***NCAAB Computer Picks III*** LEAN MACHINE & POD's

[Mistermj]

Scans complete for Sunday.

There are no NCAAB Home System picks that qualify.

3-0 this season...16-4 last year :think2:
================================================

NCAAB Leans

Adjustment made...no more Double Digit lines. 5-6 so far on DD, kind of a no brainer but I gave them a short leash to flash any signs of life there.

Everything else is a go...great start...we'll see how it plays out.

Here is the breakdown...if we would take out the 5-6 record of the Double digit lines so far ... we would be 7-1 on ATS picks

<table id="dtSeasonRecords" class="data" border="0"><tbody><tr><td class="left">ATS Picks</td><td class="center" align="center">12-7-0</td><td>63.16%</td><td>+2150</td><td>
</td> </tr><tr> <td class="left">O/U Picks</td><td class="center" align="center">4-3-0</td><td>57.14%</td><td>+350</td><td>
</td> </tr><tr> <td class="left">All Picks</td><td class="center" align="center">16-10-0</td><td>61.54%</td><td>+2500</td><td>
</td></tr></tbody></table>
It's a good start...now don't go crazy thinking it's the holy grail.

Good luck!

Sunday, January 17 NCAAB Leans


<table class="thepicks"><tbody><tr class="datahead"> <td width="32%">Game</td> <td width="15%">Score</td> <td width="15%">Status</td> <td width="29%">Pick</td> <td width="9%">Amount</td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> DePaul </td> <td> - </td> <td>2:00 PM ET</td> <td>Under 121.5</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> St. John's </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Wake Forest </td> <td> - </td> <td>8:00 PM ET</td> <td>Under 147.5</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Duke </td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[Birdieman2]

:toast: Good luck today!!

 

[cytdemasi08]

Mj thanks for all your work. I was wondering when do you personally start to wager on a system you are working on. Also I usually determine my bet size on a particular seem based on the winning percentage long term. I think I missed out on some cash this year with your leans in nba and cbb since it was a test. Right now I bet normal amounts on computer nba plays and nfl. Don't know if I should reg bet the reg cbb plays. Usually I wait for two seasons to reg bet a system.

 

[Kaboom]

Scans complete for Sunday.

There are no NCAAB Home System picks that qualify.

3-0 this season...16-4 last year :think2:
================================================

NCAAB Leans

Adjustment made...no more Double Digit lines. 5-6 so far on DD, kind of a no brainer but I gave them a short leash to flash any signs of life there.

Everything else is a go...great start...we'll see how it plays out.

Here is the breakdown...if we would take out the 5-6 record of the Double digit lines so far ... we would be 7-1 on ATS picks

<table id="dtSeasonRecords" class="data" border="0"><tbody><tr><td class="left">ATS Picks</td><td class="center" align="center">12-7-0</td><td>63.16%</td><td>+2150</td><td>
</td> </tr><tr> <td class="left">O/U Picks</td><td class="center" align="center">4-3-0</td><td>57.14%</td><td>+350</td><td>
</td> </tr><tr> <td class="left">All Picks</td><td class="center" align="center">16-10-0</td><td>61.54%</td><td>+2500</td><td>
</td></tr></tbody></table>
It's a good start...now don't go crazy thinking it's the holy grail.

Good luck!

Sunday, January 17 NCAAB Leans


<table class="thepicks"><tbody><tr class="datahead"> <td width="32%">Game</td> <td width="15%">Score</td> <td width="15%">Status</td> <td width="29%">Pick</td> <td width="9%">Amount</td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> DePaul </td> <td> - </td> <td>2:00 PM ET</td> <td>Under 121.5</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> St. John's </td> <td> - </td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Wake Forest </td> <td> - </td> <td>8:00 PM ET</td> <td>Under 147.5</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Duke </td></tr></tbody></table>

Watchin for now with your system ! For Depaul their leading scorer is out and has been out most of the year . Do you factor in the injury part for your system ? With both lines and totals injuries are common throughout the year so they are probably factored in , right ?? (<)<

 

[Mistermj]

Ka ching...got another one.

 

[Ilovetobet]

nice

 

[Mistermj]

Watchin for now with your system ! For Depaul their leading scorer is out and has been out most of the year . Do you factor in the injury part for your system ? With both lines and totals injuries are common throughout the year so they are probably factored in , right ?? (<)<

No I don't factor in injuries. I've always felt injuries are much less of a factor than most people think...(in any sport) and in theory the line should factor in such things anyway.

In fact...I think more often than not...you get extra value out of such games by being contrarian. People tend to over react and the Vegas lines take advantage of that.

Also, key injuries seem to be great motivational factors which you just can not underestimate.

Time and time again I see teams with key injuries overcome them and easily beat the spread with big highly motivated team efforts.

Just my opinion...I can't prove it.

So in general...I pay no attention. In the long run I strongly feel it doesn't matter at all.

 

[JimmyJet]

Maybe you are right...but yesterday really liked Ohio State because I knew they had Evans back for this game who was injured and did not play in the game at the Kohl Center and the Badgers were without Leurer their second best scorer for this game at Ohio State.

 

[jblonghorn]

I'll be tailing you for the Duke under. You're one of the classy posters MJ. Thanks for your hard work, and moreover, willingness to share it!!

 

[boxcar]

I'll be tailing you for the Duke under. You're one of the classy posters MJ. Thanks for your hard work, and moreover, willingness to share it!!

Yes, yes, yes.

MJ,

YOU ARE THE MAN!

 

[CTP]

For what ever it is worth which is not much. I saw the Northeastern play Sat and the dif in the line so just said no. Went to check the score late that night and SBRlines had Northeastern winning by a huge amount and the closing line was -4. Go figure.

 

[Mistermj]

For what ever it is worth which is not much. I saw the Northeastern play Sat and the dif in the line so just said no. Went to check the score late that night and SBRlines had Northeastern winning by a huge amount and the closing line was -4. Go figure.

That whole thing was just bizarre...I'd still like to hear the real story on that.

I'm glad that it didn't matter even if you took -14...keeps the record clean.

 

[Mistermj]

Mj thanks for all your work. I was wondering when do you personally start to wager on a system you are working on. Also I usually determine my bet size on a particular seem based on the winning percentage long term. I think I missed out on some cash this year with your leans in nba and cbb since it was a test. Right now I bet normal amounts on computer nba plays and nfl. Don't know if I should reg bet the reg cbb plays. Usually I wait for two seasons to reg bet a system.

That is such a hard question for me to answer.

If I tell you to wager small...sure as hell it will stay on a streak.

I would prefer people ease into it small...and try to ladder up using house money...but that's just me.

I've found that I just can't win no matter how I answer these questions.

 

[VegasJogger]

as long as you keep the winning picks coming mj we are happy

 

[Mistermj]

Nothing for Monday.

 

[aderol]

i appreciate all your work mj. (i showed it with that little button on your website). I dont know when you're gonna drop the bomb around here, but just know that theres a large group that backs you up. there's probably gonna be a lot of haters shouting the t-word but pay no attention. do what you do, we appreciate it.

 

[Icemantbi]

I'm glad aderol brought it up, cuz I didn't want to break the news here... but I'm gonna comment before the shit hits the fan.

I appreciate MJ's work, and I have no qualms with what he is asking. I will also be clicking on that button, because I value the time and effort MJ puts into providing these picks. MJ is a PROVEN winner, year in and year out, we had a tough year in NFL, but he's more than made up on that with his NBA and now College Hoops picks. Everyone that will come here and bash (and their will be plenty) remember his track record, MJ is a proven winner, and that's documented on here for all to see.

 

[ArizonaBound]

i have made more money tailing mj in nba the last 2 years than any other free or pd capper in 10+ yrs.
anyone who even bothers to throw negativity toward this guys request for $25 for his service is just ignorant. it is fine to not want to pay it but if you are a real gambler (recreational or other) you do not want to be opposite his nba plays for sure. 3 of the last 4 games he's released have had several GOOD cappers on the other side and MJ has won them all. the only game he lost (memphis), some of those same cappers were also on Memphis.

i would be willing to pay a lot more for his info and work.

thanks mj and continued success.

 

[CandC98]

Donation made! I hope your plan reaches your goal. I think it would be tremendous.
The only thing is that I wish there were more NBA Computer Picks but they can't be forced.

:toast:

 

[Mistermj]

I appreciate the comments guys...and I'm not the least bit worried about any damn haters.

I have years of thread history here...literally thousands of hours of research, and time devoted to keeping honest records and sharing the picks that make other people money.

I like to do it...and I've been pretty good at it...but it's grown into something more than I originally thought it would because it's been so successful...overall.

I must draw the line some where or I am of no use to anyone. It's has literally become a part time job...it's time to accept that and go with it...or stop so that I can make better use of my time. There are family issues involved with a "hobby" that takes this much time.

The haters need to think about that...I don't owe anyone anything here.

The good news is that this can be a win , win for everyone.

With some support and what I think of as a partnership...I can afford to still spend time here... and experiment with systems for people that want the picks. The content here may be more experimental in the future...thus maybe more risk...but on the other hand...some of the best stuff is the new stuff...and I have plenty of ideas going forward.

It's all good...maybe a little different in the future...but I like this place and will still have things to offer.

If anyone doesn't like that...quite frankly I do not care. At some point I'm getting ripped off for my time without some kind of support. I can't keep spending 2 hours a day on this stuff just for the fun of it...I don't expect anyone else goes to work for free 2 hours per day either.

It's just reality...or I could just spend 5 minutes a day on crappy picks and not bother with researching and documenting everything...like most people do.

If things work out...I would like this to remain my lab for experimenting and still provide content for the forum and people that want to follow along.