Adding:
0.4%: Cincinnati at Pittsburgh OVER 7.5 -120 / 7:05 PM
0.2%: Baltimore -112 / 7:05 PM
0.9%: NY Yankees at Boston UNDER 8 -110 / 7:10 PM
0.8%: Miami at Milwaukee OVER 8.5 -105 / 8:10 PM
0.2%: Detroit +108 / 8:10 PM
1%: Washington -141 / 8:15 PM
0.5%: Arizona -136 / 9:40 PM
0.4%: Colorado at Arizona OVER 8.5 -115 / 9:40 PM
0.7%: Houston at Oakland OVER 7.5 -110 / 10:05 PM
0.2%: Houston -133 / 10:05 PM
1.6%: San Diego at LA Dodgers OVER 7.5 -105 / 10:10 PM
0.4%: Kansas City at Seattle UNDER 7 -125 / 10:10 PM
0.4%: Cincinnati at Pittsburgh OVER 7.5 -120 / 7:05 PM
0.2%: Baltimore -112 / 7:05 PM
0.9%: NY Yankees at Boston UNDER 8 -110 / 7:10 PM
0.8%: Miami at Milwaukee OVER 8.5 -105 / 8:10 PM
0.2%: Detroit +108 / 8:10 PM
1%: Washington -141 / 8:15 PM
0.5%: Arizona -136 / 9:40 PM
0.4%: Colorado at Arizona OVER 8.5 -115 / 9:40 PM
0.7%: Houston at Oakland OVER 7.5 -110 / 10:05 PM
0.2%: Houston -133 / 10:05 PM
1.6%: San Diego at LA Dodgers OVER 7.5 -105 / 10:10 PM
0.4%: Kansas City at Seattle UNDER 7 -125 / 10:10 PM
Thanks brother!
It's a grind, but I will reach my goal if I will make a 10% bank increase average per month.
All year long, after the bases ending, doing the same on hoops.
If the pro bettors are happy with this goal, why won't we be happy doing just the same, right?
Normally I should be making a bit more according to my back-testing, but... we'll see.
That's a great question!
Not really... I feel a bit stronger on high units bets, but not that much stronger.
If it would be just my "feel", would not make sense to have any "strong" bet to win more than twice as much than like the "weak" ones.
But my higher units are results of applying some kind of special money management.
It's complicated to explain, but you will never see me making any wager to "win" more than 3% (and less than 0.2%).
It is derived from standard Labby money management, but using a lots of switches based on my observations over the years. The end result is pretty far from a simple Labby money management.
Applying straight Labby's could drive up to betting even as much as 10% of the bankroll on a single play, in case if I would lose 8-9 in row on the same Labby lines.
Losses in row like that will happen inevitable over the long run!
And those wagers would be killers for the overall results... if lost.
(If not sure what "Labby" is, check it out by googling "Labouchere".)
Friday's results
0.9%: Chi. Cubs -1.5 -125 = 6-1, Won 0.9%
0.4%: Cincinnati at Pittsburgh OVER 7.5 -120 = 1-4, Lost 0.48%
0.2%: Baltimore -112 = 6-3, Won 0.2%
0.9%: NY Yankees at Boston UNDER 8 -110 = 2-4, Won 0.9%
0.8%: Miami at Milwaukee OVER 8.5 -105 = 6-3, Won 0.8%
0.2%: Detroit +108 = 9-2, Won 0.2%
1%: Washington -141 = 5-4, Won 1%
0.5%: Arizona -136 = 0-9, Lost 0.68%
0.4%: Colorado at Arizona OVER 8.5 -115 = 9-0, Won 0.4%
0.7%: Houston at Oakland OVER 7.5 -110 = 4-7, Won 0.7%
0.2%: Houston -133 = 4-7, Lost 0.266%
1.6%: San Diego at LA Dodgers OVER 7.5 -105 = 5-1, Lost 1.68%
0.4%: Kansas City at Seattle UNDER 7 -125 = 0-1, Won 0.4%
Record of the day: 9 W - 4 L / +2.394% <wbr>
Overall record: 131 W - 93 L - 4 P / +15.688%
0.9%: Chi. Cubs -1.5 -125 = 6-1, Won 0.9%
0.4%: Cincinnati at Pittsburgh OVER 7.5 -120 = 1-4, Lost 0.48%
0.2%: Baltimore -112 = 6-3, Won 0.2%
0.9%: NY Yankees at Boston UNDER 8 -110 = 2-4, Won 0.9%
0.8%: Miami at Milwaukee OVER 8.5 -105 = 6-3, Won 0.8%
0.2%: Detroit +108 = 9-2, Won 0.2%
1%: Washington -141 = 5-4, Won 1%
0.5%: Arizona -136 = 0-9, Lost 0.68%
0.4%: Colorado at Arizona OVER 8.5 -115 = 9-0, Won 0.4%
0.7%: Houston at Oakland OVER 7.5 -110 = 4-7, Won 0.7%
0.2%: Houston -133 = 4-7, Lost 0.266%
1.6%: San Diego at LA Dodgers OVER 7.5 -105 = 5-1, Lost 1.68%
0.4%: Kansas City at Seattle UNDER 7 -125 = 0-1, Won 0.4%
Record of the day: 9 W - 4 L / +2.394% <wbr>
Overall record: 131 W - 93 L - 4 P / +15.688%
Saturday, April 30 2016
0.5%: Washington +129 / 2:15 PM
0.4%: Oakland -110 / 4:05 PM
0.2%: San Francisco at NY Mets OVER 7 -115 / 4:05 PM
0.6%: Cincinnati at Pittsburgh UNDER 8 -115 / 7:05 PM
0.2%: Philadelphia +115 / 7:05 PM
0.6%: Miami at Milwaukee OVER 8.5 -115 / 7:10 PM
0.6%: NY Yankees at Boston UNDER 8 -110 / 7:10 PM
0.2%: Boston -125 / 7:10 PM
0.2%: Texas -116 / 8:05 PM
0.8%: Colorado +188 / 8:10 PM
1.9%: San Diego at LA Dodgers UNDER 8 -123 / 9:10 PM
0.2%: Seattle -103 / 10:10 PM
0.5%: Washington +129 / 2:15 PM
0.4%: Oakland -110 / 4:05 PM
0.2%: San Francisco at NY Mets OVER 7 -115 / 4:05 PM
0.6%: Cincinnati at Pittsburgh UNDER 8 -115 / 7:05 PM
0.2%: Philadelphia +115 / 7:05 PM
0.6%: Miami at Milwaukee OVER 8.5 -115 / 7:10 PM
0.6%: NY Yankees at Boston UNDER 8 -110 / 7:10 PM
0.2%: Boston -125 / 7:10 PM
0.2%: Texas -116 / 8:05 PM
0.8%: Colorado +188 / 8:10 PM
1.9%: San Diego at LA Dodgers UNDER 8 -123 / 9:10 PM
0.2%: Seattle -103 / 10:10 PM
Saturday's results
0.5%: MLB: Washington +129 = 6-1, Won 0.5%
0.4%: MLB: Oakland -110 = 2-0, Won 0.4%
0.2%: MLB: San Francisco at NY Mets OVER 7 -115 = 5-6, Won 0.2%
0.6%: MLB: Cincinnati at Pittsburgh UNDER 8 -115 = 1-5, Won 0.6%
0.2%: MLB: Philadelphia +115 = 4-3, Won 0.2%
0.6%: MLB: Miami at Milwaukee OVER 8.5 -115 = 7-5, Won 0.6%
0.6%: MLB: NY Yankees at Boston UNDER 8 -110 = 0-8, Pushed
0.2%: MLB: Boston -125 = 8-0, Won 0.2%
0.2%: MLB: Texas -116 = 7-2, Won 0.2%
0.8%: MLB: Colorado +188 = 5-2, Won 0.8%
1.9%: MLB: San Diego at LA Dodgers UNDER 8 -123 = 5-2, Won 1.9%
0.2%: MLB: Seattle -103 = 6-0, Won 0.2%
Record of the day: 11 W - 1 P / +5.8% <wbr>
Overall record: 142 W - 93 L - 5 P / +21.488%
------------------------------
I know that I can be accused that I'm a perfectionist in some things I like to do, but I realize that a day like this is as close to perfection as it gets... and I would take it any time!
0.5%: MLB: Washington +129 = 6-1, Won 0.5%
0.4%: MLB: Oakland -110 = 2-0, Won 0.4%
0.2%: MLB: San Francisco at NY Mets OVER 7 -115 = 5-6, Won 0.2%
0.6%: MLB: Cincinnati at Pittsburgh UNDER 8 -115 = 1-5, Won 0.6%
0.2%: MLB: Philadelphia +115 = 4-3, Won 0.2%
0.6%: MLB: Miami at Milwaukee OVER 8.5 -115 = 7-5, Won 0.6%
0.6%: MLB: NY Yankees at Boston UNDER 8 -110 = 0-8, Pushed
0.2%: MLB: Boston -125 = 8-0, Won 0.2%
0.2%: MLB: Texas -116 = 7-2, Won 0.2%
0.8%: MLB: Colorado +188 = 5-2, Won 0.8%
1.9%: MLB: San Diego at LA Dodgers UNDER 8 -123 = 5-2, Won 1.9%
0.2%: MLB: Seattle -103 = 6-0, Won 0.2%
Record of the day: 11 W - 1 P / +5.8% <wbr>
Overall record: 142 W - 93 L - 5 P / +21.488%
------------------------------
I know that I can be accused that I'm a perfectionist in some things I like to do, but I realize that a day like this is as close to perfection as it gets... and I would take it any time!
No, 21% means that is a 21% gained compared with the starting bank.
Starting bank is 100%
Unit sizes are much variable as you can see, and can be anywhere between 0.2% -3% to "win" on any play.
But considering the record of 142 W - 93 L so far, and that the average odds were not worst than -125, if betting "to win" 2.5% of bank on any play, right now that would mean 64.37% gain on the bankroll (25.75 units).
I have no idea what may be the average odds, but I don't think they are pretty far from -125...
So considering the results until now, the conclusion would be that I would be doing way better if just simply wager every play to win 2.5% of the starting bank. But it's a long season, and according to my backtesting the win ratio so far is better that what that should be.
It's at 60.42% right now... no way that's going to be near that high over the long run with so many plays each day.
(But I would be happy if I'm wrong!)
Starting bank is 100%
Unit sizes are much variable as you can see, and can be anywhere between 0.2% -3% to "win" on any play.
But considering the record of 142 W - 93 L so far, and that the average odds were not worst than -125, if betting "to win" 2.5% of bank on any play, right now that would mean 64.37% gain on the bankroll (25.75 units).
I have no idea what may be the average odds, but I don't think they are pretty far from -125...
So considering the results until now, the conclusion would be that I would be doing way better if just simply wager every play to win 2.5% of the starting bank. But it's a long season, and according to my backtesting the win ratio so far is better that what that should be.
It's at 60.42% right now... no way that's going to be near that high over the long run with so many plays each day.
(But I would be happy if I'm wrong!)
