PoliticoPundit MLB Angles Thread #3

[BASEHEAD]

Excellent Stuff Barman! I might not have to type anything but plays tonight thanks to your efforts. I have Houton 20 straight UNDERS in Game #1 of Homestands. This includes Season Openers but not PUSHES. Did I miss an OVER somewhere in this stretch? If so, time for Lasik!

Updating here I LOST $600 in this thread last night to drop my profit to $4200. My capping was OFF last night. I was very fortunate not to get carried out, thanks to the late UTE'S Safety giving me a Dime Middle [50.5 and 52.5]!

Is Florida going to tank another Series at WASH? The last one was ridiculous with one huge comeback after another for GNATS. The price is way low here, as if Mr. Oddsmaker is expecting it to happen again.

As posted above, time for the late Season STL Road Swoon? It all started last year at PIT, and in that game Wainwright was only -130 vs Snell. I gotta back PIT, and I might have to DUOBLE UP tomorrow as the BUCS are 47-18 [8-1 in 2009] in Game #2 Home off Road. Back Latuh

GL Scott....Pitt is 46-7 last 53 as +200 or greater underdog.

 

[ScottL]

You prolly meant 7-46 Basey.
By the way, Chisox 15-3 Home off Road. Also 34-11 Game #2 of Homestand for tomorrow. Plus if RSox win tonight they're back in that 1-13 situation from TBAY the other night. Lastly, Chisox 21 consecutive Home Series without opening 0-2.

Supporting TB also for Barman -- DET 2-10 and 7-20 Game #1 of Road Series off Win / DET 9-23 Road off Home vs. AL East or West.

My Friday Card, risking 200 on all Dogs and betting all Faves to Win 200:

FLA -120

PIT +220

UNDER 7.5 -115 phi at hou

UNDER 9.5 -120 tex at bal

CLE +100

TBAY -115

CSOX +100

 

[barman]

All rated 1.0 to continue my measurement system for this thread

Some booked overnight

FLA -124
SD Over 8 (-120)

NYM +1.5 (-102)
HOU Under 7.5 (+109)

BOS Under 9.5 (-105)
BAL +118

CHW +105
LAA teamtotal Over 5.5 (-115)

=====
1.5 on TB -110
0.5 on TB -1.5 (+185)

 

[barman]

NOTE- PITCHING CHANGE FOR KC (R Tejada replaces G Meche)....Caused the LAA teamtotal to rise from 5 to 5.5

 

[barman]

Regarding Mets and Orioles

NYM in Game1s at Home this season are 16-5 (+1.5)
CHC in Game1s Away this season are 6-16 (-1.5)

==
BAL Game1s at Home have held up at 10-10 (relatively good for them)

TEX first game Away after Home have won just three times in ten chances

 

[barman]

Sep 4 summary

4-4 (-0.26) in top rack

And then the Rays selections are a combined 0-2 (-2.15) to make the ultimate difference on the night

 

[BASEHEAD]

Well, Byrd reverted back into the form of the rest of the Sox reclaimation projects last night and Sox bates were sleepy.At least the Pirates put a scare into the Cards briefly.

Today: NYY -1.5 (-115)

The Yanks have been shutout 4 times this year.Their record next game is 3-1 ,margin of victory in wins is 4,4 and 5 runs respectively and scoring an avg of 6.67 rpg in those games.

Toronto has shutout teams 7 times this year and have only a 2-7 record next time out putting up an avg of just 2.2 rpg against their opponent in those losses.


GLTA

 

[ScottL]

Won Thurs nt Losses back. Up $4,790....

MLB 200 each [really robbed myself by not playing overnight]!


OVER 7.5 -110 sf at mil

PIT +110

CHISOX -120

TBAY -185


NCAAF Day Games:

150 MICHIGAN -13 315/300

157 KENTUCKY -15 210/200

164 UAB -5.5 220/200

174 PURDUE -10 315/300

200 CLEMSON -18.5 210/200

 

[barman]

Stayed up until 3am (36 hours) and faded before I could add MLB for Saturday

USED at 1.0 each

TB -1.5 (+120)
NYM +165 (already went off)
LAA -1.5 (+156)
OAK -1.5 (+149)
CIN +1.5 (+105)
TEX/BAL Under 9.5 (-120)


Rangers Away vs LHstarters has seen only a half dozen games go Over out of about 25...(sorry, my sheet is closed and I'm on my way to lawn/garden shift)

TBAY in the Game2 After not winning Game1 by 4+ MegaAngle (currently 31-1)....I prefer the -1.5 which is at about a 21-10 pace

Others are simply decent money prices IMHO.

 

[ScottL]

NCAAF Evening Endeavors:

159 BYU +23 210/200

172 Wisky -15 315/300

183-184 OVER 49.5 idaho at new mex st 210/200

186 UTEP -9.5 315/300

188 CAL -21 210/200

 

[barman]

SCOTT>...PM sent to you

 

[barman]

Looks like we got jism'd on that NMSU Over...I jumped in at 2H for -21.5

===
Sep 5 summary MLB

3-3 (+0.54)

============
SUNDAY, Sep 6

All at 1.0

CIN +173
CIN Under 8.5 (+105)
ARZ/COL Under 10 (-105)
HOU +160........Phillies only 7-6 in Cole Hamels road starts...what's the big deal with the -175?

====

3TeamParlay for 1.5

TEX -106 (Rangers 24-15 in Game3s...Baltimore almost inverse in same)

DET -110......Only third time this year I've wagered against Rays and I've not lost yet. Tigers another .600 team in Game3s and Rays are barely a .300 team in same...Plus we really think they're finally gassed for 2009, following back to back late inning rally and wins for Detroit on nights when the Bostons also lost two in a row. (Leaving Rays six games back of WC, with both Tex and Boston looking solid)

SEA -116.....Really, really like this one and if either of the above pair flounder, I'll jump right back in with a 2.0 straight bet on Seamen before 4pm

OAKLAND won on Saturday. Hurray! That means money time....as the Athletics After (any) Win are just 8-22 since June 22 and just .380 for the season.

A's have won back to back just six times since AS Break

SEATTLE lost on Saturday. Hurray! That means money time....as the Seamen After (any) Loss are a crisp 21-9 since June 20

Oh, did I mention that Oakland is just 2-13 in past 15 After Scoring 7+ in previous game? Well, now I did.

BOL to us all for a great Sunday

 

[ScottL]

Worst +$380 dollar day I ever had! Fucked HARD by Rays and Pirates. Even harder by FIXconsin. SEcond year in a row these fucking pigs give up the final two TD's and get blanked 0-14 in the 4thQ to blow the spread in their opener against a POS MAC team. FUCK YOU BIELEMA!!! Done ranting. What a waste of a 5-0 NCAAF afternoon.

Sunday:

FLA 240/200

MIN 250/200

CSOX 200/250

 

[ScottL]

Bar I was reading the Recap on the Rays game and the article said they were 15-1 when a concert was scheduled after the game. Another stat down in flames heh.

 

[barman]

JUST CREATED Angles Thread #4

http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?p=6965996#post6965996

 

[ScottL]

Very Good! This thread is expiring like the Rays who inspired it.

I'm going to change it up a little and go back to the original idea as these writeups and explanations were taking too much time lately. I'll post 1-3 plays per day with a brief reason or some historical math pointing to the play, time permitting. Anyway, earned $4,480 in this thread.