PoliticoPundit Mix&Match Sports Angles - Thread #4

[barman]

Fool me once, shame on The Who....

Tonight 4TP...or to put it another way, four good'ns

SD Over 8.5 (-102) Padres FirstgameAway now 80%+ to the Over in past three seasons

HOU +111 ....Milwaukee now 4-10 since early June when previous two games Win

ANA/TEX Undah 9 (-103)...In a rush, so don't have precise numbers for Kazmir v Texas, but they're stout. And Hunter has been a dealer most all season

and finally...yes of course

CLE +142.....Fading Oakland After a Win, even though they're now on a big four game win streak and I lost the previous three Fades. Despite having now lost two in a row to A's, the Clevelands had won the previous six H2H matches between these two clubs


Heading out for quick dinner before RoshHo sundown....If we don't get back in time, SheBar turns into a Yiddish pumpkin for 48 hours and I'm stuck with the yada-yada of her Brooklyn cousin for two days.

 

[ScottL]

Speaking of STOUT I am tearing up another Thread at +$1760! For Friday it's the usual 200 Risk on Dogs and To Win 200 on Lays.

OVER 9-110 fla at cin -- FLA OVER Game 2 Series Angle

UNDER 8.5 -120 phi at atl -- ATL 8 straight UN in Game #1 Series and 12 straight UN Home if last 2+ Games Ova.

HOU +110 -- Add to the BARhashanah Stat that MIL has returned Home from 7 straight Road Trips to dump Game #1 of a Homestand.

BOS -135 -- Sox 33-9 Game #1 of Series off a Loss.

CLE +145 -- Um, eh, Huff's 8-3 Away and Anderson's 4-10 Home. Ignore Cleveland's 8 Game Road Losing Streak because I needed a 5th Game to sell on my website package.

 

[finite]

50 percent reduction in pay and vacation time eliminated. :drink:

 

[OnWisconsin]

teams who lose 100 or more games in a season since 2002 with at least 5 days left in the season....

4-7 after loss 99

2-9 in 2nd game following loss 99

eliminated 2003 TB and 2008 padres teams from the equation as they both lost their 99th game in the final couple days and managed to avoid 100....

just throwing that out there

 

[barman]

For TUESDAY, Sep 22

We suggest GIANTS teamtotal Under 4 (even)

Since early July, when SF is playing Away After (any)Win, they are 4-16-2 vs teamtotal of 4

Doug Davis past 17 starts, only five times has the Opponent teamtotal topped 4 (5-9-3)

Using this as a Posted Selection (even) 1.5 risk

 

[finite]

Question. Washington has lost 99 games. A loss today could put them at 100. Any data on what kind of games take place in this situation?

 

[OnWisconsin]

Question. Washington has lost 99 games. A loss today could put them at 100. Any data on what kind of games take place in this situation?

not sure you're question, but of the overall 16 losses, 12 of them were by more than one run....nothing on the O/U, flip a coin

 

[ScottL]

The Dodgers are 1-11 in Game #2 of a Road Series off 2+ Wins. But the Nats are 18-66 in Game 1 or 2 of a Series when off a Loss.

TBAY is 31-[2] in Game #2 of a Home Series if not coming off a Win by 4+ Runs, but this stat lost last time out when TB blew 3 consecutive games late vs DET. SEA is 0-7 since 4-18 when after winning 5 of 6.

Great stats on Mets and vs ATL tonight, but most of them were in play and lost last night!

CSOX have not swept or been swept in a Home Series of 3+ Games this year.

PIT/HOU/CLE not even making an effort right now.....

 

[OnWisconsin]

i'll play the rangers over today just for something to do.

the day following a rangers game in which both teams score 8 or more runs have gone over today's posted total 6 out of 7 times. not much of an angle i know, but i can see the rangers putting up some runs. would take the rangers on the RL, but they have blown it against sub .500 teams this year. feldman starting to get a lot of love, and i think he gets hit today.

 

[mamatried]

South Carolina's defense was lights out in their opening game against NC State. They kinda sucked against UGA, but the Dawgs proved at Arkansas last week that no one in the country will have an easy time stopping them. Then, an easy warm-up sandwich game last week against Fla Atlantic.

This year it's do or die for Spurrier. Getting 4 tonight at home against Ole Miss? LOCK AND LOAD. And I do mean LOCK.

 

[OnWisconsin]

i do like s.c. at home too. probably gonna lay off it though, as i'm afraid i might have a bias against nutt that's clouding my judgement

 

[ScottL]

Trends for SC/Ole Miss

Spurrier 85-20 SU Home

Ole Miss last 15 SEC Road Games they've scored 243 points [16.2 PPG]

Ole Miss 2-13-2 ATS when they are Lined Pick to -10 since late 2003

OM 1 Win last 20 SEC Road Games by more than 3 points

OM SEC Road Openers 0 Wins by more than 3 points last 8 years

On the Dog with Mama

 

[OnWisconsin]

if you don't mind me adding here scott....houston nutt is just 3-8 SU L/11 when taking a ranked team on the road in conference play....

 

[ScottL]

And so is Brandon Lang [Groan]!

 

[ScottL]

edit: Misread sd's post

 

[OnWisconsin]

i'll tell you who's just as bad so far in cfb, if not worse than lang, and that's savannah sports....and they're on ole miss

 

[ScottL]

Warning -- I know I am well ahead in posted plays the last two threads. To YOUR good fortune I haven't had time to post much lately. However I must admit that I and my Angles have gone cold in MLB recently, so take caution:

LAD -145 -- LAD 36-9 vs a Team that beat them the previous day. Padilla's Teams are 24-7 his last 31 Road starts.

PHI -130 -- Since 7-2-06 the Phils are 20-2 in the 5th Game or later of a Road Trip when off 2+ Losses [4-1 This Year]. The 2 Losses were 4-9-07 at New York and 7-2-09 when they were swept in ATL. Outside the NL East this Stat has won 13 Straight. The Phils are also 8-0 the last 8 times they faced Jeff Suppan.

SD +180 -- The Pads are 17-10 in their last 27 Road Games, including the 0-3 Sweep at STL [where we got burned on that awful Sunday 9th Inning]. That Series was the only one out of their last 8 Road Series that SD did not Win. Tonight is Game #3 of a 1-1 Series at COL.

SF +100 -- SF 7-1 last 8 Home off Road. Cubs 5-14 with Dempster if he threw 7+ Innings n his previous outing.

SEA -150 -- Jays 2-16 [0-5 2009] starting a New Home Series when off a Home Win.

 

[barman]

Cool...packed in SF -103 with a play on Cock 2H +3 (+107) for a big $20

Pays just over 3x1

 

[ScottL]

Nobody Licks Our Cocks!!!

 

[barman]

Given my Incredibly Average Endowment, I've often wished for +3 on my Cock

But as the ladies inevitably tell me, I didn't even need it - in tonight's second half