damn i wish you would keep the series going why you getting bored making money man. lol i thinks it nice and easier to cap a series and then just hope it comes through. i am sure there are others as well that would like for you to keep it going. i mean it goes without saying you do what you want but just giving my opinion. i was looking at det hou and lad to start for this one.... what do you think
Perhaps, I will continue the chases STACKS, did not know there was any interest in them..give me some time to think about it..
Very little doubt in my mind that Detroit wins at least 1 game in the series against the road weary Orioles. However, when chasing, excessive juice can and should play a role in determining the series you choose to chase. Detroit is currently at -260 + at most books...the line for tomorrow's game is already out at about -230...which means if you were to be out today's game on the Tigers at -260, and it loses, you will need to bet tomorrows game to make $360. At a -230, you would need to risk almost $800. Should that game lose, you would be down almost $1100 with a game 3 to come. If washburn tomorrow is -230, what you think Jackson will be in game 3, -280? more? This would mean that, in order to make back your $1100, plus the $100 that you are trying to profit, you may need to bet out around $3600 for game 3!! Also this is a 4 game series, so should game 3 lose, you are looking at about a $4,700 deficit, if you were to chase into game 4 (assuming another -200 + line) you would have to bet out $10,000 or maybe more depending on the line. This would mean that IF detroit gets swept, your losses would be somewhere in the range of $15,000. If you were chasing series, to profit $100 in each, it would take 150 series chase wins to compensate for this one loss. Imo, juice needs to taken into account, even for the teams that you are convinced will not get swept. Because in the long run, it will only take 1 of these sorts of sweeps I have been describing above, to make you regret the day you began gambling. With that being said, I do not see the Tigers getting swept, especially when considering their opposition. Then again they are 2-5 in their L7, averaging a sub par 4 runs per game in that span. So although it is very unlikely they get swept, it is not totally out of the realm of possibility. Question is, Do you have the stomach to bet it all the way through, if push comes to shove?? The answer to that question, should determine whether or not you should bet them for the chase...In general I would advise being very picky about the juice you wager with, most notably in game 1 situtations, as this provides an indication of the juice that will follow. Same goes for the Dodgers. As for the Astros, the fact that Giants are 7-3 in their L10 and Astros are 3-7, would elimante them in my book. This is one of the many filters I use when deciding who to chase. With that being said, I do think that the Astros may be a decent team to chase considering that you will get them as a dog or at least close to a pick in nearly every game of the series. I personally would not bet them, simply becasue they are not coming into the series playing well, something which I look for in the teams I will chase. I've given you my opinion, the rest is up to you..I'll definately be rooting for you if you decide to bet either of the 3 teams! GL STACKS!!