NBA Systems 2014/15

[Biz]

Monday, Dec 8

27: PLAY ON great team off fav same-season loss to terrible team - Washington -9
ATS: 29-8 (78.4%)

26: PLAY ON high scoring team as away dog after big HT deficit - Denver +9, Phoenix +7.5
ATS: 67-29-2 (69.8%)

 

[Biz]

Friday, Dec 5

Oklahoma City -12.5
Atlanta -1.5


Saturday, Dec 6

Orlando OVER 195.5


Sunday Results, Dec 7

Washington/Boston Under 208
Denver +5.5
Memphis -8.5
Portland -6.5
Mavs over 206.5
WAS -3.5



Current Record: 60-47 (56%)
Sides: 35-24 (59.3%)
Totals: 25-23 (52.1%)

 

[Biz]

37: OPPPOSE big streaking fav - Minnesota +12.5
ATS: 12-40-1 (23.1%)

 

[Biz]

Monday, Dec 8:

Atlanta/Indiana UNDER 192.5
Boston/Washington UNDER 204.5
Denver/Toronto OVER 214
Indiana PK
Minnesota +12.5
Washington -9
Denver +9
Phoenix +7.5

 

[DT32]

Monday, Dec 8:

Atlanta/Indiana UNDER 192.5
Boston/Washington UNDER 204.5
Denver/Toronto OVER 214
Indiana PK
Minnesota +12.5
Washington -9
Denver +9
Phoenix +7.5

I have two systems on the Celtics, which I think should cancel the Wizards. I have one on the wizards, too, so I am not sure if we are choosing those systems over the celtics systems?

 

[Biz]

Missed that. Cancels out.

I see one, what is the other??

 

[Biz]

The home and home has been really marginal from the 2011 season to now. 12-14 pretty much break even.

 

[Biz]

Monday, Dec 8:

Atlanta/Indiana UNDER 192.5
Boston/Washington UNDER 204.5
Denver/Toronto OVER 214
Indiana PK
Minnesota +12.5
Denver +9
Phoenix +7.5

3-4

Current Record: 63-51 (55.2%)
Sides: 37-26 (58.7%)
Totals: 26-25 (51%)

 

[DT32]

Tuesday

Unrested team off of back to back big spread wins UNDER (28-61) - Cavs under 206

 

[palehose1]

Tuesday

Unrested team off of back to back big spread wins UNDER (28-61) - Cavs under 206

So 28 wins and 61 lose PLEASE EXPLAIN

 

[PatsFanatic]

So 28 wins and 61 lose PLEASE EXPLAIN

28 overs and 61 unders

 

[DT32]

28 overs and 61 unders

Thanks. Total records will be shown as Over wins - Under wins.

Side records as Home wins - Home Losses.

 

[Biz]

Tuesday, Dec 9

23: PLAY ON away fav off non-cover vs home off cover - Portland -7.5
ATS: 130-70-4 (65%)
Subset Non-Conf:
ATS: 46-21-2 (68.7%)

60: PLAY ON midseason away dog, bad team off non-cover VS winning team off cover with another home game coming - Miami +4.5
ATS: 154-78-4 (66.4%)

 

[Biz]

Tuesday, Dec 9

Toronto/Cleveland Under 206
Portland -7.5
Miami +4.5

 

[tripleh]

49 away fav before 4/5 vs rested opponent (94-53-3, 2-2 in 2014) Play Det/Port Under 196
Same query - play favorite (90-60, 3-1 in 2014) Play on Portland

60 PLAY ON midseason away dogs, bad team off noncover, vs winning team off cover with another home game coming (154-78-4, 6-2 in 2014) Play on Heat +4.5

Team Specific: Memphis vs >.600 opponent (90-53-6, 6-3 in 2014) Play on Memphis

 

[rolltide]

tried to replicate this one today but i came out with 35-25 ATS. seemed line an interesting one....big dog that can score vs big fav playing low scoring games but never got near their #'s. i did take it apart and came up with a 40-25 ATS that is 10-2 L12 and would be active on MILW tonight. i then dove down a bit deeper and found a bunch more plays available without having to stick to a 10+ line

NBA | MILWAUKEE at OKLAHOMA CITY
Play On - Road underdogs of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games
41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )

Sum(ou margin@team and season,N=5) > 40 and Sum(ou margin@o:team and season,N=10) < -50 and AD and line >= 7.5 and season > 1997
SU: 30-97 (-7.48, 23.6%) ATS: 79-45-3 (2.48, 63.7%) avg line: 10.0 O/U: 54-71-2 (-1.17, 43.2%) avg total: 195.5 <tbody> </tbody>
FG Pct FT Pct 3s Pct BLKS O-RBND RBND Fouls AST TOvers Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 35.11 43.2 17.64 75.7 5.59 34.9 4.25 11.95 41.90 22.52 19.20 14.60 23.1 23.6 22.9 23.4 93.4 Opp 37.37 45.9 19.73 75.4 6.46 35.4 6.12 11.84 43.26 20.46 22.91 13.11 26.4 25.3 24.7 23.8 100.9 <tbody> </tbody>
Date Link Day Season Team Opp Site Final Rest Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 09, 2014 recap Tue 2014 Bucks Thunder away 1&1 10.0 201.0 <caption></caption><thead> </thead><tbody> </tbody>

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did a different one to take only ou margins for last 5 games for each team but okc/mil would not qualify:

Sum(ou margin@team and season,N=5) > 40 and Sum(ou margin@o:team and season,N=5) <= -27 and AD and line > 7.5 and season > 1997
SU: 37-120 (-8.24, 23.6%) ATS: 99-55-3 (2.04, 64.3%) avg line: 10.3 O/U: 77-78-2 (0.90, 49.7%) avg total: 196.3 <tbody> </tbody>
FG Pct FT Pct 3s Pct BLKS O-RBND RBND Fouls AST TOvers Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 35.60 43.9 17.45 75.3 5.81 35.1 4.24 10.85 40.27 22.77 19.54 14.52 23.6 23.8 23.2 23.1 94.5 Opp 38.27 47.2 19.82 74.6 6.33 36.1 6.13 11.54 43.29 20.64 23.85 13.49 26.8 25.4 25.3 24.3 102.7 <tbody> </tbody>

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</tbody>

 

[Grindstone30]

Leaning Milw amd LAL any thoughts?

 

[finite]

Did you happen to look at Rolltide's last post?

 

[rolltide]

Leaning Milw amd LAL any thoughts?

milw in good spot i think but okc is a really rough team to try and figure out. not really sure why LAL are favored let alone by 2 possessions but Kings in weird scheduling spot with this the only away game with 5 home games on each side. odd scheduling

 

[Grindstone30]

milw in good spot i think but okc is a really rough team to try and figure out. not really sure why LAL are favored let alone by 2 possessions but Kings in weird scheduling spot with this the only away game with 5 home games on each side. odd scheduling

Thanks RT GL with your action buddy thanks for your help