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hacheman@therx.com
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Underowned second base options
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Eric Karabell

This is apparently what happens when a fantasy baseball position feels like it's been wronged. We're less than a week through the season and the second base position is on fire. Entering Monday's games, second basemen comprised three of the top five spots among the home run leaders, five of the top 11 spots on the Player Rater, and those that had selected Rickie Weeks, Ian Kinsler, Howard Kendrick and Brian Roberts were feeling really, really smart today.
Alas, while second base does appear stronger than originally thought -- certainly in comparison to shortstop, which through five days of games had been outhomered by its middle infield counterparts 21 to four! -- fantasy owners should reel in expectations a bit. I mean, the Angels' Kendrick has three home runs already, but has never actually hit more than three home runs in any month of his career. The Orioles' Roberts once hit eight home runs in April 2005, but then hit 10 the rest of the season. I presume his balky back is feeling good today, but take the under on his first 20-home season.
Second base is looking pretty good, but I thought I'd point out players at that position that remain a bit too ignored -- even in standard leagues -- but offer promise.

Mike Aviles, Kansas City Royals: I like that Aviles is leading off and that he's running, two things I expect to continue. Yes, Aviles enters Tuesday hitting all of .214 and with only one walk, but wouldn't it be just a bit too easy for me to recommend someone off to a better start, like Neil Walker? I do like Walker, but Aviles also has staying power, and a career .298 batting average with potential for double-digit power (and definitely speed). I'd invest.
Will Rhymes, Detroit Tigers: I've discussed him recently so I won't belabor the point too much, but I saw the weekend games against the New York Yankees, and Rhymes is hardly overwhelmed at the plate. In fact, he hit the ball hard, but mainly at fielders, the entire series. Then Rhymes hit a pair of singles and stole a base Monday. This is a scrappy player who will be owned in most standard leagues at some point this season. I'd rather own Rhymes than Tsuyoshi Nishioka, for example.
Freddy Sanchez, San Francisco Giants: He's off to a nice start, with seven hits through four games, and it's not fluky. He's actually swinging the bat well and appears healthy for the first time in a while. Sanchez doesn't offer much power or speed, but even with a painful shoulder injury last season, he still hit .292 with seven home runs in 111 games. He's the second base version of Philadelphia Phillies third baseman Placido Polanco; if healthy, expect a .300 batting average and plenty of runs scored.
Other second base notes: Maicer Izturis is the second-most added second baseman in ESPN leagues, and I could see as many as 20 stolen bases with health and opportunity, but neither is assured. Izturis has played a game at three different infield spots already. If he hits, he will play. ... Caught Danny Espinosa of the Washington Nationals the other day and he reminds me a bit of Sean Rodriguez when he hits right-handed; he misses a lot of pitches. Espinosa can hit for power and run, and he's 4-for-9 with a pair of doubles, but I doubt he hits better than .250. ... I've got Blake DeWitt in a league that counts walks, but I'm thinking I'll need to look elsewhere soon. Then again, he hits left-handed and he's better than Darwin Barney and Jeff Baker, so I'm not seeing why DeWitt has been squeezed out by the Chicago Cubs. ... Why drop Ty Wigginton after two Colorado Rockies games? He did start one of them. He'll get 400 at-bats and hit his 15 home runs.
 

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Bits: Arrieta latest Oriole with solid start
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Eric Karabell

Baltimore Orioles right-hander Jake Arrieta permitted one run in six innings Monday, striking out three in beating the Detroit Tigers. Arrieta struggled as a rookie, with a high ERA and WHIP and low strikeout rate, and like teammates Zach Britton and Chris Tillman in recent days, he also delivered a quality start for the unbeaten Orioles; but fantasy owners should wait to see more before acting.
Atlanta Braves right-hander Brandon Beachy permitted one run over six strong innings Monday, striking out seven. A late bloomer with strikeout potential, Beachy's rotation spot seems secure, even with more-heralded lefty Mike Minor ready to emerge. Minor is scheduled to start Wednesday in place of Jair Jurrjens, but there's no word if he will receive more starts afterward.
<OFFER>Seattle Mariners left-hander Erik Bedard allowed five runs -- three earned -- against the Texas Rangers on Monday in his first major league start since July 25, 2009. The brittle Bedard generally pitches well, but not enough; over his past 58 starts, his ERA is 3.20, his WHIP 1.16 -- but this is since 2007. Buy low for his next outing against a far easier Cleveland Indians lineup.
Congrats to Texas Rangers shortstop Elvis Andrus for hitting a home run off Bedard on Monday, his first round-tripper since Sept. 2, 2009. Andrus is better known for his speed than power, and while he hasn't attempted a stolen base, his four extra-base hits in as many games are well over pace from 2010, when he delivered 18 all year.
Arizona Diamondbacks utility option Willie Bloomquist led off Monday's game at Wrigley Field with a home run, only his 14th in a 10-year career, and through four games he's hitting .357 with a big league-leading three stolen bases. Alas, Bloomquist is not on ESPN's most added list, wise considering Stephen Drew should resume starting shortstop duties Tuesday.
 

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Jordan Walden named Angels closer, but ...

Eric Karabell

Last season more than a third of the Opening Day closers ended up being replaced at some point, because of injury, ineffectiveness or simply because the team's manager decided he wanted to make a change. Well, we're less than one week into the 2011 fantasy baseball season, and we have our first change: Los Angeles Angels manager Mike Scioscia wisely decided to move his best relief pitcher into the closer role, meaning Jordan Walden is the guy you want, and Fernando Rodney most certainly is not.

Not that this comes as any surprise. Rodney struggled in Sunday's game, walking the bases loaded against the Kansas City Royals before Wilson Betemit plated two runs with a screaming double to left-center field. Rodney allowed a hit, two runs and three walks while retiring one hitter, and it could/should have been worse; Kevin Jepsen escaped the jam and the game went to extra innings. Three days earlier, on Opening Day, Rodney allowed two baserunners before nailing down the save. So in two games, he sports a 13.50 ERA and has allowed six baserunners in 1 1/3 innings.


On the other hand, Walden has fanned five hitters in 2 1/3 innings and permitted just one hit and one walk, and he piled on the strikeouts after an August call-up last season as well. While he's obviously inexperienced in the closer role, it clearly trumps Rodney's erratic ways. Rodney saved 37 games for the Detroit Tigers in 2009 and 13 more for the Angels last season, but over the past three seasons, his cumulative ERA and WHIP are 4.45 and 1.52, respectively. That's ugly. Scioscia says Walden will close as Rodney "gets back in touch with some things" in his delivery, but that could be a long wait. Don't feel like you need to keep Rodney, a 23rd-round pick in ESPN average live drafts and currently owned in 86.9 percent of leagues, any longer.
Walden, formerly a prime starting pitching prospect, features a high-90s fastball and excellent slider, and as ESPN colleague Jason Grey noted in an August 26 profile of Walden, this is a pitcher with closer stuff. The decision to pull Rodney from the role isn't a surprise, and Walden's chances of moving into the role were buoyed by Jepsen struggling (nine baserunners in three innings so far) and a disabled list stint for Scott Downs. In truth, Walden might have been the choice regardless.
Alas, despite all this promise, he still is a raw 23-year-old with 17 2/3 major league innings to his credit. I think this role suits him well and he'll thrive, but I don't like him as much as Atlanta Braves strikeout machine Craig Kimbrel or a few of the more established non-whiff closers that blew saves already, such as Brandon Lyon and Ryan Franklin. Look, quite a few closers are off to tough starts, especially in the NL Central, but I wouldn't punt Lyon, Franklin or current zero-save options such as Leo Nunez, John Axford or Matt Thornton just because a hotshot strikeout artist is getting opportunity. I would, however, try to make room for Walden even in 10-team standard leagues, but as always, be careful whom you cut. Using ESPN's relief rankings from the draft kit as a guide, I'd initially slot Walden at No. 25, ahead of both Seattle Mariners options (Brandon League, David Aardsma), one of the Washington Nationals (Drew Storen, but not Sean Burnett), all Tampa Bay Rays options (they will get a save opportunity at some point, but nobody knows who gets it), but not Joel Hanrahan, Kevin Gregg and Frank Francisco (who should be closing for the Toronto Blue Jays by mid-April). Yes, Walden got some good news Tuesday, and fantasy owners should act on it, but plenty of closer situations are still going to change, and the Angels could again be one of them.
 

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Closer Chart
Fantasy bullpen organization chart (last updated April 5)

The chart below breaks down all 30 major-league teams' bullpens in terms of relievers' proximity to the closer role, not their overall fantasy value. Teams are listed in alphabetical order.
"Closer" is either that team's officially designated closer, or the pitcher most likely to get the team's next save chance. "Next in line" is the pitcher next-most likely to take over if something happens to the closer, or the one who might get any save chances on the closer's nights off. "Stealth" is a dark-horse candidate for saves, for those digging deep. These pitchers typically don't pose an imminent threat to the closer's job security, but might, given time. "Looming" is a pitcher who has his sights set on the closer role but whose circumstances might currently prevent him from doing so. Generally speaking, usual closers who are on hurt and/or on the disabled list (designated as "DL"), bereavement list ("BL") or restricted list ("RL"), closer-worthy pitchers currently working out of the rotation, specialists (especially lefties) or "next in line" options presently in the minors fit the description. New: printable bullpen cheat sheet.
<TABLE style="MARGIN: 0px; WIDTH: 100%"><THEAD><TR><TH style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: bottom">Team </TH><TH style="WIDTH: 25%; VERTICAL-ALIGN: bottom"><CENTER>Closer </CENTER></TH><TH style="WIDTH: 25%; VERTICAL-ALIGN: bottom"><CENTER>Next in line </CENTER></TH><TH style="WIDTH: 25%; VERTICAL-ALIGN: bottom"><CENTER>Stealth </CENTER></TH><TH style="WIDTH: 25%; VERTICAL-ALIGN: bottom"><CENTER>Looming </CENTER></TH></TR></THEAD><TBODY><TR class=last><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle" align=middle>
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</TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">J.J. Putz </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">David Hernandez </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Juan Gutierrez </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Sam Demel </TD></TR><TR class=last><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle" align=middle>
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</TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Craig Kimbrel
Jonny Venters </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Peter Moylan </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">George Sherrill </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Scott Linebrink </TD></TR><TR class=last><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle" align=middle>
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</TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Kevin Gregg
Koji Uehara </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Mike Gonzalez </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Jeremy Accardo </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Jim Johnson </TD></TR><TR class=last><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle" align=middle>
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</TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Jonathan Papelbon </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Daniel Bard </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Bobby Jenks </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Michael Bowden (M) </TD></TR><TR class=last><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle" align=middle>
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</TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Carlos Marmol </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Kerry Wood </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Sean Marshall </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Jeff Samardzija </TD></TR><TR class=last><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle" align=middle>
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</TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Matt Thornton </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Chris Sale </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Sergio Santos </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Jesse Crain </TD></TR><TR class=last><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle" align=middle>
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</TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Francisco Cordero </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Aroldis Chapman </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Nick Masset </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Logan Ondrusek </TD></TR><TR class=last><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle" align=middle>
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</TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Chris Perez </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Tony Sipp </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Chad Durbin </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Rafael Perez </TD></TR><TR class=last><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle" align=middle>
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</TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Huston Street </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Matt Lindstrom </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Matt Belisle </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Rafael Betancourt </TD></TR><TR class=last><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle" align=middle>
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</TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Jose Valverde </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Joaquin Benoit </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Ryan Perry </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Joel Zumaya (DL) </TD></TR><TR class=last><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle" align=middle>
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</TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Leo Nunez </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Clay Hensley </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Ryan Webb </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Mike Dunn </TD></TR><TR class=last><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle" align=middle>
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</TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Brandon Lyon </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Wilton Lopez </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Mark Melancon </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Fernando Abad </TD></TR><TR class=last><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle" align=middle>
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</TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Joakim Soria </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Robinson Tejeda </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Tim Collins </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Aaron Crow </TD></TR><TR class=last><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle" align=middle>
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</TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Jordan Walden </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Fernando Rodney </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Kevin Jepsen </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Scott Downs (DL) </TD></TR><TR class=last><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle" align=middle>
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</TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Jonathan Broxton </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Hong-Chih Kuo </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Matt Guerrier </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Kenley Jansen </TD></TR><TR class=last><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle" align=middle>
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</TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">John Axford </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Takashi Saito </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Kameron Loe </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Zach Braddock </TD></TR><TR class=last><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle" align=middle>
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</TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Matt Capps
Joe Nathan </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Jose Mijares </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Jeff Manship </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Anthony Slama (M) </TD></TR><TR class=last><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle" align=middle>
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</TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Francisco Rodriguez </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Bobby Parnell </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">D.J. Carrasco </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Taylor Buchholz </TD></TR><TR class=last><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle" align=middle>
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</TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Mariano Rivera </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Rafael Soriano </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Joba Chamberlain </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">David Robertson </TD></TR><TR class=last><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle" align=middle>
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</TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Brian Fuentes </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Grant Balfour </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Michael Wuertz </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Andrew Bailey (DL) </TD></TR><TR class=last><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle" align=middle>
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</TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Jose Contreras </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Ryan Madson </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Danys Baez </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Brad Lidge (DL) </TD></TR><TR class=last><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle" align=middle>
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</TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Joel Hanrahan </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Evan Meek </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Chris Resop </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Jose Veras </TD></TR><TR class=last><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle" align=middle>
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</TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Ryan Franklin </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Jason Motte </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Trever Miller </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Fernando Salas (M) </TD></TR><TR class=last><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle" align=middle>
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</TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Heath Bell </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Mike Adams </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Luke Gregerson </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Chad Qualls </TD></TR><TR class=last><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle" align=middle>
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</TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle" colSpan=3>Committee: Jeremy Affeldt, Javier Lopez, Sergio Romo </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Brian Wilson (DL) </TD></TR><TR class=last><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle" align=middle>
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</TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Brandon League </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Chris Ray </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Jamey Wright </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">David Aardsma (DL) </TD></TR><TR class=last><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle" align=middle>
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</TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle" colSpan=3>Committee: Kyle Farnsworth, Jake McGee, Joel Peralta </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">J.P. Howell (DL) </TD></TR><TR class=last><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle" align=middle>
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</TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Neftali Feliz </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Mark Lowe </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Darren O'Day </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Darren Oliver </TD></TR><TR class=last><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle" align=middle>
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</TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Jon Rauch </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Jason Frasor </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Shawn Camp </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Frank Francisco (DL) </TD></TR><TR class=last><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle" align=middle>
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</TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Sean Burnett
Drew Storen </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Tyler Clippard </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Todd Coffey </TD><TD style="VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle">Doug Slaten </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
 

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Holliday Clearance

Four highly encouraging words uttered with regard to Matt Holliday's recovery from an appendectomy on Tuesday: cleared for baseball activities.

Though this doesn't establish a clear timetable for his return, it does make certain that he won't need a trip to the DL, and leaves open the possibility that he could be back as soon as this weekend against the Giants. And even if this weekend proves overly optimistic (a distinct possibility), Holliday clearly isn't far from a return, an outstanding development considering that early reports suggested that he could potentially miss a month or more.

Angels manager Mike Scioscia has removed the struggling Fernando Rodney (13.50 ERA, 4.50 WHIP through two games) from the closer's role, and his replacement, Jordan Walden, immediately picked up a save Tuesday night. Scioscia has said that the change is temporary, but all signs point to Walden having a legit shot to secure the job. Off to a fast start (3.1 IP, 0.00 ERA, 0.60 WHIP, 6 K's) and with the profile to succeed as a closer long-term, Walden qualifies as an immediate must-add in virtually all formats.

Andrew Cashner left Tuesday's start early and was headed for an MRI on his right shoulder, with the results unknown as of late Tuesday night. Cashner looked strong in his season debut against the D'Backs (one run on two hits in 5.1 innings) and would be worth monitoring in deeper mixed leagues if deemed healthy, but that's obviously a big "if" considering the troublesome nature of shoulder injuries.

In a positive shoulder-related development, Mat Latos (shoulder) threw a 70-pitch simulated game on Monday and is on course to make his season debut against the Reds next week.

Kendrys Morales (ankle, foot) took BP and completed a fielding drill on Tuesday, reporting no discomfort. The L.A. Times reports that Morales is expected to do some straight-line running later this week, which would mark another positive step in his recovery. The Angels haven't updated his timetable, but their previous update about a week ago had Morales returning sometime around April 21.

Mike Stanton (hamstring) underwent an MRI which revealed a mild strain before appearing as a pinch-hitter in Tuesday's game. Stanton is hoping to return to the lineup on Friday, which seems overly optimistic given that he's reportedly only running at "60-65 percent."

Danny Espinosa is expected to hit leadoff on Wednesday, with Ian Desmond moving to seventh. Jim Riggleman has announced a plan to alternate between the two until one of them claims the leadoff job outright. Given Desmond's lack of patience at the plate, Espinosa looks like the more likely candidate to remain at the top of the order.

A number of notable season pitching debuts took place on Tuesday. Here's a look at the pitchers' lines:

Jhoulys Chacin: 7.0 IP, 5 H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 4 K's – Should already be owned in most mixed leagues.

Alexi Ogando: 6.0 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 4 K's – Worth a close look in mixed leagues (though he did leave early with a blister).

Michael Pineda: 6.0 IP, 5 H, 3 ER, 1 BB, 4 K's – Out-pitched by Ogando, but worth considering in most mixed leagues due to high upside.

Aaron Harang: 6.0 IP, 6 H, 1 ER, 2 BB, 6 K's – The least exciting name on this list, but could bounce back nicely pitching for San Diego.

Madison Bumgarner—3.0 IP, 5 H, 3 ER, 3 BB, 2 K's – Don't panic.

Cole Hamels – 2.2 IP, 7 H, 6 ER, 2 BB, 3 K's – Ditto.

NL Quick Hits (pitchers): Brian Wilson (oblique) appears likely to be activated on Wednesday… Ubaldo Jimenez (thumb) reportedly could have his start pushed back to Saturday… Yovani Gallardo spun a two-hit shutout against the Braves to trump six strong innings from Derek Lowe… Homer Bailey (shoulder) threw long toss on Tuesday and could begin a minor league rehab stint on April 14… Meanwhile, teammate Johnny Cueto (triceps) threw 37 pitches in a simulated game and is expected to throw two innings in a minor league game this week, putting him on track to return before the end of April.

NL Quick Hits (position players): Chase Utley (knee) is reportedly not close to jogging, and there remains no clear timetable for his return… Nyjer Morgan got the start in place of a struggling Carlos Gomez and went 3-for-4… Carlos Pena (thumb) is hoping to return on Wednesday… Jason Bay (ribcage) is expected to begin swinging a bat this week, but doesn't appear likely to be ready when eligible on Saturday… Casey Blake (back) is expected to be activated on Wednesday.

AL Quick Hits (pitchers): Josh Beckett told the Boston Globe that his struggles last season were related to "physical issues," then struggled through five innings on Tuesday (five hits, four walks, three earned runs)… Fill-in A's closer Brian Fuentes (blister) wasn't available Tuesday, but could be back as early as Wednesday… Meanwhile, injured A's closer Andrew Bailey (forearm) threw a successful long toss session and appears to be on course for a potential return in mid-April… Set up by two scoreless innings from Matt Capps, Joe Nathan recorded his second save with a perfect 10th inning against the Yankees… Jered Weaver moved to 2-0 with a 0.69 ERA after throwing 6 2/3 innings of one-run ball against the Rays… Blue Jays closer Frank Francisco (pectoral) is slated for at least three minor league rehab appearances before his return… Jeremy Guthrie (pneumonia) was to remain hospitalized on Tuesday and may be sidelined another week… Justin Verlander (food poisoning) is expected to start Wednesday.

AL Quick Hits (position players): Jose Bautista is away from the Jays until Friday due to the birth of his daughter… Alex Gordon went 3-for-5 with two doubles and a homer, making him 7-for-11 in his last two games after starting out 2-for-13… Erick Aybar (side) isn't expected to play Wednesday… Johnny Damon (calf) returned after missing Sunday's game and picked up his first steal of the season... Yunel Escobar's first homer of the year was a walk-off shot against the A's… Franklin Gutierrez (stomach) could be ready to appear in a minor league game by the end of the week, putting him on course for a potential mid-April return… Scott Podsednik (foot) is reportedly about two weeks from playing… Michael Young made his first career start at first base, going 1-for-3 with an RBI.
 

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Closing Machines on the Fritz

So much can happen in a week when it comes to closers.

You think everything is settled, and then - bam - your world is upside down. It's like an action flick sequence running rough shod through your fantasy bullpen. Suddenly you are picking up the broken pieces and wondering why you ever thought Fernando Rodney would manage to hold on to that job despite being such a below-average pitcher.

In that honor, we'll name this week's tiers after action flicks! And, by the way, this is no exhaustive list, nor should omissions mean anything. It's just five movie franchises that represent different talent levels.


Tier 1: Elite (4) (AKA: The "Die Hard" Tier.)



Neftali Feliz, Texas Rangers
Heath Bell, San Diego Padres
Joakim Soria, Kansas City Royals
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Mariano Rivera, New York Yankees

Let's just put Mo in the top tier, he belongs here until we get a hint that the end is near, that he's ready to yell 'yippee-kai-yay' and ride off into the sunset.
Everybody else in this tier is still doing well. Even a poor effort from this group is a strong effort, just like the Die Hard franchise itself. You still get the classic lines, the big explosions - and even in lesser parts of the trilogy, there are still airplanes hitting tankers, or two strikeouts and a baserunner of some sort.


Tier 2: Rock Steady (5) (AKA: The "Matrix" Tier.)



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Brian Wilson, San Francisco Giants
Matt Thornton, Chicago White Sox
Carlos Marmol, Chicago Cubs
Joe Nathan, Minnesota Twins
Jonathan Papelbon, Boston Red Sox

If you walk as many guys as Carlos Marmol does, you are going to blow the occasional save. That just makes him a second-tier option, and moves him down the list a tiny bit, but it doesn't mean that he's a bad closer. It just means that, like the Matrix movies, his great efforts will be awesome, and his lesser efforts, well, massively disappointing really.
All the talk about Joe Nathan sharing opportunities with Matt Capps have gone out the window, making our ranking of Joe Nathan so high seem prescient. On the other hand, Nathan still hasn't quite got the velocity or command back to his pre-surgery days, so we can't move him too far.
Let's give Jonathan Papelbon more time before we decide which way he's headed. He did manage three strikeouts in one appearance, but also let in a run on two hits. Brian Wilson might head up in the rankings once he shows he's healthy.


Tier 3: OK options (7) (AKA: The "Bourne Identity" Tier.)



Francisco Rodriguez, New York Mets
J.J. Putz, Arizona Diamondbacks
Jose Valverde, Detroit Tigers
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Craig Kimbrel, Atlanta Braves
Chris Perez, Cleveland Indians
Huston Street, Colorado Rockies
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Joel Hanrahan, Pittsburgh Pirates

Comment:
The Bourne Identity movies are sort of steady Eddie: you won't get elite action out of them, but they're usually solid. These guys, wether it's because of their team situation or peripherals, aren't quite elite closers either.
The only question with J.J. Putz is his health, but after a slight back issue in spring training, he's dealing now. Chris Perez has a save and hasn't given up a run yet, but he also hasn't managed a strikeout in two innings so far.
Craig Kimbrel deserves his own mention. He has five strikeouts in two innings and looks legit. Even though the team said at first that he would share opportunities with lefty Jonny Venters, Kimbrel has faced lefties in both of his save opportunities and has dominated. We have to watch his walk rate - he has a Carlos-Marmol-ian statistical profile - but so far so good. No walks on the young season.
It's hard to move guys around too much based on one weekend, but Joel Hanrahan is the sole closer and he's acted like it. One walk, three hits and five strikeouts in his first three saves works just fine.


Tier 4: Question marks (6) (AKA: The "Pirates of the Carribbean" Tier.)



Jonathan Broxton, Los Angeles Dodgers
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John Axford, Milwaukee Brewers
Leo Nunez, Florida Marlins
Ryan Franklin, St. Louis Cardinals
Francisco Cordero, Cincinnati Reds
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Kevin Gregg, Baltimore Orioles
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Jordan Walden, Anaheim Angels

Comment:
Jonathan Broxton should be at the head of this slightly wonky tier. You'll get some saves from him - three so far - but he's not quite right just yet. He's given up two home runs in three home games so far, and only gave up eight home runs in the last two years combined, or six home runs in 211 career games. Watching him, you get sort of that same uncomfortable feeling you get when you're enjoying a good stretch in one of these movies, and you're not sure you should be.
Jon Axford completely melted down in his first save attempt, but it wasn't all his fault. Third baseman Casey McGehee got no outs from a double play - like water from a stone. Even one out there helps the closer out. At least he got back on the horse, and at least it wasn't all about his control. Watch his walk rate, that matters most.
Kevin Gregg joins this group because he got the first save chance in Baltimore, which seemed like an open question mark. Koji Uehara might still take the job, but at this point it looks like it will take some sort of implosion from Gregg.
Oh, and Jordan Walden? He's immediately Johnny Depp. We told you how bad Fernando Rodney is, and it didn't take his manager long to see it too. Rodney is out and though Walden wasn't immediately officially announced as the closer, he got the first save. His big fastball should work, don't look too hard at his minor league numbers. He used to be a starter then.


Tier 5: Rollercoaster rides (9) (AKA: The "Spiderman" Tier.)



Brandon League, Seattle Mariners
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Jose Contreras, Philadelphia Phillies
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Sean Burnett / Drew Storen, Washington Nationals
Brandon Lyon, Houston Astros
Jon Rauch, Toronto Blue Jays
Brian Fuentes / Grant Balfour, Oakland Athletics
Kyle Farnsworth / Jake McGee, Tampa Bay Rays

Comment:
Brandon Lyon is just as terrible as we thought he was, and he could easily lose the role to Wilton Lopez any day. That's a handcuff you must make if you are depending on Lyon to close.
<!--RW-->Jose Contreras moves up because his front office ridiculed Ryan Madson's ability to close publicly this week. Wow. Seems crazy, but maybe there's a reason to mock your player in public that isn't obvious here. I mean, mock Toby Maguire, yes. Mock a perfectly capable bullpen pitcher who has blown some saves in his past? Doesn't seem right.
Among the injury replacements in the group, Brandon League is the safest in the meantime. David Aardsma is feeling better in his bullpen sessions, but League is the sole man at the end of that pen in the meantime.
Washington is up in the air right now. With four pitches and the pedigree of being a to college closer and draft pick, Drew Storen should be the long-term answer there if he can get it together. In the meantime, both he and Sean Burnett need to be owned, and that's a shame.
In Tampa Bay, we're just waiting for more information. The team needs to score enough runs to be in a save chance before we can know how bad the bullpen situation actually is. Might say the same about Oakland, where both Brian Fuentes and Grant Balfour have had bad appearances in the young season.

<CENTER>* * * * * * * * * *</CENTER>


Injured


Frank Francisco, Toronto Blue Jays (strained pectoral)
David Aardsma, Seattle Mariners (hip surgery)
Andrew Bailey, Oakland Athletics (forearm tightness)
Brad Lidge, Philadelphia Phillies (shoulder)

Comment:
David Aardsma is doing good but there's no timetable set yet for his return. Frank Francisco is starting his rehab appearance and should be back within the week - if he's on your wire he makes for a great DL stash right now.
The news about Andrew Bailey and Brad Lidge is a little bit murkier. Bailey has managed three straight long-toss sessions that went well, but that's just long-toss and nothing else has yet been approved. Brad Lidge has been shut down completely for three-to-six weeks, and his manager thought he might be back by the All-Star break. So that's not great.

The Deposed:
Fernando Rodney, Los Angeles

Fernando Rodney deserves to be here, but it's sort of surprising how quick he ended up on this list. Drew Storen might be on his way here, but it's not set in stone yet.

<CENTER>* * * * * * * * * *</CENTER>

The Steals Department

He's not Jayson Werth, and he doesn't have the upside of injured rookie Domonic Brown. But Ben Francisco can play. He has 20/20 upside, and even if it doesn't come with the greatest batting average, that will be useful on most teams. He has some platoon issues, but they've been over-rated in the past, and now the team is sort of stuck without anyone else to fill the role. While he's starting every day and running a little bit, he's a great end-of-bench guy in most leagues.

Michael Brantley seems to make it on this list every year. Right now, he's playing center field every day with Grady Sizemore on the mend, and he's stealing bases and taking walks. That's a great combination, and he's at least a good short-term add. He's not a bad long-term add either - do you think Austin Kearns and Shelley Duncan would keep Brantley down if he was showing plus D and the ability to get on base and flash some wheels? There's a chance Brantley is relevant all year, and doesn't need to return to this list again.
 

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We Want Stanton
It's strange. Sometimes the biggest story of the night is a non-story. The Yankees and Twins did not play a game Wednesday night. And yet there was some intrigue. Derek Jeter, Joe Mauer, Jim Thome, Jorge Posada and Russell Martin were not supposed to be in the lineup.

That meant Eric Chavez was going to start a game. That meant Alex Rodriguez is going to be a very expensive DH that night. That meant Michael Cuddyer was being trusted with an outfield glove. That meant Eduardo Nunez was going to pair up with Chavez and Gustavo Molina at the bottom of a weakened Yankees lineup. And the starting pitcher matchup was Freddy Garcia versus Carl Pavano.

It's the danger when you draft older players on deep contenders. They'll sit your guy, and you'll have to have a bench that can slide in and get you those games back. Mixing from different age groups and teams can really help a (fantasy) team's depth.

* Good health is a fickle beast, a beast who can come calling at any time for any age. Todd Helton hit a three-run shot off of Chad Billingsley, but how spry will he stay all year. On the other end of the age spectrum, Mike Stanton (hamstring) has been fielding grounders and taking batting practice. He might be back (here?) by the weekend. Casey Blake rolled off of the disabled list and went two-for-three. Maybe he can be mediocre forever. Stephen Drew is young, but out still, and from a family with 'old' blood. Grady Sizemore is also younger than it seems, and went hitless in a Triple-A exhibition game Wednesday. Adam Dunn seems like an old man, but he caught the appendix thing (not really scientifically possible) and will be out after surgery. He might only miss five days!

Brian Matusz (intercostal) had a wart lazered off - again - and will be out until the end of the month at least. That's kind of a strange combination of afflictions. Brad Lidge seems like he's never been young - and now he's out until the All-Star break most likely. Ubaldo Jimenez was so healthy last year, and now he's out at least 15 with a cuticle problem.

* Some sneaky good pitching occurred between the Rays and Angels. Dan Haren obviously struck out six, walked none and held the Rays to one run. But Jeremy Hellickson struck out ten batters in five and two-thirds against only two walks. He should be owned everywhere.

National League Quick Hits (Injuries, Rosters): The Cubs just got socked with both Andrew Cashner (mild rotator cuff strain) and Randy Wells (forearm) hitting the DL on the same day … Your stolen base category just took a hit - Michael Bourn left the Astros game last night with a sore groin … Brian Wilson came back from his oblique and gave up three earned quickly, but it probably doesn't mean much … Santiago Casilla (elbow) hit the DL to make room for him … SI.com's Jon Heyman thought that Aaron Rowand might be released when Cody Ross comes back … Jon Lucroy (pinkie) is starting rehab this weekend …. Manny Parra (back) threw some simulated innings and is an SP/RP in most leagues … Carlos Pena (thumb) missed another game but should be back soon.

National League Quick Hits (Game Reports): Prince Fielder went three for four but doesn't have an extra base hit yet; use that to buy him if you like … Ryan Howard is on fire, four-for-four with a home run on Wednesday … Brandon Belt went two for five with two singles and two strikeouts … John Axford earned a save but walked Jason Heyward too … The same Jason Heyward that hit his second home run of the season earlier in the game … Mike Minor still owns much upside, but his first start didn't start out well (three straight walks); He'll return to the minor leagues and is still interesting later in the season … Another terrible first inning from Edinson Volquez, another battle and another mediocre final result … Jose Contreras got a save - he's settling in … Chris Coghlan hit three doubles and a single in five at-bats and could be a batting average boon in most leagues … Mike Pelfrey has an okay sinker, but games like his seven-run, two-inning affair on Wednesday show he doesn't have ace upside … Livan Hernandez gave up four runs in five innings and is mostly a pitcher to avoid … Tim Stauffer gets ground balls but is also hittable - eight hits, nine ground balls, two walks, one strikeout against the Giants.

American League Quick Hits (Injuries, Rosters): He hasn't been great as a reliever so far, but Phil Coke will move to the rotation for good, supposedly … Yunel Escobar (dizziness) slid headfirst and hurt himself and will be re-evaluated Thursday … The Rangers might sign Cuban OF Leonys Martin to a contract … Jon Rauch got his first save but Frank Francisco (pectoral) is starting his rehab assignment this weekend … The Athletics aren't sure if Rich Harden (lat) will come back as starter or reliever … Erick Aybar (oblique) might not hit the DL, but will miss some time … Adam Moore is getting an MRI on his right knee … Peter Bourjos got a routine day off … Scott Downs, scheduled to make a Thursday rehab start, is more of a competitor to new closer Jordan Walden than anyone else in that Angel bullpen.

American League Quick Hits (Game Reports): Hey Adrian Gonzalez hit his first of many Red Sox home runs … Justin Verlander kept the surging Orioles down to three runs and upped his season strikeout total to 17; he's an ace in all formats … Carlos Quentin is murdering the ball and went hit a home run Wednesday … I'm not worried about Matt Thornton yet, despite his blown save … Mitch Talbot labored through 102 pitches and was otherwise unexciting … In a parallel report, Daisuke Matsuzaka threw a ton of pitches and left early … Asdrubal Cabrera hit a home run, but his regular, acceptable play is good enough to play him in deep leagues … I don't want to own Brad Bergesen in any of my leagues, especially after not making through four innings against the Tigers … Derrek Lee hit his first as an Oriole … Dallas Braden doesn't have great peripherals; Wednesday he struck out three, walked one, and gave up ten hits and five earned in seven innings … Travis Snider still has mixed-league upside and hit his first home run of the season … Brandon Wood debuted with an oh-for-four with three (!) strikeouts … Dan Johnson in Tampa Bay is having a hard time getting on base, which was the one thing he could do maybe … Chone Figgins is 3-25 this season.
 

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My Favorite Martin
Welcome to the season's first edition of Waiver Wired. I'll be your humble host each and every Thursday, doing my very best to pass along some players to consider on your league's waiver wire.

With this weekly column, you can expect coverage of mixed leagues, as well as AL-only and NL-only leagues.

You'll notice that I'm once again using ownership percentages from Yahoo! and ESPN. Early on in the season, there will be some differences between the two sites, partially because of their respective pre-draft rankings. Expect those numbers to even out over the next couple of weeks.

In a way, this is the most difficult column I'll write all year. We only have a few games of data to work with and the majority of the players you'll find below went undrafted in most leagues. Perhaps they were overlooked or maybe they just weren't good enough to make your initial roster. In other words, I might look back and laugh at a couple of these recommendations in September. Then again, hopefully some of them can help give a boost to your roster for the long haul.

Let's get started, shall we?

And don't worry, I promise you won't find Willie Bloomquist here…

MIXED LEAGUES

Jordan Walden RP, Angels (Yahoo: 58 percent, ESPN: 33.3 percent)

The no-brainer add of the week, really. He's probably already gone if you play in a competitive league, but for some reason it doesn't look like everybody has received the message. Mike Scioscia named Walden as his new closer after Fernando Rodney blew up in epic fashion Sunday against the Royals. He has indicated that the change may only be a temporary one, but Walden certainly has the stuff to run away with the job. The hard-throwing right-hander earned his first save Tuesday and pitched a scoreless ninth inning in Wednesday's 5-1 win over the Rays. He's one example of a guy who could stick on your roster all year long.

J.J. Hardy SS, Orioles (Yahoo: 20 percent, ESPN: 21.5 percent)

Hardy is just 3-for-14 (.214) to begin the season, but hang with me for a second. While he batted .268 with just six homers and 38 RBI last season, realize that he was dealing with a wrist injury for most of the year and played half of his games in one of the least hitter-friendly parks in the league. He's in a much better place after the trade to Baltimore. And in his walk year, no less. I wouldn't be shocked if he delivered 15-20 homers, which would give him sneaky value from the shortstop position.

R.A. Dickey SP, Mets (Yahoo: 32 percent, ESPN: 14.7 percent)

Dickey was an obvious choice for "bust" lists this spring, but you wouldn't know it from his season debut Sunday against the Marlins. He gave up only an unearned run over six innings while walking three and striking out seven. You'll often see Dickey lumped in with other knuckleballers, but the 36-year-old right-hander throws his harder than most, which often throws hitters off balance and induces plenty of ground balls. I'm confident that he'll be the most valuable fantasy starter on the Mets' staff this season.

Chris Iannetta C, Rockies (Yahoo: 16 percent, ESPN: 29.6 percent)

Where's the love for this guy? Seriously. After years of sharing playing time with the likes of Yorvit Torrealba and Miguel Olivo, Iannetta finally has the starting catcher job all to himself. Sure, he's unlikely to hit for a high batting average, but his combination of power and patience gives him breakthrough potential at the catcher position, especially in leagues that count on-base percentage and OPS. 20 homers are legitimate possibility here.

Sean Burnett RP, Nationals (Yahoo: 40 percent, ESPN: 12 percent)

I'm still of the opinion that Drew Storen will be the primary closer in Washington before long, but the first save opportunity of the season went to Burnett on Saturday. And why not? He's probably the most reliable option in Jim Riggleman's bullpen at the moment. Burnett averaged 8.9 K/9 and 2.9 BB/9 in 2010 and while many consider him a left-handed specialist, he actually held right-handed batters to a .182/.253/.234 batting line over 151 plate appearances last season. You'll probably have to drop him at some point, but if you can't get Walden, he's the one to own.

Alex Gordon 3B/OF, Royals (Yahoo: 44 percent, ESPN: 10.3 percent)

Will we ever give up on this guy? As much as Gordon has disappointed fantasy owners over the years, we can be awful quick to forgive. The former 2005 first-round pick has multi-hit games in four out of his last five, including five doubles and a home run. He's also batting third in the Royals' lineup, which gives a nice boost to his value. I'm less enthusiastic about him in leagues where he only qualifies in the outfield, but he's a worthwhile target if you can plug him at third base, especially if you need a fill-in for Evan Longoria.

Russell Martin C, Yankees (Yahoo: 51 percent, ESPN: 33.8 percent)

Here's another example of someone who is probably gone in most competitive leagues. Martin, who was non-tendered by the Dodgers in December, has hit safely in four out of his first five games, including a three-run homer in Saturday's win over the Tigers. He has also stolen two bases, which should answer any lingering concerns about his hip and surgically-repaired knee. Granted, he's coming off back-to-back near identical mediocre seasons at the plate, but if there's any place where he could rebound, this is it. He's worth a shot.

Michael Pineda SP, Mariners (Yahoo: 33 percent, ESPN: 20.3 percent)

I debated whether to include Brandon Beachy, Alexi Ogando or Zach Britton in this spot. All three make for interesting fliers depending on need, but I feel Pineda has the most potential of the lot. The 22-year-old right-hander was impressive in his major league debut Monday against the Rangers, giving up three runs over six innings while striking out four and walking just one. With a fastball that touches the high-90s to go along with a wicked slider, he looks like the perfect complement to Felix Hernandez atop of the M's rotation. His offense isn't going to help him much, but I could see him putting up some gaudy numbers at Safeco in his rookie year.

Shopping at the five and dime:

(Players owned in less than 10 percent of Y! and ESPN.com leagues)

Aaron Harang SP, Padres (Yahoo: 8 percent, ESPN: 1 percent)

Harang returned home to San Diego over the winter in hopes of getting his career back on track. He's already off to a pretty good start. The 32-year-old right-hander tossed six innings of one-run ball in Tuesday's win over the Giants. Many will shy away from Harang because he posted a 4.71 ERA from 2008-10, but he did so while averaging 7.4 K/9 and 2.6 BB/9. That's pretty good. His fly ball tendencies will be less of a liability in PETCO Park, so he's at least worth using on a matchup basis. Try him against the Dodgers on Sunday.

Michael Brantley OF, Indians (Yahoo: 6 percent, ESPN: 1.7 percent)

I'm a big fan of Brantley right now. The 23-year-old is currently batting leadoff and playing center field while Grady Sizemore works his way back from microfracture surgery. And he's done a pretty well so far, hitting safely in each of the first five games of the season while also walking three times. His combination of patience and speed makes him a worthwhile short-term acquisition in deeper mixed formats, but he should still see plenty of time in left field once Sizemore returns. I could see around 30 stolen bases if everything breaks right.


<!--RW-->


AL-ONLY

Jayson Nix 2B/3B, Blue Jays (Yahoo: 1 percent, ESPN: 0.1 percent)

When you really think about it, Nix on the Blue Jays makes a ton of sense. The 28-year-old has a lousy .216 batting average and 168/57 K/BB ratio over 726 major league plate appearances, so it's not like I'm expecting a breakthrough there, but Rogers Centre is one of the better venues for right-hander power in the majors. Jose Bautista is expected to return from the birth of his first daughter on Friday, which will send Nix back to the bench, but I could still see him finishing the year with 10-15 homers in a part-time role.

Carlos Carrasco SP, Indians (Yahoo: 2 percent, ESPN: 0.2 percent)

Probably not who you expected to see here, but this is an ideal time to pluck Carrasco off the waiver wire. There's a chance some owners cut bait on him after he allowed seven runs on 10 hits over 6 2/3 innings against the White Sox on Saturday, but I see much better days ahead. Remember, the 24-year-old right-hander had an impressive 3.83 ERA and 38/14 K/BB ratio over 44 2/3 innings as a September call-up last season. The Indians' offense probably won't give him much support, but I'm not giving up on this guy.

Mark Trumbo 1B, Angels (Yahoo: 4 percent, ESPN: 0.2 percent)

After a monster spring (.297 batting average with six homers), Trumbo is batting .286 (6-for-21) with two doubles, two RBI and a stolen base over the first five games of the season. Playing in the hitter-friendly Pacific Coast League likely helped, but he tied Mike Moustakas for the minor league lead with 36 home runs last season. The 25-year-old should continue to see most of the playing time at first base until Kendrys Morales is ready to return, so he makes for a pretty solid short-term play.

Chris Getz 2B, Royals (Yahoo: 1 percent, ESPN: 0.1 percent)

Getz has a .254/.317/.320 career batting line and almost no power whatsoever, so you're probably asking yourself what he's doing here. Well, he's playing everyday for Ned Yost and is 43-for-49 (88 percent) in stolen base attempts during his career. I wouldn't be surprised if Wilson Betemit (or the aforementioned Moustakas) eventually finds his way into the lineup, forcing Getz to compete with Mike Aviles for at-bats, but right now the 27-year-old makes for a cheap speed option at the second base position.

NL-ONLY

Charlie Morton SP, Pirates (Yahoo: 1 percent, ESPN: 0.7 percent)

I'm not kidding here. I actually like Charlie Morton. Yes, the very same guy who had a 7.57 ERA over 17 starts last season, easily the highest ERA among pitchers with at least 70 innings pitched. Granted, Morton wasn't exactly brilliant against the Cardinals on Monday -- he issued five walks -- but he also gave up just one run over six innings while recording 15 outs on the ground compared to just one fly out. The 27-year-old right-hander always had good stuff, so if he can continue having success with his sinker, he'll have some value in NL-only leagues. Keep an eye on him.

Juan Miranda 1B, Diamondbacks (Yahoo: 1 percent, ESPN: 0.1 percent)

Diamondbacks manager Kirk Gibson said Tuesday that Miranda -- not Russell Branyan -- will get the majority of the starts at first base. I'm not completely convinced that this is exactly how the situation will play out, but the organization obviously wants to see what he can do. Miranda signed with the Yankees for $2 million back in 2006, but was never given much of an opportunity there, despite batting .287/.374/.481 with an .855 OPS at the Triple-A level over the past three seasons. Chase Field is a pretty favorable environment for hitters, so he's worth plugging in there against right-handed pitching at the very least.

Wilson Ramos C, Nationals (Yahoo: 1 percent, ESPN: 0.1 percent)

Ramos, who was acquired from the Twins in the Matt Capps deal last July, went 2-for-5 in his second start of the season Tuesday. The 23-year-old is expected to split playing time with Ivan Rodriguez in the early part of the season, but look for him to be the primary catcher in Washington before long. His plate discipline is a work in progress and he is somewhat of a durability question, but he knows how to handle the bat and possesses sneaky pop from the right side of the plate. Stash him now if you have the room.

Brad Emaus 2B, Mets (Yahoo: 1 percent, ESPN: 0.3 percent)

The Mets picked up Emaus from the Jays in December's Rule 5 Draft and while he didn't do much until the end of spring training, it was obvious he was the organization's preferred option at second base all along. The 25-year-old put up some impressive numbers with Triple-A Las Vegas last season, but they were undoubtedly inflated by playing in the Pacific Coast League. As a result, he's somewhat of an unknown quantity here. What we do know is that Emaus has some pop and knows how to take a pitch. With
 

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Nishioka Taken Out
The Orioles are sitting atop the American League East standings with a sparkling 5-1 record. Cleveland has begun the year 4-2. The Pirates are in second place in the National League Central. The Rays and Red Sox are winless.

It's April 8.

Your fantasy team is in the cellar. Nobody's hitting. The staff is getting knocked around nightly. You don't have enough power. You need another closer. You're too top-heavy in the outfield. Why won't anyone steal a friggin' base!

It's April 8.

Having a panic attack at this point in the baseball season is not only unhealthy, it's illogical. The Red Sox aren't going to finish in last place. The Indians aren't going to finish in first. As our own Aaron Gleeman pointed out Thursday on Twitter, fretting over results this early in the summer (or spring, really) is like questioning an NFL team's worth two quarters into the first game of the regular season.

Struggles are part of the deal. If you did your research and drafted well, there's no sense worrying or attempting wholesale changes after the first week of games.

Before this Daily Dose gets too lectury, let's get to the goods...

* Twins second baseman Tsuyoshi Nishioka suffered a fractured fibula on Thursday afternoon in New York when Yankees outfielder Nick Swisher upended him while successfully breaking up a double-play attempt. The slide was legal and the Twins acknowledged that fact after the game. Of course, that doesn't change the reality of the situation: Nishioka, who many fantasy draftees viewed as a potentially valuable stolen base producer, will be out for at least a month. And probably more.

In his place rides Luke Hughes, who will be called up from Triple-A Rochester on Friday morning. The 26-year-old slugged six home runs and tallied 15 RBI in just 65 at-bats this spring and is likely to start most games at second base while Nishioka is out. Matt Tolbert will remain a utilityman, making only random starts in Hughes' place. Hughes should have value in AL-only leagues and deeper mixed formats.

* I was asked on a Sirius-XM radio spot this week to name some players I would draft if given the chance to do it all over again. I play in six leagues, but I target many of the same names in each of those league drafts and often end up with somewhat similar rosters. The first name that came to mind when the host asked that question was "Ian Kinsler." The Rangers second baseman has already slugged three home runs in 20 at-bats and has attempted two stolen bases. He's clearly feeling healthy and has second-round potential when he's at his best. In drafts I was tracking this spring, he was going as late as round nine.

* Marlins starter Javier Vazquez got a lot of late action in drafts this year. It was easy to buy into the idea that he might bounce back to his 2009 form with a move back to the National League and south Florida seemed like a pretty good fit. But he was shelled for seven runs -- four earned -- over just 2.1 innings when he debuted for the Fish on Sunday against the Mets. He's facing the Astros next in what looks to be an attractive matchup, but what if he gets rocked again? How long should fantasy owners stick with a guy that had a brutal 2010 for the Yankees?

We're drawing a line in the sand. Vazquez, if he's back to the form he had as a member of the Braves, should dominate the weak-hitting Houston lineup. If he doesn't, it might be proof that he's truly past his days as an effective starter. If the Astros handle him, we're bailing.

National League Quick Hits: Brewers starter Zack Greinke threw a bullpen session Thursday for the first time since his February rib fracture … Sean Burnett picked up his second save of the year Thursday for the Nationals … Josh Johnson struck out six batters Thursday in his second start of the year … Nationals prospect Bryce Harper collected an RBI single in his first professional plate appearance Thursday at Single-A Hagerstown … Jay Gibbons has begun a minor league rehab assignment … Mets outfielder Jason Bay hit off a tee Thursday for the first time since straining an intercostal muscle … Takashi Saito is day-to-day with hamstring tightness … The Brewers are considering Marco Estrada for a regular rotation spot … Roy Halladay tossed seven scoreless innings Thursday against the Phillies … Pirates reliever Joe Beimel is scheduled to begin a minor league rehab assignment Friday … [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/player.asp?sport=MLB&id=5072"]Henry Rodriguez[/URL] has been cleared to begin a rehab assignment … Astros outfielder Michael Bourn was held out of Thursday's lineup because of a groin injury … Mike Pelfrey might be on the trade block this summer … Rockies starter Esmil Rogers allowed just one run over 7 1/3 innings Thursday and struck out eight … The Astros have dropped Bill Hall to seventh in the lineup.

American League Quick Hits: Orioles shortstop J.J. Hardy is day-to-day with tightness in his rib cage … Adam Dunn wants to play Friday despite a recent appendectomy … Grady Sizemore went 1-for-3 in a minor league rehab game Thursday at Triple-A Columbus … Red Sox reliever Matt Albers will be placed on the disabled list Friday due to a sore lat muscle … Brandon Morrow allowed five runs in a three-inning rehab start Thursday at Single-A Dunedin … Angels outfielder Reggie Willits has begun a minor league rehab assignment … Brian Fuentes notched a save Thursday against the Blue Jays … Yunel Escobar is day-to-day with a mild concussion … Tigers starter Brad Penny allowed four runs in four-plus innings Thursday against the Orioles … Adam Moore has a torn meniscus in his right knee and will need surgery … Joel Zumaya has been cleared to begin a throwing program … Orioles DH Vladimir Guerrero hit his frist homer of the year Thursday versus the Tigers … Brian Matusz will head to extended spring training next week to resume his rehab … White Sox starter Edwin Jackson struck out 13 Rays on Thursday … Justin Duchscherer had an ablation procedure on his back … A's second baseman Mark Ellis is day-to-day with an ear infection … Jeremy Guthire is still hoping to start Sunday despite having pneumonia … The Blue Jays activated Octavio Dotel from the disabled list.
 

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Aces on Deck

Since the schedule for our first Week Ahead column fell just a few days into the baseball season, we hit the middle and back of rotations for two-start pitchers, leaving us without much in the way of elite options last week. That changes this week, as aces like David Price, Felix Hernandez, Justin Verlander, Roy Halladay and Chris Carpenter work their way into the mix. Those hurlers are listed below, along with the rest of the two-start crop and your usual assortment of streamer suggestions, match-up info and injury updates.

Going Twice...



American League

Strong Plays
David Price: @BOS (Lester), MIN (Pavano)
Jeremy Hellickson: @BOS (Matsuzaka), MIN (Duensing)
Felix Hernandez: TOR (Romero), @KC (Francis)
Dan Haren: CLE (Talbot), @CWS (Buehrle)
Justin Verlander: TEX (Ogando), @OAK (Braden)
Mark Buehrle: OAK (Braden), LAA (Haren)

Decent Plays
Alexi Ogando: @DET (Verlander), @NYY
Michael Pineda: TOR (Litsch), @KC (Mazzaro)
Trevor Cahill: @CWS (Jackson), DET (Penny)
Dallas Braden: @CWS (Buehrle), DET (Verlander)
Carl Pavano: KC (Francis), @TB (Price)
Jeff Francis: @MIN (Pavano), SEA (Hernandez)
Brad Penny: TEX (WIlson), @OAK (Cahill)

At Your Own Risk
Brad Bergesen: @NYY, @CLE (Talbot)
Jesse Litsch: @SEA (Pineda), @BOS (Matsuzaka)
Daisuke Matsuzaka: TB (Hellickson), TOR (Litsch)
Mitch Talbot: @LAA (Haren), BAL (Bergesen)

National League

Strong Plays
Chris Carpenter: @ARI (Galarraga), @LAD
Madison Bumgarner: LAD (Billingsley), @ARI (Enright)
Roy Halladay: @WAS (Hernandez), FLA (Volstad)
Shaun Marcum: @PIT (Correia), @WAS (Hernandez)
Chad Billingsley: @SF (Bumgarner), STL (McClellan)

Decent Plays
Livan Hernandez: PHI (Halladay), MIL (Marcum)
Kyle McClellan: @ARI (Enright), @LAD (Billingsley)
Tim Stauffer: CIN (Volquez), @HOU (Figueroa)
Clayton Richard: CIN (LeCure), @HOU (Myers)
Mike Pelfrey: COL (Hammel), @ATL (Jurjens)
Jonathon Niese: COL (Rogers), @ATL (Lowe)
Brett Myers: CHC, SD (Richard)
Jason Hammel: @NYM (Pelfrey), CHC (Dempster)
Chris Volstad: @ATL (Minor), @PHI (Halladay)
Ryan Dempster: @HOU (Figueroa), @COL (Hammel)

At Your Own Risk
Kevin Correia: MIL (Marcum, @CIN (Volquez)
Edinson Volquez: @SD (Stauffer), PIT (Correia)
Nelson Figueroa: CHC (Dempster), SD (Stauffer)
Barry Enright: STL (McClellan), SF (Bumgarner)


Streamer City



The following pitchers are generally available in over 50 percent of fantasy leagues and have favorable match-ups this week:

American League

Thursday, 4/14: Phil Coke @ OAK
It remains to be seen how the lefty will fare in Detroit's rotation, but he'll draw this favorable match-up in his second turn.

Thursday, 4/14: Doug Fister @ KC
Fister is nothing flashy, but he was solid last year and should fare well against the Royals presuming they cool off.

Friday, 4/15: Jake Arrieta @ CLE
Arrieta was outstanding in his first start at home. We'll see if he can keep rolling against Cleveland's meager lineup.

National League

Wednesday, 4/13: Carlos Zambrano @ HOU
Big Z is obviously a wild card at this point, but he shouldn't labor too much against the struggling Astros.

Tuesday, 4/12: Mike Minor vs. FLA
Minor was demolished in his first start, but the talented young lefty figures to bounce back quickly.

Friday, 4/15: Brandon Beachy vs. NYM
The rookie merits a look at home against the Mets.

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Total Games



American League

6: BAL, BOS, CWS CLE, KC, LAA, MIN, NYY, TEX, TOR
7: DET, OAK, SEA, TB,

National League

6: ARI, ATL, CHC, CIN, FLA, MIL, PHI, PIT, SF
7: COL, HOU, LAD, NYM, SD, STL, WAS


Lefty/Righty Breakdown



American League

BAL: 5 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
BOS: 3 vs. RHP, 3 vs. LHP
CWS: 3 vs. RHP, 3 vs. LHP
CLE: 6 vs. RHP, 0 vs. LHP
DET: 4 vs. RHP, 3 vs. LHP
KC: 4 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP
LAA: 5 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
MIN: 4 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP
NYY: 3 vs. RHP, 3 vs. LHP
OAK: 4 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP
SEA: 4 vs. RHP, 3 vs. LHP
TB: 5 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP
TEX: 5 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
TOR: 5 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP

National League

ARI: 4 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP
ATL: 5 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
CHC: 6 vs. RHP, 0 vs. LHP
CIN: 5 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
COL: 6 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
FLA: 4 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP
HOU: 6 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
LAD: 4 vs. RHP, 3 vs. LHP
MIL: 4 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP
NYM: 6 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
PHI: 5 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
PIT: 4 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP
SD: 4 vs. RHP, 3 vs. LHP
SF: 4 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP
STL: 5 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
WAS: 5 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP


The Infirmary



You can get a full listing of injured players at Rotoworld's Injury Page, but here's the latest on a few prominent players who have been out of action:

Brian Matusz: Out until May
Randy Wells: Out until May
Andrew Cashner: Out until May
Ubaldo Jimenez: Out until late April
Tsuyoshi Nishioka: Out indefinitely
Evan Longoria: Out until late April
 

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Bye Bye Manny, Buy Beckett!
Good bye Manny and good riddance. That is all I am going to say on that subject today. Now on to what you really want to hear: fantasy news and analysis from the Week That Was.

Josh Beckett: The following blurb appeared on Rotoworld this week: "Fox Sports' Ken Rosenthal has spoken with a scout that was encouraged by Josh Beckett's Tuesday night start against the Indians. 'Beckett actually threw very well — best changeup I have seen from him,' the scout said. 'The Indians had some really tough at-bats against him.'" Yes, the line score was roto-ugly, but having watched a bit of the game, I have to agree with the scout's assessment. The change up was moving nicely, tailing away from lefties and in on the righties. There was good movement on the fastball too. When the weather heats up a bit and Beckett's number one goes from 91mph to 93-95, there will be a greater disparity between the change and heater, making both much harder to track. Bottom line: I believe in Beckett and have convinced Rick to agree to invest in both LABR and Tout (I also invested in my home league). So, I have put my proverbial money where my mouth is (or in this case, typing fingers). I advise you to follow suit. [Question, do we like the term "roto-ugly"? I think it works].


Luke Hughes: As most of you know, Tsuyoshi Nishioka suffered a broken leg and was placed on the DL. The Twins culled up Luke Hughes to take his place and promptly gave Hughes the start on Friday. What does this mean for fantasy owners? I was never sold on Nishioka for many reasons, including his low success rate stealing bases in Japan. However, he was an everyday player and those in deep leagues cannot afford to lose everyday players. Hughes should get a bunch of starts, however, Matt Tolbert will steal time at 2b as will Michael Cuddyer (when Gardy wants Cuddyer, Young, Kubel and Thome all in the lineup). Hughes had a hot spring, jacking 6 dingers, so there is a chance he will give you some pop but it will come at a AVG price as Hughes never really hit for any kind of sustained average in the minors. Tolbert on the other hand often hits for average, albeit with little else. Bottom line – there is not much worth chasing here unless by some miracle, Cuddyer is not owned in your league.


Chris Getz: Chris Getz continued to stake his claim Friday, going 3-4 with a double and a walk. I like Getz and think he will prove to be a great source of cheap speed. Over the last two years, Getz swiped 40 bags in 599 AB. So, he should easily eclipse 30 if he plays every day this year. Remember, while Getz has bounced around a bit, he is only 27 and has shown some big league success already. Yeah, he will not continue to hit at a .391 pace, but he will produce and should beat out Mike Aviles for the 2b job after Mike Moustakas makes his May or June debut. Buy.


Pablo Sandoval: The Panda is on fire! [You don't read that headline every day]. Pablo Sandoval (aka the "Kung Fu Panda") continued to rake last night, going 3-5 in a win over the struggling Cards. The Panda has his average up to a ridiculous .440. In spring training, everybody read bout the slimmer, streamlined Panda. There was talk of this new waistline just being spring noise. Well, it appears to be much more than that. Frankly, when I see a very talented player who makes the bigs at a very young age and produces, I see major talent. When I read that said major talent has gotten serious over the off-season and is approaching his job with professionalism and dedication, I see a chance to capture roto value. Buy Panda stock before it is too late. [ps – on a lesser scale, I would argue that the same logic applies to another excellent nickname player, Melky "the Melkman" Cabrera].


Matt Thornton: Matt Thornton blew another save last night (that is two in a row). Yes, the runs were unearned but the Chisox lefty gave up a bomb to weak lefty hitting Dan Johnson of all people. Ugly. Thornton is a quality arm with a long string of major league success. However, he has never been a closer and failures like this can get into one's head. I would not panic yet, but if you own Thornton, I would roster Chris Sale and/or Jessie Crain. Sale is likely owned, but Crain may not be. Rick and I grabbed Crain in both LABR and Tout on the theory that most teams like righty closers and Crain is the number one righty in the pen on the south side. Worth the speculation especially now that Matty T is tee-ing it up for hitters in the early going.


Ian Kennedy: Ian Kennedy pitched a beauty last night, going 8 innings, allowing one run and mowing down 9. The former Yankee prospect had a very strong year last year and is on the way to more success this year. Fantasy lesson – have you heard this one before? – When a player hits the bigs at a very tender age, has success and then hits the skids, DO NOT give up on him too early. In Kennedy's case, he made the majors in 2007 in a pennant race at the age of 22. He had a rough go at 23 and 24 and is now just 26. Those who saw the value will really profit this year. If there is a Kennedy owner in your league who thinks he or she is selling high early, pounce. The value will be there all year.


Vernon Wells: Vernon Wells is like the winter of 2011 – brutally cold. He stayed frozen last night, going 0-4 in a loss. Wells is a good player who will surely hit more than the 3-31 he has posted thus far. However, he is often injured and has had only one big season in recent years. When you add in the fact that he has moved from the launching pad of Toronto to pitcher-friendly Anaheim (and the fact that he will get 18 games in Seattle and Oakland rather than Camden and Fenway), you have good reason to be skeptical. Wait for Wells to hit a few jacks and sell when you can.


Jayson Nix: Jayson Nix went yard last nigh to help the Blue Jays best the Schultzies (aka Indians) 3-2. SELL! You need me to say it again? SELL! Yes, Nix could get time in Toronto given that Bautista doesn't want to play 3B and Encarnacion uses a frying pan for a glove. However, Nix really is not much of an offensive force. Stated another way, he will kill your average if given the chance. In the last three years, Nix has 645 AB and a combined batting average of .214. Yuck. Just imagine what full time exposure would do that average! Sure, maybe you will get some pop but you will need Ichiro and Robbie Cano just to bring the average back to respectable. Unless you are in the deepest of leagues, pass.


Cory Luebke: Cory Luebke tossed four no hit innings of relief in the rain marred game in SD last night. I do not know when Cory will get his chance in the rotation but it will happen and will happen this year. When it does, make sure you had him stored on reserve already. The rookie already has 8K in 5 inn of work. Speculate.


Boone Logan: Yuck. Boone was a boon to hitters again yesterday making sure that the Yankees had a bigger hole from which to dig than before he toed the rubber. Long time readers know that I have long detested Kei Igawa, the absurdity of that signing and the damage he did every time he took the mound. Well, the way Boone is going, Kei is going to have a buddy in the Week That Was doghouse. There is no reason to own Boone in any format other than one like Razzball where you are trying to pick the worst performances.


And last, but not least, Schultz says: "His name is Willie Bloomquist but people call him Pants On The Ground. That's because he's not acting his age. Most utility players that bounce between the infield and outfield don't usually hit their stride when they hit 33 years of age. Taking advantage of the early absence of Stephen Drew, Bloomquist has seized his opportunity as a Diamondbacks regular by hitting close to .350 and swiping 5 bases. Bloomquist may have stolen 25 bases in 2009 but there is nothing to suggest that these type of numbers are sustainable and they likely aren't. The D'Backs may find playing time for him while he's hot but he's not going to displace a healthy Justin Upton, Chris Young or Gerardo Parra. He'll be the hot waiver wire option this week. Let someone else spend too much money on a journeyman.

His name is Phil Hughes but people call him Charlie Sheen. That's because only people that are dazed and confused would think he's "winning." After showing flashes of brilliance in 2009 and 2010, many had this year penciled in as the one where Hughes makes the leap to the Pinstripe elite. Two starts are definitely not enough to conclusively write him off. However, there are signs that should give any of Hughes' owners pause, namely the reports that his velocity is down. He should be past the dead arm period that often plagues pitchers early in the season so these reports could be a sign that something is awry. If you own him, you surely have high expectations. A bold move would be to heed the warning signs and see if you can get a fair return from some other owner who isn't paying keen attention.

His name is Adam Dunn. It seems that "emergency appendectomy" has replaced "sore oblique" as the injury du jour this April. Dunn has been boasting about returning this weekend. Even if he makes an unnecessarily speedy comeback, it would be folly to think he'll be at 100%. It's early in the season, go with one of your bench options this week and bring Dunn back in one week.

His name is Tsuyoshi Nishioka but people call him Pink Lady. That's because he's a Japanese import that failed to make a great first impression in America. A hard slide from Nick Swisher has hobbled the Twins second baseman for at least 4 to 6 weeks. Nishioka's first week in the bigs hasn't been anything to write Japan about but likely wasn't a fair sampling of what he's capable of doing. A broken fibula won't be season threatening, so stash him away and await his return.

In case you are wondering about the odd syntax Glenn, they're called The Hold Steady and they may very well be one of the best things going.

Now perhaps you should revisit your Indians prediction from last week. The 5-2 Tribe hasn't lost since you foresaw their doom and destruction last Friday and have more wins over the Red Sox than the Yankees."

Response: Odd but interesting. As to Bloomquist, I agree he will not be an allstar, however, those in deep leagues should buy as the odds of 39 year old Melvin Mora holding 3b down all year are slim. As to Phil Hughes, yeah, something is just not right. Expect a DL stint soon. As to the Indians, well done in week 1, but better to revel in the Cavs win over the Heat.
 

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Manny retires: The 'Jennings Watch' begins

By Eric Karabell

Fantasy owners can pretend the news of Tampa Bay Rays designated hitter Manny Ramirez announcing his retirement Friday isn't a big deal, but Ramirez was a 17th-round selection in ESPN standard live drafts, and until a few days ago, he was owned in 100 percent of standard leagues.


Even as of the announcement, Ramirez remains owned in more than 90 percent of leagues, despite a .059 batting average through one messy week. His impending 100-game suspension from Major League Baseball reportedly played a part in his decision, likely more so than his slow start, but I don't see a Brett Favre waffle-job in the works here. Goodbye, Manny, thanks for being one of the top-10 offensive players in fantasy baseball the past 15 or so seasons.
This decision obviously creates opportunity for someone on the Rays, a winless team that was hitting a mere .145 with eight runs scored in six games entering play Friday, and I just don't think that person is first baseman Casey Kotchman. Four starting Rays hitters had accumulated only one hit so far: Ramirez, Matt Joyce, Dan Johnson and Johnny Damon. Rays manager Joe Maddon would probably like to bench them all, but he just doesn't have the depth, not when Felipe Lopez and Elliot Johnson are your bench. Having your best hitter (Evan Longoria) hit the disabled list after two games and your cleanup hitter retire after a week is a major problem.
Kotchman can be an elite first baseman defensively, but he just doesn't hit enough, so don't read too much into the fact he got the call from the minors and the news that the Rays likely will play him this weekend, with Johnson moving to designated hitter. First of all, Johnson hasn't hit. Second, Damon is not a good outfielder and is already having problems with the Tampa turf, so I still expect him to get most of his at-bats in the DH role. Damon should play enough outfield to qualify for the outfield in 2012 leagues, not that anyone's thinking about that today. Also, Damon shouldn't be this bad at the plate for long; he's a career .287 hitter, and even last season, arguably the worst of his career, he scored 81 runs. Damon is down to 41.4 percent owned in standard leagues, which seems a bit low, but then again he's 37 and not likely to reach 15 home runs or 15 stolen bases. Simply put, this Manny move doesn't make me want to add Damon. In Friday's Box Score Bits, I wrote about the three stolen bases that unheralded outfielder Sam Fuld provided in Thursday's game, adding that Fuld really didn't have opportunity on this team unless either Joyce or Dan Johnson (a combined 2-for-41 so far) were benched. Well, following Manny's retirement, Fuld might get more playing time. That said, Fuld, however spunky and energetic he is, is 29 years old. He has generally walked more times than he has struck out and stole more than 20 bases in each of the past two seasons for the Triple-A Iowa Cubs, but he still profiles as more of a fourth outfielder than everyday starter, even for a team off to a brutal start.


Instead, fantasy owners should turn their attention to hot prospect Desmond Jennings, because now the only thing holding the Rays back from promoting the "next Carl Crawford" is financial implications, and angry fan bases don't want to hear that. The Rays can't blame the Ramirez and Damon signings on why Jennings is at Triple-A Durham anymore, and just because Kotchman got the call Friday doesn't mean Jennings won't get a similar one soon. Jennings has speed to burn and could provide at least 30 stolen bases this season if the Rays play him, and that's even if Jennings doesn't hit much. He's not a power guy, but he's a potential leadoff hitter, and right now the Rays could use one. All that said, Jennings had a terrible spring training (.154 batting average, only one stolen base), and the team could opt to leave him at Triple-A Durham for a few months and save a year of arbitration down the line. I just don't think they will.
I think Joyce, more than Johnson, will hit, though I can't make a strong case to roster either of them in standard leagues. Joyce is more of a platoon guy in right field, but he isn't hitting right-handed pitching. Johnson has pop and takes walks but not enough to overcome hitless stretches such as this. Even after hitting 30 home runs in 98 games for Durham, Johnson hit just .198 for the Rays last season. Kotchman, for the record, hit .217 for the Mariners last season and it wasn't because of the tough ballpark or the lack of talented hitters around him. He's a .259 career hitter with a .392 slugging percentage. Teams can get away with that at second base, not first base. Expect to see Johnson, Joyce, Fuld and Kotchman all share the at-bats, with none of them holding Jennings back. Fuld should get some chances to play this weekend in left field, and in deeper leagues owners should add him and enjoy the stolen bases. Ultimately, those who drafted Ramirez hoping for a return to reasonable numbers, such as a .300 batting average and 20 home runs, won't get that. It's time for the Rays to give Jennings a chance, let him sink or swim, and that could mean a lot more in fantasy.
 

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Phil Hughes, John Lackey testing patience
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By Eric Karabell

A lot can happen in a baseball weekend, especially in a world -- both real and fantasy -- in which patience is a lost virtue and panic sets in early. Consider the plight of the Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays, who both entered their Friday games winless. Sound the alarm!


It's not much different in fantasy baseball. I still think Rays reliever Jake McGee will lead the team in saves, but without the Rays scoring runs and with nary a save chance after a week, it's of little surprise that fantasy owners made McGee fantasy's most dropped player a few days ago. He since has been replaced at the top by Red Sox right-hander John Lackey, a pounding victim in his first two outings, including Friday afternoon's mess. From bounce-back candidate a week ago to clear-cut bust, right? It changes quickly.
As I type this, I've just watched Lackey and New York Yankees right-hander Phil Hughes serve up one meatball after another in Friday's afternoon tilt at Fenway Park. It was ugly. Hughes is not on the most-dropped list yet, but I bet that changes Saturday. Fantasy owners don't want to hear about him winning 18 games a year ago. They only care about lost velocity and way too many runs in the first week. From 16th-round pick in ESPN average live drafts to discarded, one week into the season. Lackey and Hughes weren't the only guys who had important outings this weekend. Will these other starting pitchers, also on the considerable hot seat, perform better? They'd better, or those in the fantasy community will obviously judge them harshly, showing little patience. Let's investigate:


Wandy Rodriguez, Houston Astros: Bad spring, bad first start and bad first half last season. That's what fantasy owners are choosing to pay attention to. The awesome second half, with the 2.11 ERA and 101 strikeouts in 93 2/3 innings, as well as the greater body of work since 2008, seems forgotten. Look, I'm not cutting Way-Rod no matter how he performs against the Florida Marlins on Friday night, but if it's bad, I bet he continues to be dropped.
Max Scherzer, Detroit Tigers: This one is tougher. Like with Way-Rod, he was awful in late March, allowing 20 runs in his last 12 1/3 innings, and while he beat the Yankees in his first start, he permitted four home runs and posted a 2.20 WHIP in five messy innings. There's no way a potential 200-strikeout guy should be cut this early, but I bet his owners look for trades if the Kansas City Royals hit four home runs off him.
Javier Vazquez, Florida Marlins: He's at 8.2 percent owned, so another pounding like last week's -- his ownership was around 20 percent before it -- with six hits, five walks and seven runs (four earned) in 2 1/3 innings won't be tolerated, not coming off his brutal 2010 for the Yankees. Those who drafted Vazquez are hoping a return to the National League fixes his dropping velocity. If the Astros light him up, those owners will no doubt lose hope.
For deeper leagues: I refuse to own Rick Porcello of the Tigers until he's less hittable and shows some consistency (on the good side). His first outing doesn't paint a good picture. … Ivan Nova perplexes me. He can look so good for a few innings, then, generally the third time through a lineup, things unravel. … Jake Westbrook of the Cardinals doesn't generally issue many walks. Against the Padres in his first start, he allowed five of them. Will the Pirates be as patient? … Speaking of the Pirates, I saw quite a few people label James McDonald as their big sleeper. I think he'll improve, and there's strikeout potential, but he's not someone you wait a month for. … The Rays can't get a break, but Wade Davis and Jeff Niemann did themselves no favors last week. The perception of all Rays looked a lot better a week ago. … If you're still counting on Scott Kazmir, it's time to move on. The Angels seem on the verge of doing precisely that. Have a great weekend!
 

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Twins have a hole at second base
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By Eric Karabell

I was able to see Minnesota Twins second baseman Tsuyoshi Nishioka play a handful of times between spring training and the first week of the season, and while it's not really enough of a sample size to form a concrete opinion, I wouldn't say he looked like a must-own fantasy option to me. Nishioka, who had his left fibula broken Thursday afternoon when New York Yankees outfielder Nick Swisher aggressively broke up a double play, was placed on the 15-day disabled list later in the day and will miss at least a few weeks, perhaps considerably more.
A 20th-round selection in ESPN average live drafts, Nishioka wasn't off to a great start to the regular season at the plate or in the field. The language barrier wasn't helping him with middle infield partner Alexi Casilla, and he had already made a few errors, not surprising since he was mainly a shortstop in recent Japanese seasons. At the plate, the slap hitter is hitting .208 with two walks but eight strikeouts, and at times he looked overmatched.
<OFFER>ESPN Fantasy projected Nishioka for modest totals of six home runs, 44 RBIs, 19 stolen bases and a .282 batting average, and I'm in line with that. In fact, as long as Nishioka returns in May, I could still see him accomplishing this. The point is, those numbers aren't exactly special, and second base certainly doesn't look as bad as previously expected, certainly not in comparison to shortstop. In standard mixed (10-team) leagues I'd just cut Nishioka, rather than wait three weeks or 10, whatever ends up the recovery time. Less than 24 hours after the injury occurred, Nishioka already found himself on ESPN's most dropped list, and he could be leading the list in a matter of days.
The Twins regularly manage to contend in the American League Central despite a lack of offensive production at multiple infield spots -- there's no Nick Punto here anymore! -- and let's just say their idea of incumbent replacements for Nishioka aren't exactly what fantasy owners would call enticing. Matt Tolbert took over at second base Thursday, but the utility option lacks power, speed, batting average potential, you name it.
Luke Hughes was summoned from Triple-A Rochester, and the Australian would seem to offer power potential after slugging six home runs in spring training. No other Twin hit more than three. Hughes led the club with 15 RBIs and slugged .569 ... but also led with 17 strikeouts, while walking twice. His on-base percentage was .265. Don't expect miracles, but take a shot in an AL-only format.
Perhaps manager Ron Gardenhire, knowing the outfield/designated hitter depth at his disposal, will ignore defense and try to get away with Michael Cuddyer playing second base. Cuddyer, off to a slow start with two singles in 19 at-bats, could lose playing time if Gardenhire uses Jim Thome at DH and Jason Kubel in right field. Cuddyer started a game at second base last season (no errors!) and has 62 career games and 47 starts there. Hey, who thought he'd be used at third base last season? If Cuddyer plays second base, it would make the case to own him easier.
Then there's the issue of who assumes the coveted No. 2 lineup spot ahead of Joe Mauer and Justin Morneau. It could be Tolbert, but it's more likely Casilla moves from the No. 9 slot to second. Casilla statistically profiles much like Nishioka; fast but lacking power. Casilla makes contact, eschewing walks and strikeouts in general, and he stole a base Thursday. I could see him swiping 20 more, and if he bats second, scoring more runs. He's owned in 5.8 percent of ESPN leagues, and it was double that a week ago.
As for second base eligible players available in more than 50 percent of ESPN leagues, Freddy Sanchez and Maicer Izturis are each on ESPN's most added list, and the former should hit near .300 and the latter has potential for 20 stolen bases. There's also Mike Aviles, Ty Wigginton, Ryan Theriot, Will Rhymes and Danny Espinosa. None are doing much after a week, but all should produce eventually, so buy low. I still like Aviles -- frisky on the basepaths and likely to hit for average -- the most of this crew. If it's solely a middle infield spot you need to fill, the pool seems deeper, with Jhonny Peralta, Miguel Tejada, J.J. Hardy and Orlando Cabrera available. Plus, if you're into the latest flavor-of-the-week options, Willie Bloomquist could play his 10th game at shortstop by this time next week, not that it would necessarily be a good thing for fantasy owners.
 

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Bits: Edwin Jackson looking like an ace
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By Eric Karabell

Tampa Bay Rays outfielder Sam Fuld stole three bases Thursday, placing him among the league leaders from one game. Alas, he didn't score any runs, as the winless Rays have tallied just eight runs in six games. Fuld's speed and on-base skills could earn him playing time, not over Manny Ramirez, but over struggling Matt Joyce and Dan Johnson, who are now a combined 2-for-41. Fuld is past prospect status at age 29, but he did steal more than 20 bases each of the past two Triple-A seasons


Former Rays right-hander Edwin Jackson fanned 13 of those Rays on Thursday, earning his second win of the season. Jackson is looking like the Chicago White Sox ace so far, with an MLB-leading 20 strikeouts. But he needs to show consistency; last season he threw 20 wild pitches and his WHIP was 1.39.
Speaking of speed, Houston Astros outfielder Jason Bourgeois filled in for injured Michael Bourn on Thursday, singled in five at-bats and stole his second base of the season. Bourgeois is likely overmatched as a regular, but if Bourn's balky groin needs a DL stint, fantasy owners in deep leagues should target a player that stole 18 bases in only 65 Triple-A games last season, and 30 or more in the three years prior.
Oakland Athletics right-hander Trevor Cahill stymied the Toronto Blue Jays for three hits and one run over eight innings Thursday. Cahill, to many a regression candidate after his 18-win 2010 season, already has 15 strikeouts in 12 2/3 innings. Last season he fanned 118 hitters.
Colorado Rockies right-hander Esmil Rogers tossed 7 1/3 innings of four-hit, one-run ball Thursday, fanning seven Pittsburgh Pirates. Rogers, owned in a scant 0.3 percent of ESPN standard leagues, was terrible for the Rockies last season, but there's upside. Wait a few more starts to see if he's really emerging. Philadelphia Phillies second baseman Wilson Valdez delivered four hits and three RBIs Thursday, raising his batting average to .429. Rest assured, there's potentially 200 points of regression there, and Valdez doesn't have power or big-time speed. He's best left for NL-only formats.
 

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AL Notes: A Hughes Conundrum
I'm starting up with the notes columns again. Unlike past years, I won't be going team-by-team all of the way through the league, at least not initially. I'll still be dividing up the leagues, with the AL getting posted on Sunday morning and the NL going up Sunday evening.

I'm also trying to provide more notes on twitter, though they do tend to come in bursts. I'll do my best to provide answers to fantasy questions over there.

American League Notes

- Reacting to Manny Ramirez's sudden retirement, the Rays opted call up Casey Kotchman rather than turn to Desmond Jennings and make Johnny Damon a regular designated hitter. The decision came as no surprise, but it was still rather disappointing. Before the Rays added Ramirez and Damon, I had Jennings projected to steal 30 bases as the Rays' likely left fielder. If the team decides to hold him out long enough to prevent him from becoming super-two arbitration eligible after 2013, then we won't see him until the beginning of June. However, right now, I think an early May callup is a bit more likely.

In the meantime, Ramirez's at-bats will go to Sam Fuld and Kotchman. All spring long, it looked like Elliot Johnson might be a nice source of cheap steals on the Rays, but instead it's Fuld with four steals in the early going. With no power to speak of, he isn't anything more than a fifth outfielder in truth. The Rays will ride the hot hand for as long as they can, though.

Putting Kotchman at first base and Dan Johnson at DH also upgrades the Tampa Bay defense, though not as much as the alignment that has Fuld in left field and Damon at DH. For that reason, Kotchman will probably sit more often than not in the short-term. That will change if Johnson doesn't heat up over the next week or two, so Kotchman is worth having stashed away in AL-only leagues.

- The White Sox are already looking at a closer controversy after Matt Thornton gave up five unearned runs in blowing his second consecutive save opportunity Friday. There were two errors in the inning, so it was hardly all Thornton's fault. Still, things could get ugly if he were to blow another save this week. With Thornton getting the day off, Chris Sale picked up a save Saturday, though not before he gave up a homer to Tampa Bay's Felipe Lopez in the ninth. I still think Thornton is going to be good for 30 saves this year, but if he doesn't turn it around in a hurry, Sale is a definite threat to replace him. I would recommend buying Thornton if there are any easily panicked owners out there. For all his reputation as a gunslinger and a hot head, Ozzie Guillen has never been quick to pull the trigger on role changes.

- I'm very concerned about Phil Hughes' early struggles. The velocity isn't there right now, and he's struck out just one of the 33 hitters he's faced. Reports say it's a lack of arm strength and not an injury issue. But he's nowhere near his 2010 form: he was throwing 88-90 mph against the Red Sox, well down from his usual 91-94 mph. He hit 92 mph on the gun just once all day. I'd suggest benching him in AL-only leagues as well as mixed leagues this week. It's not necessarily time to panic and sell, but he's also not a buy-low candidate, not unless he rediscovers some velocity against the Orioles.

- With three homers and two steals already, Russell Martin appears back as a top fantasy catcher. I already regret ranking him 13th at the position. Right now, I'd put him seventh overall and fifth in the AL behind Joe Mauer, Victor Martinez, Carlos Santana and Jorge Posada.

- There isn't a lot to say about Boston's 1-7 start. The offense is going to be great. The rotation could be overrated, but I remain a Clay Buchholz fan and I don't think John Lackey is going to collapse. Lackey isn't likely to be much of a mixed-league starter at any point, but he'll likely pitch well enough to win 13-15 games while getting some of the best run support in the league.

- AL-only leaguers in need of an injury replacement on the pitching side should consider the newly promoted Alfredo Aceves. He'll be a candidate to vulture several wins in middle relief once the Red Sox start hitting.

- In part because of Jeremy Guthrie's brush with pneumonia, the Orioles opted to send down Brad Bergersen and promote journeyman Chris Jakubauskas to start Sunday. Guthrie is now scheduled to go Tuesday. While it's nice to see Jakubausksas get another chance, he's going to have a very difficult time surviving in the AL East.

- The disabled list is just a pit stop for Scott Kazmir (back, shoulder) on his way to getting released by the Angels. Matt Palmer will step into the open rotation spot, but he's likely to struggle, even after altering his delivery in an effort to induce more grounders.

- I like the idea of grabbing Alex Gordon in mixed leagues, though not at the expense of an established star off to a slow start. Gordon probably won't hit for a high average all year long, but he has the power to deliver 22-25 homers and he likes to steal bases. He could be just solid enough to survive as a fourth or fifth outfielder in shallow leagues.

- The Twins are going to pay for not bringing in a legitimate utilityman to play behind Tsuyoshi Nishioka and Alexi Casilla. With Nishioka out 4-6 weeks because of a broken leg, they'll try to get by with Luke Hughes and Matt Tolbert at second base. Hughes offers intriguing power, but he belongs at third base, not second. Tolbert has no real major league skills. Hughes is worth picking up in AL-only leagues, but the Twins should try to do better. The Indians would part with Luis Valbuena in return for a decent prospect, and the Mariners would likely pay most of Jack Wilson's salary in a deal.

- Joe Nathan is doing a nice job of keeping it together so far, even though he's working at 89-92 mph, rather than his usual 92-96 mph. With his velocity down, he's relying more on his slider and curveball with encouraging results. I really thought the Twins would have to open up with Matt Capps in the closer's role, but now it looks like Nathan will continue to get the job done. I don't expect that he'll be as much of an asset in ERA, WHIP and strikeouts as usual.

- Ryan Raburn has done nothing wrong so far, but he could stand to lose some playing time against right-handers with Brennan Boesch off to such a hot start. The Tigers won't sit Magglio Ordonez or Victor Martinez with any regularity, and since Alex Avila is off to an excellent start, giving Martinez more time behind the plate wouldn't make a lot of sense. That leaves Raburn as the likely victim with Boesch forcing the Tigers to play him versus most righties.

- Jake Fox hit 10 homers this spring, but he didn't make his first regular-season appearance until the Orioles finally gave him a start behind the plate in the second game of Saturday's doubleheader against Texas. Considering that Fox went 0-for-4 and Baltimore lost the game 13-1, it seems safe to assume that Fox won't be in there again Sunday. Fox probably does have his uses as a part-time first baseman and designated hitter, but he's not going to do the Orioles any good as a backup catcher, particularly since manager Buck Showalter is afraid to use him as a pinch-hitter without a third catcher on the roster. My guess is that Fox eventually makes his way to another AL team. It can't happen soon enough for those who drafted him in AL-only leagues.

- Zach Britton, called up weeks earlier than expected because of Brian Matusz's injury, suddenly looks like the AL Rookie of the Year favorite after moving to 2-0 with 7 2/3 scoreless innings against the Rangers on Saturday. Pitching in the AL East and in Camden Yards will take a toll, and I don't expect he'll end up being very useful in mixed leagues over the course of the season. Still, it's worth trying to catch lightning in a bottle with him for the short haul.

- Seattle's Franklin Gutierrez (virus) could return at the end of the week. Michael Saunders is off to a slow start at the plate, so he'll almost certainly head to Triple-A when Gutierrez is activated.

- The Blue Jays are expected to get Frank Francisco (shoulder) back late in the week, but there won't be any reason to rush him right back into the closer's role. Jon Rauch could be good for saves for at least the rest of the month.

- Brandon Morrow (elbow) will make one more rehab start Tuesday. If that goes well, he should be activated to pitch Sunday.

- Kevin Kouzmanoff's strong spring may buy him another week or two, but Andy LaRoche was just as impressive during March and has actually managed to carry it into the regular season by going 4-for-9 with a couple of doubles. Kouz, meanwhile, is 5-for-27 with one extra-base hit and his usual no walks. I'd like to see the A's give LaRoche a shot. There's hardly any guarantee that it'd be an upgrade, but they'd still have Kouz to fall back on.
 

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NL Notes: Franklin's Follies
National League Notes

- So much for co-closers in Atlanta. But given Fredi Gonzalez's history in Florida, it was obvious that he'd much rather have set roles for everyone rather than try to anticipate matchups and use players to the best of their abilities. Right now it looks like Craig Kimbrel and Jonny Venters are both going to pitch so well that it won't matter at all what order they're used in. Kimbrel is the clear closer as long as he keeps his walk rate in check. That he's issued just one free pass in four innings so far is a very pleasant surprise.

- The Braves have scored just 32 runs in nine games, and their one offensive outburst -- an 11-2 win in D.C. -- was largely fueled by an ugly defensive day for the Nationals. Hopefully it won't be much longer before Gonzalez moves Jason Heyward up to the two hole and drops the slumping Nate McLouth. Heyward has already walked eight times while hitting ahead of Alex Gonzalez, fueling his .415 OBP. No one else on the Braves has more than three walks, and Brian McCann is the only other player in the team with an OBP over .333.

- I wasn't very concerned anyway, but Cole Hamels' performance against the Braves on Sunday (seven scoreless innings, eight strikeouts) was nice to see. The velocity spike he experienced last year has carried over to this season, and I think he has a great chance of finishing the year as a top-15 fantasy starter.

- With five steals and two homers, Jose Tabata has been a fantasy stud through a week and a half. I do believe the power outburst is a bit of a fluke: he may surface as a 15-20 homer guy someday, but not at age 22. He could steal 30 bases and settle in as a top-30 fantasy outfielder, but he'll also be a sell-high candidate if this keeps up for the rest of the month.

- I'd fully support a closer switch in St. Louis if Jason Motte were throwing like he did last year. Motte, though, hasn't appeared right at any point since the spring started, and he'd probably take a backseat to Mitchell Boggs if the Cardinals decided to yank Ryan Franklin following his third blown save on Saturday. The sad thing is that Franklin remains the Cardinals' best option in the ninth. He's not their best reliever, but he'll get it turned around and go back to being his usual boring self. Boggs is worth having stashed away, but I think Franklin remains the best bet for the short-term. Ideally, Motte would turn it around and challenge for the job by the middle of the summer.

- Brian Wilson's return from a strained oblique hasn't gone as planned (as the 33.75 ERA attests), so the Giants may have to give him a couple of appearances in middle relief this week. It's not going to be a long-term issue, and there's no need to reserve him in any format.

- Brandon Belt didn't start Saturday and he went 0-for-3 on Sunday, dropping his average to .161. For all of the hype, he didn't exactly tear it up in spring training: a .282/.338/.479 line is nothing special for a Cactus Leaguer. He could avoid a late-April demotion with a hot streak, but my guess is that he'll be sent to Triple-A when Cody Ross comes off the DL. Besides just the cold bat, it hurts Belt's case that Aubrey Huff has looked awful in the outfield.

- The Marlins' acquisition of Javier Vazquez looked like a nice gamble at the time, but it's shaping up as a bust. Not only has Vazquez failed to regain much of the velocity he lost last summer, but his command is gone too, possibly because he's overthrowing in an effort to hit 90-91 mph on the gun. I wouldn't drop him in an NL-only league just yet, but I would reserve him if possible.

- Yes, the Padres almost always one of the game's easiest teams to run on, but it was still great to see Matt Kemp go 5-for-5 stealing bases over the weekend. He was just 19-for-34 last season, and he was thrown out so often early on that he got gunshy as the year went on. Since he's on the prowl again, he's looking like a legitimate 30-30 threat. I ranked him 4th among outfielders entering the season, and I'd push him above Carl Crawford into the third spot now.

- Jonathan Broxton still isn't his dominant former self, but he's saved five games in five opportunities anyway. I think he'll find his way and contribute in ERA and strikeouts in the end, but the important thing now is that he's avoided the kind of start that might have gotten him replaced by Hong-Chih Kuo.

- Here's something I don't get: if the Diamondbacks are willing to play Willie Bloomquist over Gerardo Parra in left field, why aren't they using Russell Branyan over Juan Miranda at first base? I think Miranda can hit right-handers, but Branyan was red-hot all spring and is 4-for-9 so far this season. He's the best option right now.

- As for Bloomquist, just enjoy it while it lasts. If he ends up getting 300 at-bats for the Diamondbacks this season, then Kirk Gibson will not have done his job very well.

- With Randy Wells (elbow) and Andrew Cashner (shoulder) landing on the disabled list, the Cubs have filled their rotation by calling up Casey Coleman and shifting James Russell from the bullpen. Coleman had a nice run in the rotation at the end of last season, but his stuff is below average and he doesn't possess much upside. I don't see a lot of value there. Russell's slider-heavy arsenal probably won't translate well at all.

- Jason Bay tested his strained intercostal muscle by taking batting practice Sunday. Barring a setback, he could be ready to go in a week. The Mets demoted Lucas Duda after Sunday's game, so Willie Harris and Scott Hairston will share time in left field this week.

- I believed Adam LaRoche would play through his shoulder tear with few ill effects, but it no longer looks as through that will be the case. He says it's not a problem when he swings the bat, but because it is an issue in the field, it kept him out of action Saturday. Since the first cortisone shot he had seems to have worn off already, it's possible he'll opt to shut it down and undergo surgery at some point. If that happens, the Nats would probably shift Mike Morse to first base and call up Roger Bernadina to play left.

- Sean Burnett figures to keep getting the save chances for the Nats in the short-term, but Drew Storen has sorted out his mechanics and is again looking like a legitimate late-inning guy. He'll probably be the team's sole closer by May 15.

- Mat Latos (shoulder) will make his season debut Monday against the Reds, probably throwing 80-90 pitches. Since that start is at home and he'll get the Astros on the road on Saturday, he needs to be activated in all formats.

- With Latos back, it doesn't look like we'll see Cory Luebke join San Diego's rotation this month. However, he's worth owning in NL-only leagues in the hopes that he'll start games eventually. He's already struck out eight in 5 1/3 innings of relief.

- Jair Jurrjens (oblique) is set to rejoin Atlanta's rotation on Saturday, so he should be active in NL-only leagues this week. Mike Minor has been demoted back to Triple-A.

- Ubaldo Jimenez (finger) could have returned next Sunday, but now it looks like he'll rejoin the rotation on either April 18 or 19. Keep him reserved.

- That Todd Helton's back flared up just a week into the season is pretty discouraging. He already has more three-RBI games in 2011 than he did all of 2010, but, of course, he didn't have any last year. There is the chance that Helton could reemerge as a viable option in mixed leagues as the Rockies' No. 5 hitter behind Carlos Gonzalez and Troy Tulowitzki, but that's not going to happen if his availability is going to have to be determined on a day-to-day basis going forward. NL-only leaguers should go ahead and sit him this week.

- Jonathan Herrera outplayed Jose Lopez all spring, but he was held out of the Rockies' first five games before starting all three games against the Pirates over the weekend. With Lopez shifting to third to replace an ailing Ian Stewart, Herrera went 5-for-10 with a whopping seven walks versus Pittsburgh. He also stole his first base. Herrera has plenty of speed, but he stole just two bases in 76 games for the Rockies last year, which is a big reason why he wasn't viewed as much of a fantasy sleeper entering this season. Herrera doesn't seem likely to become a full-timer in the short-term -- not with Lopez having driven in seven runs already -- but he could take over the job as time goes on and he does have a little value in NL-only leagues.

- One last Rockies note: Esmil Rogers seems to have improved his changeup quite a bit, giving him a nice weapon against left-handers to go along with his 93-96 mph fastball. I don't know if he'll be consistent at all, but he does have some upside. He's worthy of a pickup in NL-only leagues.

- Hanley Ramirez is aiming to play Tuesday after missing a couple of starts with a leg contusion.

- Jon Garland (oblique) appears set to come off the disabled list to face the Cardinals on Friday. John Ely will likely be sent down to open up a spot. Garland will be worth using in NL-only leagues most of the time, but he's far from a must-start this week.

- It's taken a little longer than expected, but Corey Hart (oblique) seems on the right path now. He could begin playing in minor league games before the weekend and return April 18 or soon thereafter.

- Returning first for the Brewers will be catcher Jonathan Lucroy (finger). He's expected back from the disabled list on Tuesday. It will be interesting to see who gets demoted to make room. Wil Nieves looked like the clear favorite to serve as Lucroy's backup this year, but George Kottaras has started five of Milwaukee's nine games so far. Kottaras is certainly the better bet from an offensive standpoint.

- The Pirates are about to activate Chris Snyder (back), but they have Ryan Doumit off to a nice start at the plate and they'll probably continue to give him more playing time than originally anticipated. It's no secret that they'd like to move his contract, and Doumit is helping his trade value. Not only has he hit .273/.304/.500 start through eight games, but the Pirates' pitching staff has been faring well while throwing to him.

- Jeff Karstens, who has opened the season by throwing 5 2/3 scoreless innings out of the pen, is expected to replace the injured Ross Ohlendorf (shoulder) in Pittsburgh's rotation. He's too vulnerable to the home run ball to be of use in NL-only leagues.
 

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Exit Velocity
Ted Williams represents the peak. Hit .316 with 29 home runs in 390 plate appearances at 42 years old - your 29th home run coming in your final at-bat - and you can walk away from the game with your head held high. His name is invoked whenever we see a player hanging on a little too obviously, a little too desperately, with too much of his talent slipping away with each at-bat. We thought we'd seen some bad endings to some strong careers along the years.

And now there is Manny Ramirez.

Now he's got a stranglehold on the other end of the spectrum. Threatened with a 100-game suspension for another failed drug test, he dropped his bat and went home by announcing his retirement. One of the greatest hitters ever, leaving when presented with evidence of wrongdoing. If only that would work in other professions, right?

In this profession, it'd be hard to reach such depths. Even the worst writer, hanging on far too long, will still find a place to display his craft. There are no suspensions for our performance-enhancing drugs (caffeine, mostly).

Which brings me to me doing my profession better. Every time I make a decision to discuss a player in these daily notes, I make a decision about how many people would be interested in hearing more about the player. That mostly has to do with how deep their leagues are, or if the tidbit is about performance or injury.

So how deep are your leagues? Tell me how deep you want the player notes to go, what sort of focus should they have, and which aspects of the Dose and the dot-dots you would keep and which you'd change. Then I can be better at my profession and not get booed off, stage right. Thanks!

* Across baseball, velocities peak in late July and early August, so perhaps it's not surprising that some pitchers are a little behind the game right now. It doesn't always mean something when a pitcher is showing reduced fastball gas. Phil Hughes is the obvious candidate, and he'll need some zip to return before he's a solid buy-low. Scott Baker, who struggled again Sunday, owns velo that is down a tad, but once it (and his control) returns, he'll be fine as a fringe starter in most leagues. In Florida, Anibal Sanchez has a fastball that's lost a mile per hour - and can't afford to. He's sort of a borderline case, with his stuff, so if you get a good offer, it might be a good idea to let him go. Chris Young never had good velocity, and now is sitting 84 with his "fast"ball, but his other stuff has been working and he's a great spot-start at home against weaker offenses, as his one-run, seven-inning, five-strikeout effort against Washington Sunday showed. Wade Davis has lost about two miles per hour, and his strikeout rate has also taken a dive. He's still got upside but it's hard to own him in a mixed league.

Some pitchers are showing good velocity with mediocre results. Erik Bedard has his velocity back and struck out six Indians Sunday, but after they scored six in four innings, he's also struggling to get it right. Since he's healthy, he's still an interesting waiver pickup in medium-depth leagues. Yovani Gallardo, a great buy low because his swing strike percentages are usually squarely above average, struggled Sunday. Go get him even though he's struck out only eight in his first twenty innings because his velocity and all three pitches are still there. Colby Lewis hasn't shown his old gas, and after giving up four runs in six innings against Baltimore Saturday, it's fair to worry about him. Chris Capuano showed his best fastball speed since 2004 while striking out eight Nationals in six innings Saturday. Too bad he gave up two home runs. Javier Vazquez is showing better radar-gun numbers than last year, but not as good as he did two years ago. He might be on a quick decline at 34 - striking out four Astros in six innings is not a grand argument against. Bud Norris had both velocity (93+ MPH) and strikeouts (six) in six innings against the Marlins, but gave up a home run again. The strikeouts alone make him interesting still.

Some pitchers are just no good, velocity or no. Rick Porcello is down about a mile-per-hour, but he also just isn't good right now, with six strikeouts against four walks in ten innings after giving up five runs for the second straight start Sunday. Joe Saunders walked five and gave up four earned in three innings against the Reds and is not rosterable in fantasy leagues right now. Josh Tomlin held the Mariners to three runs, but that's not really a resume-builder these days, and he's a fringe AL-only starter at best. Wade LeBlanc's velocity is up a couple ticks, but it seems he's lost the fifth-starter role in San Diego to Dustin Moseley for the time being. Let's hope for Cory Luebke eventually.

* Struggling rookies are the hardest players to keep on your roster. Brandon Belt went hitless on Sunday and is now batting .161, but he's walked four times against six strikeouts and doesn't look overmatched at the plate. He has leash still. Freddie Freeman did hit a single Sunday, but is hitting .188 on the year - then again, the Braves don't have many other options. Matt Joyce is not the same echelon as a prospect, but he has real power and now has a chance to regular playing time - he had two hits Sunday. Zach Britton is not struggling right now (7 2/3 shutout innings against the Rangers Saturday), but groundball specialists can live and die with their defense and their luck on batted balls - both of which could turn south at any moment. Look at Brandon Beachy, who followed an excellent first start with four runs and two strikeouts in six innings against the Phillies on Saturday. Hold on to high-upside guys like this on your bench as long as you can, though, because the return on investment in a player without much of a track record can be sky high.

* Closer situations seem to be more volatile in the early going. White Sox manager Ozzie Guillen ended some closer speculation that Matt Thornton created by pitching poorly on Friday and Saturday. Kind of. He said that he has Jesse Crain, Chris Sale, Sergio Santos and Matt Thornton there at the end of games, but that Thornton would have pitched Sunday if he hadn't pitched so much Friday and Saturday. Don't drop Thornton yet, but if you have space for Sale, he might be a good idea. In Los Angeles or Anaheim, Fernando Rodney got his second save Sunday and pitched well in the series. Hopefully for the team, the move to Jordan Walden was not temporary, since Rodney is the inferior pitcher.

National League Quick Hits: Stephen Drew (abdominal strain) had his first game since returning to action full force with four hits in four at-bats Sunday, and batting in cleanup might suit him (we might not have yet seen his best year, too) … Hanley Ramirez (leg) missed the weekend but wants to return Tuesday … Mike Stanton (hamstring) returned … Tony La Russa gave his closer the dreaded vote of confidence after Ryan Franklin blew his third save in four chances Saturday night … Jaime Garcia better be owned in all leagues after once again striking out nine (this time in a one-run, six-inning affair against the Giants) … You have another week Cameron Maybin didn't start, but he did hit a home run and a triple off the bench and is looking good in a new uniform … His oblique feels better, so Corey Hart scheduled batting practice for Tuesday … Laynce Nix hit a three-run homer to put the Sunday tilt with the Mets out of reach, but he was only in because Ryan Zimmerman aggravated his abdominal injury from spring training; the team doesn't think he'll be out too long … James McDonald hasn't shown the strikeouts he used to have (three in six-plus Sunday innings), which is a problem because he doesn't have great control … Kevin Slowey (shoulder) hit the disabled list despite a clean MRI … Jason Bay (intercostal strain) was scheduled for batting practice Sunday … Carlos Beltran hit two home runs Saturday and is relevant in deeper leagues … Cole Hamels returned to grace by shutting out the Braves in seven innings with eight strikeouts … Matt Holliday (appendectomy) came back on Sunday ... Derek Lowe almost matched him (two runs in seven), but with his reduced strikeout rate, he's a better spot-starter than every-starter … Jason Bartlett was held from Sunday's game with a stiff back but should be back soon … Andres Torres (Achilles) is in a walking boot, but the Giants still think it's mild … Todd Helton (back) can't stay in the lineup and is only really a one-category guy these days anyway … Jonathan Lucroy (pinkie) could be back Tuesday … Aaron Harang held the Dodgers down and is ahead of the game - he should be owned in most leagues even if he's not used for every start.

American League Quick Hits: Adam Dunn (appendectomy) took some swings and thinks he'll be ready Monday, but the team gets final say - guess those things don't keep you out as long any more … Manager Terry Francona put Mike Cameron in the lineup over Jacoby Ellsbury on Sunday, but it was merely a matchup thing … Alex Rodriguez missed the game with the flu, but it's hard to count on replacement Eric Chavez to do much … Josh Beckett had a great Sunday night, striking out ten Yankees against one walk in eight shut-out innings; he should be universally owned by now … Hey those of you in one-start eligibility leagues - Michael Cuddyer started at second base on Sunday … Russ Martin hit two home runs Saturday and shouldn't be on any waiver wires any more … Andrew Bailey (forearm) might throw off a mound Saturday … Jered Weaver struck out 15 Blue Jays on Sunday; it's looking like the strikeout rate jump he showed last year might be legit … On the other side of the Angels' staff, Scott Kazmir (back) hit the DL so he can have some time to go figure it out … Yunel Escobar (concussion) returned to action … Juan Rivera went hitless Sunday, and with Edwin Encarnacion butchering third, his playing time is under duress … Grady Sizemore (microfracture) played nine innings Saturday and will try two consecutive games early this week … Brandon McCarthy had a nice start Sunday against the Twins and could have solidified his grip on that fifth starter role in Oakland … Speedy Rajai Davis left Sunday's game because he was bothered by the same ankle that gave him trouble earlier this season (uh-oh) … Travis Hafner had a home run and three hits over the weekend … Derek Holland struck out six in six scoreless innings Sunday and is a high upside pickup in most leagues … J.J. Hardy (oblique) might be out six weeks, but the team will know more Monday … Wilson Betemit went four-for-four Sunday and is stealing playing time versus right-handers from the struggling Mike Aviles … Erick Aybar hit the DL with his strained oblique - he'll probably be back April 19th … Ryan Raburn hit a home run Saturday (off of Joakim Soria) but is sitting against most right-handers right now … Doug Fister once again lost and once again struck out virtually no-one, but like all Mariners starters, he's at least spot-start-worthy … The Yankees signed Carlos Silva to a minor league deal.
 

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Trends: An Uggla Start As of Monday (the start of the second full week of the regular season), Joey Votto had a .548 OBP, Nelson Cruz had five homers and 10 RBI and Ryan Braun was hitting .353 with four homers, eight RBI and 10 runs. But hot streaks from high-profile names like those won't usually be the focus here at Trendspotting, where the goal is to pinpoint values that can change our fantasy teams for the better via waivers or trade.

With that preamble out of the way, let us begin…

SURGING

Josh Beckett, SP, BOS

Stats: 2.08 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, 14/5 K/BB ratio through first two starts (13.0 IP).

Bottom line: A big-time outing from Beckett wouldn't normally land him in this column, but his latest surge in value is definitely notable given the right-hander's struggles last season. And after shutting down the Yankees Sunday night (8.0 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 1 BB, 10 K's), Beckett suddenly looks like a very different human than the one who posted a career-worst 5.78 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in 2010. His ERA may not sparkle in the AL East, but Sunday was an extremely positive development for a pitcher who posted a 3.71 ERA and 1.17 WHIP while averaging 188 strikeouts per season between 2007 and 2009.

Zach Britton, SP, BAL

Stats: 2-0, 0.66 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 8/6 K/BB ratio through first two starts (13.2 IP).

Bottom line: The fact that he's a rookie pitching in the hard-hitting AL East makes me nervous, as does the mediocre K/BB ratio through two starts. That said, Britton's arsenal looks impressive on tape, and I can completely understand why the left-hander should be on someone's mixed league roster right now.

Matt Harrison, SP, TEX

Stats: 2-0, 1.29 ERA, 0.71 WHIP, 11/3 K/BB ratio through first two starts (14.0 IP) .

Bottom line: Harrison retired the final 18 Baltimore hitters he faced on Saturday, doing much of his damage with a fastball that at times touched 95 MPH. His career 5.15 ERA and 1.52 WHIP are reminders that this hot streak could be short-lived, but Harrison – still just 25 years old and obviously possessing a very live arm – is worth considering in deeper mixed leagues.

Brett Wallace, 1B, Astros

Stats: .400 avg (6-for-15) with a homer and three RBI in his last four games.

Bottom line: There are plenty of players hotter than Wallace right now, but I want to make a priority of mentioning some options that are readily available in most mixed leagues, and Wallace (4 percent owned in Yahoo) fits that criteria. The Houston lineup is not all that spicy, but the former first-round pick is locked into the No. 5 spot and showing definite signs of life after a 2-for-18 start.

Willie Bloomquist, OF, ARI

Stats: .394 avg (13-for-33), eight runs, five RBI, six steals entering a Monday night matchup with the Cardinals.

Bottom line: Early-season hot streaks from obscure players sometimes translate into strong full seasons, but I'm nowhere close to buying in that Bloomquist will be a valuable long-term mixed league asset. The stolen base potential makes him a must-own in NL-Only formats right now, but his 658 OPS is a reminder to be prepared to look elsewhere in mixed leagues once he inevitably cools off.

Alberto Callaspo, 2B/3B, LAA

Stats: .367 avg (11-for-30), two homers, five RBI entering a Monday night matchup with Cleveland.

Bottom line: He may be a useful option early on, but don't be fooled into thinking that Callaspo warrants long-term mixed league consideration. In addition to not running enough (just 10 SB in his career), he also has recent history as a fast starter and slow finisher. Last season, Callaspo had seven homers and 31 RBI through the end of May, but posted just three homers and 25 RBI the rest of the way.

Alex Avila, C, Tigers

Stats: .400 avg (6-for-15) with three homers and seven RBI in his last four games entering a Monday afternoon matchup with the Rangers.

Bottom line: If you're catcher-starved in a mixed league and missed out on the likes of Russell Martin (.300 avg, three homers, two steals in 30 AB), you could do much worse than Avila, who has shown impressive power by hitting 15 homers in his first 380 big league at-bats.

STRUGGLING

Michael Morse, OF, WAS

Stats: .148 avg (4-for-27), no extra-base hits through his first nine games.

Bottom line: A disappointing beginning to the season for Morse, who made for an intriguing deeper mixed league sleeper after drilling 15 homers in just 266 at-bats last season. I still wouldn't give up on him entirely given that he's still playing every day in left field (and given that we're still talking about a small sample size), but I wouldn't argue with cutting him loose and looking in another direction if there are useful options on your waiver wire.

Dan Uggla, 2B, ATL

Stats: .158 avg (6-for-38), including a 2-for-18 stretch over his last five games.

Bottom line: It may go without saying, but there's no cause for panic here. April has traditionally been a quieter month for Uggla in terms of average (.243 for his career), while May and June have been his best career months in terms of power production. Buy low if the opportunity is there.

Aaron Hill, 2B, TOR

Stats: .184 avg (7-for-38), no homers, 406 OPS heading into a matchup with Seattle on Monday night.

Bottom line: Normally I wouldn't put too much meaning into a .184 average in the first half of April, but given Hill's miserable 2010 campaign (.205 avg, 26 HR, 68 RBI, .271 OBP), his inability to get on base is becoming a very significant cause for concern. The power potential should warrant a spot on mixed league rosters for now, but at the moment, that spot should be on the bench.

Will Venable, OF, SD

Stats: .120 avg (3-for-25), no homers, one steal entering a Monday night matchup with Cincinnati.

Bottom line: The steal potential makes Venable a must-own in NL-Only formats, but his low batting average (.245 last season) and limitations of the Padres lineup leave him short of must-own status in mixed leagues. Just keep in mind that he had some notable hot streaks last season (including four homers, 12 RBI and two steals during a seven-game run in late June), so he'll be worth watching closely for signs that he's trending upward.

Editor's Note: For exclusive columns, rankings, projections and more, check out Rotoworld's MLB Season Pass.

Erik Bedard, SP, SEA

Stats: 9.00 ERA, 1.89 WHIP through his first two starts.

Bottom line: Not exactly what you want to see from a player coming back from shoulder surgery, but I'm not giving up on Bedard just yet. He still has a solid 9/3 K/BB ratio and deserves a spot on mixed league benches for at least a few more starts given his potential for high-caliber numbers when healthy.

In closing, I present this week's trend-related proverb, which is considerably less wordy than last week's Whodini homage, but arguably no less laden with meaning:
 

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Bullpens: Franklin, Thornton struggling
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Eric Karabell

It's tough to feel bad for St. Louis Cardinals closer Ryan Franklin, because to be honest, he has lasted as the team's closer a lot longer than most people thought he would. Then again, he's getting a bit of a bad deal today. Yes, Franklin has already blown three save opportunities this season, the third one when center fielder Colby Rasmus dropped a Miguel Tejada ninth-inning fly ball in the gap Saturday, allowing the tying and winning runs to score. If Rasmus catches that very-catchable ball, there's probably nobody calling for Franklin's head today.


According to the St. Louis Post-Dispatch, manager Tony La Russa intends to remain patient and stick with Franklin as the closer. But what myself and colleagues found interesting about that same Post-Dispatch report is that Jason Motte might not be next in line. Who is? The story suggests it would be that bastion of closer talent, one Miguel Batista.
Hey, Batista, now 40, did save 31 games for the 2005 Toronto Blue Jays, though it wasn't pretty. In fairness, Batista wasn't awful for the Washington Nationals last season, posting a 3.70 ERA and 1.33 WHIP over 82 2/3 innings, all but five in relief. As for the chances that either Mitchell Boggs or Motte have to close anytime soon, LaRussa said, "I think Mitchell and Jason have bright futures, and they're developing in that role. Are they as ready as they're going to be? The answer is no."
Closer situations can be tough to figure out, especially early in the season. Only six days ago, Los Angeles Angels manager Mike Scioscia pulled Fernando Rodney from the closer role, exalting Jordan Walden, and fantasy owners everywhere went nuts. Walden saved that Tuesday night game. Yet Scioscia went back to Rodney to save Sunday's game. Rodney pitched a scoreless inning in all three weekend games against the Blue Jays, permitting one baserunner total, and now he's back in the picture. Yes, Walden threw 25 pitches Saturday night, likely a factor in him being bypassed Sunday, but do you know for sure that Rodney won't get the next opportunity?
Look, it wouldn't surprise me if Franklin loses the closer role before this blog is posted, actually. Or he could keep the job all year. Motte, who throws considerably harder and has that "closer stuff," whatever that means, was pulled from the closer role after one bad outing on Opening Day 2009. Franklin isn't pitching as badly as it appears, but a Cameron Maybin home run here, a bunch of baserunners there and now his peripherals are bloated, and he has more blown saves than the entire AL East. I'd still take the "over" on Franklin registering 30 saves this season.
In other closer news:

• Looks like Ozzie Guillen wants to keep things interesting, especially since Matt Thornton has gotten off to a tough start. Guillen told the Chicago Sun-Times that Thornton would "get the most opportunities," but also mentioned fellow lefty Chris Sale and right-hander Sergio Santos. I expect Thornton to save 25 games, but I also think a few others will contribute, including Jesse Crain.
• A week ago, Houston Astros closer Brandon Lyon was being cut by, I imagine, many prospective Walden owners. Lyon is down to 85.5 percent owned, but as I wrote last week, he's the team's undisputed closer, and really has no competition. Setup man Wilton Lopez is battling elbow soreness, and Mark Melancon might vault over him, but it's a stretch for him to vault Lyon. Likewise, John Axford in Milwaukee has overcome his nasty Opening Day and settled down just fine, and his main setup guy, Takashi Saito, has a hamstring injury.
• Toronto's Jon Rauch has a few saves already, and should hold on to the role even following the return of Octavio Dotel … but he can't hold off a healthy Frank Francisco. With Francisco (shoulder) already on a rehab assignment, Rauch could be back in a setup role by this weekend.
• World Series closer Brian Wilson has allowed five earned runs, four hits and three walks while retiring only four hitters in two appearances since coming off the DL last Wednesday. That's not exactly what owners had in mind when they made Wilson the first closer off the draft board in many leagues. Wilson will get plenty of rope in the closer role, and he says he's healthy, so I'd say buying low is the wise choice of action here.
• A popular middle-relief pickup in my deep leagues has been Philadelphia Phillies left-hander Antonio Bastardo, he of the nine strikeouts and only two hits (no walks) in 4 2/3 scoreless innings. Bastardo fanned all six Atlanta Braves he faced in mopup duty Friday, though three of them hit left-handed. The only two pitchers with more strikeouts in relief so far are Tyler Clippard (no surprise there) and Bartolo Colon (um, that's surprising). • The beleaguered Tampa Bay Rays finally won a game -- only one -- and Kyle Farnsworth earned the save chance, retiring Juan Pierre, Gordon Beckham and Alex Rios in order on nine pitches Friday. Then again, the Rays scored five in their half of the ninth inning to take a surprise lead, and Joel Peralta and Adam Russell pitched earlier. Lefty Jake McGee struggled the night before. For now, assuming the Rays actually get ninth-inning leads, presume Farnsworth is the guy. And by the way, don't presume the Rays can't turn things around quickly. They can't be this bad for long.
 

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