January soccer

[rolltide]

5:30 Costa Rica

Alajuelense vs Saprissa
- biggest derby in the country and match to be played on neutral field at the National Stadium. Will be less than half full as people are staying away due to the riots in last week's Alajuelense/Cartagines match on this same field. 15 of 45 matches have drawn overall (33.33%) including 6 of last 16 (37.5%) so odds of +245 have some value (+233 would be flat 30%)

Alajuela/Saprissa draw .5u to win 1.22u

 

[rolltide]

Mon Holland 2 2pm

Jong PSV vs Emmen
- surprised this isn't 3.25 or 3.50 with Emmen involved right now. They played a 0-0 to start off February but the other 9 matches in last 10 totaled a ridiculous 46 with every game seeing at least 4 goals (6-4-4-4-7-4-0-5-7-5). So toss out that 0-0 and you've got 46 goals in 9 games which is 5.11 gpg. PSV Youth good scorers at home with 28 scored in 14 and have not posted b2b clean sheets all season at home as they allowed 8 goals in the 4 home matches following a home clean sheet. Bet really about Emmen though as their matches can't be a flat 3 goal total right now.

Jong PSV/Emmen over 3 goals 1.5u to win 1.4u

 

[BradR]

Mon Holland 2 2pm

Jong PSV vs Emmen
- surprised this isn't 3.25 or 3.50 with Emmen involved right now. They played a 0-0 to start off February but the other 9 matches in last 10 totaled a ridiculous 46 with every game seeing at least 4 goals (6-4-4-4-7-4-0-5-7-5). So toss out that 0-0 and you've got 46 goals in 9 games which is 5.11 gpg. PSV Youth good scorers at home with 28 scored in 14 and have not posted b2b clean sheets all season at home as they allowed 8 goals in the 4 home matches following a home clean sheet. Bet really about Emmen though as their matches can't be a flat 3 goal total right now.

Jong PSV/Emmen over 3 goals 1.5u to win 1.4u

Goodluck with that. PSV are a pretty good team I reckon, they do have a lot of goals in them. Do you plan on any Premier League bets?

 

[rolltide]

Goodluck with that. PSV are a pretty good team I reckon, they do have a lot of goals in them. Do you plan on any Premier League bets?

yes I bet EPL all the time...pretty choosy though. hull level ball looking awfully good for next weekend. will see where the odds go

 

[BradR]

yes I bet EPL all the time...pretty choosy though. hull level ball looking awfully good for next weekend. will see where the odds go

Keep us updated with how it goes

 

[SunDodger]

4pm Bolivia Sun

Universitario 1u to win .8u

- The Strongest expected to change out all 11 players that competed in Copa Libertadores in midweek and traveled with a complete "B" team to Sucre.


(might be posting some Venezuela shortly before kickoffs between 2-3:30)

Nice pick, rolltide.

Don't think I've ever seen five red cards given out in the last ten minutes of a game before. Must've been a crazy ending to that one.

 

[rolltide]

Keep us updated with how it goes

yeah i won't touch it until after their fa cup game...

didn't hit the venezuelan jackpot (lost the $105) but nailed both staked bets today with Universitario winning 2-1 and Saprissa/Liga drawing 0-0. today 1.5 staked, +2.02 won and overall a great weekend!!!

YTD 21-7-20 +7.99 (40.30 risked)

pending:
Mon Emmen o3 1.5/1.4

 

[rolltide]

big odds move away from me in the Emmen match but I don't see any reason for it. I checked the weather and it couldn't be better for a football match... 55 degrees, no wind. so adding a half unit at the new odds

Jong PSV/Emmen over 2.75 goals .50u to win .41u

 

[rolltide]

going to give a draw shot in Napoli today. yes they're huge favorites but nearly 5/1 on draw is tough to pass up. Genoa are poor against bad teams but real good against decent teams as they're 4th in Serie A vs top half teams getting points in 7 of 12 games overall and in 3 of 6 road games (they're just 15th vs bottom-half teams). Napoli just 9th in league vs bottom half teams at home drawing 3 of 8 and overall have drawn 5 of 14 games played against bottom half teams....

Napoli/Genoa draw .21u to win 1u

 

[indiana]

R/T.............with you on the draw.........good luck with all your action today...........indy

 

[rolltide]

came up short in holland but hit another draw.... -1u off 2.21 staked

YTD 22-7-21 +6.99 (42.51 risked)

 

[indiana]

R/T............nicely done with the draw (great call)...........indy

 

[rolltide]

starting a chase on Ross County home draw tomorrow so only two chases going will be Ross home draw, St Mirr away draw both in the Scottish PL.

thx indy. glad you hit that one and missed the emmen over. wish i did

 

[mapana]

Nice draw on napoli R/T

 

[rolltide]

Tue noon CL

Zenit team total over 1 goal 1u to win 1.10u

- a lot of confidence being given to Dortmund in this one but previous results don't add up to having Zenit at a 1 goal total with "plus" money. This is Dortmund's 3rd straight champions league tourney and only once have they held an opponent off the board in an away game. The other 12 away games saw the home team score in every one and 2+ in 8 of those games. Their defense in Bundesliga has been subpar away as well culminating in terrible HSV putting 3 by them on Saturday. That marked the 10th straight road league match they conceded and 17th in last 18 league games so clearly they're not winning road games by defending well. Zenit are a quality club and the top scorers in the Russian league with 40 in 19 games. They should score tonight and a good chance at 2 or more

 

[rolltide]

biggest match of the season so might as well trot out the one guy that has no business playing in the Premier League let alone the Champions League

Squawka Football ‏@Squawka 3m
Early team news spoilers for Man Utd fans RT @MOgdenTelegraph: Hearing Cleverley starts for Man United. No Januzaj in starting team.
​

 

[rolltide]

Zenit with a pair, +1.1u today

YTD 23-7-21 +8.09 (43.51 risked)

Go United!!!

 

[gobucks]

Nice...of course Mata is cup tied so why not replace him with a player that has no attacking prowess. I prefer Januzaj over Young, but I can accept squad rotation there, but Cleverley for Mata means less service for Van Persie. Watch how often Rooney s forced back into the midfield to make up for Cleverley's give a ways. Congrats on Zenit hit.

 

[rolltide]

snagging all the home teams in a parlay tonight in Copa Libertadores (matches 330, 530, 800)

Cruzeiro + Velez + Arsenal + Gremio .30u to win 1.53u

 

[indiana]

R/T...........thank you for the info regarding Zenit team total....could not place the team total, however seemed like the over 2.5 goals would be a good wager.....thank you.............indy