopefully this week is equally as good for 6 Pointers: All U based on $100.
1/2 U Hous (-.5) and Ariz (-.5) (+100 at Betmania)
1 U Hous (-.5) and Dallas (+7.5) (+100 at Betmania)
3/4 U on those 3 (+180 at Betmania)
1 U Hous (-.5) and OPEN SPOT(-105 at Betpop)- Betmania/Skybook doesn't allow open teasers. Hous is my best 6 point teaser for the week. May close it this week, may not, depending on other lines.
3/4 U Dolphins (-2.5) over Bills at Sportsbook.ag made yesterday. Think Buff is due for a very flat spot after the emotions of Patriots at Home week.
1/2 U Lions (+3) at Betonline when they had it up. I'm expecting Stafford to play and Detroit to give a great effort, and don't think Denver's much. If Stafford isn't playing, I'm screwed with the line, but will probably bet more on Det at the higher line, even with Orlovsky.
An added note. GB is also a great 6 Point Teaser option this week, but I don't ever bet against the Chiefs in meaningful games, so it's not on any of my tickets.
 

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If Vit's back, I'm back. -$90 after the Tyrod Taylor Fiasco.

Week 1 was a Great week for 7 Point teasers. Hopefully this week is equally as good for 6 Pointers: All U based on $100.
1/2 U Hous (-.5) and Ariz (-.5) (+100 at Betmania)
1 U Hous (-.5) and Dallas (+7.5) (+100 at Betmania)
3/4 U on those 3 (+180 at Betmania)
1 U Hous (-.5) and OPEN SPOT(-105 at Betpop)- Betmania/Skybook doesn't allow open teasers. Hous is my best 6 point teaser for the week. May close it this week, may not, depending on other lines.
3/4 U Dolphins (-2.5) over Bills at Sportsbook.ag made yesterday. Think Buff is due for a very flat spot after the emotions of Patriots at Home week.
1/2 U Lions (+3) at Betonline when they had it up. I'm expecting Stafford to play and Detroit to give a great effort, and don't think Denver's much. If Stafford isn't playing, I'm screwed with the line, but will probably bet more on Det at the higher line, even with Orlovsky.

FUCK. I just saw Power Sweep has my 3 Teaser teams as his 4(Hous), 3(Ariz), and 2(Dallas)* Games this week. I am Screwed, hard.
 

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Records carried over from pick forums

baseball 89-73(+17,355)

ncaaf 11-12(-2200)

NFL 5-11(-7100)
 

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Guesser go to every one of your Outs and fill in that 3 team Teaser as a 3 Team ML Parlay, and both 2 Teamers as ML Parlays instead. Before submitting see what the payout is. At most Books it's usually a higher return, especially if the ATS number is 6-7.

Good to see you here :103631605
 

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Guesser go to every one of your Outs and fill in that 3 team Teaser as a 3 Team ML Parlay, and both 2 Teamers as ML Parlays instead. Before submitting see what the payout is. At most Books it's usually a higher return, especially if the ATS number is 6-7.

Good to see you here :103631605

Thanks. That's good advice, and I usually do check that. Thanks for reminding me. Invariably, the teaser at a Teaser advantage shop like BetMania or BetPop is a better price. I'm teasing Dallas to over a TD dog, so it doesn't apply to those particular bets. Here's the best payout I can get on a Money Line parlay using Hous and Zona at any of my books. Also, lots of times the best ML Combo is at 2 different books.

  1. 9/27/2015 1:00 PM NFL Football 466 Houston Texans* -275 vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  2. 9/27/2015 4:05 PM NFL Football 482 Arizona Cardinals* -255 vs San Francisco 49ers
Risking $100.00 To Win $89.84

The Teaser payout is better. That may change if the lines on Zona and Hous go down, but they could also go up, so I like to lock it in early when I have the number(s) I'm looking for.
If you're fasting today, have an easy fast.
 

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Thanks you too. Not eating. Not gambling. Not posting :)

(Sigh) When it comes to observance I'm all in or all out. The only reason I ever went to Shul was to stand next to my Dad on one of his rare off days. I swear he worked at the pharmacy 60 hours a week, all of it on his feet. He didn't intend to raise an agnostic. But when the Philly schools went on strike in '73 and he sent me to private school I got to see how the Orthodox lived. The expriment backfired and the kid rebelled.
 

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Guesser you just gave me a good idea. Catscan is 40 minutes away tomorrow at 9:45. Cemetery is another 10 minutes in the same direction.
Or is it a good idea? Cry hard enough and my fucking nose..... Fuck it, I'm going!
 

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Pac 12 opens Conference Play this week with 5 battles. Home field was no advantage in this league last year as the travellers went 33-21 SU and 33-20-1 ATS.
 

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Illinois -13.5 ...... Another System that's made me coin over many years - Take any Big Ten team in their first meeting of the Season vs a MAC school if the B10 team is at Home = 65-6 SU / 49-22 ATS. Also just noting the OVER = 40-29-2 in these games. Illinois chews up $ as Faves but Kent has lost 23 out of their last 28 Away vs Major Conferences by 20 or more since 2000.

The above game did win, but the ATS for this so far is underwater at 2-4. The reason I brought this post up is this week are the last 2 Plays, NW and Purdue. I have not capped these games individually yet so no plays yet this week. But wanted to focus here on the SU and NOT the ATS. The System is now 70-7 SU and Purdue is PICK this week vs Bowling Green...... Also note MSU does not count in the System this week as they've already faced a MAC foe.
 
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yest 5-7 +250
YTD 317-361 +7628

2x 25-13 +3226
3x 17-12 +1179
5x 1-0 +500

Wednesday starter:

LAA +153 (@ Hous)
 

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I should just follow Mich.

Back down in the 4 digits (-$1029) again after an 0fer Tuesday.

NYM -1.5 +100 / CIN +156 / TOR -1.5 +105
 
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Thanks JDeuce. Been lucky.

Add Wednesday Eve:

Bal +161 (@ Wash)
NYY +165 (@ Tor)
3x Bos -118 (vs TBy)
2x Bos -1' +167
NYM -1' -103 (vs Atl)
Mia -1' +121 (vs Phi)
Sea +167 (@ KCy)
St L -1' +136 (vs Cin)
2x Col +126 (vs Pit)
LAD -1' +144 (vs Azo)
SDo -1' +203 (vs SFo)

Thanks
 

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