Jackie's half arsed attempts at Wold Cup Betting.

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Alright, another one, I can't see how how the over 2.5 goals averaging at 1.9 an d lower at gametime and now with a half time score of 1-0 it's at 2.44 at betfair, my 5% on this one, croatians are bound to attack and let some of their defensive guard and they got a good formation for a goal up front, and the brazilians can thus net a couple more, can't really see them managing a tempo game here, in any case with a goal in the bag I see this one having more than 59% chances of happening.
 

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much better second half, with about 5-6 very good scoring chances in the second half so far in 15 minutes, win or lose, I feel justified, I better win though, moral justification isn't much in betting.
 

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-15.5%

Ref should at least have allowed that last minute throw in...I m hot as a fire cracker...Correct me if I am wrong, but wasn't the second half worth a cpoule of goals, i d say it was, still I ve made a few decisions for the games to come, namely to take the croatians against the japs, the brazilians against the japs too, and possibly fade the brazilians against the aussies on the handicap. The japs being by far, hmm maybe with angola, but no, no even worse...by far the feeblest team I ve watched so far.
 

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Spain Under 2.25 at 1.8 for 6.5%

Germany at 1.53 for 15% (Bet of the day, cup)

Germany over 2.5 at 1.8 for 5%

Spain at 1.85 for 4%
 

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well it looks like after my bad live event choices the first three of which have failed miserably due to a mixture of bad luck and bad decisions (the first bet on the aussied draw at 1.3 was the latter, the other two have been a mixture of the former and the latter, the half time draw for brazil was an unlucky one as the croatians substitution of kovac, arguably their best defender at that moment due to injury, and a single shot by kaka coupled with an inept performance by the goalie cost me that) my actual non live bets are starting an upward trend with spain leading at half time 1-0, and the game looking so far a tempo, with the weather taking its toll, the ukranians with a half in form sheva not very threatening and the spaniards content with posetion and tempo play.

Fuck, I could even make some money in this world cup!?!?!?!
 

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Jack

These Ukraine coxukers burned the under all by themselves..what a pitiful team:finger:
 

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Everyone, including me, on Germany over 2.5. This one could be over in the first half.

GL.

IS
 

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Johny boy, long time no see, the ref. actually fucked that under for me, giving a penalti he'd only seen and at the same time sending one ukrainian off, sealed and delivered...

Inspades, we had the over wrong, poland went all in to defend today, we should have known better, dumb square bet that one was.


But ladies and gents, it was about fucking time old jackie got something this day with the bet of the day coming in, and the germans got something their way too, it would have been very unfair hadn't they managed that goal. And let me tell you something about sports and my rationale of making this one bet of the day and triple the normal amount, DETERMINATION, that for me is the number one deciding factor in sports, who's got it in them, who's more determined and psyched up.

That said this was another marginally losing or about par day if you followed my selections, hopefully some of you just bet the bet of the day or put a little something down more on Germany, I ll turn this around though, can't promise, but I think I will.
 

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kick me in the leg to see I am not dreaming with the prices for the under over markets for the cr game, maybe I may be way off in my undertanding of the game, which I don't think I am but why is cr (a typical run and gun team, with very loose defense) and ecuoador where the pols missed a fair share of chances in a very open game, why do these two have the under favoured. Sure the heat factor or ecuadors draw option might come into play, which imo they dont...


I ll be on

Ecuador - Costa Rica

Over 2 at 1.72 Mansion for 10%.

As far as the side goes, both Ecuador at 2.11 and Cr at 4.2 offer value, marginal for Ecuador more so for CR, hence I am going to lay the draw at 3.45 at Mansion again for 3.5%.
 

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seeing we are getting a Benin-ian ref, I ve put a little something 5% down to the over 9 pts in the card market at betfair at 1.64
 

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A stellar outing so far, for a change with 3-0.

And another of my notorious losing live bets Trinidad Tobagoo.

The Draw at 2.0 for 6.5%.

With more than ten minutes remaining.
 

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Rationale: Pretty straight forwardd I think that after holding on for a full game, trinidad has definately more than 50-50 chances of holding on to that draw. Let's have some luck on our side too for a change.
 

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I am fucking jinxed man in my live bets...still a profitable day so far, and none of you boys are on my live bets anyways so you will have made more yourselves if you chose to bet them... but fucking hell...when's some of that luck gonna look my way...
 

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I am taking the no goal option for the Sweden game at 2.0. for 6.5% hopefully not another live fuck up for me.
 

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on the 71st minute placed, maybe I better start thinking of buying out, way my luck is going it's already a winner if I don't lose the bet in the coming two to three minutes, most other bets have gone down this way...
 

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I am shitting my pants boys, it's already almost ten minutes since I placed the bets, AND I STILL HAVE NOT LOST ITS A FUCKING MIRACLE!!!
 

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way the game was going all run and gun and no defences, and esp. my luck, I felt I was pushing it by staying with it so long, the moment I click on buying out, a few seconds onwards the swedes score...shhhhhhh....like I ve said before my only consolation is that no one is betting these with me, I ve been brutal in my live bets, unlucky, but inexcusable too....
 

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