NBA Systems 2014/15

[Kojak]

Bucks have failed to cover in every game this year as dd dog. At Cleveland they did but game fell under 10.

 

[Biz]

Tuesday, Dec 9

Toronto/Cleveland Under 206
Portland -7.5
Miami +4.5
Portland/Detroit Under 196


Current Record: 67-51 (56.7%)
Sides: 39-26 (60%)
Totals: 28-25 (52.8%)

 

[DT32]

Wednesday

Team that lost a double digit lead last game, now non-conference OVER (111-53) - Pacers over 199.5
Team off a blowout loss as a fav, now non-conference (63-28, subset of above) - Pacers over 199.5
Play the home team when both teams are playing 4 in 5 (60-38) - Dallas -7

 

[rolltide]

play on elite away fav after b2b2b 104+ point games. 103-37-5 ATS / 1-4 2014 (on LA Clippers -6.5) - now just 7-10 ATS L17 in last calendar year...


(on Nuggets -5.5):
Nuggets home rested vs unrested opponent. 29-14-1 / 1-3
subset of above - NOT off dd loss. 25-9-1 ATS / 1-1
Nuggets vs Southeast. 31-14 ATS / 0-0
subset of above - unrested away. 12-4 ATS / 0-0

 

[Biz]

37: OPPOSE big streaking fav - Philadelphia +13
ATS: 13-40-1 (24.5%)

23: PLAY ON away fav off non-cover vs home off cover - Washington -4.5
ATS: 131-70-4 (65.2%)

 

[tripleh]

53 PLAY ON 1H season undervalued DD dog off non-cover vs big fav off cover (75-22, 2-4 in 2014) Play on Minnesota +10.5

59 UNDER home team exactly 1 game rest after road trip vs team with 1 game rest (50 unders - 22 overs, 3 unders - 4 overs in 2014) Play on Orl/Wash Under 194.5

Team Specific (other than Denver already noted by RT):
Mavericks vs unrested opponent - OVERS (17 overs - 6 unders, 3 overs - 1 under in 2014) ​Mavs Over 209

 

[scorpion896]

Thank you all for all you do. Would love to know the query for this 1 if possible:

Play the home team when both teams are playing 4 in 5 (60-38)

 

[rolltide]

big list tonight...

Wed NBA:
LA Clippers -6.5
Dallas -7
Denver -5.5
76ers +13
Washington -4.5
Minnesota +10.5
ORL/WAS under 194.5
NO/DAL over 209
IND/LAC over 199

 

[rolltide]

Thank you all for all you do. Would love to know the query for this 1 if possible:

Play the home team when both teams are playing 4 in 5 (60-38)

as written (simply 4/5 vs 4/5) is very rare and that query is rest + p:rest + pp:rest = 1 and o:rest + op:rest + opp:rest = 1 and p:H

i think Dan is referencing one i screwed up before the year but not 100% sure. i know dallas is not in a 4/5 which puts Pelicans in a 20-39-1 ATS spot as a 4/5 team playing a better rested team off an away game...

rest + p:rest + pp:rest = 1 and o:rest + op:rest + opp:rest > 1 and op:A and date > 20130103
SU: 26-34 (-2.32, 43.3%) ATS: 20-39-1 (-1.56, 33.9%) avg line: 0.8 <tbody> </tbody>

<tbody>
</tbody>

 

[Biz]

Wed 12/10 NBA:

LA Clippers -6.5
Dallas -7
Denver -5.5
76ers +13
Washington -4.5
Minnesota +10.5
ORL/WAS under 194.5
NO/DAL over 209
IND/LAC over 199

5-3

Current Record: 72-54 (57.1%)
Sides: 42-29 (59.1%)
Totals: 30-25 (54.5%)

 

[tripleh]

Team specific:
Kings home vs unrested = overs (49-18, 3-1 in 2014) Play on Kings Over 196

 

[tripleh]

On the same team specific Kings trend: Kings are only 27-41 in that situation, including 1-11 in last 12. Not official play but may be one to watch.

 

[Biz]

38: PLAY ON mediocre teams away on a winning streak Conference Game - Oklahoma City -9
ATS: 96-49-1 (66.2%)

41: UNDER first half of season, high total with home team that went under by 14+ in each of last 2 games - OKC/Minnesota Under 205.5
O/U: 37-84-5 (30.6%)

 

[finite]

You might be right. On the other side OKC last 10 on the road is 2-7-1 ATS. Minn at home on Friday is 7-3 SU and 8-2 ATS. OKC plays the Suns next who have covered vs them last 3 and won last 2. OKC will be playing worst 3 in 4 and Minn who is 6-4 ATS last 10 vs OKC will be playing 3rd in 6.

 

[tripleh]

49 away fav before 4/5 vs rested opponent (95 unders - 53 overs, 3 unders - 2 overs in 2014) Play on LAC/Wiz Under 203.5
not official, but favorites in same query are 90-61 and 4-1 in 2014, so play on LAC if like or RT calls a play

57 DEC OPPOSE 4th in 5 games non conference (29-15, 0-0 in 2014) Play on NO -2.5

Team Specific trends:
Heat after 7+ point loss - UNDER (28 unders - 10 overs, 9 unders - 1 over in 2014) Play on Heat Under 190.5

 

[rolltide]

Thu:
Kings over 196
Fri:
Okla City -9
OC/MIN u205.5
LAC/WAS under 203.5
New Orl -2.5
MIA/UTA under 190.5

Current Record: 77-55 (58.3%)
Sides: 44-29 (60.2%)
Totals: 33-26 (55.9%)



guys, i did HHH today.... i started at the home dog revenge angle just above the eastern dogs with high total:

Kings home vs unrested. 50-18-1 o/u, 4-1 2014 (SAC/DET over 196.5)


OPPOSE eastern home dogs vs west, high total. 21-46-1 / 1-3 2014 (on LA Clippers -5)


OPPOSE home dog with revenge off a losing dog cover and equal rest. 16-26 / 1-1 2014 (on Atlanta -3.5)


team ones to consider:
Nets vs unrested.... 5-12-2 o/u with 2 of those overs due to OT. Also note that CHA is 19-46-1 ATS with just 92 ppg avg when unrested so perhaps CHA tt under 96 worth a look
Magic 20-10 o/u vs unrested, Hawks 9-3 o/u when playing without rest

 

[indiana]

R/T.............good luck today............indy

 

[Biz]

Thanks for updating Tide. Went to wife's Xmas party last night, a little foggy this am.

23: PLAY ON away fav off non cover VS home off cover - Atlanta -3
ATS: 131-71-4 (64.9%)

19: OPPOSE Home Dog off away loss where they shot poorly - Memphis -10
ATS: 17-40-1 (29.8%)

29: OPPOSR and OVER home team after losing big HT lead - Detroit +6, Detroit/Sacramento OVER 196
ATS: 46-70-3 (39.7%)
O/U: 79-38-2 (67.5%)

 

[DT32]

Sorry for so late.

Oppose home dog off an away loss where they shot poorly (17-40) - Memphis -10
Oppose home team playing home and home unrested. Subset for Eastern conference (49-74, 10-27) - Atlanta -2.5
Oppose Saturday unrested Home dogs (16-29) - Atlanta -2.5
Saturday, non-conference unrested OVER (61-30) - Pacers over 191.5

 

[rolltide]

ok, so summarizing with current lines here is Saturday card listed by tip (i couldnt resist charlotte tt under):

Atlanta -3
Charlotte team total under 97
Ind/Por over 192.5
Memphis -10
LA Clippers -6
Detroit +5.5
Det/Sac over 195