NBA Systems 2014/15

[rolltide]

Friday

Oppose home team off of a dog win where they were outrebounded (36-73) - Atlanta -1.5, Thunder -12.5

thunder meets the 22-50-1 subset
atlanta meets the 9-37-2 subset

dan, would you mind swapping that query out for this one? it combines both tighteners and moves lines a bit
p:rebounds < po:rebounds and H and p:W and p:line>-1.5 and season >= 2012 and line>-6 and (pp:W or p:A)

 

[palehose1]

thunder meets the 22-50-1 subset
atlanta meets the 9-37-2 subset

dan, would you mind swapping that query out for this one? it combines both tighteners and moves lines a bit
p:rebounds < po:rebounds and H and p:W and p:line>-1.5 and season >= 2012 and line>-6 and (pp:W or p:A)

So appose Atl & Thunder they are Rd teams ?

 

[savage55]

So appose Atl & Thunder they are Rd teams ?

No play ON both Atl and OKC

OPPOSE home team etc....

 

[DT32]

thunder meets the 22-50-1 subset
atlanta meets the 9-37-2 subset

dan, would you mind swapping that query out for this one? it combines both tighteners and moves lines a bit
p:rebounds < po:rebounds and H and p:W and p:line>-1.5 and season >= 2012 and line>-6 and (pp:W or p:A)

No problem. Update made.

 

[tripleh]

46 playing away to a team you beat last by 30+ at home (31-16-2) - ​Play on OKC -12.5

 

[rolltide]

thanks guys....looks like we're ready to go to press unless biz has something. nothing for me on my new ones

Friday:
Oklahoma City -12.5
Atlanta -1.5

 

[rolltide]

another little kicker on okc... dogs after breaking a 10-25 game losing streak are 0-11 losing by nearly 20 ppg

p:W and -26 < p:streak < -9 and REG and season > 2009 and D SU: 0-11 (-19.45, 0.0%) ATS: 0-11-0 (-12.27, 0.0%) avg line: 7.2 O/U: 3-8-0 (-4.50, 27.3%) avg total: 193.8 <tbody> </tbody> FG Pct FT Pct 3s Pct BLKS O-RBND RBND Fouls AST TOvers Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 32.73 41.8 13.45 72.2 6.00 32.4 3.36 9.00 37.00 17.36 19.55 14.91 19.3 23.1 19.6 22.9 84.9 Opp 40.00 49.7 16.09 78.7 8.27 39.7 5.00 10.45 43.27 18.55 24.09 12.55 24.5 25.6 29.2 25.1 104.4 <tbody> </tbody> Date Link Day Season Team Opp Site Final Rest Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 05, 2014 recap Fri 2014 Seventysixers Thunder home 1&2 12.5 200.0 <caption></caption><thead> </thead><tbody> </tbody> <tbody> </tbody>

<tbody>
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[Biz]

Another one for OKC

23: PLAY ON away fav off non-cover vs home off cover
ATS: 130-68-4 (65.7%)
SUBSET Non-Conf:
ATS: 46-19-2 (70.8%)

 

[Biz]

Another subset: vs home off Dog Win
ATS: 58-24-3 (70.7%)

 

[DT32]

Saturday
Unrested team off of back to back big ATS wins UNDER (26-60) - Suns under 208.5 (CX by below system)
Saturday, unrested, both off wins, back to back for away team OVER (36-11) - Suns Over 208.5 (CX above play), Magic over 195.5
Saturday non-conference unrested OVER (60-30) - Magic over 195.5

 

[rolltide]

unfortunately this one was missed yesterday (hhh?) and is alive again today. argh

Kings hosting unrested. 48-18-1 o/u ... unrested vs unrested just 4-3-1 o/u though so not optimal situation but matches Dan

ORL/SAC over 195.5

(btw you can get 195 flat at topbet)

 

[edgereport]

unfortunately this one was missed yesterday (hhh?) and is alive again today. argh

Kings hosting unrested. 48-18-1 o/u ... unrested vs unrested just 4-3-1 o/u though so not optimal situation but matches Dan

ORL/SAC over 195.5

(btw you can get 195 flat at topbet)

Thanks for all the work gentlemen. Following daily.

 

[Biz]

Sunday, Dec 7

35: Under when high scoring team off blowout vs blowout - Washington/Boston Under 208
O/U: 29-62-7 (31.9%)

26: PLAY ON high scoring team as away dog after big HT deficit - Denver +5.5
ATS: 67-28-2 (70.5%)

36: OPPOSE single digit dog vs opponent off div home fav loss - Memphis -8.5
ATS: 35-65-2 (35%)

23: PLAY ON away fav off non-cover vs home off cover - Portland -6.5
ATS: 130-69-4 (65.3%)
SUBSET: Non Conference Game
ATS: 46-20-2 (69.7%)

 

[DT32]

Team coming off a blowout loss as a fav, now playing non-conference OVER (61-28) - Mavs over 206.5 (2-5 so far this season)

 

[rolltide]

PLAY ON single digit away fav, elite team, after b2b2b 104+ point games, 103-36-5 ATS / 1-3 2014 (on WAS -3.5)

 

[rolltide]

Team coming off a blowout loss as a fav, now playing non-conference OVER (61-28) - Mavs over 206.5 (2-5 so far this season)

just looked that up. other than one horrible loss everything else really tight...unders by 3, 2, 1, and .5 besides the one that went under by 30 .... so not too concerned about that one. pretty rough to have 4 losses by 6.5 total points

 

[DT32]

Monday
Unrested team off back to back big spread wins UNDER (26-61) - Hawks under 192.5, Celtics under 204.5
Team off a blowout loss as a fav, now playing non-conference OVER (62-28) - Raptors over 214
Play against heavy schedule in conference (35-56) - Pacers pk, Wizards -9 (cx by below)
Oppose away, heavy schedule as a fav or small dog (subset of above, 7-17) - Pacers pk
Playing home and home unrested (49-73 & 10-26 subset) - celtics +9 (cx by wizards system)

 

[tripleh]

unfortunately this one was missed yesterday (hhh?) and is alive again today. argh

Kings hosting unrested. 48-18-1 o/u ... unrested vs unrested just 4-3-1 o/u though so not optimal situation but matches Dan

ORL/SAC over 195.5

(btw you can get 195 flat at topbet)

Forgot to run the team-specifics on Friday. My bad. I'll make sure to run them going forward.

 

[tripleh]

PLAY ON 1H season undervalued DD dog off non-cover vs big fav off cover (75-21, 2-3 in 2014) Play on TWolves +12.5
UNDER home team exactly 1 game rest after road trip vs team with 1 game rest (50-21, 3-3 in 2014) Play Under Pacers/Hawks 193

Team Specific (not sure this still qualifies since 1-7 in last 8):
Raptors home fav vs under .500 - big unders - ​Raptors Under???

 

[rolltide]

yes, those team ones are really just there for guidelines to follow. they can turn very quickly...change in coach, one player added or injured and those flip overnight. obviously tor are very different today then they were 2 years ago when it was really successful ... dump it