yeah, one of my most hated players of all time....sucks because he was supposed to have been out of the match due to injury and there he was in the lineup. and what a joke of a "run up" on the penalty. tons of chances both sides. Today -0.35 off 3u staked
YTD 15-7-18 +4.30 (34.86 risked)
YTD 15-7-18 +4.30 (34.86 risked)
Brad, MLS is still in preseason...real matches in 3 weeks.
1pm Europa League
Dnipro/Spurs under 2.5 1u to win .80u
- this is Dnipro's first real match in 10 weeks and Spurs without basically every influential offensive player and with the EPL bust-of-the-year, Soldado, alone up front. topbet with -125 on this...worse case should be -135
pending (thu):
Spurs u2.5 1/.80
Paok +0.25 .68/.75
1pm Europa League
Dnipro/Spurs under 2.5 1u to win .80u
- this is Dnipro's first real match in 10 weeks and Spurs without basically every influential offensive player and with the EPL bust-of-the-year, Soldado, alone up front. topbet with -125 on this...worse case should be -135
pending (thu):
Spurs u2.5 1/.80
Paok +0.25 .68/.75
Fri Holl 2 2pm
Dordrecht/Eindhoven over 3 .5u to win .4u
- just a small bet with obvious reasoning as these are the #1 and #2 scoring teams in the league. 23 of Eindhoven's 27 games have seen at least 3 goals and both over 3.5 gpg this year. Combined they have just 4 out of 54 matches under 2 goals so likely only way to lose here is 2 goals exact.
Dordrecht/Eindhoven over 3 .5u to win .4u
- just a small bet with obvious reasoning as these are the #1 and #2 scoring teams in the league. 23 of Eindhoven's 27 games have seen at least 3 goals and both over 3.5 gpg this year. Combined they have just 4 out of 54 matches under 2 goals so likely only way to lose here is 2 goals exact.
usa1 = MLS
usa2 = USLPro
nasl = NASL
usacup = MLS playoffs
| Country | League | % | Units Bet | Units Won | ROI |
|---|
| USA | 46.07% | 374.53 | 47.11 | 12.58% | |
| USA1 | 32.53% | 265.40 | 29.09 | 10.96% | |
| USA2 | 7.38% | 60.20 | 9.75 | 16.19% | |
| USACUP | 2.06% | 17.00 | 4.44 | 26.12% | |
| NASL | 1.45% | 12.00 | 1.50 | 12.54% |
i don't do much live but here are those stats:
| Country | League | % | Units Bet | Units Won | ROI |
|---|
| USA | 44.92% | 51.47 | 14.46 | 28.09% | |
| USA1 | 37.29% | 42.47 | 10.34 | 24.35% | |
| USA2 | 3.39% | 4.00 | 1.95 | 48.75% | |
| USACUP | 1.69% | 2.00 | 1.35 | 67.50% |
small bet for 10am
Arsenal/Sunderland 1H under 1.25 .65u to win .5u
- no Ozil for Arsenal and he's completed more passes in opponent's final third than anyone in the league. Gunners could come out flat after midweek disappointment and Sunderland are a defense-first team these days. Arsenal in 13 home games scored 8 and conceded just 2 in 1H this season.
Arsenal/Sunderland 1H under 1.25 .65u to win .5u
- no Ozil for Arsenal and he's completed more passes in opponent's final third than anyone in the league. Gunners could come out flat after midweek disappointment and Sunderland are a defense-first team these days. Arsenal in 13 home games scored 8 and conceded just 2 in 1H this season.
gonna call for an upset today with Sociedad and Barcelona. Obviously betting against Barca isn't usually a great idea but I watched both the cup games b/w these sides and Sociedad were really tough for Barca to break down. Can always lose this 0-4 but giving a shot on the home team, 2pm game
Real Sociedad +1.5 1u to win .80u
Real Sociedad .13u to win 1u
Real Sociedad +1.5 1u to win .80u
Real Sociedad .13u to win 1u
4pm Bolivia Sun
Universitario 1u to win .8u
- The Strongest expected to change out all 11 players that competed in Copa Libertadores in midweek and traveled with a complete "B" team to Sucre.
(might be posting some Venezuela shortly before kickoffs between 2-3:30)
Universitario 1u to win .8u
- The Strongest expected to change out all 11 players that competed in Copa Libertadores in midweek and traveled with a complete "B" team to Sucre.
(might be posting some Venezuela shortly before kickoffs between 2-3:30)
venezuela 2:30 pm+ sunday
playing round robin of 5-fold parlays each for $5 ... 7 matches (every game but el Vigia vs Tachira). Will explain in a minute but wanted to get this posted first. 5dimes max prevents anything bigger than $6.67/parlay so i just did the $5 to round down
playing round robin of 5-fold parlays each for $5 ... 7 matches (every game but el Vigia vs Tachira). Will explain in a minute but wanted to get this posted first. 5dimes max prevents anything bigger than $6.67/parlay so i just did the $5 to round down
| Wager | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
playing a 5-fold round robin of draws of the 7 matches today (el Vigia vs Tachira is ppd)
crazy stuff happening in the league. with violent protests in venezuela spilling into the soccer stadiums last week the professionals refuse to play today so every team using u17 and u20 players. People i talked to down there think there is a good chance all teams will just play simple draw to give the middle finger to the Federation for not postponing this round. Already today Tachira only had 10 guys show up to get on the bus to Valencia for match vs El Vigia but El Vigia's players left the ground and refuse to accept the free 2 points even though they need points for relegation. This tells me no team wants to win today and round could be used to send a political message with every match ending in draw. Worth a $100...
I took 21 5-fold draw parlays with today's matches....
one game in a few minutes, rest are after 3pm
crazy stuff happening in the league. with violent protests in venezuela spilling into the soccer stadiums last week the professionals refuse to play today so every team using u17 and u20 players. People i talked to down there think there is a good chance all teams will just play simple draw to give the middle finger to the Federation for not postponing this round. Already today Tachira only had 10 guys show up to get on the bus to Valencia for match vs El Vigia but El Vigia's players left the ground and refuse to accept the free 2 points even though they need points for relegation. This tells me no team wants to win today and round could be used to send a political message with every match ending in draw. Worth a $100...
I took 21 5-fold draw parlays with today's matches....
one game in a few minutes, rest are after 3pm
