PoliticoPundit Mix&Match Sports Angles - Thread #4

[OnWisconsin]

ya know, i feel good. i been drinking since 4, but i feel good goddammit. i suffered thru a 5 game losing streak, now i have a 3 game win streak, and i'm still up 4 times my original starting roll from 3 weeks ago.

like i told my brother though, tomorrow's a new day. the highs and lows are always short lived. i feel a good one coming on. :smoker2:

 

[ScottL]

Thread = +$2,240. Last thread was +$4,480. The thread before that I'd like to forget! If not for a 2 Out, 2 Strike Top 9 Gopher Ball served up by Brian Wilson I

The usual 200 Risk on Dogs and 200 To Win on Faves:

LAD -1.5 -125

HOU -130

PHI -1.5-105

SF-1.5 +140

SEA +185

TBAY-1.5 +140

MIN -105

 

[barman]

I'm going to Finally, Finally review all four of our PPundit Angle threads over next couple nights.....summarize them neatly and then begin Thread #5 which will allow for combinations of football, baseball and hockey.

 

[ScottL]

Sorry, too swamped to post sometimes.

210/200 in Foots. The usual in MLB:

TEN TITANS

JAX JAGS

TBAY BUCS

DET LIONS

SF NINERS

NE PATS

SEA

More Foots later maybe....

MLB:

PHILS -130 SAME ANGLE AS THURSDAY!!!

SD +105 -- 8-1 last 9 Road Series

MIN +170 -- KC is 30-63 at Home off 3 or more Losses since 4/2005

No time to write up Da Foots -- Sorry!

 

[ScottL]

Sea hawks

sd dischargers

cin bengirls

 

[ScottL]

Ordinarily I'd be on CAR + here. But everytime I bet this team they fuck me. And I HATE John Fix! Here are the trends:

CAR is 17-1 ats as non-div dogs vs opponents that allowed 28 or more points in their last game

Since 1992 CAR is 16-5 ats off a road loss against a division rival -- average score was carolina 22.0, opponent 20.5

NFL Dogs of 6 or more are 37-10 before a Bye Week.

CAR is 11-2 to get within 7 points off 2 Losses by more than 7 points. There is more....but either way Fuck this game; I'll take the 6-3 Week. Also, I have a 12-0 OVER Trend for MNF but I also have a Week 3 system that calls this one UNDER that's 42-23

MLB:

PHI -1.5 -145 -- HOU is 7-22 last 29 in Game #1 of a Road SEries, with all but 2 of those Losses by 2+ Runs

KC+140 -- Since 2006 the Yanks are 1-9 in Game #1 of a Series when coming off a Series Victory vs the Redsox. I won't neglect to mention that KC is 3-14 after allowing 2 Runs or less, but KC is also 6-0 their last 6 Road-Off-Home. Besides, the Yanks just clinched Homefield. THey lay down tonight.

BOS -1.5 EVEN -- THe last 11 times BOS came Home off a Road Loss they opened the Homestand with at least 2 Wins. That's 22-0 folks. I can't lay 2/1 so I'll risk the RL. TOR is 6-29 on the Road off 3 or more Wins.

 

[ScottL]

MLB PLAYOFFS SINCE 2006 ALL GAMES

FAVORITES 34 / DOGS 44

OVERS 31 / UNDERS 47

No capping required

 

[barman]

Only been six days since I pledged to compile the four PPundit Angles threads

Working some decent lawn/garden hours and ummmmm.....okay....RAKING the cash this past week.

Plus I'm on Loueyville +6.66 tonight

 

[finite]

Record of Rookie starters in the playoffs? Would assume Det-Minn should be considered a playoff game.

 

[Daheavy1]

Not sure of the record, but Lackey and Saberhagen come to mind as coming through in the clutch during their rookie years.

 

[Latoret]

PoliticoPundit Mixatch Sports Angles Thread #4

There is an ever increasing number of things that are happening that show a side of Obama or his associations that many people before the election were shouted down for mentioning.This thread is for those things.

 

[barman]

I have absolutely no idea what you're trying to say.

But you typed it very well!

 

[ScottL]

He said Obama sent a big wind to Philly to drive the Total up to 9 so he could hit the UNDER.

 

[barman]

Hey, glad to see you here...saves me a phone call or email

That freakin' 2teamPleaser does pay "even", but it's based on JAX -3.5 (+260)

So now we're talking almost $20

I'm going to give it more thought while I'm out on lawn/garden shift this afternoon and see if I can get it up closer to $30 by the time I come home.

 

[ScottL]

Navy vs Rice

You can bet OVER 51 -120 now. By Kickoff you'll be able to bet UNDER 54. Go Git It!

 

[ScottL]

Holy Shit! Someone was looking at the same thing I was looking at -- 53.5 now!

 

[finite]

In the 5 game playoff format up by 2 and on the road what usually happens?

 

[ScottL]

Not sure about that, but visitors who lead a Series and are one game away from closing it out have won 7 in a row in the Playoffs as long as Boston is not the Home Team. So that formula would embrace the Dodgers today and Yanks tomorrow.

Sorry for the lack of posts but I'm swamped and there's little interest in this thread. Maybe after Barman wins the Nobel Peace Prize this thread will pick up some steam.

 

[ScottL]

$20 Pay After You Win Picks from my website's second update today. Pasting the write-up here. Would do this everyday but I don't type the reasons for my plays everyday because it takes too long.

ARIZONA CARDS -5.5

Zona 27-7 ATS Home off SU Home Loss since 1986.
Hou 2-15 ATS in their existence on Road off SU Home Win.
NFL Teams Home off a Home Game are 9-1 ATS this Season.
NFL Teams Road off 2+ Home Games are 1-6 ATS this Season.
[Yes there are other plays in these 2 systems today, but there are other stats and systems that negate them]


SEATTLE SEAHAWKS Pick 'Em

When an NFL Team opens the Season with 2 or more Losses, and then follows their first Win with another Win, putting them on a 2 Game Win streak, they are 4-25 SU in their next Game if Away.
Jax is also 6-12 ATS Away off 2+ Wins since 1999. Jax has managed just 77 points in its last 5 Road Games [15.4 PPG] and the Total is 44.5. So hopefully Jax stays on average and the other 29 points come from Sea.


TENNESSEE TITANS +4

NFL Teams that are 0-4 SU are 36-9 ATS in their 5th Game of the Season. There are 5 Teams in that position today but again, other factors diminish the strength to support them. Another league system pointing to Tennessee if that any Team who loses outright as a Division Road Favorite is 16-2 ATS when installed as a Division Home Dog in their next Game.