NBA Systems 2014/15

[Daheavy1]

RT, with tonight's NY game being played in London, are there any trends for the total? Seems like all the NFL games overseas go over

 

[rolltide]

RT, with tonight's NY game being played in London, are there any trends for the total? Seems like all the NFL games overseas go over

dbase doesn't have a "neutral" option just home/away so i wouldn't be able to query anything to find what you call trends. you'd have to do this manually or look around at covers or something...might be listed out there somewhere

 

[rolltide]

Thursday.... no new ones popping up, no team-specific (small lean on thunder under vs unrested), and nothing on dt's saved ones so we'll see about biz and hhh but should be a quiet night

 

[Biz]

Nothing

 

[rolltide]

ran HHH's ... two pops

PLAY ON and UNDER rested away team before 4/5 situation begins:
93-63 ATS, 6-4 2014 (on Cleveland) - also a 73-38 ATS subset playing away again tomorrow (on Cleveland)
54-98-4 o/u, 3-6-1 o/u 2014 (CLE/LAL under)

THU:
Cleveland -6
CLE/LAL under 204

 

[rolltide]

PLAY ON a single-digit favorite off an under vs opponent off 6+ straight unders & normal total, 72-29 ATS, 1-0 2014 (on Cleveland -6)

 

[rolltide]

from above query if the fav is on a 2+ game under streak their ATS moves up to 36-9 ATS, 80% (active tonight with Cavs)

 

[rolltide]

thu 1-1

Current Record: 153-120 (56.0%)
Sides: 94-64 (59.3%)
Totals: 59-56 (51.5%)

 

[rolltide]

ran new ones and hhh. dt has nothing today

PLAY ON small fav off an under vs opponent on 6+ game under streak. 73-29 ATS, 2-0 2014 (on NO -6.5, on SAC -3.5)
subset: team on 2+ under streak themselves, 37-9 ATS, 2-0 2014 (on SAC -3.5)


PLAY ON away fav that just played home vs opponent traveling back from diff time zone. 130-55-3 ATS, 16-5 2014 (on GS -2)
OPPOSE home teams trying to avenge same-season blowout away loss. 63-29-3 ATS, 1-1 2014 (on GS -2)


OPPOSE big dog vs team that just won as a dog. 38-19 ATS, 1-2 2014 and just 2-5 L7 (on Washington -10)


PLAY ON and UNDER rested away fav before 4/5 situation begins.
94-63 ATS, 7-4 2014 (on Memphis -6)
55-98-4 o/u, 4-6-1 o/u 2014 (MEM/ORL under 196.5)


team-specific on hold:
UNDER no rest after houston. 17-49-1 o/u (GS/OKC under 215.5)


pending biz....

FRI:
New Orleans -6.5
Golden State -2
Memphis -6
Washington -10
Sacramento -3.5
MEM/ORL under 196.5

 

[Biz]

39: OPPOSE lightly rested away fav vs decent teams, Game 11+ - Golden St -2.5
ATS: 40-76-2 (34.5%)

24: OVER West conf game with low total - LAL/Utah Over 194.5
O/U: 92-33-3 (73.6%)

 

[rolltide]

Biz meant 39: OPPOSE lightly rested away fav vs decent teams, Game 11+ - Okla City +2.5
ATS: 40-76-2 (34.5%)

 

[rolltide]

thx biz so just one add and KO golden state:

FRI:
New Orleans -6.5
Memphis -6
Washington -10
Sacramento -3.5
MEM/ORL under 196.5
LAL/UTA over 196

 

[rivercitybirdie]

can't find the relevent thread in the ncaa basketball thread....

but thanks to you i am now a paid subscriber to kenpom....... it really seems like subscribing to it is a good way to learn the college game... shocked at how many teams there are, of course.

 

[rolltide]

can't find the relevent thread in the ncaa basketball thread....

but thanks to you i am now a paid subscriber to kenpom....... it really seems like subscribing to it is a good way to learn the college game... shocked at how many teams there are, of course.

great service. imo best is when you click on the "time of game" and it matches up team's offense with opponent's defense. and since it's color coded (green good, red bad) it's easy to see where some mismatches might occur

example you'd expect Iona to have a hell of a FG% night especially with uncontested 3s... http://kenpom.com/gameprep.php?g=2961

also avg possession length off and defense when thinking about totals

 

[Biz]

Tide,

How do you access that for each game?? If I go to the site, where do I find this??

 

[Biz]

Found it thanks.

 

[Biz]

FYI.....the GS/OKC game has an UNDER referee tonight, in addition to your team specific under play.

 

[rolltide]

noticed i typed wrong line in for LAL game. should be 204.5 as biz indicated

yeah nice ref in gs/okc, 12-22 o/u incl 5-11 205+ total ... has been 50/50 in prev years but only 6 refs this year with 20+ games have a lower avg than his 197.5 ... and line now 217...guess i'll make this official although these team-specifics are pretty much shelved

his home team win % is also among the lowest in nba.

FRI:
New Orleans -6.5
Memphis -6
Washington -10
Sacramento -3.5
MEM/ORL under 196.5
LAL/UTA over 194.5
GSW/OKC under 217

 

[DT32]

Saturday

Saturday both unrested both off wins, b2b away OVER (37-13) - Hawks over 199.5

 

[rolltide]

been a while since we had a bad nba night....last night certainly took care of that


Current Record: 154-125 (55.2%)
Sides: 95-67 (58.2%)
Totals: 59-58 (50.4%)