Reiterating an earlier post: Most of these Bowls are not worth playing. When I first started capping 35 years ago there were half this many teams in the rotation. If you and your brothers had a great season you were rewarded with a Bowl game. Usually the game was a week or 2 later and everybody wanted to win. Sometimes there were even previous matchups to study between the two Bowl opponents.
Now there is months off between games, suspensions for goat fucking, and guys who don't participate because they're getting ready for the draft. Heck, half the time your coach is coaching his first game while the coach who led you to your 10-2 record is in the stands at another Bowl game watching the team he'll be coaching the following season play in their Bowl game.
Most of these Bowls are a Bookie Bonanza. They are not worth the risk. Good money management now calls on either 1) passing on the entire charade, 2) figuring out who the public is on if you're astute at that and betting the other Side, or 3) throwing a Ben Franklin on EVERY UNDERDOG. Because how can you win when you can no longer figure out who cares?
Very careful and selective so far with these Bowls. Went to sleep ready to play North Texas. Lost that feeking when I woke up. Oh well.... Football =117-105 / Hoop = 54-43 recovering the Xmas money last night. Tonight I look to make more money directly as a result of the Christmas results.
Now there is months off between games, suspensions for goat fucking, and guys who don't participate because they're getting ready for the draft. Heck, half the time your coach is coaching his first game while the coach who led you to your 10-2 record is in the stands at another Bowl game watching the team he'll be coaching the following season play in their Bowl game.
Most of these Bowls are a Bookie Bonanza. They are not worth the risk. Good money management now calls on either 1) passing on the entire charade, 2) figuring out who the public is on if you're astute at that and betting the other Side, or 3) throwing a Ben Franklin on EVERY UNDERDOG. Because how can you win when you can no longer figure out who cares?
Very careful and selective so far with these Bowls. Went to sleep ready to play North Texas. Lost that feeking when I woke up. Oh well.... Football =117-105 / Hoop = 54-43 recovering the Xmas money last night. Tonight I look to make more money directly as a result of the Christmas results.
Scott is it ok if I copy and paste some of my post that I have already made in another sub forum?
I am not really a capper like you guy's I am more focused on #'s and money management.
Right now I am only playing 1st Half favorites using three 40 unit bankrolls.
The idea is to play aggressive with the first 40 unit bankroll until I double it or lose it.
So have 120 units set aside but hopefully will only need one 40 u br or maybe 2.
Updated on this angle
Teams that outrush and TOP this year:
NEW MEXICO
SAN DIEGO STATE
APPALACHIAN STATE
WESTERN KENTUCKY
WYOMING
NAVY
ARMY
TEMPLE
PITTSBURGH
WEST VIRGINIA
UTAH
KANSAS STATE
COLORADO
STANFORD
AIR FORCE
GEORGIA TECH
LOUISVILLE
ALABAMA
OHIO STATE
USC
One other note: bowl dogs that out-rush a .sub 700 opponent are a good play. This includes:
IOWA
TCU
MINNESOTA
-I think it will turn out that the out rush/TOP angle should just be dogs.
Teams that outrush and TOP this year:
NEW MEXICO
SAN DIEGO STATE
APPALACHIAN STATE
WESTERN KENTUCKY
WYOMING
NAVY
ARMY
TEMPLE
PITTSBURGH
WEST VIRGINIA
UTAH
KANSAS STATE
COLORADO
STANFORD
AIR FORCE
GEORGIA TECH
LOUISVILLE
ALABAMA
OHIO STATE
USC
One other note: bowl dogs that out-rush a .sub 700 opponent are a good play. This includes:
IOWA
TCU
MINNESOTA
-I think it will turn out that the out rush/TOP angle should just be dogs.
Just some info. to get everyone on the same page since 11-9-16 I have made 118% of my initial bankroll.
Average around 2 plays per day. Have made the system much stronger since 11-9-16 due to some fine tuning.
On monday 12-26-16 went to my latest change making my bankroll 40 units x 3 = 120 units total.
Mon. 12-26-16, now playing to Win 3 units out of a 40 unit bankroll.
3/40 = .075 or 7.5% of bankroll. This is just to play #1 if lose 4 in a row
will lose around 40 units.
I have set aside 3 - 40 unit bankrolls or 120 units.
If lose the 1st 40u br will play my 2nd 40u br but hopefully this will not
happen until I make 20 or 40 units first.
To keep the math simple I will start over with my calculations
right now I am 0 - 0 - 0 for this new 40 unit br.
My last post yesterday:
Tues. 1 - 1 + .84 unit
Need to win for #2 on Wed. 2.94u x 1.2 = 3.53 unit
Overall 1W - 2L - 2.31 units
So tonight my first post here will be to win 3.53 units since I lost #1 - 2.94 units.
The play will be 1st Half only and I will sell 1/2 point to keep the juice close
to even money when possible.
Most likely will have 2 plays tonight in the NBA.
I wait until 1 to 1.5 hours before game to place my bet always at 5Dimes.
I have to wait so I can make sure all the #'s in my system tell me I have a play.
If I win go back to #1 to win 3.0 units.
If lose 4 in a row also go back to #1 with the 2nd bankroll.
I just play for chump change so as my bankroll grows I
raise the size of my unit.
If you already have a 100 unit bankroll and play $100 per unit.
I would recommend you consider making 3 - 40 unit bankrolls
with smaller units or just paper trade until you see if this is
going to work or not.
Back later with my #2 play GL and TY for letting me post here!!!
Average around 2 plays per day. Have made the system much stronger since 11-9-16 due to some fine tuning.
On monday 12-26-16 went to my latest change making my bankroll 40 units x 3 = 120 units total.
Mon. 12-26-16, now playing to Win 3 units out of a 40 unit bankroll.
3/40 = .075 or 7.5% of bankroll. This is just to play #1 if lose 4 in a row
will lose around 40 units.
I have set aside 3 - 40 unit bankrolls or 120 units.
If lose the 1st 40u br will play my 2nd 40u br but hopefully this will not
happen until I make 20 or 40 units first.
To keep the math simple I will start over with my calculations
right now I am 0 - 0 - 0 for this new 40 unit br.
My last post yesterday:
Tues. 1 - 1 + .84 unit
Need to win for #2 on Wed. 2.94u x 1.2 = 3.53 unit
Overall 1W - 2L - 2.31 units
So tonight my first post here will be to win 3.53 units since I lost #1 - 2.94 units.
The play will be 1st Half only and I will sell 1/2 point to keep the juice close
to even money when possible.
Most likely will have 2 plays tonight in the NBA.
I wait until 1 to 1.5 hours before game to place my bet always at 5Dimes.
I have to wait so I can make sure all the #'s in my system tell me I have a play.
If I win go back to #1 to win 3.0 units.
If lose 4 in a row also go back to #1 with the 2nd bankroll.
I just play for chump change so as my bankroll grows I
raise the size of my unit.
If you already have a 100 unit bankroll and play $100 per unit.
I would recommend you consider making 3 - 40 unit bankrolls
with smaller units or just paper trade until you see if this is
going to work or not.
Back later with my #2 play GL and TY for letting me post here!!!
Ty, I waited had a very close play on Golden St. 1st Half -6 -103 but it never became a play.
Not one team in the nba or college sports was a play this system has around 12 filters if
a team does not make it through all 12 filters then no play.
Have not tried this system with the nhl and most likely never will.
Looking at the results of people I follow this was a bad night for the sports bettor.
Usually Tuesday and Wednesday are good for the sports bettor since they are
broke from betting Thur. night through Monday night.
I have a lot of theories my guess is this is going to be a bloodbath until Tuesday 1-3-17
by then all bettors will be broke so Tuesday 1- 3 -17 just bet on the obvious teams and maybe
wednesday.
Should have 1 or 2 on Thursday night prime time. May get 3 plays per day after that.
This system is so good at filtering out the losers for example when they come really
close like G. st. above usually that play will lose but I have not documented that info yet!!!
GL and be back Thursday night.
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That's gotta be 9 of the last 10 years that GSW scored the last basket to cover at Home vs TOR. TOR couldn't make a layup at the end, Carroll got stuffed twice. Durant knew the ATS#. Hit all 3 of my Hoop last night = 57-45. FB remained 57-45 until I blew the Halftime (well #83 dropped the OVER) Total = 57-46.
Dogs covered the last 3 Bowl games last year but that sill left Favs on a 14-5 run. Bowl Favs are 33-34 last 67, but Dogs on a streak now 27-8 last 35 according to my Closing Lines. And now this afternoon we have TWO BOWLS that have sen the FAVE go 4-0 in BOTH each of the last 4 years. So which trend do we follow? Or do we just say Fuck It and grab the SEC getting TD+ in 2 games?
Dogs covered the last 3 Bowl games last year but that sill left Favs on a 14-5 run. Bowl Favs are 33-34 last 67, but Dogs on a streak now 27-8 last 35 according to my Closing Lines. And now this afternoon we have TWO BOWLS that have sen the FAVE go 4-0 in BOTH each of the last 4 years. So which trend do we follow? Or do we just say Fuck It and grab the SEC getting TD+ in 2 games?
Just for fun I took the 1st 2 fav. and ok. St + 4.5 for a small 3 game par only pays a little under 4-1.
I bought points 251 - 9.5 , 254 - 5.5 , 255 + 4.5
nice 3- 0 last night wondering how you pick those teams?
GSW seems to cover no matter what the line is!!!
Nice 55.6% guess I add you to my tail list for sure your girl friend in the pic wow!!!
I bought points 251 - 9.5 , 254 - 5.5 , 255 + 4.5
nice 3- 0 last night wondering how you pick those teams?
GSW seems to cover no matter what the line is!!!
Nice 55.6% guess I add you to my tail list for sure your girl friend in the pic wow!!!
