Upgrading NO+2.5 to 6* play!!!!!!!!
After anaylsising data we find 80 percent of money falling on the warriors tonight... As much as I love my team and find it hard to bet against them I feel this line does not make any sense at all..
Very stiff line.... Has not budged even with very lopsided action on the warriors... This shows vegas is very comfortable at taking all action on the warriors...
The Warriors beat the Hornets by 11 a week ago, they were 2 point dogs in New Orleans which meant that they should be favored at home in that very contest by 10 points. Here we are a week later and they are favored by only 2.5, even less than the line would of projected a neutral court game using home/away 5 point rules. There is nothing that says either team dipped or improved FOUR POSSESSIONS in that time. So, assuming that oddsmakers wanted to go with a line less than projection because they felt it was too high, something like 6.5 would be fair here. Instead they have 2.5 and have left it*dead all day long. In other words, they chucked the line in the water and are hoping someone bites. Luckily for them, not only did they catch a ton, they reeled it in, skinned and cleaned it and are about to throw it on the fire.