Adding...
Action play:
1* San Diego Padres (+140)
Solid value with San Diego here. Line is way off, imo. Padres have quietly put together an impressive stretch of games, winning 6 of their L7, while averaging 5.3 runs per contest, during that stretch. ( Nearly 2 runs above their season avg). The offensively challenged Padres are suddenly batting an impressive .319 as a team, and boast an equally impressive .389 on-base-percentage, during this 6-1 stretch. Going up against Vasquez may prove more difficult, but almost counter-intuitively the numbers suggest that the Padres wont need many runs in this one, to pull of a win. The Braves are putting up an embarrassing 2.7 runs per game, during a 7 game stretch, that has seen them bat a sub par .223 as a team. They are batting even worst in their L4 games putting up a brutal .190 BA and averaging less than 2 runs per contest. Facing a San Diego pitcher that has been impressive in his 4 starts this season, spells trouble, imo, for an already struggling Atlanta offense. Stauffer in his 4 starts in July, pitched very well, putting up an impressive 2.57 ERA and a 1.214 WHIP during that span. Nothing to suggest that Atlanta's struggles at the plate, don't continue in this one. IF it comes down to bullpens, San Diego has an edge with a 2.90 Home ERA when compared to Atlanta's 4.18 Road ERA. Add in the fact that this game is proving to be a dramatic case of reverse line movement, with nearly 80% of the public backing the Braves and the line moving almost 20 cents in the opposite direction, and I think we have a solid play here. My money will be with the live dog in this one, GL, as always.
Action play:
1* San Diego Padres (+140)
Solid value with San Diego here. Line is way off, imo. Padres have quietly put together an impressive stretch of games, winning 6 of their L7, while averaging 5.3 runs per contest, during that stretch. ( Nearly 2 runs above their season avg). The offensively challenged Padres are suddenly batting an impressive .319 as a team, and boast an equally impressive .389 on-base-percentage, during this 6-1 stretch. Going up against Vasquez may prove more difficult, but almost counter-intuitively the numbers suggest that the Padres wont need many runs in this one, to pull of a win. The Braves are putting up an embarrassing 2.7 runs per game, during a 7 game stretch, that has seen them bat a sub par .223 as a team. They are batting even worst in their L4 games putting up a brutal .190 BA and averaging less than 2 runs per contest. Facing a San Diego pitcher that has been impressive in his 4 starts this season, spells trouble, imo, for an already struggling Atlanta offense. Stauffer in his 4 starts in July, pitched very well, putting up an impressive 2.57 ERA and a 1.214 WHIP during that span. Nothing to suggest that Atlanta's struggles at the plate, don't continue in this one. IF it comes down to bullpens, San Diego has an edge with a 2.90 Home ERA when compared to Atlanta's 4.18 Road ERA. Add in the fact that this game is proving to be a dramatic case of reverse line movement, with nearly 80% of the public backing the Braves and the line moving almost 20 cents in the opposite direction, and I think we have a solid play here. My money will be with the live dog in this one, GL, as always.
