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Let's go Brandon!
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Newsletters
Gaming Today October 28 - November 3 - https://drive.google.com/file/d/1EXg...J1T6TsOjX/view
Gold Sheet - https://drive.google.com/file/d/11WT...Mc8Ywn4f4/view
Gridiron Gold Sheet - https://drive.google.com/file/d/1vCA7VaswwzhA5CRt1Szi9aUTbOnlk6-K/view?usp=sharing
Killer Sports - https://drive.google.com/file/d/15JrzW3ZnLEVwykdw2k9huiXr9TQuzcPr/view?usp=sharing

Marc Lawrence's Playbook - https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Gpb...Wp7lBq4MO/view
Marc Lawrence's Playbook Midweek Alert - https://drive.google.com/file/d/1jcD...piBRAEm8P/view
Northcoast Sports Power Plays - https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Ahx...28ojx6f0v/view
Northcoast Sports Power Sweep - https://drive.google.com/file/d/1kLI...yUK9SOvVA/view
Pointwise - https://drive.google.com/file/d/1cZA...AL4e3zSw0/view
Powers' Picks - https://drive.google.com/file/d/14jo...liESjlD6f/view
Red Sheet - https://drive.google.com/file/d/10CW...VLe3U3-M5/view
Sports Reporter - https://drive.google.com/file/d/1nWc...ew?usp=sharing
Victor King's Totals Tipsheet - https://drive.google.com/file/d/1-y85dRWyZpdby7FVGKaQkBo4tbmFgUMQ/view
VSiN Point Spread Weekly - https://drive.google.com/file/d/1ReQ-pEilnok8wJjkdCPGAvjeaimL260N/view

Winning Points - https://drive.google.com/file/d/1XfNeJOsTHq_Dlb_bItrnJU02mfQefZyp/view

Podcasts
Football Jesus - https://www.spreaker.com/user/tobyknapp/nfl-fbj-week-8
Marc Lawrence's October 28 Podcast with Victor King - https://soundcloud.com/marclawrencepodcast/2020-10-28-marc-lawrence
Stanford Steve and The Bear - http://www.espn.com/espnradio/play?id=30213035
The Action Network Podcasts - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-action-network-sports-betting-podcast/id1004530793

Tracking
This Season's Record Through October 26 - http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=971451&page=319&p=13298360#post13298360
 

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[h=1]Week 9 college football best bets: Penn State keeps Ohio State close[/h]Every Thursday during the season, Doug Kezirian (2-3 last week, 15-7 overall), Bill Connelly (1-2, 10-10), Preston Johnson (1-1, 13-10), David M. Hale (1-2, 10-9) and Seth Walder (1-0, 4-3) will provide their top plays across the college football landscape.
Here are their best bets for Week 9 of the college football season.
Note: Lines from Caesars Sportsbook by William Hill as of Wednesday.
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[h=3]No. 5 Georgia Bulldogs (-15, 42.5) at Kentucky Wildcats, Noon ET (on SEC Network)[/h]Kezirian: This is a very bad matchup for Kentucky. The Wildcats rank 83rd out of 101 FBS teams with 5.8 yards per pass attempt, so I imagine Kentucky will try to move the ball with its ground game. But Georgia owns arguably the nation's top defense and will easily be able to shut down a one-dimensional offense. Plus, this is Georgia's first game since losing at Alabama, so I am expecting a good effort from the Dawgs, who remain in the national championship picture. Even with mediocre QB play from Stetson Bennett, Georgia should be able to cover this number because of its top-notch defense.
Pick: Georgia -15; Georgia -7.5 first half (at DraftKings), Kentucky team total under 13.5 (DK)

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[h=3]Memphis Tigers at No. 7 Cincinnati Bearcats (-6.5, 55), Noon ET (on ESPN)[/h]Johnson: This Bearcats' defense is the real deal. It ranks No. 4 in the nation in success rate behind only Clemson, Notre Dame and Oklahoma State (excluding one-game samples from the Big Ten and Mountain West Conference). To hold a Sonny Dykes and Shane Buechele-led SMU offense to 13 points was as impressive a performance I have seen this season.
SMU rushed the ball 39 times for a total of 75 yards. Buechele threw 44 times for only 216 yards. The Mustangs had no way to attack the Cincinnati defense. And while Memphis probably will have more success on the ground, we don't need another 42-13 win to cover here. Memphis does similar stuff tactically to SMU, and I don't envision the Tigers keeping up. I'm not one to buy into narratives, but don't think losing to Memphis in back-to-back weeks, including the AAC title game in the final minute last season, isn't on the Bearcats' minds.
Pick: Cincinnati -6.5

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[h=3]No. 16 Kansas State Wildcats at West Virginia Mountaineers (-3.5, 45.5), Noon ET (on ESPN2)[/h]Johnson: This is really just a numbers discrepancy play for me. I have the Mountaineers projected -6 in this matchup, and I don't really understand what is keeping this number at -3.5 (there are even some relatively cheap -3s in the market as well). WVU's defense has graded top-15 in the country in multiple metrics, and while K-State's offense seems to be fine after losing QB Skyler Thompson for the season, I'm not buying into a Will Howard win over Kansas or a 117-yard game in a win over TCU. I'm trusting my numbers and laying it with the Mountaineers.
Pick: West Virginia -3.5

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[h=3]LSU Tigers (-3, 65.6) at Auburn Tigers, 3:30 p.m. ET (on CBS)[/h]Johnson: This Auburn team keeps escaping with wins on controversial calls (or no-calls). Everybody heard about what happened in the Arkansas game, but the Ole Miss shenanigans last Saturday were worse, in my opinion. The last thing I wanted to do was back an Auburn team that finds miracle after miracle to squeak by, but this number is way too extreme. This is still the same LSU team that gave up 45 points to Missouri and 44 points to Mississippi State. Freshman TJ Finley looked fine in LSU's big win over South Carolina this past week, but the majority of his passes were dink and dunk in elementary spots. His first road start against this Auburn defense will prove more challenging. I made this game exactly PK, so I ultimately couldn't resist taking the three points on the home team.
Pick: Auburn +3

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[h=3]Northwestern Wildcats at Iowa Hawkeyes (-2.5, 46.5), 3:30 p.m. ET (on ESPN)[/h]Hale: Northwestern sure looked like a different team in its opener, hanging 43 points on Maryland. The problem is, pretty much everyone hangs 40 on the Terps these days. Iowa, on the other hand, couldn't get out of its own way against Purdue. The Hawkeyes finished 4-for-13 on third downs, and had 10 penalties for 100 yards. They fumbled twice and lost both of them, and had four drives into Purdue territory -- three in the red zone -- that failed to deliver a touchdown. Iowa hasn't started 0-2 since 2000, and that streak isn't ending now.
Pick: Iowa -2.5
Kezirian: Northwestern hyped its offensive makeover and it certainly looked the part in the opener. I realize Maryland is weak and makes a lot of offenses look good, but the Wildcats looked polished and comfortable running tempo. Graduate transfer Peyton Ramsey is experienced and NU finally has an offense to support its stout defense. Meanwhile, Iowa has issues off the field, as Kirk Ferentz and his staff battle a lawsuit by former players. The Wildcats are for real, and we all love Pat Fitzgerald as an underdog (11-2 ATS as an underdog since 2016).
Pick: Northwestern +2.5

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[h=3]Texas Longhorns at No. 6 Oklahoma State Cowboys (-3.5, 58.5), 4 p.m. ET (on FOX)[/h]Kezirian: Tom Herman's track record as an underdog is well-advertised (16-6-1 ATS), but he's also just 4-5 ATS in his past nine such games. That recent run comforts my Pokes pick, as I just think the Cowboys are much better and more balanced. Oklahoma State ranks 10th in FBS by only allowing 4.3 yards per play. This defense held Iowa State to 14 points until a very late and meaningless TD; it held Tulsa to seven points and West Virginia to 13. I realize Texas has suffered two losses because it has faced tougher competition, but the defense looks like a giant liability. The Cowboys recently welcomed back QB Spencer Sanders from an ankle injury and should be able to carve up the Longhorns.
Pick: Oklahoma State -3.5
Johnson: Oklahoma State's win over the Cyclones was more dominant than the 24-21 final score indicates. Iowa State scored early in the game to go up 7-0 on a fluky interception, Breece Hall broke away for a 66-yard TD run and then they scored in the final seconds against a prevent defense when trailing by 10. Cyclones QB Brock Purdy was 10-for-24 passing for 105 yards prior to the start of that final drive. He was pressured what seemed like every time he dropped back to throw.
So what does Texas bring to the table that the Cyclones couldn't? A mobile QB in Sam Ehlinger. That dynamic will change everything. The Longhorns also needed a few weeks to break in an entirely new defensive scheme this season, but they looked stellar against Baylor this past week. The Cowboys have struggled to find their groove offensively, and Sanders is still working his way back from injury. I anticipate this to be more of a dogfight than people probably expect. I project this game Oklahoma State -1.2, so taking the hook with the underdog on the key number of three is a no-brainer.
Pick: Texas +3.5

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[h=3]Virginia Tech Hokies (-3.5, 67.5) at Louisville Cardinals, 4 p.m. ET (on ACC Network)[/h]Kezirian: It warmed my heart to see Louisville's offense score 31 points in the first half against Florida State and deliver on my pick on the team total over. The Cardinals have weapons but have stumbled a few times. I have faith the offense will keep it rolling, and I imagine Virginia Tech's offense will do the same. The Hokies rank ninth in FBS with an average of 6.7 yards per play. A large reason for that is a rushing attack that rips off 6.5 yards per carry, which ranks second in the nation. Virginia Tech averages nearly 300 yards rushing per game. This has all the makings of a high-scoring affair.
Pick: Over 67.5

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[h=3]Charlotte 49ers at Duke Blue Devils (-9.5, 56), 7 p.m. ET (on ESPN3)[/h]Johnson: I think Duke is a combined minus-10 turnovers in the two games I have backed them so far this season, but here I am again, putting actual money on the Blue Devils. I'm playing against an early market move as well after Duke opened -11. I don't understand the move on Charlotte. The ACC schedule the Blue Devils have faced is in another class. The 49ers, on the other hand, have played a strength of schedule that is bottom 15 in the country. My projection is Duke -12 and that's after making some downgrades throughout the year for poor performance on the Blue Devils' side.
This feels like the absolute bottom of the Duke range at -9.5, so if we see even a slightly better performance against a step down in class here with Charlotte, the Blue Devils should take care of business.
Pick: Duke -9.5

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[h=3]No. 3 Ohio State Buckeyes (-11.5, 63.5) at No. 18 Penn State Nittany Lions, 7:30 p.m. ET (on ABC)[/h]Hale: The final scores of their respective openers skew the bigger picture. Ohio State cruised past Nebraska (52-17), but the game was less of a blowout than it appears. Penn State lost by the slimmest of margins against Indiana (36-35), but it dominated much of that game. Ohio State had a 121-yard edge over Nebraska, and Penn State had a 277-yard advantage over Indiana. More importantly, Penn State's D was terrific at slowing down Indiana's ground game, a likely point of emphasis against Ohio State. The Buckeyes' top two tailbacks averaged less than four yards per rush against Nebraska, leaving Justin Fields to pick up the slack. The Nittany Lions will make life far tougher for Fields than the Cornhuskers did, and while an outright win is a big ask, Penn State should keep it close.
Pick: Penn State +11.5

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[h=3]Navy Midshipmen at SMU Mustangs (-13, 59), 7:30 p.m. ET (on ESPN2)[/h]Connelly: Is there a post-Cincinnati hangover? Because that's probably the only chance Navy has of staying within two touchdowns of SMU. The Mustangs just suffered their first loss of the season, 42-13 to the Bearcats, and they accordingly dropped to 34th in SP+. However, 34th is much, much better than Navy at No. 107. Against Houston last week, the Midshipmen needed some early good fortune (they held the Cougars to three field goals and recovered a first-half fumble), plus a garbage-time touchdown just to stay within 16 points.
The Mustangs should have the experience and resilience to bounce back from last week's disappointment and handle a Navy team that has been a shadow of its 2019 self.
Pick: SMU -13

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[h=3]No. 15 North Carolina Tar Heels (-6.5, 61.5) at Virginia Cavaliers, 8 p.m. ET (on ACC Network)[/h]Connelly: Despite the loss at Florida State two weeks ago -- a three-point defeat that included an FSU pick-six and six UNC drives that finished scoreless in FSU territory -- SP+ is still a pretty big believer in North Carolina. The Tar Heels are 13th after walloping NC State last week, and they have only two weaknesses: legs (punting and place-kicking) and giving up big plays on defense.
Virginia's special-teams unit is average at best, and the Cavaliers have shown very little big-play potential. The injury list for North Carolina's secondary is lengthy, but Virginia is one of the worst passing teams the Tar Heels will have faced. If the Cavaliers can't turn on the big-play faucet, they probably can't keep up. SP+ projects a 35-23 North Carolina win.
Pick: North Carolina -6.5
Hale: I'm a big believer in explosiveness when it comes to evaluating teams. Big plays are perhaps the most critical element to winning a football game, and this game presents us with a compelling narrative on that subject. Among the 74 teams with at least three games under their belts, no one has a better big-play differential than North Carolina (20% explosive plays on offense, 10% allowed on defense), and only three teams have a worse big-play differential than Virginia (8.6% offense, 15% defense).
The red flag here is that Bronco Mendenhall's crew is the epitome of fundamentally sound, whereas North Carolina has shot itself in the foot repeatedly with turnovers, drops and blown coverages. But the overall talent gap, particularly on offense, is massive, and the Tar Heels should run away with this one.
Pick: North Carolina -6.5

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[h=3]San Diego State Aztecs (-7.5, 43.5) at Utah State Aggies, 9:30 p.m. ET (on CBSSN)[/h]Connelly: I'm a little afraid both SP+ and I are overreacting here. San Diego State looked great against UNLV last week, and Utah State looked bad against Boise State. Using preseason projections, SP+ saw this as more of a 3.5-point San Diego State win, so this is a decent-sized lurch.
But SP+ is designed not to overreact, and still bumped up this projection to San Diego State by 13.6. Yes, it's possible UNLV is even more terrible than projected, but holding the Rebels to 2.9 yards per play would be solid against an FCS team. And what did Utah State average against Boise State last week? The same 2.9 yards per play. I don't know what to think of the San Diego State offense yet, but if Utah State can't get to at least 13 points or so, the Aztecs shouldn't have a problem covering.
Pick: San Diego State -7.5

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[h=3]Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors at Wyoming Cowboys (PK, 59.5), 9:45 p.m. ET (on FS1)[/h]Kezirian: Wyoming lost a wild season opener in overtime after trailing by 15 points in the fourth quarter. And all that came after the Cowboys lost their starting quarterback in the first quarter. However, freshman Levi Williams won me over with his toughness and swagger. His dual-threat approach fosters memories of Josh Allen, and I think Wyoming's physical style will overwhelm a Hawai'i defense that was ranked among the worst in FBS last year. Plus, this is Hawai'i's second straight road game. and the team decided to stay on the mainland rather than commuting from the islands a second time. That entailed traveling to Denver, but the team has had only limited practice due to a snowstorm. Temperatures will be chilly Friday night in Laramie, which makes me more confident in the Pokes.
Pick: Wyoming PK

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[h=3]Nevada Wolf Pack (-14, 60) at UNLV Rebels, 10:30 p.m. ET (on FS1)[/h]Walder: Quarterback injuries or absences are often the cause of large differences between FPI and the betting line, and that's usually a valid reason to at least think twice about following the model in those circumstances. But, occasionally, FPI likes a game despite its naivete around a QB situation -- and that's the case here.
Nevada's 37-34 OT win over Wyoming was a slight expectations-beater (FPI liked Wyoming by 3.7), but Cowboys QB Sean Chambers was injured in the first series of the game. Chambers recorded a 78 QBR last season. That means FPI probably is giving Nevada a shade too much credit for that performance.
On the flip side, UNLV's first game under head coach Marcus Arroyo went poorly -- a 34-6 loss to San Diego State -- but that's what adjustments are for. FPI downgraded the Rebels by 2.5 points after that game and still favors Nevada by only 6.4 points in this one.
Pick: UNLV +14
 

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[h=1]'Stanford Steve' and 'The Bear': Week 9 college football picks, bets, nuggets[/h]College football is in full swing in 2020, and it's unlike any season we have had before. One thing is familiar, though: "Stanford Steve" Coughlin and Chris "The Bear" Fallica breaking down games as only they can, offering their top bets, nuggets and totals worth wagering on. The Bear continued his impressive run with a third straight perfect week (9-0 in that span). The only game the guys missed last week was Middle Tennessee-Rice, a game that took two overtimes to decide. Will the hot streak continue?
Here is your guide to Week 9 of the season with the two college football analysts. (Games postponed because of COVID-19 have been removed.)
Records

  • Stanford Steve (2-1 last week, 14-8 overall)
  • The Bear (3-0, 13-7)

[h=2]The plays[/h]
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[h=3]No. 5 Georgia Bulldogs (-14, 42.5) at Kentucky Wildcats[/h]Stanford Steve: Love the spot here for the Dawgs, coming off a bye after getting shut out in the second half versus Alabama in Tuscaloosa. The defense will travel to Lexington for this one, and on top of that, UK looks as if it might be starting Auburn transfer Joey Gatewood for the first time this season at QB. We'll lay the points here with Kirby Smart's squad.
Pick: Georgia -14 (Georgia 34, Kentucky 18)

-wIBXi7wNr8jPqFXikIt6x0mb_Cd-g8HBWBoxEsJJONY7j-o2FUvAwjxjlzw0p0sSQeyk2Ki4MLxtmX0SEcyVuqQcaeNCLg8EOIFJc9Vx_Z2bVOoK1t8MvynCMSwUhtOzSo6X9r9
8ZNIOww2d0SkNVJ1k7Zfa_Nc0NkqmL9lX74Ua1zdEiPCmlN679oGkJzy2p-1qBXYnj2b88_IXNFCHnuhNtahRTkfWRHQH7evtrie3ZSORodWl5VeZ4uo7aJ6U-saEdGVgfIYo7wE

[h=3]Memphis Tigers at No. 7 Cincinnati Bearcats (-7, 55)[/h]The Bear: The Bearcats were never really threatened last week at SMU, as the Ponies helped UC with a lot of dropped passes, but credit the UC defense for holding SMU to 13 points and 290 yards. The final score was a bit deceiving; the Bearcats scored twice late, including a 91-yard TD run by QB Desmond Ridder. This week will be another tough ask against a team that beat Cincinnati twice last year and might have an even more dynamic offense than SMU. Defense is optional for the Tigers, but I expect their offense will at least keep them in the game, even against a solid defense like Cincinnati's.
Pick: Memphis +7

NA9y82Lu-TIpHVVlR2tu863wdSVX7de8xa7gi8gzvWvSPZkF1LlSBjHFbOjqDE_4x7psOcyCs07pp3AMyL20Hm1Ct5Yayf2xCPskofoAhh4CYpCqIdatHJesm_gxTw2bQaoMXl_C
pg9L35jOIfMFSMjE0E4UuXdlzsYoLDtmRvEwdTzwsUT-Tqa7qiI-b1U3gVTlVjBwaJ0jk8GkFrx7Ea0ModVNG5XtczQtQkC8lPjQ9CfjqhEXrxJM_BWoaAkYDy3_5ScDJUHMVkTc

[h=3]No. 16 Kansas State Wildcats at West Virginia Mountaineers (-3.5, 45.5)[/h]The Bear: Kansas State is the ranked road underdog against an unranked team, and that immediately sounds sirens in my mind. Then you take a look at the K-State game log and despite the 4-1 mark, the Wildcats have outgained only one team this year (Kansas) and have been extremely successful in the turnover department, committing only two and with a plus-7 edge this season. At some point that probably will regress. Bring a backup QB into play and this feels like a good spot to back the Mountaineers, who lost a game in Lubbock last week in which they outgained the Red Raiders by nearly 100 yards but really struggled on third down (4-for-16).
Pick: West Virginia -3.5

VAkXeA2NWTAH6rc6d5A0z3xsL31ZKAQvGszh3Bk_uGYXxk2hmtyi-RwgAZIRWkJXgvWyZbOrvCDLQQC06sfwV7fzkCIUdwr3l4PK7rD3Xs0Y5c5522PIZyJfqJaoVNw99FQl73rs
9QHkbFKMpCR5qFES1bTbMEAavKnEaxLYmF_3gVmDFcj2ccwoVA41iV7OyPa9tHcfUXbJhLUyMTGTypA7xJceExAd37vdlmOWVBoTC5RT9HaNUKA8anRNjClBkUbruNJYsb0j7-S4

[h=3]No. 20 Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (-3, 60) at Georgia State Panthers[/h]The Bear: That was a really nice win last week by the Chants, as the defense completely dominated in the second half to thwart the upset bid. Problem is, the offense will have to play better this week against a Georgia State team that has scored better than 30 points every game and very easily could be undefeated itself (lost in OT to Louisiana and late to Arkansas State). The ranked team as the short favorite probably will take most of the action -- that's my guess -- but I think Shawn Elliott's team is the right side here.
Pick: Georgia State +3

ztrF3c0FlElANjqAC0sZhte2mudmSfEq1P9kX76Da7ffdaoYTJh76TeZU9E5bedff4Ou6F6hmWBfiiR3eGSaFm9ipsdBrzTWa4Ry1kFrFXuKj-ytJ7VFfo_24Jr1j2euTShSpjZu
9pYxJGGjzEdW2-sC-VSFIcBk1S36aHyxASl3ESTZplNIxKdYglikw3jus5u2cDy1xrPPUE07p5664YnjKKAm3QqrqsrRe2J_DJO-R8rldAiLfWtmRdOQMPxy-dqTsxmtuZ1LsRYk

[h=3]Rice Owls at Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (-1.5, 57)[/h]Stanford Steve: Plenty going on in this one. Rice is off its first loss of the season in its first game of the season, which ended in wild fashion. We've all seen it; no reason to bring it up again (OK, quadruple doink). The thought is that transfer QB Seth Collins will be better and smarter in his second start compared to his first. On the other side, the Eagles are on their third head coach of the season and have had many obstacles to overcome, most notably multiple games canceled because of positive COVID-19 tests. It won't be pretty, but we'll fly with the Owls again here.
Pick: Rice +1.5 (Rice 31, Southern Miss 21)

[h=2]The Bear's underdogs to play on money line round robin/parlays/straight[/h]Georgia State +115
Memphis +210
Illinois +220
Northwestern +120
Auburn +120

[h=2]The Bear's money line parlay[/h]$100 returns $85.77
Tulsa -775
Michigan -3000
Notre Dame -1300
Duke -350
BYU -4500
Louisiana -800
Ole Miss -700

[h=2]Stanford Steve's 3-team, 9-point teaser[/h]We like all three underdogs, so why not take some more points with all of them?
Michigan State +33.5
Georgia State +11.5
Rutgers +20

[h=2]Bear Bytes[/h]Ranked on the road vs. unranked teams
• Ranked teams on the road vs. unranked teams are just 9-17 ATS this season. Last year they went 51-40-1 ATS.
Kansas State in tough spot at West Virginia
• Dating to 2017, there have been 13 instances of a team ranked outside the top 15 as an underdog of four points or less on the road vs. an unranked team. Those 13 teams are 2-11 SU and ATS. Kansas State falls into this category this week.
Michigan a big favorite
• This would be the second time under Jim Harbaugh that the Wolverines were favored by at least 24 points over Michigan State. The other time was in 2016, when Michigan beat Michigan State 32-23 as a 24-point favorite.
Auburn thrives as home underdog
• Over the past five years, Auburn has been a home underdog six times. The Tigers have covered five of the six and won four outright.
2019: vs. No. 5 Alabama (-3.5), Auburn won by 3
2019: vs. No. 5 Georgia (-3), lost by 7
2017: vs. No. 1 Alabama (-5), won by 12
2017: vs. No. 2 Georgia (-2.5), won by 23
2016: vs. No. 18 LSU (-3), won by 5
2016: vs. No. 2 Clemson (-8), lost by 6
Penn State in rare spot vs. Ohio State
• The Buckeyes were 4-1 ATS as a road favorite last year under Ryan Day. The only game they failed to cover was at Rutgers when they were a 52-point favorite.
• James Franklin teams are 7-1 ATS with three outright wins and two one-point losses in their past eight games as a 'dog. His teams have been a double-digit home underdog four times and he has won once outright and has two other losses by a TD or less. This is the first time since the 2016 upset over Ohio State that Penn State has been in this spot.
• Franklin-coached teams' past eight games as an underdog: 2019 at Ohio State (-20.5), lost by 11; 2018 at Michigan (-12), lost by 35; 2018 vs. Ohio State (-3.5), lost by 1; 2017 at Ohio State (-7), lost by 1; 2016 vs. USC (-7), lost by 3; 2016 vs. Wisconsin (-2), won by 7; 2016 vs. Ohio State (-19), won by 3; 2016 vs. Maryland (-2), won by 24.
• Franklin-coached teams as a double-digit home underdog: 2016 vs. Ohio State (-19), won by 3; 2014 vs. Michigan (-13.5), lost by 24; 2014 vs. Ohio State (-14), lost by 7; 2011 vs. Georgia (-12), lost by 5.
Indiana (at Rutgers) struggles as road favorite
• Dating to 2016, Indiana has been a road favorite nine times. The Hoosiers are 1-7-1 ATS in those nine games.
Illinois (vs. Purdue) in good position?
• Last year, the Illini were 3-0 ATS with one outright win and a four-point loss as a 13.5-point dog as a home underdog.
Ignore the record
• Over the past 10 years, there have been nine teams 1-5 or worse favored over a team .500 or better. Those nine teams are 7-2 ATS. Dating to 1978, only three times has a team 1-5 or worse been at least a nine-point favorite over a .500 or better team. Favorites won and covered all three of those games. Duke (1-5) is a 9.5-point favorite over Charlotte (2-2).
Lookahead warning?
• Clemson and Notre Dame are huge favorites this week. Do they sleepwalk to wins ahead of their meeting in South Bend next week?
 

Let's go Brandon!
Joined
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Messages
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Thanks!

Newsletters
Gaming Today October 28 - November 3 - https://drive.google.com/file/d/1EXg...J1T6TsOjX/view
Gold Sheet - https://drive.google.com/file/d/11WT...Mc8Ywn4f4/view
Gridiron Gold Sheet - https://drive.google.com/file/d/1vCA7VaswwzhA5CRt1Szi9aUTbOnlk6-K/view?usp=sharing
Killer Sports - https://drive.google.com/file/d/15JrzW3ZnLEVwykdw2k9huiXr9TQuzcPr/view?usp=sharing

Marc Lawrence's Playbook - https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Gpb...Wp7lBq4MO/view
Marc Lawrence's Playbook Midweek Alert - https://drive.google.com/file/d/1jcD...piBRAEm8P/view
Northcoast Sports Power Plays - https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Ahx...28ojx6f0v/view
Northcoast Sports Power Sweep - https://drive.google.com/file/d/1kLI...yUK9SOvVA/view
Phil Steele's Inside the Pressbox - College - https://drive.google.com/file/d/1PuLqcs1fHmSQ-pEWqel02QjTDMtmPses/view?usp=sharing
Phil Steele's Inside the Pressbox - Thursday Night NFL - https://drive.google.com/file/d/1-cQUWLv4LaDo5C7s6EMF2raE4-O_RORN/view?usp=sharing
Pointwise
- https://drive.google.com/file/d/1cZA...AL4e3zSw0/view
Powers' Picks - https://drive.google.com/file/d/14jo...liESjlD6f/view
Red Sheet - https://drive.google.com/file/d/10CW...VLe3U3-M5/view
Sports Reporter - https://drive.google.com/file/d/1nWc...ew?usp=sharing
Victor King's Totals Tipsheet - https://drive.google.com/file/d/1-y85dRWyZpdby7FVGKaQkBo4tbmFgUMQ/view
VSiN Point Spread Weekly - https://drive.google.com/file/d/1ReQ-pEilnok8wJjkdCPGAvjeaimL260N/view

Winning Points - https://drive.google.com/file/d/1XfNeJOsTHq_Dlb_bItrnJU02mfQefZyp/view

Podcasts
Football Jesus - https://www.spreaker.com/user/tobyknapp/nfl-fbj-week-8
Marc Lawrence's October 28 Podcast with Victor King - https://soundcloud.com/marclawrencepodcast/2020-10-28-marc-lawrence
Stanford Steve and The Bear - http://www.espn.com/espnradio/play?id=30213035
The Action Network Podcasts - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-action-network-sports-betting-podcast/id1004530793

Tracking
This Season's Record Through October 26 - http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=971451&page=319&p=13298360#post13298360
 

Let's go Brandon!
Joined
Nov 6, 2012
Messages
25,096
Tokens
Thanks!

Newsletters
Gaming Today October 28 - November 3 - https://drive.google.com/file/d/1EXg...J1T6TsOjX/view
Gold Sheet - https://drive.google.com/file/d/11WT...Mc8Ywn4f4/view
Gridiron Gold Sheet - https://drive.google.com/file/d/1vCA7VaswwzhA5CRt1Szi9aUTbOnlk6-K/view?usp=sharing
Killer Sports - https://drive.google.com/file/d/15JrzW3ZnLEVwykdw2k9huiXr9TQuzcPr/view?usp=sharing

Marc Lawrence's Playbook - https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Gpb...Wp7lBq4MO/view
Marc Lawrence's Playbook Midweek Alert - https://drive.google.com/file/d/1jcD...piBRAEm8P/view
Northcoast Sports Power Plays - https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Ahx...28ojx6f0v/view
Northcoast Sports Power Sweep - https://drive.google.com/file/d/1kLI...yUK9SOvVA/view
Phil Steele's Inside the Pressbox - College - https://drive.google.com/file/d/1PuLqcs1fHmSQ-pEWqel02QjTDMtmPses/view?usp=sharing
Phil Steele's Inside the Pressbox - NFL - https://drive.google.com/file/d/1ULjafCJTL46aEpyrCuxBqR5H8sEeKdI0/view?usp=sharing
Pointwise
- https://drive.google.com/file/d/1cZA...AL4e3zSw0/view
Powers' Picks - https://drive.google.com/file/d/14jo...liESjlD6f/view
Red Sheet - https://drive.google.com/file/d/10CW...VLe3U3-M5/view
Sports Reporter - https://drive.google.com/file/d/1nWcnx2VzC5fqVI_bIbSGuF8kaRp3Fwwr/view
Sports Reporter Midweek Update - https://drive.google.com/file/d/1N8p...ew?usp=sharing
Victor King's Totals Tipsheet - https://drive.google.com/file/d/1-y85dRWyZpdby7FVGKaQkBo4tbmFgUMQ/view
VSiN Point Spread Weekly - https://drive.google.com/file/d/1ReQ-pEilnok8wJjkdCPGAvjeaimL260N/view
Winning Points - https://drive.google.com/file/d/1XfNeJOsTHq_Dlb_bItrnJU02mfQefZyp/view

Podcasts
Football Jesus - https://www.spreaker.com/user/tobyknapp/nfl-fbj-week-8
Marc Lawrence's October 28 Podcast with Victor King - https://soundcloud.com/marclawrencepodcast/2020-10-28-marc-lawrence
Phil Steele - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4sV0gMdQqx8
Stanford Steve and The Bear - http://www.espn.com/espnradio/play?id=30213035
The Action Network Podcasts - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-action-network-sports-betting-podcast/id1004530793

Tracking
This Season's Record Through October 26 - http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=971451&page=319&p=13298360#post13298360
 

Let's go Brandon!
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Nov 6, 2012
Messages
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Tokens
Newsletter Tracking (through 11/02/2020) from Mendoza Line

Not every newsletter gets posted every week, and I'll try to note when the record doesn't include every week of the season. There were a few newsletters we didn't see this week, and a few with light action to start the season.

Another note is that the grading is based on the line indicated in the newsletter at the time of publication, not the closing line. Many of these newsletters will claim a win against the best available line as it moves throughout the week, but these records reflect the outcome against the line they were willing to make a play on in their newsletter.

CKO (we didn't get CKO again this week)
11* (0-2)
10* (3-5)
o/u (2-2)

Gridiron Gold Sheet
NCAA Best Bets (19-18-1)
NFL Best Bets (16-15-1)

Marc Lawrence's Playbook NCAA
"Top Play" (3-4)
Upset pick (5-3)
Betcha Didn't Know (4-4)
Awesome Angle (6-3)
Incredible Stat (2-5)

Marc Lawrence's Playbook NFL
5* (4-4)
4* (6-2)
3* (3-4-1)

Pointwise NCAA
1* (7-5)
2* (2-5)
3* (5-3)
4* (3-5-1)
5* (1-7)

Pointwise NFL (4-1 this week)
3* (3-5)
4* (10-6)
5* (8-8)

Power Sweep NCAA
4* (2-5)
3* (9-5)
2* (5-3)
Underdog Play of the Week (5-3)
Tech Play of the Week (1-2)
Revenge Play of the Week (2-4)
Situational Play of the Week (1-1)
Series Play of the Week (2-4)

Power Sweep NFL
4* (3-5)
3* (2-5)
2* (5-2)
NFL System play (5-3)
4* Pro Angle (1-3)
3* o/u play (3-5)

Powers' Picks NCAA (5-0 overall this week)
3* (0-0)
2* (7-2)
1* (9-6)

Powers' Picks NFL (0-3 overall this week)
4* (0-0)
3* (0-0)
2* (8-9)
1* (2-4)

Sports Reporter
NCAA Super Best Bets (0-0)
NCAA Best Bets (5-17-2)
NFL Super Best Bets (0-1)
NFL Best Bets (6-8-1)

Red Sheet
90* (0-0)
89* (7-11)
88* (13-14-1)

Winning Points
NCAA 4* (4-2-1)
NCAA 3* (4-2)
NFL 4* (2-5)
NFL 3* (3-4)

Killer Sports, not including teasers
SBB 4.5* (0-0)
SBB 4* (8-8)
Cajun NCAA (5-2) (edited)
Pick 60 Play of the Week (0-0)

Victor Kings's Totals Tipsheet (edited)
3* (8-8)
2* (4-4)
Team Total of the Week (5-3)

Power Plays
NCAA 4.5* (6-5)
NCAA 4* (11-10-1)
NFL 4* (3-5)

Gold Sheet
NCAA Key Releases (7-24)
NFL Key Releases (17-13-0)

ITPB
NCAA (20-19)
NFL (9-6-1)
 

Let's go Brandon!
Joined
Nov 6, 2012
Messages
25,096
Tokens
Thanks busterhyman, I corrected the Red Sheet record

Newsletter Tracking (through 11/02/2020) from Mendoza Line

Not every newsletter gets posted every week, and I'll try to note when the record doesn't include every week of the season. There were a few newsletters we didn't see this week, and a few with light action to start the season.

Another note is that the grading is based on the line indicated in the newsletter at the time of publication, not the closing line. Many of these newsletters will claim a win against the best available line as it moves throughout the week, but these records reflect the outcome against the line they were willing to make a play on in their newsletter.

CKO (we didn't get CKO again this week)
11* (0-2)
10* (3-5)
o/u (2-2)

Gridiron Gold Sheet
NCAA Best Bets (19-18-1)
NFL Best Bets (16-15-1)

Marc Lawrence's Playbook NCAA
"Top Play" (3-4)
Upset pick (5-3)
Betcha Didn't Know (4-4)
Awesome Angle (6-3)
Incredible Stat (2-5)

Marc Lawrence's Playbook NFL
5* (4-4)
4* (6-2)
3* (3-4-1)

Pointwise NCAA
1* (7-5)
2* (2-5)
3* (5-3)
4* (3-5-1)
5* (1-7)

Pointwise NFL (4-1 this week)
3* (3-5)
4* (10-6)
5* (8-8)

Power Sweep NCAA
4* (2-5)
3* (9-5)
2* (5-3)
Underdog Play of the Week (5-3)
Tech Play of the Week (1-2)
Revenge Play of the Week (2-4)
Situational Play of the Week (1-1)
Series Play of the Week (2-4)

Power Sweep NFL
4* (3-5)
3* (2-5)
2* (5-2)
NFL System play (5-3)
4* Pro Angle (1-3)
3* o/u play (3-5)

Powers' Picks NCAA (5-0 overall this week)
3* (0-0)
2* (7-2)
1* (9-6)

Powers' Picks NFL (0-3 overall this week)
4* (0-0)
3* (0-0)
2* (8-9)
1* (2-4)

Sports Reporter
NCAA Super Best Bets (0-0)
NCAA Best Bets (5-17-2)
NFL Super Best Bets (0-1)
NFL Best Bets (6-8-1)

Red Sheet (Corrected)
90* (1-0)
89* (6-11)
88* (13-14-1)

Winning Points
NCAA 4* (4-2-1)
NCAA 3* (4-2)
NFL 4* (2-5)
NFL 3* (3-4)

Killer Sports, not including teasers
SBB 4.5* (0-0)
SBB 4* (8-8)
Cajun NCAA (5-2) (edited)
Pick 60 Play of the Week (0-0)

Victor Kings's Totals Tipsheet (edited)
3* (8-8)
2* (4-4)
Team Total of the Week (5-3)

Power Plays
NCAA 4.5* (6-5)
NCAA 4* (11-10-1)
NFL 4* (3-5)

Gold Sheet
NCAA Key Releases (7-24)
NFL Key Releases (17-13-0)

ITPB
NCAA (20-19)
NFL (9-6-1)
 

Let's go Brandon!
Joined
Nov 6, 2012
Messages
25,096
Tokens
Thanks to our many newsletter contributors, much appreciated.

Your questions, comments, records, analysis or whatever are always welcome in this thread.
 

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