PoliticoPundit Mix&Match Sports Angles - Thread #4

[barman]

I thought Lenny Dinardo was working as an usher at a movie theatre. Bar how is it you get all the info! Scouts in Omaha?

Not touching Total. Too low for these two butchers throwing today.

*http://baseball-reference.com

Go to player's personal page>Other Stats>Minor League

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*Washburn hardly a "butcher"....He would probably have 15+ wins if either SEA or DET were in top half of league scoring

Now as I type that last sentence, I see Royals working him fairly well through four IP....heh

 

[barman]

Under 9.5 Philly (-110) 1.0 U

Philly has been a road favorite of -140 or more in every game exc 1 (-110) during thier last two road trips (13 games).They currently are 9-3 to the under in those games.The scores of these games dont reflect the big lines the Phils have got either...often just squeaking them out by a run or two.They just cant seem to get to the number.

9.5 is higher than the number generally has been during this stretch.

Ill take it.

Phils past 25 Away are 5-20 when graded vs "9.5"

 

[barman]

"mix & match"

barbanman talking about his sexual preferences again, eh?

Yes....with the right combo, my preference is Mother/Daughter

 

[ScottL]

*http://baseball-reference.com

Go to player's personal page>Other Stats>Minor League

----
*Washburn hardly a "butcher"....He would probably have 15+ wins if either SEA or DET were in top half of league scoring

Now as I type that last sentence, I see Royals working him fairly well through four IP....heh

You're right but he's been getting carved up lately. Including today opponents have scored 6+ in 5 of his last 7 and I've been fading him since his 7-6 pseudo-victory over SEA:
http://www.covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/mlb/players/player40844.html


Here's one I just picked up -- After the Rockies finish off CIN today they will be 38-14 after Winning and allowing 0-4 Runs in their previous Game.

 

[ScottL]

"mix & match"

barbanman talking about his sexual preferences again, eh?

Willie WTF LOL! Did I miss something in another thread?

Bar on the "downlow" -- LMAO!

 

[ScottL]

METS 200/200 [Home off 2+ Home Losses]

ATL 200/220

SEA 200/350


No Foot Bets -- Small opinions on TEN / CLEM / clem UNDER

 

[ScottL]

+$490

Friday:

SF 230/200

CLE 200/260

OAK 200/380

 

[barman]

FRIDAY, Sep 11

SF -115 1.0
SEA +185 1.0
CHW/LAA Over 9 (+100) 1.0

 

[barman]

Sep 11 summary

0-3 (-3.15)

 

[finite]

You 2 are falling behind in your work. Pay may be docked.~~:<<

 

[barman]

SUNDAY, Sep 13

3TeamParlay

TEX Gm1 -1.5 (+133)
CLE -1.5 (+176)
LAA -147

Lay 3.0
Pays 29.42
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*Last year and most of this season, TB Rays were MLB's most resilient bounceback team from a game where they Allowed 5+ runs

This season, it's Texas in a landslide. Since early May, they've allowed 7+ runs in 24 games. And they're 21-3 in the game following (17-7 at -1.5)

Further, it's 10-2 (9-3) when the target game is Home and 11-1 (8-4) when Away.

*KC Royals in their past 20 Game3s have won just six times and are 7-13 when graded at +1.5
Cleveland's past 15 Game3s have them with 11 wins and nine when graded at -1.5

*LAAngels are the only team in MLB who have not lost a LastGameAtHome (before going on road). They're 10-0 in this spot and six of those are by 2+ runs.
Chisox meanwhile - since first week of July are 4-14 in Game3s, but they have stayed within one run in ten of those, thus our decision to play the Angels ML

===========
MINN teamtotal Under 5 (even) 2.0

Twins are 2-11 in their past 13 vs LH starters, mustering just 39 runs in those 13 games combined.
Oakland still facing the really harsh numbers AfterAWin, thus our decision to Pass them as an upset Side. Obvious lean to Under 9 for the game.

 

[ScottL]

All Bets Two Bucks:

Since 1982 Buffalo vs New England

Games 1-4 of Season Bills 9-1 ATS

Game 5-16 of Season Pats 29-6-2 ATS

In the other matchup at Oakland LT just HAD TO run it in last year from 41 yards out at the very end of the game when SD easily could have run the clock out and won 21-18. OAK led most of the game and LT's run took the AT$.

So, with the bookies, I AM ON BOTH DOGS TONIGHT. A small lean to UNDER in ne/buf.

CUBS -160 -- The Brewers are 1-14 since May 22nd entering a Game after winning at least 3 of their last 4.

FLA +100 -- FLA needs to Win, which is why yesterday was inexplicable, also considering they were 15-1 Home vs wash in Game #2 or later of a Series. However, this play is against stl, who showed in their recently completed Series vs atl that they are taking a vacation.

SF -1.5 +125 -- 22 of the last 23 times SF won with Lincecum the margin was at least 2 Runs. COL doesn't need to catch LA. They just need to keep SF from catching them. They'll focus that effort tomorrow with Jiminez vs Zito.

BALT +130 -- Why is a team who has quit and dropped 11 straight, managing a mere 11 Runs in their last 8 games laying -140 tonight?

UNDER 9 EVEN cle at min -- MIN last 17 Games 1-15-1 over/UNDER

 

[barman]

Got busy and did not check in this evening before betting.

Yes...I bet against TB with Baltimore

That is all

===
Sep 13 summary 2-2 (-5.00)

Only missed that CLE prediction or I'd be doing the Boogie Dance

 

[barman]

TUESDAY, Sep 15

Tonight gives another chance to use this Angle, which delivered very nicely in last opportunity this past Saturday (numbers updated to include that game)

*Last year and most of this season, TB Rays were MLB's most resilient bounceback team from a game where they Allowed 5+ runs

This season, it's Texas in a landslide. Since early May, they've allowed 7+ runs in 25 games. And they're 22-3 in the game following (18-7 at -1.5)

Further, it's 11-2 (10-3) when the target game is Home and 11-1 (8-4) when Away.

 

[barman]

The game in Texas is also impacted by this Angle (first posted about ten days back..with numbers now updated through games of Sep 14)

OAKLAND won on Monday. Hurray! That means money time....as the Athletics After (any) Win are just 10-24 since June 22 and just .380 for the season.

A's have won back to back just eight times since AS Break


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ALSO......A's After Scoring 7+ runs are 3-14 in past 17 chances

 

[ScottL]

Here's the update from Scottlandau.com. I ripped it off his website. Dumbass tout puts his picks up for free =)

All bets risking 200 on Dogs and Faves to Win 200.

PHI -1.5 -125 / UNDER 8 -110 mets at atl / CUBS -115 / SD +125 / NYY +115 / UNDER 9.5 -120 tb at bal / ANA -115 / TEX -1.5 +115 / CSOX +100


PHI -1.5 -125 -- wash is 4-27 in any Game of any Road Series that follows a Road Series Win. The -125 is so low because Phils have no closer. Still, Lee should leave in the 8th with a 5-1 lead and Moyer can get 3 Outs.
UNDER 8 -110 mets at atl -- Braves are 11-0 UNDER at Home off 2+ Overs, and have gone UNDER in 7 straight of Game #1 of Series.

CUBS -115 -- Mil now 1-15 after winning 3+ out of 4 and have repeated results in Game #s 1&2 in their last 10 Series. Cubs 26-8 with Zambrano if he failed to go 7+ innings in his last start.

SD +125 -- Home Team +7 straight in Haren starts. Az has split Game 1+2 of 10 of last 11 Road Trips.

NYY +115 -- NYY 55-20 Run. Tor 4-21 Away vs AL East and 3-16 off a Road Game decided by 1 Run.

UNDER 9.5 -120 tb at bal -- Rays 21-7 UNDER after scoring 7+. Bal 7-1 UNDER Game #2 Home off Road.

ANA -115 -- ANA 6-1 at bos. Lacket 1 Earned Run last 26 Innings, so the 9.5 O/U isn't about Lackey. It's about Dice K, the next Hideo Nomo.

TEX -1.5 +115 -- TEX is 22-3 after allowing 7+ Runs. E.Gonzales' Teams are 4-27 the last 31 times he threw a pitch in a Game. The Run Line? 50 of the last 56 Texas Home Games have been decided by 2+ Runs.

CSOX +100 -- CSOX 14-3 after scoring 1 or 2 Runs. Sea 4-17 off a Win and facing a new opponent since May.

 

[barman]

And meanwhile, one of few consistent bright spots all season for the recently hapless Rays has been Jeff Neimann....He's working tonight in Bmore and the TBay bats seem to have come back to life following a two week slumber, now that they can feast on young Bird arms and in that Camden Yards

Using TEX -1.5 (+124) and TB -1.5 (+122) for a 2.0 2TeamParlay

Pays 7.95

 

[barman]

Excellent....I had remembered, but failed to include the E Gonzalez Angle....

Also pleased to see the sensible Rays/Os Under 9.5 data...Had time to pop it into a 2TP with CHW ml

1.0 Pays 2.5

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Had also worked PHI -1.5 in using the same general info SCOTT provides in his post above

 

[barman]

Mil now 1-15 after winning 3+ out of 4


If you can tighten that to include the results at +1.5 before 8pm, it's appreciated.

In the meantime, I might be able to do it myself...Trying to get a bite to eat here

 

[barman]

Turn on Rays game and in a span of three pitches, Rays rack up four runs to take 4-0 lead