new ones + hhh list...no team specifics in play
OPPOSE home dog, bad team, looking for revenge after a close home win. 90-30 ATS, 2-0 2014 (on Atlanta -11)
OPPOSE eastern dog non-conference with high total. 24-58-3 ATS, 5-5 2014 (on Phoenix -4.5)
TUE:
Atlanta -11
Phoenix -4.5
OPPOSE home dog, bad team, looking for revenge after a close home win. 90-30 ATS, 2-0 2014 (on Atlanta -11)
OPPOSE eastern dog non-conference with high total. 24-58-3 ATS, 5-5 2014 (on Phoenix -4.5)
TUE:
Atlanta -11
Phoenix -4.5
just follow the ATS. if i put 90-30, 2-0 that means it's 90-30 historically and 2-0 this year. While i might flip the way it's written I'm always consistent on the 2014 to align in same format as historical
90-30, 2-0 is same as 30-90, 0-2 no matter which way i write it. i will never flip the 2014 record to go opposite the way i write the historical record...wouldn't make a lot of sense
ran new ones and the team-specifics...
PLAY ON small away favs after breaking a losing streak if they allow <100 ppg. 160-72-5 ATS, 2-1 2014 (on Memphis -6.5)
PLAY ON away fav, great team, scoring 104+ in b2b2b. 107-37-5 ATS, 5-4 2014 (on Atlanta -7.5)
PLAY ON rested team vs unrested team playing in Denver altitude. 44-18-1 ATS, 6-4 2014 (on Denver -2)
team specific, on hold:
OPPOSE and UNDER charlotte vs Southwest. 31-61 ATS, 37-60-2 o/u & 2-4 ATS 2014, 1-3-2 o/u 2014 (SA -4, under 192)
OPPOSE 76ers vs good fast break teams, 11-34 ATS, 3-11 2014 (TOR -16.5)
TUE (still pending many....):
Houston -8.5
Denver -2
Memphis -6.5
Atlanta -7.5
DET/NO over 203.5
PLAY ON small away favs after breaking a losing streak if they allow <100 ppg. 160-72-5 ATS, 2-1 2014 (on Memphis -6.5)
PLAY ON away fav, great team, scoring 104+ in b2b2b. 107-37-5 ATS, 5-4 2014 (on Atlanta -7.5)
PLAY ON rested team vs unrested team playing in Denver altitude. 44-18-1 ATS, 6-4 2014 (on Denver -2)
team specific, on hold:
OPPOSE and UNDER charlotte vs Southwest. 31-61 ATS, 37-60-2 o/u & 2-4 ATS 2014, 1-3-2 o/u 2014 (SA -4, under 192)
OPPOSE 76ers vs good fast break teams, 11-34 ATS, 3-11 2014 (TOR -16.5)
TUE (still pending many....):
Houston -8.5
Denver -2
Memphis -6.5
Atlanta -7.5
DET/NO over 203.5
thx guys. I'll cancel out Philly with the team-specific as they're so terrible against fast break teams....
current lines at 5d...
WED:
San Antonio -4.5
Miami +15
PHI/TOR over 202.5
Houston -9
Denver -2
HOU/ORL under 200.5
DET/NO over 203
Memphis -6.5
Atlanta -7
current lines at 5d...
WED:
San Antonio -4.5
Miami +15
PHI/TOR over 202.5
Houston -9
Denver -2
HOU/ORL under 200.5
DET/NO over 203
Memphis -6.5
Atlanta -7
rolltide, great stuff.. thank you for all your help in other threads too.
i have a question and a question/comment... and should add i'm semi-grunching here.
what's the best way to set a nice ATS run but that isn't a dominant streak... i.e. how would i screen for teams that have won 4 of last 5 ATS and the ats loss was pretty close (say 4.5 points and under). i think i know how to do this making an absolutely massive command line.... but is there a simple trick to have it shortened? .......
say 4 of 5 ATS win and one ats loss <= 4.5....
i would also be happy just averaging last 5 ats results with the loss of course being negative
2nd question: u noticed that there seem to be alot of really nice and bad ats runs this year? (not perfect winning or losing but almost all games over 10 game period are either wins or losses? i do know how to test for this which leads to my 3rd question
i have a question and a question/comment... and should add i'm semi-grunching here.
what's the best way to set a nice ATS run but that isn't a dominant streak... i.e. how would i screen for teams that have won 4 of last 5 ATS and the ats loss was pretty close (say 4.5 points and under). i think i know how to do this making an absolutely massive command line.... but is there a simple trick to have it shortened? .......
say 4 of 5 ATS win and one ats loss <= 4.5....
i would also be happy just averaging last 5 ats results with the loss of course being negative
2nd question: u noticed that there seem to be alot of really nice and bad ats runs this year? (not perfect winning or losing but almost all games over 10 game period are either wins or losses? i do know how to test for this which leads to my 3rd question
this is what i was thinking but not pulling anything up so can't be coded correctly...i figured this would be a team that has covered 4/5 and their one cover was no worse than 4.5
Sum(ats margin>0@team,N=5)=4 and Sum(ats margin>-5@team,N=5)=1
let me think about it...but can start with:
Sum(ats margin>0@team,N=5)=4 and Sum(L@team,N=5)=1
that should be a team that covered 4 of last 5 and lost 1 of last 5
very easy to do avg over 5 but not sure how much this will help u unless you also incorporate something like winning 4/5 such as:
tA(ats margin@team,N=5)>=10 and Sum(W@team,N=5)=4
that query would be a team with 5-game avg covering by 10 ppg while winning 4/5 straight up.
from a no wins in 10 perspective....just do
Sum(W@team,N=10)=0 and season
and yes, appears there are way more "0 for last 10" teams this year than normal. already 25 games where a team was playing on a -10 game streak compared to all of last season which had 22
