Poly Forum Picks and Game Discussion Thread (ongoing....)

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Here are two props tonight that are anti-correlated....think 2-0 is more likely than 0-2

Ivory under 77.5 yards +105
Marshall under 61.5 receiving yards -105

Vontae Davis is a top 3-4 CB in the league and he is expected to be on Marshall all night. If the Jets get down then Marshall could catch a lot underneath and get to the # but Davis really plays well against bigger WRs. AJ Green, Demaryius and Watkins last week are his last 3 games, all were shutdown. Still if Fitz has to air it out in the 3rd and 4th then Marshall could get to the #. If that happens as far as gameflow, Ivory probably isn't getting to 77.5 yards, he is banged up and had a perfect matchup week 1 since the Browns were pretty much useless. Indy should have the lead in this game.

If Indy doesn't have the lead then I think Ivory probably gets over and Marshall goes under.

These are on 5D
 
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yest 6-6 +296
YTD 309-350 +7265

Monday:

Bal +134 (@ Wash)
NYY +214 (@ Tor)
Gm 2 Det -104 (vs CWS)
Bos +109 (vs TBy)
2x NYM -1' +125 (vs Atl)
LAA +179 (@ Hou)
Cin +154 (@ St L)
Azo +158 (@ LAD)

Thanks
 
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NFL 9-7 +150

Seattle line was +3' -108

Monday

Andrew Luck has played in 10 "spotlight" games. He is 8-2 to either lose or win by 6 or fewer points.

And he and his team don't play very well in the season's first two games either. His record in those games is 2-5 both SU and ATS.

NY Jets +6 -108

GL guys
 

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Marshall is now -125 on that prop to go under
Ivory is now -135 to go under

Don't really like them as much at that juice.
 

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Here are two props tonight that are anti-correlated....think 2-0 is more likely than 0-2

Ivory under 77.5 yards +105
Marshall under 61.5 receiving yards -105

Vontae Davis is a top 3-4 CB in the league and he is expected to be on Marshall all night. If the Jets get down then Marshall could catch a lot underneath and get to the # but Davis really plays well against bigger WRs. AJ Green, Demaryius and Watkins last week are his last 3 games, all were shutdown. Still if Fitz has to air it out in the 3rd and 4th then Marshall could get to the #. If that happens as far as gameflow, Ivory probably isn't getting to 77.5 yards, he is banged up and had a perfect matchup week 1 since the Browns were pretty much useless. Indy should have the lead in this game.

If Indy doesn't have the lead then I think Ivory probably gets over and Marshall goes under.

These are on 5D

Good job on the Jets +6 guys

Ivory goes under

Marshall could've maybe gone under but Davis got a concussion 1st half and it was over after that.

I think both these plays lose most of the time that the Jets win 20-7 so pretty good suckout to just get to 1-1
 

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So now everyone will assume INDY is a bad football team as they are now 0-2 after getting pounded by BUF and strangled by NYJ. But INDY also opened 0-2 last year with both games out of the division, and last year's second loss in Game #2 was also as an MNF Home Favorite. What happened after that? 5 straight Wins including 3 blowouts and a 13-3 SU Run until they got demolished in the conference final vs NE. INDY's next 3 are in the division. INDY is 13-0 SU and 12-0-1 ATS vs their own division. The combined score of those games is INDY 384, Opponent 182. I won't be paying -125 to lay -3 at Tennessee but if this goes to 3-110 count me in.
 

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That is tempting.

Manziel went to work on the Titans, tough to think Luck and co. won't in a must win.
 
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MLB yest 3-4 +113
YTD 312-354 +7378

NFL yest 1-0 +100
YTD 10-7 +250

Tuesday:

Bal +136 (@ Wash)
Bos -112 (vs TBy)
NYM -1' +106 (vs Atl)
Mia -1' +125 (vs Phi)
Milw +268 (@ Cub)
KCy -104 (vs Sea)
KCy -1' +202
LAA +161 (@ Hou)
Cincy +179 (@ St L)
3x Tex -131 (@ Oak)
2x Tex -1' +125
SFo +119 (@ SDo)

Thanks
 

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Last night I had a loser in Football but I got back $325 with 3 MLB winners.

Tuesday = NYM -1.5 Runs +105 / LAD -1.5 Runs +130 / TOR -1.5 Runs +180 / OAK +120
 
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Last night I had a loser in Football but I got back $325 with 3 MLB winners.

Tuesday = NYM -1.5 Runs +105 / LAD -1.5 Runs +130 / TOR -1.5 Runs +180 / OAK +120

I'm using part of my freeplay that I won last night at BetDSI to go with Oakland.

GL
 

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GL Zit. I took OAK because I noticed while capping the card today that at the start of their last 5 Road Trips TEX lost Game #1 and won Game #2. The last 2 trips began with shutout losses. So hoping for an OAK win and a shot to reverse Sides tomorrow.
 

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Welcome Back Vitterd!





***All Posters thoughts on games, teams, etc are welcome here. However, please note that from now on abuse of another poster will be smashed with a heavy hand. Now I don't mean little stuff asking whether a line is correct, telling someone, "Hey, I hope things turn around for ya," or even a slight joke etc. I mean bashing. If you bash another poster, call them a loser, question whether they actually bet, harass, demean, etc. I will put it in the hands of a mod. Don't say you weren't warned.




***Maintain your own records. If you lie it's on you. If you post something that's just for info and you don't want it to be an *official* pick then say so.
 

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ATL is 1-24 last 25 Road games that were not in Philly or Miami. 36 of ATL last 37 Losses have been by 2 or more Runs.



TOR: 39 of last 42 Wins have been by 2 or more Runs. So why lay ML when you can get such a return laying the 1.5 instead? At least until they win a few by a single run and reverse the trend?
 

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So now everyone will assume INDY is a bad football team as they are now 0-2 after getting pounded by BUF and strangled by NYJ. But INDY also opened 0-2 last year with both games out of the division, and last year's second loss in Game #2 was also as an MNF Home Favorite. What happened after that? 5 straight Wins including 3 blowouts and a 13-3 SU Run until they got demolished in the conference final vs NE. INDY's next 3 are in the division. INDY is 13-0 SU and 12-0-1 ATS vs their own division. The combined score of those games is INDY 384, Opponent 182. I won't be paying -125 to lay -3 at Tennessee but if this goes to 3-110 count me in.

Buy on bad news, sell on good news - I agree with this for the most part. I just wish the oddsmaker had bought into public perception a little more and opened up Indy as a dog.
 

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