Checking in with some bowl information.
Bowl teams that outrush and have greater time of possession than their opponents are a good play (5-2 Last Year). Teams that outrush and TOP this year:
NEW MEXICO
SAN DIEGO STATE
APPALACHIAN STATE
WESTERN KENTUCKY
WYOMING
NAVY
ARMY
TEMPLE
PITTSBURGH
WEST VIRGINIA
UTAH
KANSAS STATE
COLORADO
STANFORD
AIR FORCE
GEORGIA TECH
LOUISVILLE
ALABAMA
OHIO STATE
USC
One other note: bowl dogs that out-rush a .sub 700 opponent are a good play. This includes:
IOWA
AUBURN
TCU
MINNESOTA
Bowl teams that outrush and have greater time of possession than their opponents are a good play (5-2 Last Year). Teams that outrush and TOP this year:
NEW MEXICO
SAN DIEGO STATE
APPALACHIAN STATE
WESTERN KENTUCKY
WYOMING
NAVY
ARMY
TEMPLE
PITTSBURGH
WEST VIRGINIA
UTAH
KANSAS STATE
COLORADO
STANFORD
AIR FORCE
GEORGIA TECH
LOUISVILLE
ALABAMA
OHIO STATE
USC
One other note: bowl dogs that out-rush a .sub 700 opponent are a good play. This includes:
IOWA
AUBURN
TCU
MINNESOTA
--Every team that lost their conference championship game lost both SU and ATS last bowl season. Most of the games were not close. This year
Ohio U
La Tech
Colorado
Florida
Va Tech
Wisconsin
All are play against teams.
--- The line came into play only 5 times last bowl season. With only 1 game having an ATS result this year, the line has been in play only 13 times in the last 121 bowl games (9%)
If you're betting underdogs with the line at (-110 or -108) you are wasting money. If you like the dog, take the money line!
Ohio U
La Tech
Colorado
Florida
Va Tech
Wisconsin
All are play against teams.
--- The line came into play only 5 times last bowl season. With only 1 game having an ATS result this year, the line has been in play only 13 times in the last 121 bowl games (9%)
If you're betting underdogs with the line at (-110 or -108) you are wasting money. If you like the dog, take the money line!
Thanks Ace. I posted #4071 in a Saturday NCAAF thread.
Teams who won Conf Cship Game went 5-0 in Bowls last year.
Above is 2-0 already this year, San Diego St and Wky.
Teams who lost Conf Cship Game were 0-7 ATS in Bowls. The disparity is because 2 CCG Winners played each other last year. Also, you can add Navy and Wyoming to your loser list above.
Teams who won Conf Cship Game went 5-0 in Bowls last year.
Above is 2-0 already this year, San Diego St and Wky.
Teams who lost Conf Cship Game were 0-7 ATS in Bowls. The disparity is because 2 CCG Winners played each other last year. Also, you can add Navy and Wyoming to your loser list above.
Re Navy: So it's an angle to be manipulated depending upon this year's result.
So far we have:
Play On Conf Cship Winner in next (or Bowl) game, unless 2 Winners play each other (playoffs game #1 last year) = 5-0 last year, and 2-0 this year
Play Against Conf Cship Loser in next game = 7-0 last year, and 1-0 this year. If Navy covers we keep angle at "next game." If Navy fails we keep angle as "Bowl game."
So far we have:
Play On Conf Cship Winner in next (or Bowl) game, unless 2 Winners play each other (playoffs game #1 last year) = 5-0 last year, and 2-0 this year
Play Against Conf Cship Loser in next game = 7-0 last year, and 1-0 this year. If Navy covers we keep angle at "next game." If Navy fails we keep angle as "Bowl game."
