Projected starter: 1. Ezekiel Elliott
Backups: 2. Alfred Morris; 3. Darren McFadden; 4. Darius Jackson
2016 Outlook: We already know that Zeke is a first-round pick in fantasy drafts this year. He only solidified that status after a shining performance in his preseason debut against Seattle where he ripped off several runs for nice gains, even running into Kam Chancellor without trepidation. Now that Tony Romo is due to miss time, Dallas could lean on Zeke even more than we originally thought. Elliott does it all and has the skill set to remain on the field for all three downs -- something that is becoming rarer these days in the NFL. Behind Zeke, Alfred Morris is probably the No. 2 with McFadden slipping due to an offseason injury. Zeke is the only Dallas running back that should be on your draft radar.
Denver Broncos:
Projected starter: 1. C.J. Anderson
Backups: 2. Ronnie Hillman; 3. Devontae Booker; 4. Kapri Bibbs
2016 Outlook: Denver paid up in the offseason to keep C.J. Anderson and will likely feed him the ball as their primary back early and often this season. With a questionable quarterback situation, the Broncos could lean on the run game to manage the clock. Anderson is a value pick currently being drafted at the end of Round 3 in standard formats. Ronnie Hillman remains Denver's No. 2 back on the team's official website, but there have been strong reports about rookie Devontae Booker. One of Booker's strengths is as a pass catcher, so his versatility in that aspect is valuable. The rookie will probably push Hillman for the No. 2 job as the season progresses and is worth a bench stash for now. If you end up drafting Hillman, you're doing it wrong.
Detroit Lions:
Projected starter: 1. Ameer Abdullah
Backups: 2. Theo Riddick; 3. Zach Zenner; 4. George Winn
2016 Outlook: Ameer Abdullah is the projected starter for Detroit, but that doesn't mean you should draft the second-year back as a workhorse by any means. That sentiment is reflected in his Round 9 ADP. An offseason report that Theo Riddick could be more involved as a runner between the tackles may have been realistic as he has seen 14 rush attempts in the preseason. Still, you'll want to shy away from Riddick save for PPR formats -- don't forget that he hauled in 80 receptions on 99 targets just a season ago. Second-year bruiser Zach Zenner missed most of last season with upper body injuries but is healthy heading into 2016. He should compete for snaps and could become an option as a short-yardage or goal-line back. We may be looking at a full-blown running back committee here. For now, you'll want to target Abdullah as he's been slipping in drafts and is a value as a bench RB4 given his volume potential. It's still hard to imagine him scoring more than five or six touchdowns which will limit his ceiling.
Green Bay Packers:
Projected starter: 1. Eddie Lacy
Backups: 2. James Starks; 3. John Crockett; 4. Brandon Burks
2016 Outlook: Eddie Lacy is a big man, but he did some work to slim down this offseason and looks like the 2014 version of Lacy we all knew and loved. The dude just trucks through defenders and can rip off huge chunks of yardage once he gets chugging. He's also built for goal-line work, so no concerns there and is capable of catching passes which would mean he's a candidate for work on all three downs. Considering that the Packers offense should be one of the more high-scoring squads in the NFL this year, Lacy feels like a great value at his current late Round 2/early Round 3 ADP, especially in a contract year. James Starks remains in the picture as well and will play a complementary role behind Lacy. It's hard to imagine seeing Starks having fantasy relevance as long as Lacy is healthy, so he'll probably remain a waiver wire guy in most standard leagues. With the return of Jordy Nelson and a healthy Randall Cobb to open things up downfield, the Packers run game could be a nice surprise this season.
Houston Texans
Projected starter: 1. Lamar Miller
Backups: 2. Alfred Blue; 3. Jonathan Grimes; 4. Tyler Ervin
2016 Outlook: Finally, a situation that we can be excited about for Lamar Miller. That excitement is reflected in his early second-round ADP. Miller has never averaged fewer than 4.0 yards per carry in his four seasons in the NFL, has collected 2,643 scrimmage yards and 19 touchdowns over the last two seasons and could shatter his previous fantasy point totals of 185.4 and 184.9 (standard) as the featured back in Houston. He's set up to thrive as a three-down runner with top-five fantasy back potential and brings much-needed improvement to the Texans backfield. With essentially zero competition for snaps behind him, fantasy owners should not be afraid to snatch him as a late first-rounder with an all-purpose skill set which only boosts his fantasy value. Alfred Blue never wowed in his stint as Arian Foster's backup and speedy rookie Tyler Ervin will likely be limited to special teams duties early on. This backfield is Miller's to own and the sky is the limit in a revamped Houston offense that is loaded with speed.
Indianapolis Colts:
Projected starter: 1. Frank Gore
Backups: 2. Robert Turbin; 3. Jordan Todman; 4. Josh Ferguson
2016 Outlook: As it stands now, this Colts backfield is not very appealing from a fantasy perspective. Frank Gore is 33 years old and while he just won't go away, he registered a career-low 3.7 yards per carry last season in a struggling Indy offense. He may be the leader at the start of the season but the wheels have to fall off at some point, and Gore has been on a statistical decline now for a few seasons. Elsewhere, Robert Turbin and Jordan Todman are career backups with some potential if handed a real opportunity but neither is a viable fantasy option in redraft leagues. Josh Ferguson is a UDFA in whom the Colts see some Darren Sproles-like qualities. Whether or not he can put it all together is yet to be seen, but he has led the team in preseason rush attempts through three games. In short, Gore is really the only back here worth drafting but you can't expect anything more than flex-type production rather than the RB2 upside we've leaned on for years with The Inconvenient Truth. We're not buying a 1,000-yard season though. One of the backups may eventually step up but none of them are worth gambling a draft pick on.
Jacksonville Jaguars:
Projected starter: 1. Chris Ivory
Backups: 2. T.J. Yeldon 3. Denard Robinson; 4. Corey Grant
2016 Outlook: So far in preseason action, the Jaguars backfield split between T.J. Yeldon and Chris Ivory has gone as we thought it would. Ivory has six rush attempts in the red zone compared to Yeldon's one. We sort of figured Ivory would be the red-zone guy for Jacksonville, so that gives him more touchdown upside even if he is splitting the workload. Yeldon is a shiftier back with better pass-catching skills and that's exactly the role he's set up for. Yeldon has actually been more efficient with his rush attempts during the preseason than Ivory has, with the second-year back averaging seven yards per rush compared to three for the veteran. Yeldon is currently the cheaper option in drafts going about two full rounds later than Ivory. Still, it's tough to tell who will be the better option on a weekly basis. You might be better off stashing both of these guys until we gain additional clarity in the regular season. Due to their respective upside, both are worth drafting at their current cost.