Poly Forum Picks and Game Discussion Thread (ongoing....)

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"Bracket fraud Vitterd thinks white cops randomly fire at black teens."

Hmm has a ring to it.....
 

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Teams seeking Revenge for a loss in the conference tournament within the last 3 years to the same opponent today:

Georgia = L
Dayton = L
Davidson = L
Middle Ten = L
Tulane = L
Akron = L
Virginia = L
Utah = L
Long Beach St = ?

No Covers Yet (SMH)
 

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Just some trends for today in case it helps. I had them yesterday but didn't have time to post.

Atlantic 10

# 2 VCU – Off back-2-back DD SU wins/ 2 ATS wins in a row; #2 seeds are 11-2 ATS vs team off SU dog win. But, 3-9 ATS off DD ATS win

#4 St. Joes – 3-4 ATS run; seeking revenge

AAC
#6 Memphis – Seeking double revenge; 3 SU/ATS wins in a row; Off DD SU/ATS Win; 9-2 ATS vs team off BB SU/ATS wins,

#5 UCONN – Off DD SU/ATS win; 3 SU/ATS wins in a row; 12-1 ATS Last 13 tourney games;

Big 10
#2 Michigan State – 8 SU wins in a row & 7-1 ATS run; #2 seeds are 7-1 ATS Last 8 as favs; The Spartans are 30-12 SU and 28-12-2 ATS with same-season conference revenge since 2000, including 22-1 SU and 18-3-2 ATS when favored by 4 or more points, and 6-1-1- ATS in this event

#4 Purdue – 5 SU wins in a row/4-0-1 ATS run; Off back-to-back SU/ATS wins; 1-11 ATS Last 12 vs team off Back-to-back SU wins, 1-6 ATS as dogs off SU win (0-6 as #4-8 seeds)

SEC
#1 TX A&M – 8 SU wins in a row; 4-0-1 ATS run; 10-3 SU this season vs teams with .640 or greater winning percentage. 2-3-1 ATS all time in this tourney.

#2 Kentucky – 4 SU/ATS wins in a row; Seeking revenge (12-3-1 ATS in tourney w/ revenge)
– Coach Cal in this tourney: 29-5 SU and 25-9 ATS and 28-1 SU and 22-8 ATS as a favorite.



=====
Obviously KY & Sparty are overwhelming but getting on that side where people are dumping money hand over fist would be scary.
 

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Thank you Ace.


My day for our purposes ended with the Wizards losing 17-41 in the 4Q at Denver. But that wasn't the end of the story. Thankfully my skill at predicting line movement is still intact, even if my ability to pick Winners has approached the edge of a cliff. Hitting Hawaii -3 in the AM and getting 5.5 at night with Long Beach State for a good chunk erased a lot of yesterday'$ financial pain.

But.... 1-7 Saturday / Hoop Season now = 301-286
 
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Took yesterday off. Go to the track on most Saturdays so I got my "fix" there. 0-5 last 5 NBA. Hope one day was long enough to see clearly again.

NBA

Friday 0-3 -315
YTD 190-173-4 +844

Sunday:

Indiana +4' -102 (@ Atl)
Sacramento +2' -105 (vs Ut)
 

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Joe vs Vcu - Playing 1 Unit UNDER 69 in First Half. If Win Playing OVER in 2nd Half. Ky Jelly vs TAM - Playing 1 Unit Ky -3 -120. Playing 1 Unit UNDER in BOTH HALVES. 1H Total = 66. No Play in Sunbelt. Back ASAP with the rest.
 

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Joe vs Vcu - Playing 1 Unit UNDER 69 in First Half. If Win Playing OVER in 2nd Half. If lose PASS 2H


Ky Jelly vs TAM - Playing 1 Unit Ky -3 -120. Playing 1 Unit UNDER in BOTH HALVES. 1H Total = 66.


No Play in Sunbelt.


Memphis-Conn UNDER 64 in 1H 1 Unit. If Win OVER in 2H 1 Unit. If Lose No Play in 2H.


Pur-mich st OVER 142 1 Unit for game.
 

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Give me a Fucking Break, 2 Losers already.

The 2H has gone UNDER in the SEC Final 15 of the last 16 years. I'm sure that's the next stat they'll want to kill. They've already buried most everything else that's been reliable over many years in the last 3 days.
 

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Recent Meetings


DateHome/AwayLineATS
2/19/16 CHI (116) - TOR (106) 7.5/200CHI/O
1/3/16 TOR (113) - CHI (115) -4/195.5CHI/O
12/28/15 CHI (104) - TOR (97) -1.5/198CHI/O
3/25/15 TOR (103) - CHI (116) 3/197CHI/O
3/20/15 CHI (108) - TOR (92) -1.5/198CHI/O
12/22/14 CHI (129) - TOR (120) -4/200.5CHI/O
11/13/14 TOR (93) - CHI (100) -2.5/196CHI/U
2/19/14 TOR (92) - CHI (94) -3/182.5CHI/O

8 straight FIXjobs. You should be able to bet whatever you want to win on Toronto tonight. The Bulls are a D-League team tonight. But if you do that you'll probably be paying your guy tomorrow.

Same deal in Houston tonight. Here is the MEM injury report:
Lance Stephenson SF Prob Mon - Wrist - 3/14/16 Stephenson suffered a wrist injury in the last game but is expected to play Monday against the Rockets.
Vince Carter SG Ques Mon - Leg - 3/13/16 Carter missed the last game with a left leg injury and is questionable to play Monday against the Rockets.
Zach Randolph PF Out Mon - Knee - 3/14/16 Randolph has missed last four games due to a knee injury and will not play Monday against the Rockets.
Mike Conley PG Mid April - Achilles - 3/12/16 Conley is expected to miss up to four weeks with tendinitis in his Achilles.
Chris Andersen PF Out indefinitely - Shoulder - 3/12/16 Andersen is sidelined with a left shoulder injury and there is no timetable for his return.
Brandan Wright PF Mid March - Knee - 3/1/16 Wright suffered a Grade 1 sprained MCL in his right knee and could miss up to two weeks.
Marc Gasol C out for season - Foot - 2/23/16 Gasol underwent surgery to repair a non-displaced Type II fracture of the navicular bone in his right foot and is expected to miss four-to-six months.
Jordan Adams SG Out indefinitely - Knee - 3/6/16 Adams had surgery to repair his right knee and will miss an undetermined amount of time.

Atlanta handed this E-League team a gift cover Sat night before they slammed the Pacers yesterday. Rockets ushers are across the street from the Toyota Center at the 7/11 recruiting people to play for the Grizzlies tonight.

I'm thinking of smashing the Grizzlies and the Bulls tonight. Better to profit from fraud than whine about it after the game is over.
 
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Ok, I need one of you gurus to explain to me how Gonzaga is favored over Seton Hall? I admit that I don't recall seeing Gonzaga this year so don't really know how good they are. But I do know they are the only team from from their conference to make the tournament and they didn't play a tournament team over last 26 games and went 21-5. So how good can they be? They played 3 tournament teams early on(A&M, Uconn, and Arizona) and only beat Uconn. Seton Hall, on the other hand has gone 12-2 over last 14 games in Big East(4-2 against tournament teams) while winning Big East tournament.

I love Seton Hall here but what am I missing? Seton Hall should be a 5-6 point fav here easy.
 

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I'd love to help you but Wabash but I don't know shit. Well that's not entirely true. I know Shall was screwed. Had they lost to Villanova they'd be an 8-9 seed and a 4-5 point choice over a team far less talented and experienced than Gonzaga. It's almost as if the committee punished them for winning. Gonzaga is GOOD.
 

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Ok, I need one of you gurus to explain to me how Gonzaga is favored over Seton Hall? I admit that I don't recall seeing Gonzaga this year so don't really know how good they are. But I do know they are the only team from from their conference to make the tournament and they didn't play a tournament team over last 26 games and went 21-5. So how good can they be? They played 3 tournament teams early on(A&M, Uconn, and Arizona) and only beat Uconn. Seton Hall, on the other hand has gone 12-2 over last 14 games in Big East(4-2 against tournament teams) while winning Big East tournament.

I love Seton Hall here but what am I missing? Seton Hall should be a 5-6 point fav here easy.

It's a tough game bash.....I'm opposite you though....I think Zags front court will be too much for SHall. Sabonis and Wiltjer should have their way......shall much better guard play but not sure it will be enough to get by zags. Not sure I will actually wager on the game but I do have Gonzags in my bracket. GL
 
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NBA

Lost 7 straight. Trying to loosen up. Gonna play a few.

Sunday 0-2 -207
YTD 190-175-4 +637

Tuesday:

Indy -2' -105 (vs Bos)
Orl -3' -103 (vs Denv)
Philly +7' -103 (@ Brklyn)
San An -9 -105 (vs LA Clip)
LA Lake +5 -105 (vs Sac)
 

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