Everyone know the SEC was down this year, way down. Look at the avg points scored by sec teams florida played.
Bama 12-1 21ppg
O Miss 8-4 17ppg
Ark 5-7 14ppg
ga 9-3 18ppg
vandy 6-6 12ppg
scar 7-5 14ppg
tn 5-7 11ppg
ky 6-6 12ppg
These ppg's are based on all 12 games, to say the sec offenses this year were anemic is a gross understatement.
Dude, where are you getting your stats from? Youre average PPG numbers are way off.
We can't look at how many points per game each team scores or gives up and look acorss the board and say Oklahoma scores 50 a game and Florida scores 40 a game. And we cant look at the defenses and compare and say Florida gives up 13 per game and Oklahoma gives up 20+. But we can look at the ratios of how these teams effect what their opponents usually do.
Top 4 conference foes:
GA averages 30+ PPG. (10 vs. FL)
Ole Miss 31 PPG (31 vs. FL)
LSU 30+ PPG (21 vs. FL)
Bama 30+ PPG (20 vs. FL)
Top 2 out of conference foes:
Miami 27PPG (3 vs. FL)
FSU 32PPG (15 vs. FL)
FL holds opponents to roughly 45% less of an output than what the team usually scores. That puts FL on pace to hold Oklahoma to 30 points if this holds true. Very similar to their point output vs. Texas.
Best team FL faced was Bama. Held Bama to 33% less than what they usually score. Puts Oklahoma on pace for 35 points if this holds true.
OKLAHOMA
Top 4 conference foes:
Texas 43 PPG (45 vs Oklahoma)
Tech 44 PPG (21 vs. Oklahoma)
OK ST 41 PPG (41 vs. Oklahoma)
Mizzou 43PPG (21 vs. Oklahoma)
Top 2 out of conference foes:
TCU 35 PPG (10 vs. Oklahoma)
Cincy 27 PPG (26 vs. Oklahoma)
Oklahoma holds opponents to roughly 30% less than what the opponent usually scores. Puts Florida on pace for 32 points.
Best team Oklahoma faced was Texas. Texas scored more points vs. Oklahoma than what they usually average (102% more). Puts Florida on pace for 46 points.
DEFENSES:
FLORIDA:
Top 4 conf defenses Florida faced:
Bama gives up 13 PPG (Gave up 31 vs. FL)
UT gives up 16 PPG (Gave up 30 vs. FL)
Miss gives up 17 PPG (gave up 30 vs. FL)
USC gives up 20 PPG (Gave up 56 vs. FL)
Out of conference
FSU gives up 21 PPG (Gave up 45 vs. FL)
Miami gives up 24 PPG (Gave up 26 vs. FL)
Florida scores 96% more than what the opponents usually give up. Puts Florida on pace to score 47 points.
Best defense Florida faced was Bama. They usually give up 13, Florida scored 31. Florida scored 138% more vs. the best defense they faced. Puts them on pace to score 59 vs. Oklahoma.
OKLAHOMA:
Top 4 conf defenses faced:
Texas gives up 19PPG (Gave up 35 vs. Oklahoma)
OK ST gives up 27 PPG (Gave up 61 vs. Oklahoma)
Nebraska gives up 29 PPG (Gave up 62 vs. Oklahoma)
Texas Tech gives up 26 PPG (Gave up 65 to Oklahoma)
Out of conference:
TCU gives up 11PPG (Gave up 35 to Oklahoma)
Cincy gives up 20 PPG (Gave up 52 to Oklahoma)
Oklahoma scores 134% more than what opponents usually give up. Puts them on pace to score 31 points vs. Florida.
Best defense Oklahoma faced was TCU (OUT OF CONFERENCE DEFENSE!!!). Oklahoma scored 35 vs. TCU. 218% more than what they usually give up. Puts them on pace to socre 41 vs. Florida. Some may argue Texas was the best defense they faced, and that makes their output even worse.
Taking all of the projected points and averaging them out gives us the following:
Florida O cumulative avg. vs. top teams = 47
Florida O avg vs. best team = 59
Florida D cumulative avg. vs. top teams = 30
Florida D avg vs. best team = 35
Oklahoma O cumulative avg. vs. top teams = 31
Oklahoma O avg vs. best team = 41
Oklahoma D cumulative avg. vs. top teams = 32
Oklahoma D avg vs. best team = 46
Florida 46
Oklahoma 34
Eerily similar score to the Texas game using this logic.
