Poly Forum Picks and Game Discussion Thread (ongoing....)

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UNDER BOTH MIZ VALLEY 123.5 and 138.5 [Games 665-668]

This Tourney all 4 UNDER yesterday and now 82-36 UNDER (as posted earlier this week).


More later......

5-1 yesterday as Raptors disappeared a perfect day. Up 97-83 late they gave up 10 straight faster than Donald Trump put his hands up to demonstrate his dick size.
 

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520 BC +9 / 523 Gtown +14 / 53 Auburn +12 / 597 Scuse +3
More day games coming......
 
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Derby prep race today is the Gotham Stakes at Aqueduct. Race 9, post time 4:50est.


#3 Adventist 4-1 ML...makes 3rd career start after winning by double lengths in maiden start back in December and then running green in last start but still managed a third place finish beaten just under 2 lengths in the G3 Withers. Has good tactical speed so I look for him to get a good position behind what I think will be a fairly fast pace set by Shagaf(3-1ML favorite) and Mo Power(1 of 3 colts sired by Uncle Mo in this race). 8 horse field and really only 2 horses I would throw out, leaving 6 with a good chance to win here.

#3 Adventist WPS

$1 exacta box using #2 Shagaf, 3 Adventist, 6 Conquest Big E, 7 Sunny Ridge, 8 Rally Cry
 

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691 West Carol +3, and OVER 146.5 in Game 701-702 (Ohio Valley Final Austin-Martin)
 
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Derby prep race today is the Gotham Stakes at Aqueduct. Race 9, post time 4:50est.


#3 Adventist 4-1 ML...makes 3rd career start after winning by double lengths in maiden start back in December and then running green in last start but still managed a third place finish beaten just under 2 lengths in the G3 Withers. Has good tactical speed so I look for him to get a good position behind what I think will be a fairly fast pace set by Shagaf(3-1ML favorite) and Mo Power(1 of 3 colts sired by Uncle Mo in this race). 8 horse field and really only 2 horses I would throw out, leaving 6 with a good chance to win here.

#3 Adventist WPS

$1 exacta box using #2 Shagaf, 3 Adventist, 6 Conquest Big E, 7 Sunny Ridge, 8 Rally Cry
Mo Power has scratched from the race. I still like Adventist WPS, but I am only going to use the first 4 horses in my exacta box. Will not use #8 Rally Cry.
 

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Schweet!!!

William & Mary 79
James Madison 64
Final


Totals
03/05/16 11:16:36am146 Over -119 Under -102
03/05/16 11:06:21am146 Over -127 Under +105
03/05/16 11:06:20am146
03/05/16 11:04:36am145 Over -127 Under +105
03/05/16 10:41:20am145 Over -119 Under -102
03/05/16 10:41:19am145
03/05/16 10:02:06am144½ Over -119 Under -102
03/05/16 10:00:47am144½
03/05/16 10:00:36am144½ Over -119 Under -102
03/05/16 09:59:24am144 Over -119 Under -102
03/05/16 09:57:01am144
03/05/16 09:56:35am143½
03/05/16 09:56:27am143½ Over -123 Under +102
03/05/16 09:56:06am143 Over -123 Under +102
03/05/16 08:51:21am143 Over -121 Under +100
03/05/16 08:51:20am143
03/05/16 08:49:40am142½ Over -121 Under +100
03/05/16 08:09:34am142½
03/05/16 07:51:03am143½ Over -103 Under -118
03/05/16 07:50:55am142½ Over -103 Under -118
03/05/16 07:50:49am142½
03/05/16 07:42:15am143½
03/05/16 07:40:22am143½ Over +102 Under -123
03/05/16 07:40:17am143½
03/05/16 07:25:24am144½ Over +102 Under -123
03/05/16 05:54:58am144½
03/05/16 05:54:56am144½ Over +100 Under -121
03/05/16 05:51:18am145½ Over +100 Under -121
03/04/16 02:54:43pm145½
 
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NBA

yest 2-0 +200
YTD (corrected from posting error yest) 180-159-4 +1305

Saturday:

Brooklyn +9' -105 (@ Minny)
Atlanta +5' -105 (@ LA Clip)
 

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I am NOT playing the Total in the Championship game today. In case you've been following (Updated Record) UNDERS are now 82-40 (7-1 this tournament) in the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament the last 14 years. However when breaking this down all the UNDER Wins are in the first 3 Rounds. The first 3 Rounds are on a 74-26 UNDER tear. However the Championship game has gone OVER 4 straight and 11 of the past 16 years.

==========================================================

I went 7-5 yesterday. Included in that were LAC blowing a 17 point lead, a 1 point ATS Loss by Auburn, a 1 point ATL Loss by Syracuse whose last 2 shots were half way down and came out, and the coup de gras at night, Dayton's Kyle Davis missing badly on both FTs with 5 seconds left and a 1 point lead. Yes, you guessed it. Kyle Davis is not a white guy. Yeah yeah I know, inappropriate. But is it inappropriate to say black guys dunk better than white guys? No! So if I need to make 2 FTs to cover damn right on the blind I'd rather have a white dude at the stripe! I've been 'Igoudalad' and 'Otis Smithed' enough times in my gambling life!
 

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823 OKC -7 / 825 PHX +10.5 / 854 Hofsra -1 / 856 NcWlma -2.5 / 861-862 UNDER 133.5 tchat-wcarol

OKC = 25-9 ATS Road off 2+ SU Road Losses .... MILW 0-6 ATS if opponent has 2+ day rest

MEM 0-10 ATS vs opponent off Win by 10+
MEM 1-15 to Win by more than 9 points last 16 Home
 

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Totals dropping in Colonial Conference (eh, ALL Total dropping!)

Note Colonial semi-final round 8-2 OVER last 5 years. If either game falls 3+ points from opener I'll probably go 1/2 Unit OVER
 
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Nice work on the Missouri Valley totals, Scott.

///

NBA

yest 1-1 -05
YTD 181-160-4 +1300

Sunday:

Milwaukee +7' -103 (vs Ok C)
Denver +4 -105 (vs Dal)
Toronto -7 -108 (vs Hou)
 

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