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I have about 1500 shares of Ford that's been rotting in my brokerage account for years. I've been reluctant to sell, but might be time to take the big L.
 

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I have about 1500 shares of Ford that's been rotting in my brokerage account for years. I've been reluctant to sell, but might be time to take the big L.


I sorta think they are going to end up getting some of the FEDs money despite the balance sheet $$$...
 

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They may but the auto financing arm of the company makes money so declaring bankruptcy would be costly.
Who knows.... I really don't but some think it's inevitable.
 

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Would that prevent them from filing bankruptcy?

The economy cant afford to lose Ford, Ford is one of the last great american production companies, it drives our need for steel , it drives our need for new tech, we need ford now more then ever, they are the best symmetry between humans and robots, the domino affect of losing ford would be catastrophic to so many ancillary industries that are struggling, i say this even though I chose a GMC over Ford.
 

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CB this ^^^^^^ smart knows what's up on the consumables seems like.



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Global Market Comments
May 5, 2020
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:(FIVE STOCKS TO BUY AT THE BOTTOM),
(AAPL), (AMZN), (SQ), (ROKU), (MSFT)
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Five Stocks to Buy at the Market Bottom

With the Dow Average down 1,400 points in three trading days, you are being given a second bite of the apple before the yearend tech-led rally begins.
So, it is with great satisfaction that I am rewriting Arthur Henry’s Mad Hedge Technology Letter’s list of recommendations.
By the way, if you want to subscribe to Arthur’s groundbreaking, cutting-edge service, please click here.
It’s the best read on technology investing in the entire market.
You don’t want to catch a falling knife, but at the same time, diligently prepare yourself to buy the best discounts of the year.
The Coronavirus has triggered a tsunami wave of selling, tearing apart the tech sector with a vicious profit-taking few trading days.
Here are the names of five of the best stocks to slip into your portfolio in no particular order once the madness subsides.

Apple
Steve Job’s creation is weathering the gale-fore storm quite well. Apple has been on a tear reconfirming its smooth pivot to a software services-tilted tech company. The timing is perfect as China has enhanced its smartphone technology by leaps and bounds.
Even though China cannot produce the top-notch quality phones that Apple can, they have caught up to the point local Chinese are reasonably content with its functionality.
That hasn’t stopped Apple from vigorously growing revenue in greater China 20% YOY during a feverishly testy political climate that has its supply chain in Beijing’s crosshairs.
The pivot is picking up steam and Apple’s revenue will morph into a software company with software and services eventually contributing 25% to total revenue.
They aren’t just an iPhone company anymore. Apple has led the charge with stock buybacks and gobbled up a total of $150 billion in shares by the end of 2019. Get into this stock while you can as entry points are few and far between.

Amazon (AMZN)
This is the best company in America hands down and commands 5% of total American retail sales or 49% of American e-commerce sales. The pandemic has vastly accelerated the growth of their business.
It became the second company to eclipse a market capitalization of over $1 trillion. Its Amazon Web Services (AWS) cloud business pioneered the cloud industry and had an almost 10-year head start to craft it into its cash cow. Amazon has branched off into many other businesses since then oozing innovation and is a one-stop wrecking ball.
The newest direction is the smart home where they seek to place every single smart product around the Amazon Echo, the smart speaker sitting nicely inside your house. A smart doorbell was the first step along with recently investing in a pre-fab house start-up aimed at building smart homes.

Microsoft (MSFT)
The optics in 2018 look utterly different from when Bill Gates was roaming around the corridors in the Redmond, Washington headquarter and that is a good thing in 2018.
Current CEO Satya Nadella has turned this former legacy company into the 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] largest cloud competitor to Amazon and then some.
Microsoft Azure is rapidly catching up to Amazon in the cloud space because of the Amazon effect working in reverse. Companies don’t want to store proprietary data to Amazon’s server farm when they could possibly destroy them down the road. Microsoft is mainly a software company and gained the trust of many big companies especially retailers.
Microsoft is also on the vanguard of the gaming industry taking advantage of the young generation’s fear of outside activity. Xbox-related revenue is up 36% YOY, and its gaming division is a $10.3 billion per year business.
Microsoft Azure grew 87% YOY last quarter. The previous quarter saw Azure rocket by 98%. Shares are cheaper than Amazon and almost as potent.

Square (SQ)
CEO Jack Dorsey is doing everything right at this fin-tech company blazing a trail right to the doorsteps of the traditional banks.
The various businesses they have on offer makes me think of Amazon’s portfolio because of the supreme diversity. The Cash App is a peer-to-peer money transfer program that cohabits with a bitcoin investing function on the same smartphone app.
Square has targeted the smaller businesses first and is a godsend for these entrepreneurs who lack immense capital to create a financial and payment infrastructure. Not only do they provide the physical payment systems for restaurant chains, they also offer payroll services and other small loans.
The pipeline of innovation is strong with upper management mentioning they are considering stock trading products and other bank-like products. Wall Street bigwigs must be shaking in their boots.
The recently departed CFO Sarah Friar triggered a 10% collapse in share price on top of the market meltdown. The weakness will certainly be temporary, especially if they keep doubling their revenue every two years like they have been doing.

Roku (ROKU)
Benefitting from the broad-based migration from cable tv to online steaming and cord-cutting, Roku is perfectly placed to delectably harvest the spoils.
This uber-growth company offers an over-the-top (OTT) streaming platform along with the necessary hardware and picks up revenue by selling digital ads.
Founder and CEO Anthony Woods owns 21 million shares of his brainchild and insistently notes that he has no interest in selling his company to a Netflix or Apple.
Roku’s active accounts mushroomed 46% to 22 million in the second quarter. Viewers are reaffirming the obsession with on-demand online streaming content with hours streamed on the platform increasing 58% to 5.5 billion.
The Roku platform can be bought for just $30 and is easy to set-up. Roku enjoys the lead in the over-the-top (OTT) streaming device industry controlling 37% of the market share leading Amazon’s Fire Stick at 28%.
The runway is long as (OTT) boxes nestle cozily in only 40% of American homes with broadband, up from a paltry 6% in 2010.
They are consistently absent from the backbiting and jawboning the FANGs consistently find themselves in partly because they do not create original content and they are not an off-shoot from a larger parent tech firm.
This growth stock experiences the same type of volatility as Square.
Be patient and wait for 5-7% drops to pick up some shares.

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Quote of the Day

“Data is the new oil,” said Dr. Kai-fu Lee, a leading Chinese artificial expert.
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Smart...I'm sure you saw Baxter raised their dividend today.
Very nice.
 

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The only surprise there is that he didn't include Google
 

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Bozzie I'm a little torn on the dividend raise, I'm not going to turn down free money, but i would rather have see them pay down debt.
 

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The economy cant afford to lose Ford, Ford is one of the last great american production companies, it drives our need for steel , it drives our need for new tech, we need ford now more then ever, they are the best symmetry between humans and robots, the domino affect of losing ford would be catastrophic to so many ancillary industries that are struggling, i say this even though I chose a GMC over Ford.

I get that, and have always loved Ford as a company (I've only owned 6 vehicles in my almost 34 years of driving - 4 have been Ford trucks). I stood by them when they were the only American car company that didn't take the bailout money years ago. But...they can still be everything you mentioned and file bankruptcy, right? They'd just have to re-structure and make some changes. It would make the current stock worthless though....and that's what I'm more concerned about.
 

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AQN filled at $19.36.

Looking for the next thing. Have been considering for a week that i should just put the majority of money into Google, MSFT, or AMZN.
When I get back to work, I won't have time o watch charts all day.
 

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Global Market Comments
May 6, 2020
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:
(NOW THE FAT LADY IS REALLY SINGING FOR THE BOND MARKET),
(TLT), (TBT)

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Now the Fat Lady is REALLY Singing for the Bond Market

The most significant market development so far in 2020 has not been the epic stock market crash and rebound, the nonstop rally in tech stocks (NASDQ), the rebound of gold (GLD), or negative oil prices, although that is quite a list.

It has been the recent peaking of the bond market (TLT), which a few weeks ago was probing all-time highs.

I love it when my short, medium, and long-term calls play out according to script. I absolutely hate it when they happen so fast that I and my readers are unable to get in at decent prices.

That is what has happened with my short call for the (TLT), which has been performing a near-perfect swan dive since April. The move has been enough to boost me back into positive numbers for 2020.

The yield on the ten-year Treasury bond has soared from 3.25% in 2018 to an intraday low of 0.31% in March.

Lucky borrowers who demanded rate locks in real estate financings at the end of January are now thanking their lucky stars. We may be saying goodbye to the 3% handle on 5/1 ARMS for the rest of our lives.

The technical damage has been near-fatal. The writing is on the wall. A 1.00% yield for the ten-year is now easily on the menu for 2020, if not 2.00% or 3.0%.

This is crucially important for financial markets, as interest rates are the well spring from which all other market trends arise.

Wiser thinkers are peeved that the promised bleeding of federal tax revenues is causing the annual budget deficit to balloon from a low of a $450 billion annual rate in 2016 to $1.2 trillion last year and over $5 trillion in 2020.

Add in the bond purchases from the Fed’s new promise of $8 trillion in quantitative easing and you get true government borrowing of $13 trillion for 2020. It will all end in tears for bond and US dollar holders.

And don’t forget the president, who recently threatened to default on US Treasury bonds, just as the Treasury was trying to float $3 trillion in new issues. It is a short seller’s dream come true.

As rates rise, so does the debt service costs of the world’s largest borrower, the US government. The burden will soar in a hockey stick-like manner, currently at 4% of the total budget.

What is of far greater concern is what the tax bill does to the National Debt, taking it from $24 trillion to $32 trillion over the next year, a staggering rise of 50%. Even Tojo and Hitler couldn’t get the US to buy that much. If we get the higher figure, then we are looking not at another recession, but at yet another 1930-style depression.

Better teach your kids to drive for UBER early, as they are the ones who are going to have to pay off this gargantuan debt. That is if (UBER) is still around.

So what the heck are you supposed to do now? Keep selling those bond rallies, even the little ones. It will be the closest thing to a rich uncle you will ever have, if you don’t already have one.

Make your year now because the longer you put it off, the harder it will be to get.



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Quote of the Day

“Your margin is my opportunity,” said Amazon founder Jeff Bezos.
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Hey Bozzie. Can you translate this for me lol. I usually love reading his thoughts, but other than "your children will be paying for this debt", I'm pretty lost.
 

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It could be interpreted a few ways.
The way I look at it as we rack up debt the interest on the debt service becomes the first problem, it's astronomical.
More than Medicare spending on just servicing the debt..Just the interest to be clear and those projections were before the FED went ballistic supporting liquidity across the spectrum. Another projection for the debt service is by 2041 the (again just the interest on the debt) will be more than defense spending. I'm going to have my wife crawl into a cardboard box and pump out a litter of kids just to help the debt service in the future...4 litters to actually start getting the hard debt numbers down.
It's going to be tough on the next generations.

I don't know fellas I hate what is happening..I think the summer is when I'll buy back in to the market..maybe.
Things are way more ugly than it looks on the surface and if you watch the market dally it just confusing, forget about fundaments.
 

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Call me crazy, but I just put 75% of my money into AMZN. I'm.betting it's better than sitting in cash. BTW I'm usually wrong lol.
 

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Call me crazy, but I just put 75% of my money into AMZN. I'm.betting it's better than sitting in cash. BTW I'm usually wrong lol.

I like it.. I mean.. I have no idea what's what but it's as good as anything I'd guess
I'm totally out..I sold the last of my ROM a couple of days ago.. I want to see a 2600 SandP before I feel right again.
I'm thinking "reality" when the dull summer days set in but I've been so wrong so far.
 

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Call me crazy, but I just put 75% of my money into AMZN. I'm.betting it's better than sitting in cash. BTW I'm usually wrong lol.

GL Bruins. I've been thinking about putting some in the AMZN as well....and AAPL. I really wish I had a feel on where BA was going, but I think you're right that AMZN is solid as a rock, all things considered.
 

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I like apple, I have a lot of apple stock. I like their cash reserve, and think AR Smart Glasses will be the next Iphone. I have been an apple person most of my life, In 2001 I took my Sony Walkman off and put on the apple ipod and was hooked, when i switched from a flip phone to a iphone.

AR and VR will require massive amounts of storage and processing power.
 

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