PoliticoPundit MLB Angles Thread #3

[barman]

I've got SEA in with BAL O's....and watching carefully in case O's fudge up....Will repackage the Mariners in some way fo sho

 

[barman]

My numbers show very strong SEA and anti-OAK...but they do NOT show a good lean for -1.5 in case anyone is pondering that big plus money shot

 

[barman]

My new avatar is the Greatest avatar on the RxForum.......just sayin'

 

[ScottL]

I want to see the left half of your avatar go to work on the right side of your avatar and then you can claim first place. She looks like she knows what to do with a stiffy.

 

[barman]

I'll see if I can find the clip of that full scene.

Meanwhile, shoved SEA -118 in with a couple of NFLX Week 3 selections for a simple 15/90 3TP to hopefully gain sumpin if Ms can grab this one

 

[barman]

Overnight peek at Tuesday shows a number of lines setting up favorably


SD Over 8 (-110)

NYM +190 (Florida first game off road)
CIN +130 (Arroyo decent vs Milw off a RoadWin with 7+ runs)
HOU arl -1.5 (likely about +240 or so)

Whichever team wins tonight's SF/COL game sets up well for Tuesday

BAL +155 (Twins playing After Allowing 3orless....Now 5-16 in past 21 chances)

CLE arl (likely about +240 or so....KC After a Home Loss is a several games under .500 when graded at +1.5)

See you all tomorrow..I'm in Hour #32 without sleep...Time to rack

 

[ScottL]

NFLX Week 2 Simpleton System -- Take a Long Look at the 0-1 team vs the 1-0 team. They are 35-11 ATS since 2004, including 3-1 this year. There are 6 remaining [look them up yourself ya lazy BUM]!

Jets Cover makes it a healthy 7-3 this year and 39-13 since 2004 if you take an NFLX 0-1 Team vs a 1-0 Team in Week 2.

 

[ScottL]

+ $3,730 this thread after 350 dollar earn on Monday.

 

[barman]

TUESDAY, Aug 25

Modest interests in: (with very brief reasoning in my last post above)....Playing at about 1/3 the size from past couple weeks due to my recent success and not wanting to get smakked with a one night reversal.

CLE arl +225
HOU arl +248

2TPs

SD Over 8 (-120)
DET Under 9.5 (-140)

Lay 1.0
Pays 2.14

NYM +182
COL +105

Lay 1.0
Pays 4.78

CIN +124
BAL +147

Lay 1.0
Pays 4.53

 

[ScottL]

Tuesday, risking $200 on all Dogs. Betting Faves to Win $200

SD +225

CIN +125

LAD -115

SF -115

TOR +125

CHISOX +250

ANA -170

 

[ScottL]

MIL 1-11 since 5/22 after winning 3 of 4

SF 13-2 Game #1 Home Series off Loss

TB 2-15 off Road Game and scored 7+

CSOX 15-4 Game #2 Series off Loss

ANA 48-10 off 2+ Losses / DET 1-10 Road off Road and Scored 8+ / Last 8 Series DET at ANA Game #1 Loser 8-0 in Game #2

 

[barman]

TIGERS After a RoadWin over 90% to the Under this season. Will open spreadsheet shortly and be precise

====
As for the Brock Samson avatar pic....Here's the video clip which precedes it

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[barman]

DET 1-10 Road off Road and Scored 8+ /

If we include the Road off Home, they're 2-11 and 7-6 at +1.5

Of wider note is that they're pretty fucked playing ANY Away After AwayWin (my own term-age) - posting just five wins in 20 such chances.

Referring back to my own Note in previous post, Tigers in Away After AwayWins are 4-16 vs the posted Total (tonight is "9", though we personally played the 9.5 at -140)

*Angels 7-1 in past eight at Home vs LH starter....9-4 in past 13 including an 8-0 win vs a Washburn/Seattle start.

Gotta admit it's a bit tall on juice for me...."might" package it with SF -1.5 as the Giants are 7-2 (-1.5) in those Game1 Home off Roads

will continue to watch the early stuff and see where I'm at come about 9:55

 

[barman]

Angels - unlike many of the stronger teams - do not show real strong rebound results when playing Home After a 2+run HomeLoss

Past 13 such losses, they're just 7-6 in next game with only three of those beating the -1.5

So we're going to take the ol' Passerino on this one and cheer for the Under 9, which we shoved into a 3Teamer with CHW and COL (Outlaw)...

The Under 9.5 (-140) was in a 5D 2tp with SD Over 8.....and that latter selection looks dim

Back again about 9:55
Might

 

[fletchisrhsm]

Dont be hating on 'Olie scotty too hottie

 

[barman]

Backing off of any SF action as I just don't like them coming Home off of that 14 inning loss to Rockies last night

The best play remaining is OAK +1.5 (-213)

Seamen past 10 Home vs LH starters are 3-7 SU and just 1-9 (-1.5)

Seamen After a 2+ run HomeWin are just 4-10 and 2-12 (-1.5)

Seamen in 60 Home games this season have beaten the -1.5 just 15 times.

Past two Seattle Home games they beat the -1.5 ..... They have not won three consectutive Home games by 2+ runs since Apr 12, 2008

Since that date they're just 35-101 at Home vs -1.5

 

[barman]

Packed in the OAK +1.5 with coincidental crosstown OAK Raidahs +1.5 for a friendly 1.9x1 payout not counted in our ongoing tally

 

[OnWisconsin]

going back to what worked for me the other day

Chi Sox +130

ML teams who lose the first 2 of a 4 game set have won one of the remaining 2 games 40 out of 49 times. going back the last 3 years, the angle is a solid 123-46 (73%)

 

[ScottL]

Lost 70 bucks last night. Now + $3,660 for the thread. Very frustrating night losing with both LA teams, and the Angels stranded so many runners I hope they're still standing there! LAD had gone 13 straight without allowing more than 4 Runs, so when they scored 4 Runs.......

CSOX also frustrating leaving guys on Third with one out late when tied. Fuck, even two of the games I won I had to win TWICE because of Cordero and Bell, who sucks dick!

 

[ScottL]

Dont be hating on 'Olie scotty too hottie

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