Derby prep races today...
Tampa Bay Derby at Tampa Bay Downs race 11 post time 5:24est
#3 Outwork...12-1ML going with a price in what looks like a fairly weak field of 3 year olds. Outwork makes just his 3rd lifetime start after winning 2 sprints atKeeneland last fall and here at Tampa Bay last month. Sired by Uncle Mo, out of a Empire Maker dam, he has the breeding to stretch out and has good speed to get a good position up close early on. Trained by Todd Pletcher and ridden by John Valasquez.
San Felipe Stakes at Santa Anita race 7 post time 6:00est
#7 Exaggerator...5-2ML. Mor Spirit, who has been favored in all five starts will be the horse to beat in a short but good field at Santa Anita. I will try to beat him with Exaggerator, who ran second last time out behind highly regarded Nyquist. That race was at 7 furlongs and now stretches back out to a route. He had a win, second and fourth(in BC juvenile) last year in his 3 route races so I think he will be ready to roll today in his second start of the year.
Tampa Bay Derby at Tampa Bay Downs race 11 post time 5:24est
#3 Outwork...12-1ML going with a price in what looks like a fairly weak field of 3 year olds. Outwork makes just his 3rd lifetime start after winning 2 sprints atKeeneland last fall and here at Tampa Bay last month. Sired by Uncle Mo, out of a Empire Maker dam, he has the breeding to stretch out and has good speed to get a good position up close early on. Trained by Todd Pletcher and ridden by John Valasquez.
San Felipe Stakes at Santa Anita race 7 post time 6:00est
#7 Exaggerator...5-2ML. Mor Spirit, who has been favored in all five starts will be the horse to beat in a short but good field at Santa Anita. I will try to beat him with Exaggerator, who ran second last time out behind highly regarded Nyquist. That race was at 7 furlongs and now stretches back out to a route. He had a win, second and fourth(in BC juvenile) last year in his 3 route races so I think he will be ready to roll today in his second start of the year.
Early Plays today are OVER 142 purd-mich / Lsu +7.5 / Dayton -2.5
7-5 yesterday. 7-3 in the Tourneys with bad beats on Bona and the Oregon UNDER bet. Did get handed another gift in the Big12 though. Thanks for the shave Kansas .... Dayton play makes me nervous but they got robbed on a push-off in this event 2 years ago vs St Joe that cost them the SU Win ..... Back about 1:30 with the rest of my day card.
7-5 yesterday. 7-3 in the Tourneys with bad beats on Bona and the Oregon UNDER bet. Did get handed another gift in the Big12 though. Thanks for the shave Kansas .... Dayton play makes me nervous but they got robbed on a push-off in this event 2 years ago vs St Joe that cost them the SU Win ..... Back about 1:30 with the rest of my day card.
By the way INDY has beaten DAL 3x in a row. Now if you all recall a few days ago MEM went into CLE with 4 starters out and won outright. Well, last years the exact same happened in this Series. INDY went to DAL, was without 4 starters and +14 just like MEM, and destroyed DAL. I was leaning DAL, but this seals it. INDY just beat SAN. DAL Pick 'em, added.
What's dumber than following Al Dem*rco? Buying his picks for $99! You really gotta be a moron. I mean, if you're dumb enough to follow that guy at least be smart enough to get his plays for free. All you have to do is go to his daily video report, and click where it says, "Click Here To Buy Picks." A menu opens up telling you which game Al has. And 99.9% of the time Al has the FAVORITE in that game!
NBA PLAY = WASH +1
Had about 5 other Plays ready to go but decided to let this so far nightmarish day end. Which is strange because this time of the year is the most work I've put in. Piles and piles of ATS results for every conf tourn played the last dozen years. I feel like this is supposed to be my best time to have an edge. Then find out the few cappers I trust who also work hard at this endeavor all agree with me - On Dayton, on Old Dom, on Utah later. I feel optimistic..... And then the scores start coming in. Pull out my few remaining hairs and go back to work. And wonder if only the players I bet -- the ones I figure should be most motivated and have the best variables going for them today -- wanted to win as much as I do #Frustrated
Had about 5 other Plays ready to go but decided to let this so far nightmarish day end. Which is strange because this time of the year is the most work I've put in. Piles and piles of ATS results for every conf tourn played the last dozen years. I feel like this is supposed to be my best time to have an edge. Then find out the few cappers I trust who also work hard at this endeavor all agree with me - On Dayton, on Old Dom, on Utah later. I feel optimistic..... And then the scores start coming in. Pull out my few remaining hairs and go back to work. And wonder if only the players I bet -- the ones I figure should be most motivated and have the best variables going for them today -- wanted to win as much as I do #Frustrated
