Turn Two Service Plays for January 1st 2009! First we will start with the bowl games. 1. South Carolina +3.5 Over Iowa. Description: I like South Carolina to win this game outright, Although I was impressed with iowa's big run down the stretch, i am not going to lay points with a big 10 team over a well coached sec team in this spot. I think South Carolina's Speed will play a huge factor and show iowa that if they want to win they should stick to their own conference. Play it for 7 Units 2. Nebraska +2 Over Clemson. Description: Are these people serious? They are really making Clemson lay points against a high powered big 12 team who is on the rise when Clemson has just layed down in every big game all year? What a joke, I like Nebraska to not only win this game, but i like them to CRUSH clemson. I see a 2 touchdown victory, and because of that. Play if for 10 units 3. Georgia -8 Over Michigan State Description: Again, I am taking the more athletic team, the better conference and the better coach. Georgia will dominate this game in every facet of the game and beat Msu Handily, It is 8 points though so i will make it a medium play. Play if for 5 units 4. USC VS Penn State Over the total 45. Description: I am laying off the side, this one could go either way, but i do like the offenses to come out fired up in good weather and get some big plays. I think that the media and everybody else is hyping up the defenses so much that the offenses will be fired up to show people that they are good as well. Also the Public is very heavy on the under. Play it for 6 units 5. Virginia Tech +2.5 Over Cincy Description: Yes V tech had a pretty mediocre season compared to what they are used to and came out of a pretty weak conference, but Tyrod Taylor has the 2nd best record as a starter in V Tech history at 12-2 and i really like the intensity that this defense can bring. They are always great on special teams as well, i think it will be a close game but V tech comes out with the win. Play it for 6 units.
on to College Hoops 1. Marquette -3 Over Villanova Description: This is the only College hoops game that i like, but i like it a lot. Marquette is an extremely experienced team and they play outstanding at home. I like them to win this game by double digits. Villanova has a good team but I think Marquette is the pretty easy play here at home. Play it for 10 units-- There you have it guys, Here is a rundown.
10 units on Nebraska +2
10 units on Marquette -3 (College Basketball)
7 units on South Carolina +3.5
6 units on Usc Vs penn st over 45
6 units on V tech +2.5
5 units on Georgia -8
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on to College Hoops 1. Marquette -3 Over Villanova Description: This is the only College hoops game that i like, but i like it a lot. Marquette is an extremely experienced team and they play outstanding at home. I like them to win this game by double digits. Villanova has a good team but I think Marquette is the pretty easy play here at home. Play it for 10 units-- There you have it guys, Here is a rundown.
10 units on Nebraska +2
10 units on Marquette -3 (College Basketball)
7 units on South Carolina +3.5
6 units on Usc Vs penn st over 45
6 units on V tech +2.5
5 units on Georgia -8
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Dr Bob
3 Star Selection
***Cincinnati (-2.0) 24 Virginia Tech 14 (at Orange Bowl )
Cincinnati's only two losses this year were at Oklahoma and at Connecticut when they were -6 in turnover margin with their 3rd string quarterback at the controls. The Bearcats beat 5 teams headed for a bowl game and they are clearly a better team than Virginia Tech. The Hokies somehow managed to go 9-4 and out-score their opponents by an average of 22.2 to 17.5 points despite being out-gained 4.6 yards per play to 5.0 yppl. I doubt that Frank Beamer's club will be able to overcome their offensive deficiencies in this game against a quality opponent. Virginia Tech was a modest 5-4 against other bowl teams (Cincinnati was 5-2 against bowl teams) and they simply don't stack up well against the Bearcats.
Virginia Tech's offense is a bit better with Tyrod Taylor at quarterback, as his running ability (776 yards on 117 rushing plays) is the only positive thing about a Hokies offense with a bad offensive line (2.9 sacks allowed per game), bad running backs (3.9 ypr) and a bad pass attack (Taylor averaged just 4.8 yards per pass play against teams that would combine to allow 5.8 yppp to an average quarterback). Virginia Tech was 0.7 yppl worse than average offensively this season (4.6 yppl against teams that would allow 5.3 yppl to an average team) and they are 0.6 yppl worse than average when Taylor is in the game. I don't see that unit having much success against a consistently good Cincinnati defense that allowed 5.1 yppl in every game they played this season other than their visit against Oklahoma's top rated offense. Even with the Oklahoma game included the Bearcats allowed just 4.7 yppl in 12 games against Division 1A opponents that would combine to average 5.6 yppl against an average stop unit. Even the absence of starting cornerback Mike Mickens the final 3 games of the regular season (he's questionable for this game) did not keep the Bearcats from playing well defensively (they were actually slightly better without Mickens in those 3 games). The only comparable defense that Virginia Tech faced this season was in their two games against Boston College, in which the Hokies gained 240 yards at 3.7 yppl in week 8 and 251 yards at 3.6 yppl in the ACC Championship game (so don't be fooled by the 53 points they scored in those two games). I expect the Hokies to score between 10 and 17 points against Cincy's great defense.
Virginia Tech is even better defensively than their season numbers (5.0 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.4 yppl) suggest, as the Hokies improved dramatically coinciding with a change in the lineup starting week 6. From week 6 on the Hokies yielded just 4.5 yppl to teams that would combine to average 5.2 yppl against an average team, so they are 0.7 yppl better than average defensively. Cincinnati's offense was forced to use 3 different starting quarterbacks this season, as starter Dustin Grutza was injured in the team's second game and backup Tony Pike broke his non-throwing arm a few weeks later. Third string quarterback Chazz Anderson was horrible (5.3 yards per pass play against teams that would allow 6.3 yppp to an average quarterback), but Pike returned to the starting role after the loss to U Conn and led the team on a 6 game win streak to end the season. Pike was 0.4 yppp better than average and is unbeaten as a starter this season, including 4 wins over bowl teams, but original starter Dustin Grutza posted better compensated numbers (8.3 yppp against teams that would combine to allow 6.2 yppp) and may get the start here with Pike listed as questionable after being knocked out the Hawaii victory – a comeback victory that was engineered by Grutza. I'll assume Pike will start just to be conservative (since Grutza would probably be better) and Cincy rates at 0.3 yppl better than average defensively – which puts them at a 0.4 yppl disadvantage against the Virginia Tech defense. However, the Bearcats have a huge 1.5 yppl advantage over the Hokies' offense in this game.
Cincinnati's scoring margin (+5.0 points per game in 1A games) wasn't as impressive as their yardage stats because the Bearcats were unlucky to be -10 in fumbles lost margin in their 12 games against Division 1A teams, which is something that is not likely to continue to be a problem given that fumbles are 90% random in college football. In addition to being a better team from the line of scrimmage, the Bearcats are one team that has an advantage over Virginia Tech in special teams. The Hokies' special teams reputation is actually better than their reality this season, as they were a bad punting team (33.0 net avg., compared to 34.0 net for their opponents) and they barely had an edge in average yard line after kickoffs (28.9 yard line to 28.7 ydl for their opponents). Cincinnati, meanwhile, had one of the best net punting average in the nation (41.5 yrds, 41.2 net in 1A games) while their opponents had a net punt of 35.4 yards. Cincy also has a great kick returner in Mardy Gilyard and their average starting yard line on kickoff was the 33.7 yard line while their opponents started at the 24.2 yard line on average after their kickoffs.
So, Cincinnati is a much better team from the line of scrimmage and better in special teams and my math model favors the Bearcats by 9 points in this game. Cincy also applies to a solid 50-19-1 ATS bowl situation and I'll take Cincinnati in a 3-Star Best Bet at -2 ½ points or less and for 2-Stars at -3 points (up to -1.20 odds). I'll also lean with the under at 41 points or higher
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3 Star Selection
***Cincinnati (-2.0) 24 Virginia Tech 14 (at Orange Bowl )
Cincinnati's only two losses this year were at Oklahoma and at Connecticut when they were -6 in turnover margin with their 3rd string quarterback at the controls. The Bearcats beat 5 teams headed for a bowl game and they are clearly a better team than Virginia Tech. The Hokies somehow managed to go 9-4 and out-score their opponents by an average of 22.2 to 17.5 points despite being out-gained 4.6 yards per play to 5.0 yppl. I doubt that Frank Beamer's club will be able to overcome their offensive deficiencies in this game against a quality opponent. Virginia Tech was a modest 5-4 against other bowl teams (Cincinnati was 5-2 against bowl teams) and they simply don't stack up well against the Bearcats.
Virginia Tech's offense is a bit better with Tyrod Taylor at quarterback, as his running ability (776 yards on 117 rushing plays) is the only positive thing about a Hokies offense with a bad offensive line (2.9 sacks allowed per game), bad running backs (3.9 ypr) and a bad pass attack (Taylor averaged just 4.8 yards per pass play against teams that would combine to allow 5.8 yppp to an average quarterback). Virginia Tech was 0.7 yppl worse than average offensively this season (4.6 yppl against teams that would allow 5.3 yppl to an average team) and they are 0.6 yppl worse than average when Taylor is in the game. I don't see that unit having much success against a consistently good Cincinnati defense that allowed 5.1 yppl in every game they played this season other than their visit against Oklahoma's top rated offense. Even with the Oklahoma game included the Bearcats allowed just 4.7 yppl in 12 games against Division 1A opponents that would combine to average 5.6 yppl against an average stop unit. Even the absence of starting cornerback Mike Mickens the final 3 games of the regular season (he's questionable for this game) did not keep the Bearcats from playing well defensively (they were actually slightly better without Mickens in those 3 games). The only comparable defense that Virginia Tech faced this season was in their two games against Boston College, in which the Hokies gained 240 yards at 3.7 yppl in week 8 and 251 yards at 3.6 yppl in the ACC Championship game (so don't be fooled by the 53 points they scored in those two games). I expect the Hokies to score between 10 and 17 points against Cincy's great defense.
Virginia Tech is even better defensively than their season numbers (5.0 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.4 yppl) suggest, as the Hokies improved dramatically coinciding with a change in the lineup starting week 6. From week 6 on the Hokies yielded just 4.5 yppl to teams that would combine to average 5.2 yppl against an average team, so they are 0.7 yppl better than average defensively. Cincinnati's offense was forced to use 3 different starting quarterbacks this season, as starter Dustin Grutza was injured in the team's second game and backup Tony Pike broke his non-throwing arm a few weeks later. Third string quarterback Chazz Anderson was horrible (5.3 yards per pass play against teams that would allow 6.3 yppp to an average quarterback), but Pike returned to the starting role after the loss to U Conn and led the team on a 6 game win streak to end the season. Pike was 0.4 yppp better than average and is unbeaten as a starter this season, including 4 wins over bowl teams, but original starter Dustin Grutza posted better compensated numbers (8.3 yppp against teams that would combine to allow 6.2 yppp) and may get the start here with Pike listed as questionable after being knocked out the Hawaii victory – a comeback victory that was engineered by Grutza. I'll assume Pike will start just to be conservative (since Grutza would probably be better) and Cincy rates at 0.3 yppl better than average defensively – which puts them at a 0.4 yppl disadvantage against the Virginia Tech defense. However, the Bearcats have a huge 1.5 yppl advantage over the Hokies' offense in this game.
Cincinnati's scoring margin (+5.0 points per game in 1A games) wasn't as impressive as their yardage stats because the Bearcats were unlucky to be -10 in fumbles lost margin in their 12 games against Division 1A teams, which is something that is not likely to continue to be a problem given that fumbles are 90% random in college football. In addition to being a better team from the line of scrimmage, the Bearcats are one team that has an advantage over Virginia Tech in special teams. The Hokies' special teams reputation is actually better than their reality this season, as they were a bad punting team (33.0 net avg., compared to 34.0 net for their opponents) and they barely had an edge in average yard line after kickoffs (28.9 yard line to 28.7 ydl for their opponents). Cincinnati, meanwhile, had one of the best net punting average in the nation (41.5 yrds, 41.2 net in 1A games) while their opponents had a net punt of 35.4 yards. Cincy also has a great kick returner in Mardy Gilyard and their average starting yard line on kickoff was the 33.7 yard line while their opponents started at the 24.2 yard line on average after their kickoffs.
So, Cincinnati is a much better team from the line of scrimmage and better in special teams and my math model favors the Bearcats by 9 points in this game. Cincy also applies to a solid 50-19-1 ATS bowl situation and I'll take Cincinnati in a 3-Star Best Bet at -2 ½ points or less and for 2-Stars at -3 points (up to -1.20 odds). I'll also lean with the under at 41 points or higher
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Josh Dean
Deano hit both last night and won easy the last two cbb plays. Good luck
<TABLE width="100%" bgColor=#000080 border=1><TBODY><TR><TD bgColor=#000080><VAR>CBB Daily</VAR><VAR> </VAR><VAR>Premium-January 1st</VAR></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
How To Bet This System
*Must figure in juice*
SESSION 1: Roller System_*New Session Bet*
<TABLE width="100%" bgColor=#c0c0c0 border=1><TBODY><TR><TD width=132>Youngstown St.</TD><TD width=172>+6.5</TD><TD>1 Unit Play</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
System Record: 15-0
Profit: 15 Units
Deano hit both last night and won easy the last two cbb plays. Good luck
<TABLE width="100%" bgColor=#000080 border=1><TBODY><TR><TD bgColor=#000080><VAR>CBB Daily</VAR><VAR> </VAR><VAR>Premium-January 1st</VAR></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
How To Bet This System
*Must figure in juice*
SESSION 1: Roller System_*New Session Bet*
<TABLE width="100%" bgColor=#c0c0c0 border=1><TBODY><TR><TD width=132>Youngstown St.</TD><TD width=172>+6.5</TD><TD>1 Unit Play</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
System Record: 15-0
Profit: 15 Units
Teddy June Guaranteed Selections
Date: Thursday, January 01, 2009
$35.00 Guaranteed: These rare selections use to be only reserved for Teddy's private clients. Now available on the internet and he has been red hot in all sports with his PPC selections as he is 41-16 (72%) his last 57 Private Players Club Selections! Get on board! 1/1/2009
My 10* Private Players Club Selection is the Penn State Nittany Lions/USC Trojans Under the posted total. I currently have this line at 45. As always, Good Luck, Let’s make some money.
Date: Thursday, January 01, 2009
$35.00 Guaranteed: These rare selections use to be only reserved for Teddy's private clients. Now available on the internet and he has been red hot in all sports with his PPC selections as he is 41-16 (72%) his last 57 Private Players Club Selections! Get on board! 1/1/2009
My 10* Private Players Club Selection is the Penn State Nittany Lions/USC Trojans Under the posted total. I currently have this line at 45. As always, Good Luck, Let’s make some money.
