Paribas Masters, Paris - Tennis thread

[syddiggers]

Im a huge Davydenko fan today. I think he is playing phenomenal tennis and if he can put a few of his mental demons aside might finally be able to break through for a big tournament win. A must win match for Ancic as if he does win he overtakes Blake and would almost certainly qualify for Shanghai, but I just think Davy's form is more solid at this stage.

Beware of the letdown factor for Tommy Robredo. With his win yesterday he qualified for Shanghai, so he might lack the urgency in todays match. He does lead Nieminen 4-0 head to head, but theyve only played once in the last 3.5 years, and Nieminen has imporved a lot since then. I think Robredo's price is a litle high for this one as he is 40 cents worse than he was yesterday against Paul-Henri Mathieu and in my opinion, Nieminen is a lot better player than Mathieu.

Berdych has far more to play for than hrbaty in the third match as he is trying to defend th title ( and points ) that he won here last yar, and that should be enough to get him through.

The last match is a tough one as neither player has anything to play for although a good Safin performance will ensure that he gets a seeding for the Aussie Open. Hass was dominant yesterday against Blake, and on his day can trouble anyone, as can Safin, but I think I will prefer to watch this without any of my hard earned cash and not have to worry about who's day it will be.

Good luck guys.

 

[MadCapper]

1. Nieminen +165

2. Ancic +140

3. Haas +165

 

[Hope1]

I like Davydenko as a player as well. He is one of the fittest players on tour as well as one of the most dedicated. He can hit winners from both sides--a WONDERFUL cross court backand, he sometimes falls in love with it. He also seems to never give up on a point (a la Nadal). However, Mario is also playin' well-he does have the label of 'can't win a big match'--rubbish in my books as he baile dhis country out in Davis Cup a yr ago. The fact that Mario has beaten Davy ON CLAY speaks volumes as to how far along Mario has come. He CAN compete from the baseline.

I'll be stunned if Berdych loses. Hrbaty just doesn't match up well here-too much power from Tomas, especially given the surface and form. Hrbaty's win over Murray is not overly stunning, as a player with a lot of variety over gives Murray problems.

Haas Vs Safin uppy: ......given Safin's fantastic history at Paris he has to be the fav. These two since 2001 have met twice, both in five setters, BOTH GOING THE DISTANCE. Sure has the makings of a great one. Both temperamenal players, who can snap at any time.

Tommy and Jarko-- who knows, h2h certainly says a lot, as does the fact that Jarko just does not beat top 10 players--great chance here, tho. I dont think a letdown angle applies tho to Tommy,syd-- this is a TMS event, down to the final 8, no Fed around all 8 players must be lickin' their chops.

 

[Hope1]

1. Nieminen +165

2. Ancic +140

3. Haas +165

i'm gogin to hit Haas +3 games. That win over Blake was too impressive to back off. He won over 93% of his first serves, Vs Blake. SINCE THE US OPEN, Safin has won 13 of 17. In his 13 wins only SIX have been in straights.

VAMOS TOMMY!!!!!!!!!!

gl mad

 

[syddiggers]

Haas's win yesterday was phenomenal and there has been some money for him overnight. Im just a little worried that whoever loses the first set might not try to hard in the second set if he isnt " feeling it " and might want his offseason to start this weekend in the nightclubs of Paris.

Ancic has everything to play for but Davy has really impressed me thus far. However, a couple of his matchs have come under scrutiny and I wouldnt be surprised if him ( or his brother ) roll over and let Mario win. I guess it depends on who is friendlier with Davy, either Blake or Ancic, or how much money Davy's brother an win betting against him.

Even though Nieminens record against Robredo isnt good, he is meeting him at the right time with Robredo having just qualified for Shanghai and not having a lot to play for. This match all depends on Robredos care factor and whether he wants to try and win a second Masters title, or get ready for Shanghai.

Good luck Hope

 

[Betting4Fun]

GL hope.

Syd ,i enjoy reading your reviews,keep them coming
you make lot of sense and know your stuff,thanks for taking the time
to share it with us here!.

 

[Hope1]

thks bro. A lot of Canadians at the Rx . An indoor event, Challenegr event in Quebec this week, pity not in Ontario it would be nice to see some of the lesser names live. D Young plays today.

2 HUGE upset wins by Krajicek and the tall big hitting Kanepi in Belgium today. Francesca and Ana go down. GREAT WIN by Kanepi!!!!!

 

[Hope1]

things are a heatin' up at Paris, some great matches today include:
T Haas Vs M Safin
N Davydenko Vs M Ancic



she's two-for-two Vs the line this week, back to the well........

K Clisjters (BEL) -6.5 games -123 Vs S Kloesel (GER)- understandably Kimmy is a little rusty given the two-month layoff, however she has covered this huge line in her first two matches and i'm goin' right back to her. As stated in another thread Vs this line Kim is a money machine, and is basically an automatic bet for me, typically, irrespective of the opponent or surface. Specifically, Vs PLAYERS OUTSIDE THE TOP 30 (Sandra is outside the top 100, incidentally) Kim Vs -6.5 games line:
'05 year-- 26-6 (81%)
'06 year-- 12-3 (80%)
these two met a yr ago at Miami with Kim winning 6-0,6-1. Should be tougher today with Sandra in form and Kimmy just having two matches under her belt since injury.

note- Kim has mentioned nothing in post-match interviews citing any healths issues

VAMOS KIM!!!!!!

A CLINIC by Kim.
Kim wins 6-1,6-0 ...........:missingte

:toast:

 

[Hope1]

Haas breaks!!!!!

7-6,3-6,*3-1

:smoking:

hold on Tommy!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

 

[Hope1]

Tommy wins 7-6,3-6,6-3 ......sweep!!!

nice call on the outright madcap

.........thk you Tommy.......Haas winning % on first serve last two matches; 93% Vs Blake, 88% Vs Marat. Mercy.

:toast:

 

[Hope1]

finals at Hasselt, Belgium. Indoor hardcourt

K Clisjters (BEL) Vs K Kanepi (EST) UNDER 18.5 games -125-......special day for the tall blonde from Estonia today, her first WTA final ( having had to go thru qualies as well!). How will she handle the nerves? Wont help the fact that a former World number 1 will oppose her today. In addition the match is being played in Belgium, she'll get little support from the crowd. These two have never met before. Infact, this will be Kaia's first ever meeting Vs a top 10 player...........over the last 3 WTA seasons: IN FINALS, K Clisjters Vs players outside the top 10, at this line the under is 6-1.........

gl

 

[Hope1]

finals at Hasselt, Belgium. Indoor hardcourt

K Clisjters (BEL) Vs K Kanepi (EST) UNDER 18.5 games -125-......special day for the tall blonde from Estonia today, her first WTA final ( having had to go thru qualies as well!). How will she handle the nerves? Wont help the fact that a former World number 1 will oppose her today. In addition the match is being played in Belgium, she'll get little support from the crowd. These two have never met before. Infact, this will be Kaia's first ever meeting Vs a top 10 player...........over the last 3 WTA seasons: IN FINALS, K Clisjters Vs players outside the top 10, at this line the under is 6-1.........

gl

loss. Only angle that had me worried was that Kim's first 4 matches were all in the evening session and she had to play early afternoon today, how would her body hold up? Not sure if that was a factor today, had to let Kaia prove she can do it. Kudos to the gal, 'hope' she can win outright here.......she's up a break in the second 3-6,2-4....!!!!

have a good day