Poly Forum Picks and Game Discussion Thread (ongoing....)

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Yeah I don't want to say anything bad about Obama such as Fuck Him because then his supporters will come in here and cause me to say Fuck Them. And then I ruin my own thread. But I already have a plan if this thread goes downhill. I'm going to blame the whole thing on Mplastered, that Bastard. Hah!
 

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61-47 (+13,875)

taking a break. Chalks seem to dominate in August and September and that's not good for me. Bullpen breakdowns, like tbay tonight, get more frequent late in the year. Good luck to those of you who gamble.

See ya when football kicks off.



This is why I tend to stick to first 5 inning bets for the most part. I've won 1st 5 bets that would have been full game losers more often than first 5 losses that went on to be full game winners.

The starting pitchers is probably the biggest factor in why I select most of my plays...and by the seventh inning or so, most of the SPs aren't on the mound anymore. Perfect example today...the Nats were an obscene -270 with Max Scherzer on the mound. Nats won the first five, but went on to lose the game. If you want a quick way to spot these...when a SP has a low ERA with a crappy W/L record, that's probably a good indication that team has a shitty bullpen.

The only way I can make a case for playing a full game instead of first five is if I think a pitcher is undervalued and going against a guy who is overvalued. If a better than average guy is going up against Kershaw, for ex, and is more than +200, I don't think he'll win the first five since that's when Kershaw usually dominates...but may play the full game and hope he hangs with Kershaw for the seven innings, keeping the score close (or hopefully tied). Once you get into bullpen vs bullpen, it's generally a coin toss. I'll gladly take the +200 or more on either team in that situation.

Baseball does suck this time of year. Just seems like there are very few lines which really provide value. Big difference between betting what you perceive is value and betting just for action.
 
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yest 3-7 +27
YTD 147-167 +3860

Monday:

Col +144 (@ NYM)
Det +190 (@ KCy)
Phi +145 (@ Azo)
Cin +126 (@ SDo)
LAD -129 (vs Wash)
LAD -1' +182

Thanks
 

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Fuck I'm in the hospital for a day and a half and look how you all missed me. Long story short. Nose bleed, would not stop. Same incident 3 years ago. Got some work to do on my health guys. I'm sure throwing dollars across the board 360 days a years is also helping (not).

Earned $60 on Sunday = +$214

Not my style to lay prics but I'm on LAD -150 tonight.
 
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You went to the hospital and brought me bad luck. 0-6. I knew somethin' spooked me. If your name was Megyn I'd say there was blood comin' out of your eyes and somewhere else. Oh yea, I meant your nose.


yest 0-6 -629
YTD 147-173 +3231


Tuesday:

Tor -1' +111 (vs Oak)
Cle -1' +185 (vs NYY)
Col +186 (@ NYM)
Cub -1' +161 (vs Mil)
Det +150 (@ KCy)
Phi +182 (@ Azo)
Cin +110 (@ SDo)
LAD -1' +157 (vs Wash)
SFo -1' +165 (vs Hou)

Thanks. Get well bro. Gotta keep three things healthy - your body, mind, and political soul. If Hillary looks good stay in the hospital a few more days. You're still sick.
 

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I'll let you know how Obamacare pans out on this one. I won't pull any punches. So far I am pleasantly surprised with my plan. But let's see how much of this bill Blue Cross pays. It's a big one because my BP had to be monitored for 24 hours and they only do that in the cardiac care unit.
 

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Hope everything is ok and you're well soon Scott.

Since you're back and posting I'll throw a play out there:

Milwaukee at Cubs
Jungmann has gone 4-2 with a 1.90 ERA over his last 6 starts and has allowed 2 or fewer earned runs in each of his last eight outings.
In his career Haren has gone 1-2 with a 5.86 ERA in 5 starts at Wrigley Field and the Cubs haven't won 5 straight over Milwaukee since 2008. Taking the better pitcher & playing that streak.

Free fade play: Milwaukee Brewers +127 (listed).
 

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damn Scott, hope nothing serious. Stay good.
 

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Fuck I'm in the hospital for a day and a half and look how you all missed me. Long story short. Nose bleed, would not stop. Same incident 3 years ago. Got some work to do on my health guys. I'm sure throwing dollars across the board 360 days a years is also helping (not).

Earned $60 on Sunday = +$214

Not my style to lay prics but I'm on LAD -150 tonight.

positive thoughts. Get healthy Scott.
 
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Fuck I'm in the hospital for a day and a half and look how you all missed me. Long story short. Nose bleed, would not stop. Same incident 3 years ago. Got some work to do on my health guys. I'm sure throwing dollars across the board 360 days a years is also helping (not).

Earned $60 on Sunday = +$214

Not my style to lay prics but I'm on LAD -150 tonight.

Get well, Scott. Thoughts are with ya.
 

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Hope everything is ok and you're well soon Scott.

Since you're back and posting I'll throw a play out there:

Milwaukee at Cubs
Jungmann has gone 4-2 with a 1.90 ERA over his last 6 starts and has allowed 2 or fewer earned runs in each of his last eight outings.
In his career Haren has gone 1-2 with a 5.86 ERA in 5 starts at Wrigley Field and the Cubs haven't won 5 straight over Milwaukee since 2008. Taking the better pitcher & playing that streak.

Free fade play: Milwaukee Brewers +127 (listed).

The Brewers had as many errors as runs. I guess there is no point in taking bad teams at this point in the year. The White Sox were a nice little home dog and I didn’t pull the trigger on them.
So that takes me to 0-2 ($-200)

Oh, and special thanks to Clint Hurdle for sitting in the dugout like a good time Charlie as Locke goes walk, walk, run scoring single to start the 5[SUP]th[/SUP]. Everyone in the stadium and watching on TV knew the Cardinals were going to have a big inning and he just sat there as his pitcher was a dumpster fire. No worries, Hurdle went to the bullpen to start the next inning.
Unreal.
 

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The Brewers had as many errors as runs. I guess there is no point in taking bad teams at this point in the year. The White Sox were a nice little home dog and I didn’t pull the trigger on them.
So that takes me to 0-2 ($-200)

Oh, and special thanks to Clint Hurdle for sitting in the dugout like a good time Charlie as Locke goes walk, walk, run scoring single to start the 5[SUP]th[/SUP]. Everyone in the stadium and watching on TV knew the Cardinals were going to have a big inning and he just sat there as his pitcher was a dumpster fire. No worries, Hurdle went to the bullpen to start the next inning.
Unreal.

Yeah.....it's why I'm taking it easy. These bad teams really start mailing it in.

Mangers are so protective of their bullpens that it's crazy. The only guy that doesn't seem to give a fuck is Girardi. He throws guys day in and day out.
 

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Last night, all 15 home teams won. First time in MLB history that has happened (with that many games on the slate).

Anyone know offhand if this has also happened on any given Sunday in the NFL? Just curious.

ps...Scott, hang in there. Expecting to see you back here in time for football.
 

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Even if this hadn't happened I still would have had a heart attack when I saw Ace and Vit speaking civilly to one another :)

Thanks to those who offered kind wishes both in here and via PM.

I can't believe how many brilliant and dedicated doctors there are out there. I know there are some bad ones as well. I had a horrible experience at this same hospital 32 years ago when I shattered my elbow. It is a completely different place now.

I don't know if any of you have ever experienced a sudden nose bleed where if you lean forward it gushes out and if you lean back you drown (I see ya all wincing) but it's scary. This is my second time and I knew right away what it was and did not hesitate. But this time they found other complications. So I have some work to do. I'll update more later, but for now.....

BAL +102
Earned 1 Unit yesterday with one home team in the 15-0 Home drubbing of road teams by a combined 80-32 score. Now +$314
Must go Road this afternoon with BAL as they are still in the hunt of this 1-1 Series, and SEA is 2-17 in Game 3 or 4 of a Series when off a Win.
 
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Keep out of the Nosebleed section of Citizens Bank Park, Scott. Switch your seats with vit. Doesn't he have the first row behind the dugout on the first base side?

Add evening:

Col +182 (@ NYM)
Det +156 (@ KCy)
Tex +105 (@ Min)
 

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Whorioles A 'No Show' Moreno today.

8/12 Night Plays:

STL -120 - Bucos can't figure it out Away at STL.

LAA -115 - I may be schmucked betting a visitor on an 8 game road skid but CWS leads this Series 2-0 and in their last 167 Series at Home 3 games or longer they have exactly 14 Sweeps.
 

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Scotty +$199 after dropping $115 yesterday. Taking the afternoon off.

Note: Home Teams followed a 15-0 Tuesday with an 11-4 Wednesday = 26-4 last 2 days. Since Sunday Home Teams = 41-11
 

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