PoliticoPundit MLB Angles Thread #3

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Hey Bar, do you know who's doing the voice of Samson? I recognized it in a second. This guy's voice mannerisms are distinctive in everything he does.
 

no stripes on my shirt but i can make her pu**y wh
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on my way to the angels game. trying to keep the streak alive.

if you forgot, angels have not lost a home game over the past 3 seasons when yours truly in attendance. (17+ games, i lost count)

bol :103631605
 

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Hey Bar, do you know who's doing the voice of Samson? I recognized it in a second. This guy's voice mannerisms are distinctive in everything he does.

That would be the greatness of Patrick Warburton

warburton.jpg


We first knew him as "Purdy" on Seinfeld

And then he took that voice into cartoons and has done The Tick and likely his most well known character - Joe Swanson on FamilyGuy

<object width="425" height="344"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/WkuO45_IpLU&hl=en&fs=1&"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/WkuO45_IpLU&hl=en&fs=1&" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="425" height="344"></embed></object>
 

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For sure I have a Winner today. Was posting it but the phone rang and I never hit the 'Submit' button. Come back and see the post half-written. Sure y'all know who it is, Side, and -1.5 split up for a buck a piece. I'll take the money and F the glory!
 

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on my way to the angels game. trying to keep the streak alive.

if you forgot, angels have not lost a home game over the past 3 seasons when yours truly in attendance. (17+ games, i lost count)

bol :103631605

Angels 19-2 Home if 0-2 last 2 Home. Bring 'Em in by at least 2 Runs ET!
 

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We first knew him as "Purdy" on Seinfeld

</EMBED>

And all the buttons on his car radio are set to Christian Rock.


WEDNESDAY:
All Faves to Win 200 / All Dogs Risk 200

OVER 7.5 -115 mets at fla

TOR +105

CSOX +130

OAK +100

OVER 8.5 -115 oak at sea

Some Trends -- CSOX 6-0 this year off 2 Losses if allowed 6+ Runs in both. TB 1-15 in 3rd game of trip or later if have either 3 straight Wins or 4-1 last 5 Games overall. 54 of last 56 SEA Home Series of 3+ Games have had at least ONE OVER. This is Game #3 of the low scoring Series. In 16 of 17 Road Series this year OAK has scored 5+ Runs at least once. SEA 2-13 since 5-31-09 off consecutive Wins if allowed combined 6 Runs or less.
I hope Rickey Henderson gets on base to start this one ~~:<<
 

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And jess for da halibut:

Wager type : Parlay Select #1 : MLB Baseball (New York Mets at Florida Marlins) New York Mets 8/26/2009 7:10 PM - (EST) Spread -1½ +360 for Game M Pelfrey - R must Start J Johnson - R must Start Select #2 : MLB Baseball (Houston Astros at St. Louis Cardinals) Houston Astros 8/26/2009 8:15 PM - (EST) Spread -1½ +205 for Game R Oswalt - R must Start J Pineiro - R must Start Amount : Risking 100.00 To Win 1,303.00 USD
 

Honey Badger Don't Give A Shit
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I mixed in that HOU -1.5 with COL for a 5.8x1 pay using my most recent Out, where I have been spanked past two nights straight.

Hopefully, my turn to wield the feather duster.
 

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Meanwhile, over at my other Out, I made a 3TFade of the most "obvious faves" - packaging PIT, SD and WAS into a 15/390 lotto roll.

Couple other 2TPs listed in the Politico 2Teamer thread
 

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Geez no wonder, ah nevermind.... forgot to post my afteroon bets again. Not even gonna say it LOL.

Thread = + $3,340

THURS NT:

KC 200/290 -- Fuck You Mariners! Fuck you with the cock in David Puddy's 40 foot animated cock of steel!

SD 200/440 -- They beat 'em twice; they can beat 'em again!

[Yeah I had the Mets today]
 

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After a bit of stumble past couple days, I went very light on Thursday, including a 3TP shot (17/227) on SD, CLE and CWS.....the latter club in play thanks to SDAWG's notes about four game series results

A strategy I work to employ as frequently as possible is to stagger the start times of parlay entrants. This creates spots where if the first one or two selections come in, I can either create a small hedge on the later selection or of course just ride it out and with quite a bit more interest, I might add.

As the CHW and CLE games finished, the SD game still had an inning and was totally blown. But had it been close, I would have been watching that final inning as a 17/227 wager.....all in all, a nice spot to be in and yet the exposure remains just $17.
 

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MOVING forward to

FRIDAY, Aug 28

Following is paste of a post I made in the MLB forum in response to one member's promotion of CLE/BAL Over 10.

Friendly notes regarding the "crap bullpens"

Baltimore Past 10 games - with nine on the road I might add at MIN, CHW and TB - has a bullpen ERA of 2.83

Cleveland Past 10 games bullpen ERA is 2.90

In order to top 10, at least one team must score six runs (of course).

*Baltimore's past three games have scored, 4, 6 and 5.

The last time Birds scored 4+ in four consecutive games was June 20. Thus they seem slightly dubious to score four on Friday, much less six. Meanwhile, the Clevelands have allowed 6+ runs just six times in their past 25 games overall.

During that stretch, the Tribe is 15-10 as compared to the Orioles 8-17 mark over same number of games.

Given the frankly pedestrian offense of the Birds and the very clear difference in performance over the past four weeks, we'll wish no ill will on anyone's "Over 10" wager, but submit the best position in this matchup is CLE -112

Best to all of us for a profitable Friday however you elect to proceed.
 

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LAD/CIN Undah 9 (-120)

Reds coming off an AwayWin are 8-20 vs the posted Total. When that win was itself an Over, the next game is 5-13 vs the posted Total.

Bums also coming off an AwayWin, where so far this season they're 14-21 vs the posted Total.

Dodgers past 16 Away are 4-11-1 vs "9"
Reds past 20 Home are 5-13-2 vs "9"
 

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TEX -109
TEX/MIN Undah 9.5 (-120)

Twins are 1-9 in past ten Home games vs non-divisional opponents with above .500 records. Overall vs above .500 teams they're just 12-21 in past 33 chances.

Rangers past 18 Away vs LH starters have seen just three results top "9.5" (5-15 for the season)
 

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Using all four of the above, along with TB Undah 9 (-125) and SD Over 9 (-105) for 1.0 risk each

Following is a paste of some decent analysis from new Rx poster "Paper Chaser" in the MLB forum:

San Diego Padres @ Florida Marlins (O 8.5 -120 Cris)

Away for home this year the average total score in San Diego’s games has been 10.16. Similarly in Florida’s home games this season the average total score has been 10.02. In the games Correia has started on the road he has an era of 5.25 and the average total score of those games is 9.55. In Volstad’s home starts his era is 5.18 with an average total score of 10.31. A couple of other interesting stats is the over is 8-1 in San Diego’s last 9 games as a road dog and the over is 8-1 in Florida’s last 9 games as a home favorite. If you still can try and get this game at 8.5, most books have it at 9 now, but last time I checked Matchbook still had at 8.5 at a price of -135 for the over.


Tampa Bay Rays @ Detroit Tigers (U 9 -120 Pinnacle)

When studying this game the first thing that stands out is that the under is 10-1 in Garza’s road starts this season and an average total score of 7.36. While in Porcello’s home starts the under has been a modest 5-5 with a total average score of 9.91. However, I look for Porcello to come out and bounce back after a poor performance his last outing in Oakland. Some other interesting notes in Garza’s 5 career starts against Detroit the under is 4-1. In Detroit’s last 25 games vs. a team with a winning record the under is 16-7-2.
 

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And from our own data, we'll add that SanDiego in Game1 Away this season is 17-4 on posted Totals. Last season they were 19-7 in same role (combined 36-11).

Their last opportunity was Game 1 in Atlanta with a 2-1 final score. Looks like a solid spot to get back on course.
 

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SL now Winning $3,430 in this thread -- For Friday:

FLA 280/200

MILW 280/200

ZONA 320/200

BAL 200/200

DET 200/230

ANA 290/200

Stats that have not been posted before --

SD 3-22 third Game or later of Road trip off 'WL'

MILW 18 straight Wins Hm vs Pit

Astros Game#1 of Road Series if coming off a Road Series in which they won at least one Game are 1-14 including 10 Losses in a row
 

Honey Badger Don't Give A Shit
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With regard to the later games, I too used ZONA in non-posted action - for very similar reasoning as yours...Houston in a bad spot based on past couple seasons and also they're coming off the win at STL which may be the closest they get to first place for rest of season.
 

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